This opponent (Primorje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Primorje
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.93
1.47
1.73
0.67
2.13
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
2.54
0.71
2.29
0.50
2.83
vs Similar (17)
1.41
1.47
2.12
1.25
0.78
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Celje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.8%
Under 1.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.1%
Under 2.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.1%
Under 3.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.1%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
6.8%
1-1
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
4-1
5.7%
Celje goals ↓
Primorje goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.1%
1.5%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
1
6.6%
6.7%
2.6%
0.7%
0.2%
2
10%
8.6%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
9.6%
8.1%
3.4%
1.0%
0.2%
4
6.8%
5.7%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Celje goals (down), columns = Primorje goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Celje
2.18
Nafta
2.00
Koper
1.97
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.61
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.58
Radomlje
1.32
Aluminij
1.06
Mura
0.91
NK Domzale
0.67
Primorje
0.64
Celje is 1.54 points better than Primorje in terms of average points per game (2.18 vs 0.64).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celje
2.50
Koper
2.09
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.73
Radomlje
1.47
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.42
Aluminij
1.24
Mura
1.03
NK Domzale
0.94
Primorje
0.86
Nafta
0.50
Celje is 1.64 goals better than Primorje in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 0.86).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.00
Celje
0.94
Maribor
1.21
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.21
Koper
1.26
Bravo
1.50
Mura
1.62
Aluminij
1.79
Radomlje
1.85
Primorje
2.08
NK Domzale
2.11
Celje is 1.14 goals better than Primorje in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 2.08).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Celje
For 4.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.1
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 15.2 · Total 27.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Primorje
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Celje
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
10.2
8.0
1.5
2.1
1.0
27.8
27.8
27.8
vs Stronger (3)
12.7
13.0
12.0
4.3
5.5
2.0
24.3
25.0
23.0
vs Similar (26)
7.2
7.3
7.2
2.0
2.9
1.5
29.9
31.7
28.8
vs Weaker (21)
13.0
13.0
-
0.4
0.7
0.0
22.0
22.0
-
% over line
42%
50%
33%
24%
35%
15%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
58%
50%
67%
76%
65%
85%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Primorje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Primorje
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (21)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Celje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Celje
9.2
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Celje
4.8
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
NK Domzale
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Celje
24.7
Mura
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.2%
Under 3.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
77.5%
Under 21.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Celje
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.63
1.07
0.71
0.94
0.56
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
0.50
2.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.64
1.00
0.60
0.89
0.67
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.46
1.29
0.43
0.83
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Primorje
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.87
0.60
0.73
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
1.23
0.29
1.14
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.59
0.88
0.38
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Celje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Celje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Celje
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
1.07
0.29
0.81
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.79
0.80
0.20
0.89
1.11
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.46
1.29
0.29
0.83
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Primorje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Primorje
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.07
0.87
1.00
0.40
1.13
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
1.31
0.43
1.14
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.88
1.25
0.88
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Celje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Celje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Primorje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Celje
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Franko KovaÄeviÄ50%
Armandas KuÄys25%
Svit SeÅĄlar25%
Matej Poplatnik20%
Mario KvesiÄ17%
Rudi PoÅūeg VancaÅĄ17%
Nikita Iosifov17%
Å―an KarniÄnik12%
Danijel Å turm12%
Ivica VidoviÄ12%
Darko Hrka10%
Milot Avdyli8%
Vitaliy Lisakovich0%
Matija Boben0%
Damjan VukliÅĄeviÄ0%
Andrej Kotnik0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Ivan ÄaluÅĄiÄ0%
Åukasz Bejger0%
Å―an-Luk Leban0%
Papa Daniel0%
Artemijus TutyÅĄkinas0%
Florjan Jevsenak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitaliy Lisakovich50%
Darko Hrka40%
Matija Boben33%
Ivan ÄaluÅĄiÄ33%
Franko KovaÄeviÄ25%
Matej Poplatnik20%
Mario KvesiÄ17%
Damjan VukliÅĄeviÄ17%
Juanjo Nieto17%
Å―an KarniÄnik12%
Papa Daniel12%
Åukasz Bejger9%
Å―an-Luk Leban9%
Armandas KuÄys0%
Andrej Kotnik0%
Rudi PoÅūeg VancaÅĄ0%
Svit SeÅĄlar0%
Danijel Å turm0%
Nikita Iosifov0%
Milot Avdyli0%
Artemijus TutyÅĄkinas0%
Ivica VidoviÄ0%
Florjan Jevsenak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vitaliy Lisakovich25%
Armandas KuÄys25%
Svit SeÅĄlar25%
Mario KvesiÄ17%
Rudi PoÅūeg VancaÅĄ17%
Milot Avdyli17%
Darko Hrka10%
Juanjo Nieto8%
Nikita Iosifov8%
Franko KovaÄeviÄ0%
Matija Boben0%
Matej Poplatnik0%
Damjan VukliÅĄeviÄ0%
Andrej Kotnik0%
Å―an KarniÄnik0%
Ivan ÄaluÅĄiÄ0%
Danijel Å turm0%
Åukasz Bejger0%
Å―an-Luk Leban0%
Papa Daniel0%
Artemijus TutyÅĄkinas0%
Ivica VidoviÄ0%
Florjan Jevsenak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Franko KovaÄeviÄ50%
Armandas KuÄys25%
Mario KvesiÄ17%
Ivica VidoviÄ12%
Nikita Iosifov8%
Milot Avdyli8%
Vitaliy Lisakovich0%
Matija Boben0%
Matej Poplatnik0%
Damjan VukliÅĄeviÄ0%
Andrej Kotnik0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Rudi PoÅūeg VancaÅĄ0%
Å―an KarniÄnik0%
Svit SeÅĄlar0%
Darko Hrka0%
Ivan ÄaluÅĄiÄ0%
Danijel Å turm0%
Åukasz Bejger0%
Å―an-Luk Leban0%
Papa Daniel0%
Artemijus TutyÅĄkinas0%
Florjan Jevsenak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Celje's squad is €13m more valuable than Primorje's (€14m vs €1m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Celje's attack is €7m more valuable than Primorje's (€7m vs €0m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Celje's midfield is €1m more valuable than Primorje's (€1m vs €0m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Celje's defence is €5m more valuable than Primorje's (€6m vs €0m).
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →