Celtic vs Rangers Result & Analysis

The encounter between Celtic and Rangers is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 31% and 41% respectively, while a draw is 29%. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly high-scoring match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.8% chance. Celtic, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, whereas Rangers, on the road, average 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 90.1%, Over 8.5 corners at 83.2%, Under 23.5 fouls at 80.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 79.0%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.7% (hit), Under 3.5 at 74.2% (hit), Over 9.5 corners at 74.1%, and Over 1.5 at 74.0% (hit). Both sides have been coming off wins, with Celtic’s last match a 2-1 win over Falkirk and Rangers’ a 1-0 win over Aberdeen. The model’s favourite result remains an away victory.

The win extends Celtic’s run, with a 2-1 home triumph that overturned the pre-match favourite, Rangers, who had a 41% chance of victory. The model’s call was wrong. The match saw the model’s 90.1% Under 25.5 fouls miss, the 83.2% Over 8.5 corners miss, the 80.8% Under 23.5 fouls miss, the 79.0% Under 5.5 cards miss, the 75.7% Over 2.5 cards hit, the 74.2% Under 3.5 hit, the 74.1% Over 9.5 corners miss, and the 74.0% Over 1.5 hit. Celtic’s 1.67 goals scored and conceded at home and Rangers’ 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded away framed the encounter, but the outcome favored the home side.