The model favours a Celtic victory, with a 61% chance of a home win, 22% for a draw and 16% for a Rangers win. The expected total goals sit at 3.1, but the most likely total is two goals, a 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.6% chance. Celtic’s home form shows an average of 2.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded against similar opposition, while Rangers, on the road, average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Under 6.5 (96.4%), Home +2 handicap (94.1%), Home over 0.5 goals (87.3%) and Home under 3.5 goals (84.5%). The remaining picks are Away under 2.5 goals (92.2% miss) and Under 5.5 (91.1% miss). Celtic entered the match on a winning streak after a 2-1 win over Falkirk, while Rangers returned from a 0-1 defeat to FK Jablonec.
Results analysis
The final was a 3-3 draw, a shock that left the pre-match favourite - a home win for Celtic with a 61% probability - wrong. The model’s call was incorrect. The match saw a 98.7% chance of Under 7.5 goals hit, and 98.2% for Away under 3.5 goals also hit. Under 6.5 (96.4%) and Home +2 handicap (94.1%) were successful, as was Home over 0.5 goals (87.3%) and Home under 3.5 goals (84.5%). The model’s picks for Away under 2.5 goals (92.2%) and Under 5.5 (91.1%) missed. Celtic’s recent form, coming off a win, and Rangers’ recent form, coming off a defeat, set the stage for a high-scoring, evenly matched encounter.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Celtic win✗ Miss
61.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rangers win✗ Miss
16.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Celtic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.87
0.70
3.24
0.65
2.38
0.77
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.43
1.43
2.25
0.75
0.33
2.33
vs Weaker (23)
3.30
0.48
3.54
0.62
3.00
0.30
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rangers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
0.93
2.56
0.81
1.43
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.12
1.88
0.67
2.33
1.40
1.60
vs Weaker (22)
2.36
0.59
3.00
0.46
1.44
0.78
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.8%
Under 2.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.4%
Under 3.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.8%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
Celtic goals ↓
Rangers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
3.7%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
1
8.8%
11%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
7.0%
6.9%
3.4%
1.1%
0.3%
4
3.6%
3.5%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Celtic goals (down), columns = Rangers goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Falkirk
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
ST Johnstone
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Airdrie United
1.80
Partick
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Buckie Thistle
0.00
Celtic and Rangers are level in average points per game (both 2.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Queen's Park
3.20
Airdrie United
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Rangers
2.50
Falkirk
2.50
Clyde
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Livingston
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Buckie Thistle
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Morton
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Inverness CT
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Kilmarnock
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Celtic is 1.75 goals better than Rangers in terms of goals scored per game (4.25 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Falkirk
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Dundee Utd
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
Ayr Utd
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Stirling
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Peterhead
2.75
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
Edinburgh City
4.00
East Kilbride
4.00
Buckie Thistle
4.25
Celtic is 0.50 goals worse than Rangers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Celtic
For 9.1 · Against 3.8 · Total 12.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 9.4 · Total 18.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rangers
For 6.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 8.8 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Celtic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.9
14.0
11.8
3.3
3.2
3.4
19.8
19.7
19.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
11.1
11.7
10.4
5.1
5.8
4.2
22.5
22.8
22.0
vs Weaker (39)
13.4
14.8
12.2
2.8
2.4
3.2
19.0
18.6
19.3
% over line
79%
83%
75%
44%
38%
50%
30%
26%
33%
% under line
21%
17%
25%
56%
62%
50%
70%
74%
67%
This opponent (Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rangers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.5
10.9
3.6
3.2
4.1
22.0
20.4
23.6
vs Stronger (2)
16.0
14.0
18.0
3.5
2.0
5.0
16.5
12.0
21.0
vs Similar (10)
9.1
8.0
9.8
4.5
3.0
5.5
24.8
22.0
26.4
vs Weaker (38)
11.4
11.9
10.8
3.4
3.2
3.5
21.6
20.6
22.9
% over line
64%
78%
50%
58%
54%
62%
53%
35%
73%
% under line
36%
22%
50%
42%
46%
38%
47%
65%
27%
This opponent (Celtic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.9
Dumbarton
11.5
Ross County
11.4
Heart Of Midlothian
11.2
Rangers
11.1
Kilmarnock
11.1
Dundee Utd
11.0
Hibernian
11.0
Arbroath
11.0
Kelty Hearts
10.9
Dundee
10.9
Morton
10.8
Falkirk
10.8
Dunfermline
10.8
Motherwell
10.7
Aberdeen
10.6
Stirling
10.6
ST Mirren
10.5
Airdrie United
10.3
Montrose
10.1
ST Johnstone
10.1
Inverness CT
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Stenhousemuir
10.0
Edinburgh City
10.0
Partick
9.9
Cove Rangers
9.9
Forfar
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.8
Stranraer
9.8
Livingston
9.5
Spartans
9.4
East Fife
9.3
Clyde
9.3
Elgin
8.8
Peterhead
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.2
Aberdeen
4.6
Morton
4.6
Annan Athletic
4.3
Dundee
4.3
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
Dundee Utd
4.3
Rangers
4.3
Motherwell
4.3
ST Johnstone
4.2
Edinburgh City
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.1
Elgin
4.1
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Hibernian
4.1
Stirling
4.1
Falkirk
4.0
Montrose
4.0
Dumbarton
3.9
ST Mirren
3.9
Stranraer
3.9
Livingston
3.9
Forfar
3.8
East Fife
3.8
Ross County
3.8
Clyde
3.8
Dunfermline
3.8
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Partick
3.6
Celtic
3.6
Arbroath
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Spartans
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.0
Cove Rangers
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.1
Elgin
24.9
Forfar
24.8
Aberdeen
24.5
Livingston
23.9
Morton
22.8
Stenhousemuir
22.7
East Fife
22.6
Kilmarnock
22.3
Edinburgh City
22.3
ST Johnstone
22.2
Motherwell
22.1
Clyde
22.0
Rangers
21.9
Heart Of Midlothian
21.8
Spartans
21.8
ST Mirren
21.7
Ross County
21.7
Falkirk
21.6
Stirling
21.3
Dundee Utd
21.2
Annan Athletic
21.2
Kelty Hearts
21.2
Hibernian
20.9
Montrose
20.9
Arbroath
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Dundee
20.1
Stranraer
19.9
Dumbarton
19.7
Partick
19.6
Dunfermline
19.5
Inverness CT
19.5
Celtic
19.5
Airdrie United
19.4
Cove Rangers
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
67.4%
Under 9.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.9%
Under 3.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.0%
Under 21.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Celtic or Draw✓ Hit
83.8%
Avg Implied -
61%
22%
16%
covers Celtic + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Celtic or Rangers✗ Miss
77.6%
Avg Implied -
61%
22%
16%
covers Celtic + Rangers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rangers✓ Hit
38.7%
Avg Implied -
61%
22%
16%
covers Draw + Rangers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Celtic over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.3%
Under
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.2%
Under
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
34.1%
Under
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.5%
Under
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.7%
Under
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
25.9%
Under
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
7.8%
Under
92.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Celtic, so a minus line means Celtic give that many goals of a start and Rangers receive them. At -1, Celtic must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Celtic win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Celtic)Actual: Rangers
Celtic -2
19.6%
Draw -2
18.9%
Rangers +2
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Celtic)Actual: Rangers
Celtic -1
38.6%
Draw -1
22.8%
Rangers +1
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Celtic)Actual: Celtic
Celtic +1
83.8%
Draw +1
10.4%
Rangers -1
5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Celtic)Actual: Celtic
Celtic +2
94.1%
Draw +2
4.3%
Rangers -2
1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Celtic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.47
1.59
0.47
1.08
0.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.14
1.50
0.75
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (23)
1.48
0.26
1.62
0.38
1.30
0.10
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rangers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.94
0.56
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.82
0.41
1.08
0.46
0.44
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Celtic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Celtic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.23
1.65
0.18
1.31
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.29
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (23)
1.83
0.22
1.92
0.23
1.70
0.20
Clean sheet %
83% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rangers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.37
1.62
0.25
0.86
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.88
0.33
1.33
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (22)
1.55
0.18
1.92
0.00
1.00
0.44
Clean sheet %
70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Celtic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Celtic
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daizen Maeda40%
Maik Nawrocki33%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn31%
Jota31%
Adam Idah29%
Kyogo Furuhashi28%
Reo Hatate21%
Arne Engels20%
Callum McGregor18%
Luke McCowan17%
Yang Hyun-Jun14%
Johnny Kenny12%
Anthony Ralston11%
Alistair Johnston10%
Liam Scales9%
Jeffrey Schlupp7%
Paulo Bernardo6%
James Forrest4%
Auston Trusty3%
Cameron Carter-Vickers3%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Luis Palma0%
Greg Taylor0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Álex Valle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Greg Taylor17%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn14%
Johnny Kenny12%
Alistair Johnston12%
Daizen Maeda9%
Paulo Bernardo8%
Callum McGregor7%
Reo Hatate6%
Auston Trusty6%
Liam Scales6%
Álex Valle6%
Anthony Ralston5%
Arne Engels5%
Yang Hyun-Jun3%
Cameron Carter-Vickers3%
Kasper Schmeichel2%
Adam Idah2%
Jota0%
James Forrest0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Luis Palma0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Luke McCowan0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Maik Nawrocki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Álex Valle25%
Alistair Johnston24%
James Forrest22%
Greg Taylor22%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn21%
Daizen Maeda19%
Arne Engels18%
Anthony Ralston16%
Jota15%
Reo Hatate13%
Johnny Kenny12%
Luke McCowan11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Yang Hyun-Jun10%
Liam Scales9%
Paulo Bernardo8%
Callum McGregor7%
Jeffrey Schlupp7%
Auston Trusty3%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Luis Palma0%
Adam Idah0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Maik Nawrocki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyogo Furuhashi31%
Adam Idah29%
Arne Engels23%
Daizen Maeda21%
Reo Hatate19%
Jota15%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn14%
Johnny Kenny12%
Luis Palma10%
Luke McCowan6%
James Forrest4%
Yang Hyun-Jun3%
Auston Trusty3%
Liam Scales3%
Paulo Bernardo3%
Callum McGregor2%
Anthony Ralston0%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Greg Taylor0%
Alistair Johnston0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Maik Nawrocki0%
Álex Valle0%
Rangers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyriel Dessers36%
Václav Černý33%
Hamza Igamane28%
Tom Lawrence26%
Danilo21%
Rabbi Matondo17%
Nicolas Raskin11%
Mohammed Diomande11%
Ianis Hagi11%
James Tavernier9%
Nedim Bajrami8%
Robin Pröpper5%
Ross McCausland5%
Leon Balogun4%
John Souttar3%
Jefté2%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Jack Butland0%
Kieran Dowell0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Liam Kelly0%
Neraysho Kasanwirjo0%
Connor Barron0%
Leon King0%
Robbie Fraser0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Clinton Nsiala0%
Bailey Rice0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Findlay Curtis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robin Pröpper24%
Mohammed Diomande24%
Nicolas Raskin22%
Dujon Sterling21%
Ianis Hagi21%
Jefté20%
Ross McCausland20%
Bailey Rice20%
Tom Lawrence17%
James Tavernier13%
John Souttar12%
Leon Balogun11%
Cyriel Dessers11%
Hamza Igamane9%
Václav Černý9%
Rıdvan Yılmaz8%
Clinton Nsiala8%
Jack Butland8%
Kieran Dowell8%
Neraysho Kasanwirjo8%
Nedim Bajrami5%
Connor Barron5%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Danilo0%
Liam Kelly0%
Leon King0%
Robbie Fraser0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zak Lovelace33%
Findlay Curtis25%
James Tavernier24%
Nicolas Raskin22%
Mohammed Diomande17%
Rabbi Matondo17%
Danilo17%
Ianis Hagi14%
Václav Černý13%
Jefté9%
Tom Lawrence9%
Cyriel Dessers9%
Rıdvan Yılmaz8%
Clinton Nsiala8%
Ross McCausland5%
Hamza Igamane5%
Leon Balogun4%
Dujon Sterling4%
Jack Butland3%
Nedim Bajrami3%
Connor Barron3%
Kieran Dowell0%
Robin Pröpper0%
John Souttar0%
Liam Kelly0%
Neraysho Kasanwirjo0%
Leon King0%
Robbie Fraser0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Bailey Rice0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Václav Černý31%
Hamza Igamane26%
Cyriel Dessers23%
Rabbi Matondo17%
Danilo17%
Ianis Hagi14%
James Tavernier11%
Nicolas Raskin9%
Tom Lawrence9%
Rıdvan Yılmaz8%
Nedim Bajrami8%
Mohammed Diomande7%
Ross McCausland5%
Leon Balogun4%
Dujon Sterling4%
Robin Pröpper3%
Jack Butland0%
Kieran Dowell0%
John Souttar0%
Liam Kelly0%
Neraysho Kasanwirjo0%
Connor Barron0%
Leon King0%
Jefté0%
Robbie Fraser0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Clinton Nsiala0%
Bailey Rice0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Celtic's squad is €20m less valuable than Rangers's (€116m vs €136m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Celtic's attack is €18m more valuable than Rangers's (€56m vs €38m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Celtic's midfield is €25m less valuable than Rangers's (€20m vs €44m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Celtic's defence is €13m less valuable than Rangers's (€41m vs €54m).
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Ross County
ST Johnstone
Livingston
Ayr Utd
Partick