This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.47
1.21
1.07
0.81
1.81
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
1.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
2.33
vs Similar (18)
1.17
1.33
1.38
1.12
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.9%
No
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.3%
3-0
11.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-1 â
8.8%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
6.8%
0-0
5.0%
Celtic goals ↓
Kilmarnock goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
2.1%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
1
10%
7.8%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
2
13%
8.8%
2.9%
0.6%
0.1%
3
11%
7.3%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
6.8%
4.5%
1.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Celtic goals (down), columns = Kilmarnock goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Formartine United
3.00
Celtic
2.60
Musselburgh Athletic
2.40
Clydebank
2.40
Cowdenbeath
2.33
Jeanfield Swifts
2.33
ST Johnstone
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Irvine Meadow
2.25
Aberdeen
2.20
Dundee
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Hibernian
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Dunfermline
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Cove Rangers
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Ayr Utd
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Hamilton Academical
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Banks O' Dee
2.00
Lochee United
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Bo'ness United
2.00
Buckie Thistle
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Camelon Juniors
2.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.00
Turriff United
2.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
2.00
Brechin
1.75
Fraserburgh
1.75
Broxburn Athletic
1.75
Dundee North End
1.75
Rangers
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Culter
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Vale of Leithen
1.50
Dunbar United
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Dalkeith Thistle
1.50
Newtongrange Star
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Cupar Hearts
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Livingston
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Queen's Park
1.25
Ross County
1.00
Partick
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Wick Academy
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Edinburgh City
0.50
Raith Rovers
0.50
Keith
0.50
Huntly
0.50
Motherwell
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Spartans
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Alloa Athletic
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.00
Preston Athletic
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Creetown
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00
Nairn County
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Tayport
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Deveronvale
0.00
Glenafton Athletic
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
East Stirlingshire
0.00
Beith
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Edinburgh University
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Dalbeattie Star
0.00
Haddington Athletic
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Albion Rovers
0.00
BSC Glasgow
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Forres Mechanics
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Dunipace
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Pollok
0.00
Fort William
0.00
Celtic is 2.60 points better than Kilmarnock in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 0.00).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girvan
5.00
Peterhead
4.00
Stirling
4.00
Threave Rovers
4.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
3.67
Camelon Juniors
3.50
Ayr Utd
3.33
Lochee United
3.33
Celtic
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Clydebank
3.00
Cupar Hearts
3.00
Tynecastle
3.00
Fraserburgh
2.75
Sauchie Juniors
2.67
Rangers
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Montrose
2.50
Irvine Meadow
2.50
Culter
2.50
Aberdeen
2.40
Bo'ness United
2.33
Heart Of Midlothian
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Ross County
2.00
Partick
2.00
Dundee
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Alloa Athletic
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Berwick Rangers
2.00
Jeanfield Swifts
2.00
Formartine United
2.00
Dundee North End
2.00
Preston Athletic
2.00
Vale of Leithen
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Deveronvale
2.00
Glenafton Athletic
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
East Stirlingshire
2.00
Newtongrange Star
2.00
Rutherglen Glencairn
2.00
Huntly
2.00
Livingston
1.67
Dunfermline
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.67
Musselburgh Athletic
1.60
Brechin
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Broxburn Athletic
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Hibernian
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.33
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Edinburgh City
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Banks O' Dee
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00
Whitehill Welfare
1.00
Dunbar United
1.00
Creetown
1.00
Nairn County
1.00
Tayport
1.00
Turriff United
1.00
Beith
1.00
Edinburgh University
1.00
Dalbeattie Star
1.00
Haddington Athletic
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Albion Rovers
1.00
Forres Mechanics
1.00
Dunipace
1.00
Pollok
1.00
ST Johnstone
0.75
Raith Rovers
0.50
Keith
0.50
Dalkeith Thistle
0.50
Motherwell
0.00
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
BSC Glasgow
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Fort William
0.00
Celtic is 2.00 goals better than Kilmarnock in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 1.00).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Formartine United
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.33
Celtic
0.40
Rangers
0.50
Camelon Juniors
0.50
Turriff United
0.50
Newtongrange Star
0.50
Aberdeen
0.60
Hibernian
0.67
Jeanfield Swifts
0.67
Banks O' Dee
0.67
Dundee North End
0.75
Clydebank
0.80
Motherwell
1.00
Dundee
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Stirling
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Cumnock Juniors
1.00
Clachnacuddin
1.00
Musselburgh Athletic
1.00
Culter
1.00
Auchinleck Talbot
1.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1.00
Bonnyton Thistle
1.00
Carluke Rovers
1.00
Buckie Thistle
1.00
Dundonald Bluebell
1.00
Caledonian Braves
1.00
Sauchie Juniors
1.00
Penicuik Athletic
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
BSC Glasgow
1.00
Darvel
1.00
Blackburn United
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.25
Forfar
1.33
Dunfermline
1.33
Cowdenbeath
1.33
East Kilbride
1.33
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
1.33
Stranraer
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Edinburgh City
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Fraserburgh
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Airdrie United
1.67
Bo'ness United
1.67
Brechin
1.75
Ross County
2.00
Partick
2.00
Kilmarnock
2.00
Morton
2.00
Elgin
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Annan Athletic
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Queen's Park
2.00
Gretna 2008
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Bo'ness Athletic
2.00
Irvine Meadow
2.00
Dunbar United
2.00
Kilwinning Rangers
2.00
Keith
2.00
Stirling University
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Golspie Sutherland
2.00
Dalbeattie Star
2.00
Dalkeith Thistle
2.00
Albion Rovers
2.00
Cupar Hearts
2.00
Forres Mechanics
2.00
Lothian Hutchison
2.00
Dunipace
2.00
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Burntisland Shipyard
2.50
Huntly
2.50
Lochee United
2.67
Peterhead
3.00
Kelty Hearts
3.00
Raith Rovers
3.00
Alloa Athletic
3.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.00
Preston Athletic
3.00
Vale of Leithen
3.00
Creetown
3.00
Benburb
3.00
Nairn County
3.00
Tayport
3.00
Cumbernauld Colts
3.00
East Stirlingshire
3.00
Beith
3.00
Edinburgh University
3.00
Newton Stewart
3.00
Pollok
3.00
Dumbarton
3.50
Hawick Royal Albert
4.00
Deveronvale
4.00
Glenafton Athletic
4.00
Tranent Juniors
4.00
Invergordon
4.00
Haddington Athletic
4.00
Glasgow University
4.00
Easthouses Lily
4.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
4.00
Strathspey Thistle
6.00
Coldstream
6.00
St Andrews United
7.00
Rothes
8.00
Fort William
8.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
9.00
Celtic is 1.60 goals better than Kilmarnock in terms of goals conceded per game (0.40 vs 2.00).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Celtic
For 8.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 12.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 7.8 · Total 16.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kilmarnock
For 6.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 11.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 11.5 · Total 21.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Celtic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.3
13.7
11.0
2.9
2.6
3.2
19.5
19.1
19.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
11.6
12.5
10.8
3.6
3.6
3.6
22.0
21.8
22.2
vs Weaker (40)
12.5
14.0
11.1
2.8
2.4
3.2
18.9
18.5
19.2
% over line
76%
82%
71%
38%
31%
46%
26%
23%
29%
% under line
24%
18%
29%
62%
69%
54%
74%
77%
71%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.0
11.8
3.9
3.6
4.3
21.9
22.7
21.2
vs Stronger (20)
11.9
10.7
13.1
3.9
3.6
4.1
20.9
22.6
19.4
vs Similar (30)
10.2
9.5
10.9
4.0
3.6
4.4
22.6
22.8
22.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
72%
59%
83%
60%
50%
69%
50%
59%
42%
% under line
28%
41%
17%
40%
50%
31%
50%
41%
58%
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.6
Rangers
11.5
Ross County
11.4
Arbroath
11.3
Hibernian
11.2
Dumbarton
11.2
Motherwell
11.1
Falkirk
11.0
Kilmarnock
10.9
Kelty Hearts
10.9
Heart Of Midlothian
10.9
Aberdeen
10.8
Morton
10.8
Dunfermline
10.8
Dundee Utd
10.7
Stirling
10.6
Dundee
10.6
ST Mirren
10.4
Airdrie United
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.2
Montrose
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Stranraer
10.0
Inverness CT
10.0
Partick
10.0
Cove Rangers
9.9
Forfar
9.8
Edinburgh City
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.8
Stenhousemuir
9.7
Clyde
9.6
East Fife
9.5
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Livingston
9.4
Spartans
9.2
Elgin
8.9
Peterhead
8.9
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.2
Aberdeen
4.7
Morton
4.6
Dundee Utd
4.4
Annan Athletic
4.4
Motherwell
4.3
Edinburgh City
4.3
Elgin
4.3
ST Johnstone
4.3
Hibernian
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
Stirling
4.2
Dundee
4.1
Falkirk
4.1
Livingston
4.0
Forfar
4.0
Rangers
4.0
Montrose
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Dumbarton
3.9
Stranraer
3.9
ST Mirren
3.9
Stenhousemuir
3.8
Clyde
3.8
East Fife
3.8
Dunfermline
3.7
Ross County
3.7
Partick
3.6
Spartans
3.6
Arbroath
3.5
Brechin
3.5
Kelty Hearts
3.4
Celtic
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Inverness CT
3.0
Cove Rangers
2.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.9
Elgin
24.7
Aberdeen
24.5
Forfar
24.4
Livingston
23.4
Edinburgh City
23.1
Morton
22.7
Stenhousemuir
22.6
East Fife
22.5
Kilmarnock
22.1
Spartans
22.0
Motherwell
22.0
Cowdenbeath
21.9
Clyde
21.8
ST Johnstone
21.8
Falkirk
21.7
Ross County
21.5
ST Mirren
21.5
Heart Of Midlothian
21.3
Annan Athletic
21.3
Stirling
21.3
Kelty Hearts
21.2
Dundee Utd
21.1
Rangers
21.0
Montrose
21.0
Hibernian
20.9
Arbroath
20.6
Brechin
20.4
Dundee
19.8
Inverness CT
19.6
Stranraer
19.6
Partick
19.5
Dunfermline
19.4
Airdrie United
19.4
Dumbarton
19.4
Celtic
19.3
Cove Rangers
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
70.0%
Under 9.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
53.5%
Under 21.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Celtic or Drawâ Hit
92.9%
Avg Implied -
77%
16%
7%
covers Celtic + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Celtic or Kilmarnockâ Hit
83.7%
Avg Implied -
77%
16%
7%
covers Celtic + Kilmarnock
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kilmarnockâ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied -
77%
16%
7%
covers Draw + Kilmarnock
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Celtic over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.6%
Under
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
70.9%
Under
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
45.1%
Under
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
23.8%
Under
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
48.2%
Under
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
14.2%
Under
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âïļ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Celtic, so a minus line means Celtic give that many goals of a start and Kilmarnock receive them. At -1, Celtic must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Celtic win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Celtic)Actual: Kilmarnock
Celtic -2
32.8%
Draw -2
22.2%
Kilmarnock +2
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Celtic)Actual: Draw
Celtic -1
55.0%
Draw -1
21.6%
Kilmarnock +1
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Celtic)Actual: Celtic
Celtic +1
92.9%
Draw +1
5.2%
Kilmarnock -1
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Celtic)Actual: Celtic
Celtic +2
98.1%
Draw +2
1.6%
Kilmarnock -2
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Celtic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.43
1.38
0.31
0.71
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.12
1.00
0.75
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (22)
1.23
0.18
1.50
0.17
0.90
0.20
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.53
0.36
0.29
0.31
0.75
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.17
0.17
0.83
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.56
0.25
0.38
0.40
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Celtic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Celtic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.43
1.94
0.31
1.36
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.75
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
2.00
0.32
2.08
0.25
1.90
0.40
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.93
0.86
0.79
0.50
1.06
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.17
0.50
0.83
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.78
1.12
0.75
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Celtic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +2 handicap
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 6.5
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Draw
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home +1 handicap
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Away
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 1.5 goals
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Celtic
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daizen Maeda40%
Maik Nawrocki33%
Nicolas-Gerrit KÞhn31%
Jota31%
Adam Idah29%
Kyogo Furuhashi28%
Reo Hatate21%
Arne Engels20%
Callum McGregor18%
Luke McCowan17%
Yang Hyun-Jun14%
Johnny Kenny12%
Anthony Ralston11%
Alistair Johnston10%
Liam Scales9%
Jeffrey Schlupp7%
Paulo Bernardo6%
James Forrest4%
Auston Trusty3%
Cameron Carter-Vickers3%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Luis Palma0%
Greg Taylor0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Ãlex Valle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Greg Taylor17%
Nicolas-Gerrit KÞhn14%
Johnny Kenny12%
Alistair Johnston12%
Daizen Maeda9%
Paulo Bernardo8%
Callum McGregor7%
Reo Hatate6%
Auston Trusty6%
Liam Scales6%
Ãlex Valle6%
Anthony Ralston5%
Arne Engels5%
Yang Hyun-Jun3%
Cameron Carter-Vickers3%
Kasper Schmeichel2%
Adam Idah2%
Jota0%
James Forrest0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Luis Palma0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Luke McCowan0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Maik Nawrocki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ãlex Valle25%
Alistair Johnston24%
James Forrest22%
Greg Taylor22%
Nicolas-Gerrit KÞhn21%
Daizen Maeda19%
Arne Engels18%
Anthony Ralston16%
Jota15%
Reo Hatate13%
Johnny Kenny12%
Luke McCowan11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Yang Hyun-Jun10%
Liam Scales9%
Paulo Bernardo8%
Callum McGregor7%
Jeffrey Schlupp7%
Auston Trusty3%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Luis Palma0%
Adam Idah0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Maik Nawrocki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyogo Furuhashi31%
Adam Idah29%
Arne Engels23%
Daizen Maeda21%
Reo Hatate19%
Jota15%
Nicolas-Gerrit KÞhn14%
Johnny Kenny12%
Luis Palma10%
Luke McCowan6%
James Forrest4%
Yang Hyun-Jun3%
Auston Trusty3%
Liam Scales3%
Paulo Bernardo3%
Callum McGregor2%
Anthony Ralston0%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Greg Taylor0%
Alistair Johnston0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Maik Nawrocki0%
Ãlex Valle0%
Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruce Anderson33%
Marley Watkins15%
Matthew Kennedy14%
Fraser Murray12%
Bobby Wales10%
Danny Armstrong9%
David Watson8%
Kyle Vassell8%
Liam Polworth7%
Joe Wright7%
Innes Cameron5%
Liam Donnelly4%
Bradley Lyons3%
Robbie Deas3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oliver Bainbridge29%
Danny Armstrong26%
Kyle Magennis25%
Joe Wright23%
Liam Donnelly22%
Matthew Kennedy19%
Bradley Lyons15%
Robbie Deas15%
Corrie Ndaba14%
Fraser Murray12%
Liam Polworth11%
David Watson11%
Marley Watkins9%
Bobby Wales7%
Lewis Mayo5%
Kieran O'Hara5%
Kyle Vassell4%
Bruce Anderson3%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Innes Cameron0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danny Armstrong23%
Joe Wright10%
Gary Mackay-Steven9%
Liam Donnelly7%
Bobby Wales7%
Fraser Murray6%
Matthew Kennedy5%
Innes Cameron5%
Kyle Vassell4%
Bruce Anderson3%
Marley Watkins3%
Bradley Lyons3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
David Watson3%
Lewis Mayo3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Robbie Deas0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruce Anderson13%
Kyle Vassell12%
Bobby Wales10%
Matthew Kennedy10%
Fraser Murray9%
Bradley Lyons9%
Danny Armstrong6%
Stuart Findlay5%
Joe Wright3%
Marley Watkins3%
Corrie Ndaba3%
David Watson3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Jack Burroughs0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Robby McCrorie0%
Innes Cameron0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Calvin Ramsay0%
Oliver Bainbridge0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Celtic's squad is €110m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€116m vs €7m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Celtic's attack is €53m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€56m vs €3m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Celtic's midfield is €18m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€20m vs €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Celtic's defence is €38m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€41m vs €3m).
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →