This opponent (Motherwell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.50
1.27
1.60
1.47
1.40
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.60
1.33
2.67
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (25)
1.44
1.28
1.25
1.33
1.62
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.3%
Under 1.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
68.4%
@ 1.26-6.3%
Under 2.5
31.6%
@ 3.71+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.9%
Under 3.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.7%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
1-1 ✓
6.5%
4-1
5.5%
Celtic goals ↓
Motherwell goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.5%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
7.7%
6.5%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
2
12%
8.3%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
3
11%
7.8%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
4
7.8%
5.5%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Celtic goals (down), columns = Motherwell goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.61
Partick
2.50
Rangers
2.42
Aberdeen
1.50
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Motherwell
1.32
Livingston
1.21
ST Mirren
1.21
ST Johnstone
1.13
Kilmarnock
1.05
Ross County
0.93
Dundee Utd
0.82
Queen's Park
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.00
Celtic is 1.29 points better than Motherwell in terms of average points per game (2.61 vs 1.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Partick
3.17
Celtic
3.00
Rangers
2.45
Heart Of Midlothian
1.66
Hibernian
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.47
Motherwell
1.39
ST Mirren
1.13
ST Johnstone
1.08
Dundee Utd
1.05
Ross County
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.97
Livingston
0.95
Ayr Utd
0.00
Celtic is 1.61 goals better than Motherwell in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.89
Rangers
0.97
Partick
1.00
Motherwell
1.34
Heart Of Midlothian
1.50
Hibernian
1.55
ST Johnstone
1.55
Ross County
1.57
Livingston
1.58
Aberdeen
1.58
ST Mirren
1.61
Kilmarnock
1.63
Dundee Utd
1.84
Queen's Park
4.00
Ayr Utd
4.00
Celtic is 0.45 goals better than Motherwell in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.34).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Celtic
For 5.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 6.5 · Total 15.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Motherwell
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Celtic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.4
10.1
1.0
1.0
1.0
18.1
17.3
19.1
vs Stronger (2)
8.5
8.0
9.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
13.5
13.0
14.0
vs Similar (9)
8.8
10.0
7.7
2.3
2.6
2.0
17.3
18.0
16.7
vs Weaker (39)
12.5
12.7
12.2
0.6
0.6
0.7
19.5
17.7
22.2
% over line
50%
50%
50%
12%
12%
12%
33%
30%
38%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
88%
88%
88%
67%
70%
62%
This opponent (Motherwell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
9.9
11.9
1.1
0.9
1.3
25.4
25.7
25.2
vs Stronger (9)
13.8
10.5
17.0
1.7
1.8
1.5
25.8
28.5
23.0
vs Similar (39)
10.1
9.6
10.4
0.9
0.7
1.2
25.3
24.6
25.9
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
-
12.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
-
-
-
% over line
53%
43%
60%
16%
12%
19%
88%
71%
100%
% under line
47%
57%
40%
84%
88%
81%
12%
29%
0%
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.6
ST Mirren
11.1
Dundee Utd
10.7
Motherwell
10.7
Rangers
10.7
Ross County
10.4
Aberdeen
10.0
ST Johnstone
10.0
Hibernian
9.9
Heart Of Midlothian
9.9
Partick
9.8
Kilmarnock
9.8
Livingston
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Rangers
4.3
Hibernian
4.2
Aberdeen
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Livingston
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Ross County
3.9
ST Johnstone
3.8
Dundee Utd
3.8
ST Mirren
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Partick
3.2
Celtic
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.7
Aberdeen
26.6
Livingston
25.1
Hibernian
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.1
Ross County
24.1
ST Johnstone
24.0
Kilmarnock
23.9
ST Mirren
23.0
Dundee Utd
22.7
Rangers
21.4
Celtic
20.7
Partick
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
71.8%
Under 9.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
44.9%
Under 3.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
59.0%
Under 21.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Celtic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.47
1.47
0.40
1.00
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (24)
1.42
0.42
1.67
0.42
1.17
0.42
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.60
0.47
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.48
0.67
0.42
0.54
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Celtic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Celtic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.67
1.40
0.53
1.47
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (5)
0.80
1.60
0.67
1.33
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.58
0.38
1.58
0.33
1.58
0.42
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.93
0.67
1.13
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.60
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.80
0.58
0.92
1.08
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Celtic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
80.3%
1.09
-
-
-
-
-
-6.4%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 9.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Celtic
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kyogo Furuhashi50%
Jota35%
Hyun-gyu Oh31%
Giorgos Giakoumakis24%
Stephen Welsh20%
Daizen Maeda20%
Liel Abada18%
Sead Hakšabanović12%
David Turnbull12%
Callum McGregor12%
Moritz Jenz12%
James Forrest11%
Reo Hatate11%
Carl Starfelt10%
Aaron Mooy9%
Greg Taylor8%
Alistair Johnston7%
Josip Juranović6%
Alexandro Bernabei6%
Matt O'Riley5%
Anthony Ralston0%
Oliver Abildgaard0%
James McCarthy0%
Joe Hart0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Rocco Vata0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stephen Welsh40%
Moritz Jenz29%
Cameron Carter-Vickers15%
Anthony Ralston12%
Hyun-gyu Oh12%
Alexandro Bernabei12%
Matt O'Riley11%
Carl Starfelt10%
Daizen Maeda10%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Callum McGregor9%
Greg Taylor8%
Giorgos Giakoumakis8%
Alistair Johnston7%
Josip Juranović6%
Aaron Mooy6%
Liel Abada5%
Sead Hakšabanović3%
David Turnbull3%
Jota3%
Reo Hatate3%
James Forrest0%
Oliver Abildgaard0%
James McCarthy0%
Joe Hart0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Rocco Vata0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jota24%
Aaron Mooy24%
Matt O'Riley23%
Alexandro Bernabei19%
Reo Hatate18%
David Turnbull15%
Liel Abada13%
Greg Taylor11%
James Forrest11%
Daizen Maeda10%
Tomoki Iwata8%
Kyogo Furuhashi7%
Alistair Johnston7%
Anthony Ralston6%
Josip Juranović6%
Sead Hakšabanović6%
Giorgos Giakoumakis4%
Carl Starfelt3%
Callum McGregor3%
Oliver Abildgaard0%
James McCarthy0%
Joe Hart0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Hyun-gyu Oh0%
Stephen Welsh0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Rocco Vata0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Giorgos Giakoumakis36%
Kyogo Furuhashi31%
Jota30%
Hyun-gyu Oh19%
Matt O'Riley16%
Reo Hatate16%
Liel Abada15%
James Forrest11%
Daizen Maeda10%
Josip Juranović6%
Sead Hakšabanović6%
Callum McGregor3%
Aaron Mooy3%
Anthony Ralston0%
Oliver Abildgaard0%
James McCarthy0%
Joe Hart0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Greg Taylor0%
David Turnbull0%
Carl Starfelt0%
Stephen Welsh0%
Alistair Johnston0%
Alexandro Bernabei0%
Moritz Jenz0%
Rocco Vata0%
Motherwell
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin van Veen53%
Stuart McKinstry19%
Max Johnston18%
Blair Spittal17%
Louis Moult14%
Callum Slattery14%
Jonathan Obika11%
Joseph Efford11%
Ross Tierney11%
Mikael Mandron10%
Bevis Mugabi8%
Sondre Solholm Johansen5%
Sean Goss3%
Matt Penney0%
Shane Blaney0%
Josh Morris0%
Riku Danzaki0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Liam Kelly0%
Ricki Lamie0%
Paul McGinn0%
Harrison Paton0%
Calum Butcher0%
Connor Shields0%
Jack Aitchison0%
Barry Maguire0%
Dean Cornelius0%
James Furlong0%
Dan Casey0%
Oliver Crankshaw0%
Lennon Miller0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Callum Slattery45%
Dan Casey42%
Jonathan Obika33%
Josh Morris33%
Matt Penney31%
Louis Moult29%
Sean Goss26%
Ricki Lamie25%
Oliver Crankshaw25%
Lennon Miller25%
James Furlong19%
Stephen O'Donnell19%
Calum Butcher15%
Stuart McKinstry14%
Harrison Paton14%
Kevin van Veen13%
Shane Blaney12%
Joseph Efford11%
Paul McGinn11%
Jack Aitchison10%
Barry Maguire10%
Blair Spittal6%
Sondre Solholm Johansen5%
Liam Kelly5%
Connor Shields5%
Dean Cornelius3%
Mikael Mandron0%
Bevis Mugabi0%
Riku Danzaki0%
Ross Tierney0%
Max Johnston0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Blair Spittal19%
James Furlong19%
Max Johnston18%
Joseph Efford11%
Sean Goss11%
Connor Shields11%
Mikael Mandron10%
Callum Slattery7%
Matt Penney6%
Kevin van Veen5%
Sondre Solholm Johansen5%
Stuart McKinstry5%
Liam Kelly3%
Bevis Mugabi0%
Louis Moult0%
Shane Blaney0%
Jonathan Obika0%
Josh Morris0%
Riku Danzaki0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Ricki Lamie0%
Paul McGinn0%
Harrison Paton0%
Calum Butcher0%
Jack Aitchison0%
Barry Maguire0%
Dean Cornelius0%
Ross Tierney0%
Dan Casey0%
Oliver Crankshaw0%
Lennon Miller0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin van Veen37%
Jonathan Obika11%
Connor Shields11%
Stuart McKinstry5%
Blair Spittal3%
Sean Goss3%
Mikael Mandron0%
Bevis Mugabi0%
Callum Slattery0%
Matt Penney0%
Louis Moult0%
Shane Blaney0%
Josh Morris0%
Joseph Efford0%
Riku Danzaki0%
Sondre Solholm Johansen0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Liam Kelly0%
Ricki Lamie0%
Paul McGinn0%
Harrison Paton0%
Calum Butcher0%
Jack Aitchison0%
Barry Maguire0%
Dean Cornelius0%
James Furlong0%
Ross Tierney0%
Dan Casey0%
Oliver Crankshaw0%
Max Johnston0%
Lennon Miller0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Celtic's squad is €101m more valuable than Motherwell's (€116m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Celtic's attack is €46m more valuable than Motherwell's (€56m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
Celtic's midfield is €18m more valuable than Motherwell's (€20m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Celtic's defence is €36m more valuable than Motherwell's (€41m vs €5m).
Scotland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →