Celtic’s recent form, after a narrow defeat to Lask Linz, has them poised for a high-scoring outing, while Aberdeen, fresh from a win over Dundee, will look to keep the goals tally low. The model favours a home win, with a 57% chance, a draw at 21%, and an away win also at 21%. The expected total of 3.7 goals points to a lively match, and the single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Celtic, a 9.2% probability. Celtic, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 3.31 goals scored and 0.85 conceded, whereas Aberdeen, away against a stronger opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 96.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.9%, Under 6.5 at 92.1%, Home +2 handicap at 90.7%, Home over 0.5 goals at 90.0%, Over 1.5 at 88.9%, Away under 2.5 goals at 84.0%, and Under 5.5 at 83.4%. These selections reflect the model’s confidence in a Celtic victory with a robust goal output.
Results analysis
Celtic’s recent form, a string of four wins after a loss to Lask Linz, set the stage for a decisive home victory. The model’s favourite, a Home win with a 57% probability, proved correct as Celtic triumphed 6-0, confirming the predicted outcome. The selection of Under 7.5 goals, with a 96.6% chance, also hit, as did Away under 3.5 goals (94.9%), Under 6.5 (92.1%), Home +2 handicap (90.7%), Home over 0.5 goals (90.0%), Over 1.5 (88.9%), and Away under 2.5 goals (84.0%). Only Under 5.5, at 83.4%, missed. The match delivered on the model’s expectations across the board.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Celtic win✓ Hit
57.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen win✗ Miss
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Celtic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.80
0.97
3.20
0.80
2.40
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.80
2.20
2.50
0.50
1.33
3.33
vs Weaker (25)
3.00
0.72
3.31
0.85
2.67
0.58
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
0.77
2.18
0.71
1.69
0.85
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (11)
2.18
0.64
2.14
0.71
2.25
0.50
vs Weaker (17)
1.82
0.76
2.22
0.67
1.38
0.88
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.9%
Under 1.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.0%
Under 2.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.0%
Under 3.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.0%
No
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
Celtic goals ↓
Aberdeen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.3%
2.7%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
1
5.0%
8.8%
5.5%
2.5%
0.9%
2
6.7%
9.2%
6.3%
2.9%
1.0%
3
5.2%
7.1%
4.9%
2.2%
0.8%
4
3.0%
4.1%
2.8%
1.3%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Celtic goals (down), columns = Aberdeen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Dundee Utd
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Queen's Park
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
Airdrie United
1.80
ST Johnstone
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Montrose
1.75
Partick
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Peterhead
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Morton
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Inverness CT
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Kilmarnock
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Elgin
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Dumbarton
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
Buckie Thistle
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Celtic is 0.07 points worse than Aberdeen in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 2.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Queen's Park
3.20
Airdrie United
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Falkirk
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Clyde
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Dundee Utd
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Ross County
2.00
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Livingston
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Stranraer
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Dumbarton
1.00
Elgin
0.75
Inverness CT
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Morton
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.50
Stirling
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Brechin
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Celtic is 1.39 goals better than Aberdeen in terms of goals scored per game (4.25 vs 2.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
Hibernian
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Falkirk
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Alloa Athletic
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Montrose
1.25
Partick
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
Ayr Utd
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Morton
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Stranraer
2.50
Brechin
2.50
Peterhead
2.75
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
East Kilbride
4.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Buckie Thistle
4.25
Celtic is 0.50 goals worse than Aberdeen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Celtic
For 8.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aberdeen
For 5.8 · Against 6.7 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.6 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Celtic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.6
13.2
11.9
3.5
3.8
3.1
19.8
19.9
19.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
10.5
10.8
10.2
5.8
7.8
3.8
23.4
25.4
21.4
vs Weaker (40)
13.1
13.9
12.4
2.9
2.9
2.9
18.9
18.5
19.3
% over line
77%
83%
71%
44%
50%
38%
29%
29%
29%
% under line
23%
17%
29%
56%
50%
62%
71%
71%
71%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
9.8
11.2
3.9
4.1
3.7
24.4
25.0
23.7
vs Stronger (9)
11.6
9.0
14.8
4.1
4.2
4.0
19.4
19.6
19.2
vs Similar (19)
10.6
10.6
10.6
4.3
5.2
3.3
26.4
27.0
25.6
vs Weaker (22)
9.8
9.4
10.1
3.5
3.1
4.0
25.0
26.1
23.9
% over line
64%
57%
71%
56%
63%
48%
70%
74%
67%
% under line
36%
43%
29%
44%
37%
52%
30%
26%
33%
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.4
Heart Of Midlothian
11.6
Dumbarton
11.5
Motherwell
11.2
Kilmarnock
11.2
Kelty Hearts
11.1
Dundee
11.0
Rangers
11.0
Dundee Utd
10.9
Falkirk
10.9
Morton
10.9
Ross County
10.8
Arbroath
10.7
Dunfermline
10.5
Aberdeen
10.5
ST Mirren
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Stirling
10.3
Stenhousemuir
10.2
Hibernian
10.2
Montrose
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Partick
10.0
Cove Rangers
9.9
Airdrie United
9.9
Edinburgh City
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.8
Inverness CT
9.8
Stranraer
9.7
Forfar
9.6
Livingston
9.5
Clyde
9.4
East Fife
9.4
Spartans
9.3
Peterhead
9.0
Elgin
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.9
Annan Athletic
4.6
Morton
4.6
Rangers
4.5
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Motherwell
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.3
Aberdeen
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Dundee Utd
4.3
Hibernian
4.3
Dundee
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.1
Falkirk
4.0
Edinburgh City
3.9
Stirling
3.9
Ross County
3.9
Dunfermline
3.9
Montrose
3.9
East Fife
3.8
Dumbarton
3.8
Livingston
3.8
Stranraer
3.7
Celtic
3.7
ST Mirren
3.7
Elgin
3.6
Partick
3.6
Forfar
3.5
Arbroath
3.5
Kelty Hearts
3.5
Brechin
3.5
Clyde
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
Spartans
3.4
Inverness CT
3.1
Cove Rangers
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.8
Elgin
24.4
Forfar
24.3
Aberdeen
24.1
Livingston
23.8
Stenhousemuir
22.7
Morton
22.6
Kilmarnock
22.5
Falkirk
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.2
Motherwell
22.1
Rangers
22.0
Heart Of Midlothian
21.9
Ross County
21.9
East Fife
21.8
ST Mirren
21.6
Edinburgh City
21.6
Dundee Utd
21.6
Hibernian
21.5
Kelty Hearts
21.5
Spartans
21.5
Clyde
21.1
Annan Athletic
20.9
Stirling
20.8
Arbroath
20.6
Montrose
20.6
Brechin
20.4
Celtic
20.0
Stranraer
19.9
Dundee
19.9
Partick
19.7
Dumbarton
19.7
Dunfermline
19.6
Inverness CT
19.5
Airdrie United
19.1
Cove Rangers
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
69.2%
Under 9.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.5%
Under 3.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.4%
Under 21.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Celtic or Draw✓ Hit
78.7%
Avg Implied -
57%
21%
21%
covers Celtic + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Celtic or Aberdeen✓ Hit
78.8%
Avg Implied -
57%
21%
21%
covers Celtic + Aberdeen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Aberdeen✗ Miss
42.6%
Avg Implied -
57%
21%
21%
covers Draw + Aberdeen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Celtic over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.0%
Under
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
66.9%
Under
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
40.4%
Under
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
20.1%
Under
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.7%
Under
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.9%
Under
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.0%
Under
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Celtic, so a minus line means Celtic give that many goals of a start and Aberdeen receive them. At -1, Celtic must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Celtic win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Celtic)Actual: Celtic
Celtic -2
19.6%
Draw -2
17.3%
Aberdeen +2
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Celtic)Actual: Celtic
Celtic -1
36.8%
Draw -1
20.6%
Aberdeen +1
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Celtic)Actual: Celtic
Celtic +1
78.7%
Draw +1
12.0%
Aberdeen -1
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Celtic)Actual: Celtic
Celtic +2
90.7%
Draw +2
6.2%
Aberdeen -2
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Celtic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.47
1.60
0.40
1.07
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.40
1.20
2.00
0.50
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (25)
1.32
0.32
1.54
0.38
1.08
0.25
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.37
0.53
0.35
1.00
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (11)
1.00
0.27
0.86
0.29
1.25
0.25
vs Weaker (17)
0.59
0.35
0.22
0.44
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Celtic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Celtic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.50
1.60
0.40
1.33
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (25)
1.68
0.40
1.77
0.46
1.58
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.40
1.65
0.35
0.69
0.46
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
1.18
0.36
1.29
0.43
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (17)
1.24
0.41
2.00
0.22
0.38
0.62
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Celtic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Celtic
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daizen Maeda40%
Maik Nawrocki33%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn31%
Jota31%
Adam Idah29%
Kyogo Furuhashi28%
Reo Hatate21%
Arne Engels20%
Callum McGregor18%
Luke McCowan17%
Yang Hyun-Jun14%
Johnny Kenny12%
Anthony Ralston11%
Alistair Johnston10%
Liam Scales9%
Jeffrey Schlupp7%
Paulo Bernardo6%
James Forrest4%
Auston Trusty3%
Cameron Carter-Vickers3%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Luis Palma0%
Greg Taylor0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Álex Valle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Greg Taylor17%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn14%
Johnny Kenny12%
Alistair Johnston12%
Daizen Maeda9%
Paulo Bernardo8%
Callum McGregor7%
Reo Hatate6%
Auston Trusty6%
Liam Scales6%
Álex Valle6%
Anthony Ralston5%
Arne Engels5%
Yang Hyun-Jun3%
Cameron Carter-Vickers3%
Kasper Schmeichel2%
Adam Idah2%
Jota0%
James Forrest0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Luis Palma0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Luke McCowan0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Maik Nawrocki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Álex Valle25%
Alistair Johnston24%
James Forrest22%
Greg Taylor22%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn21%
Daizen Maeda19%
Arne Engels18%
Anthony Ralston16%
Jota15%
Reo Hatate13%
Johnny Kenny12%
Luke McCowan11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Yang Hyun-Jun10%
Liam Scales9%
Paulo Bernardo8%
Callum McGregor7%
Jeffrey Schlupp7%
Auston Trusty3%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Luis Palma0%
Adam Idah0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Maik Nawrocki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyogo Furuhashi31%
Adam Idah29%
Arne Engels23%
Daizen Maeda21%
Reo Hatate19%
Jota15%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn14%
Johnny Kenny12%
Luis Palma10%
Luke McCowan6%
James Forrest4%
Yang Hyun-Jun3%
Auston Trusty3%
Liam Scales3%
Paulo Bernardo3%
Callum McGregor2%
Anthony Ralston0%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Greg Taylor0%
Alistair Johnston0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Maik Nawrocki0%
Álex Valle0%
Aberdeen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Nisbet28%
Pape Habib Gueye20%
Vicente Besuijen18%
Jamie McGrath16%
Topi Keskinen14%
Nicky Devlin13%
Leighton Clarkson12%
Ester Sokler10%
Alfie Dorrington8%
Shayden Morris8%
Oday Dabbagh8%
Ante Palaversa7%
Peter Ambrose7%
Jeppe Okkels6%
Graeme Shinnie3%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Angus MacDonald0%
James McGarry0%
Mats Knoester0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Ross Doohan0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Kristers Tobers0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Jack Milne0%
Dante Polvara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ante Palaversa37%
Slobodan Rubežić35%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen35%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes32%
Kristers Tobers30%
Gavin Molloy21%
Jack Mackenzie20%
Pape Habib Gueye20%
Graeme Shinnie19%
Dante Polvara18%
Jamie McGrath16%
James McGarry14%
Topi Keskinen14%
Nicky Devlin13%
Kevin Nisbet12%
Jack Milne11%
Ester Sokler10%
Vicente Besuijen9%
Leighton Clarkson9%
Dimitar Mitov8%
Alfie Dorrington8%
Ross Doohan7%
Peter Ambrose7%
Shayden Morris3%
Jeppe Okkels0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Mats Knoester0%
Oday Dabbagh0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jamie McGrath20%
Alexander Jensen20%
Shayden Morris16%
Kevin Nisbet16%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes11%
Pape Habib Gueye10%
Graeme Shinnie8%
Mats Knoester8%
Oday Dabbagh8%
Jeppe Okkels6%
Topi Keskinen6%
Ester Sokler5%
Jack Mackenzie4%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen4%
Ante Palaversa3%
Leighton Clarkson3%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Nicky Devlin0%
James McGarry0%
Ross Doohan0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Kristers Tobers0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Jack Milne0%
Dante Polvara0%
Peter Ambrose0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin Nisbet22%
Mats Knoester15%
Pape Habib Gueye15%
Jamie McGrath12%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes11%
Kristers Tobers10%
Peter Ambrose7%
Nicky Devlin6%
Leighton Clarkson3%
Topi Keskinen3%
Shayden Morris3%
Ante Palaversa0%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen0%
Jeppe Okkels0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Angus MacDonald0%
James McGarry0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Graeme Shinnie0%
Ross Doohan0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Oday Dabbagh0%
Ester Sokler0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Jack Milne0%
Dante Polvara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Celtic's squad is €102m more valuable than Aberdeen's (€116m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Celtic's attack is €52m more valuable than Aberdeen's (€56m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Celtic's midfield is €15m more valuable than Aberdeen's (€20m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Celtic's defence is €34m more valuable than Aberdeen's (€41m vs €7m).
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Rangers
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Ross County
ST Johnstone
Livingston
Ayr Utd
Partick