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Celtic vs Rangers Result & Analysis

Date: 02/11/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Celtic
Celtic
Vs
47%
26%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rangers
Rangers
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Celtic are favoured to win, with the model picking a home victory and assigning a 47% chance to that outcome, 26% for a draw and 27% for Rangers. The expected total is 2.9 goals, but the most likely total is 2, with a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, at 12.3%. Celtic’s home form shows an average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.5 conceded against similar opposition, while Rangers on the road average 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Under 6.5 (96.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.2%), Under 5.5 (92.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (90.7%), Home +2 handicap (88.3%), Away under 2.5 goals (86.9%) and Under 5.5 cards (86.0%). All percentages are expressed as percentages.

Results analysis

The 1-1 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Celtic, who had been tipped to win with a 47% probability. The model’s call was wrong, as the match finished a stalemate. Celtic, riding a win, had a 47% chance of triumph, while Rangers were given 27% and a draw 26%. The model’s selection of “Home win” was therefore missed. Every suggested pick was examined: Under 7.5 (98.9%) hit, Under 6.5 (96.9%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (96.2%) hit, Under 5.5 (92.2%) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (90.7%) hit, Home +2 handicap (88.3%) hit, Away under 2.5 goals (86.9%) hit, and Under 5.5 cards (86.0%) missed. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the draw, leaving the model’s predictions largely accurate except for the favourite’s win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Celtic win✗ Miss
46.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rangers win✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CelticCeltic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W40W11D00D02L32W02L21W13L40WA·KIL14/09A·PAR21/09A·FK 24/09H·HIB27/09H·SC 02/10H·MOT05/10A·DUN19/10H·STU23/10A·HEA26/10H·FAL29/10← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.170.832.200.802.130.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.801.401.002.500.670.67
vs Weaker (25)2.440.722.380.542.500.92
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RangersRangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W01L21W12L11D22D03L31W10WH·HEA13/09H·HIB20/09H·GEN25/09A·LIV28/09A·STU02/10A·FAL05/10H·DUN18/10A·BRA23/10H·KIL26/10A·HIB29/10← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.401.621.001.071.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.831.501.000.710.602.60
vs Weaker (18)1.721.332.111.221.331.44
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.4%
Under 1.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.4%
Under 2.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.4%
Celtic goals ↓
Rangers goals →
01234
06.4%5.4%4.1%1.7%0.5%
17.8%12%6.9%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.5%5.9%2.5%0.8%
34.3%5.4%3.3%1.4%0.4%
41.8%2.3%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Celtic goals (down), columns = Rangers goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Ayr Utd
2.25
Livingston
2.25
Dundee Utd
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Queen's Park
1.80
ST Johnstone
1.80
Airdrie United
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
Partick
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Kilmarnock
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Elgin
0.25
Dumbarton
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Celtic and Rangers are level in average points per game (both 2.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Queen's Park
3.20
Airdrie United
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Falkirk
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ayr Utd
2.25
Clyde
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Dundee Utd
2.00
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Livingston
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Dunfermline
1.00
Dumbarton
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Morton
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Inverness CT
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Brechin
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Celtic is 1.75 goals better than Rangers in terms of goals scored per game (4.25 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
ST Mirren
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Falkirk
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Ayr Utd
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Partick
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Morton
1.50
Celtic
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Peterhead
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
Edinburgh City
4.00
East Kilbride
4.00
Celtic is 0.50 goals worse than Rangers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

CelticCeltic

For 7.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 11.3

🚩 Corners

14063959212210757248761891411141012912139H·FALA·HEAH·STUA·DUNH·MOTH·SC H·HIBA·FK A·KILA·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

5012141222221212211323534233425H·FALA·HEAH·STUA·DUNH·MOTH·SC H·HIBA·FK A·PARA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 11.0 · Total 25.8

⚠️ Fouls

3401412101116162310171215916110121010171726213233292417222034H·FALA·HEAH·STUA·DUNH·MOTH·SC H·HIBA·FK A·KILA·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RangersRangers

For 6.7 · Against 3.1 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

13045925372677384429281911891310126119A·HIBH·KILA·BRAH·DUNA·FALA·STUA·LIVH·GENH·HEAH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

5032122144112142332215334535553A·HIBH·KILA·BRAH·DUNA·FALA·STUA·LIVH·GENH·HIBH·HEA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.6 · Total 27.6

⚠️ Fouls

3401614913101012141615132011181316139171730222026313329292234A·HIBH·KILA·BRAH·DUNA·FALA·STUA·LIVH·GENH·HEAH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CelticCeltic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.411.711.02.52.22.720.119.420.9
vs Stronger (2)10.514.07.00.00.00.09.58.011.0
vs Similar (8)11.012.510.42.42.02.624.723.525.2
vs Weaker (40)11.511.511.52.62.32.919.819.620.1
% over line69%73%65%28%19%39%38%32%45%
% under line31%27%35%72%81%61%62%68%55%
This opponent (Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RangersRangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.010.811.23.63.33.922.523.022.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)10.69.911.53.74.52.824.125.322.8
vs Weaker (32)11.211.411.13.52.54.421.521.221.8
% over line64%62%67%52%54%50%62%67%58%
% under line36%38%33%48%46%50%38%33%42%
This opponent (Celtic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.6
Ross County
11.4
Hibernian
11.4
Falkirk
11.2
Rangers
11.2
Morton
11.0
Dumbarton
11.0
Aberdeen
11.0
Dundee Utd
10.8
Motherwell
10.7
ST Mirren
10.5
East Kilbride
10.5
Kilmarnock
10.4
Stirling
10.4
Airdrie United
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.4
Dundee
10.3
Partick
10.2
Dunfermline
10.1
Arbroath
10.1
Elgin
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Kelty Hearts
9.8
Stranraer
9.7
East Fife
9.7
Clyde
9.6
Forfar
9.4
Cove Rangers
9.3
Livingston
9.2
Stenhousemuir
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.1
Spartans
9.0
Inverness CT
9.0
Montrose
9.0
Peterhead
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.5
Edinburgh City
5.3
Peterhead
5.3
Aberdeen
5.1
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Elgin
5.0
Morton
5.0
Forfar
4.9
Ayr Utd
4.8
Hibernian
4.6
Motherwell
4.5
ST Mirren
4.5
Stirling
4.4
Dundee Utd
4.3
Partick
4.3
East Fife
4.3
Stranraer
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Spartans
4.2
Livingston
4.1
Kilmarnock
4.1
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Heart Of Midlothian
4.0
Falkirk
4.0
ST Johnstone
4.0
Rangers
3.9
Montrose
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Dumbarton
3.8
Dundee
3.7
Dunfermline
3.7
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Inverness CT
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
Ross County
3.4
Celtic
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.1
Raith Rovers
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
27.4
Peterhead
25.3
Forfar
25.1
Livingston
24.8
Motherwell
24.6
Edinburgh City
24.4
Elgin
24.1
East Fife
23.9
Aberdeen
23.6
Kilmarnock
23.1
Stenhousemuir
22.8
Clyde
22.7
Falkirk
22.7
Heart Of Midlothian
22.5
Morton
22.3
ST Johnstone
22.2
Rangers
22.1
Inverness CT
21.9
Stirling
21.8
Spartans
21.6
Dundee Utd
21.4
Montrose
21.3
ST Mirren
21.3
Stranraer
21.3
Hibernian
21.2
Cove Rangers
20.8
Ross County
20.7
Dunfermline
20.7
Dundee
20.6
Annan Athletic
20.6
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.3
Partick
20.2
Kelty Hearts
20.1
Arbroath
20.0
Celtic
19.7
Dumbarton
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.4%
Under 9.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.9%
Under 3.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.8%
Under 21.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Celtic or Draw✓ Hit
73.0%
Avg Implied -
47%
26%
27%
covers Celtic + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Celtic or Rangers✗ Miss
73.9%
Avg Implied -
47%
26%
27%
covers Celtic + Rangers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rangers✓ Hit
53.1%
Avg Implied -
47%
26%
27%
covers Draw + Rangers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Celtic over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.7%
Under
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
50.6%
Under
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.2%
Under
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.3%
Under
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.4%
Under
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.1%
Under
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Celtic, so a minus line means Celtic give that many goals of a start and Rangers receive them. At -1, Celtic must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Celtic win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Celtic)Actual: Rangers
Celtic -2
11.0%
Draw -2
14.6%
Rangers +2
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Celtic)Actual: Rangers
Celtic -1
25.6%
Draw -1
21.3%
Rangers +1
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Celtic)Actual: Celtic
Celtic +1
73.0%
Draw +1
15.3%
Rangers -1
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Celtic)Actual: Celtic
Celtic +2
88.3%
Draw +2
7.9%
Rangers -2
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CelticCeltic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D00D01L11D02L01L11D20WA·KIL14/09A·PAR21/09A·FK 24/09H·HIB27/09H·SC 02/10H·MOT05/10A·DUN19/10H·STU23/10A·HEA26/10H·FAL29/10← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.470.930.471.070.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.000.800.001.500.000.33
vs Weaker (25)1.200.401.080.311.330.50
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RangersRangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D10W02L10W10W01L11D10WH·HEA13/09H·HIB20/09H·GEN25/09A·LIV28/09A·STU02/10A·FAL05/10H·DUN18/10A·BRA23/10H·KIL26/10A·HIB29/10← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.770.620.500.431.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.251.000.430.430.001.80
vs Weaker (18)0.720.610.780.560.670.67
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Celtic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CelticCeltic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W20W11D00D01L21W00D20W02L20WA·KIL14/09A·PAR21/09A·FK 24/09H·HIB27/09H·SC 02/10H·MOT05/10A·DUN19/10H·STU23/10A·HEA26/10H·FAL29/10← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.371.270.331.070.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.800.601.001.000.670.33
vs Weaker (25)1.240.321.310.231.170.42
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RangersRangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L11D10W01L12L02L20W00DH·HEA13/09H·HIB20/09H·GEN25/09A·LIV28/09A·STU02/10A·FAL05/10H·DUN18/10A·BRA23/10H·KIL26/10A·HIB29/10← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.631.000.500.640.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.500.570.290.600.80
vs Weaker (18)1.000.721.330.670.670.78
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Celtic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.596.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals90.7%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap88.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals86.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards86.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.582.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls82.1%--------
Home over 0.5 goals81.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals75.8%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap74.4%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away73.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners73.0%--------
Home or Draw73.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap73.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards73.0%-------✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals71.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Celtic
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Nygren36%
Callum Osmand33%
Kelechi Iheanacho30%
Daizen Maeda26%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain22%
Yang Hyun-Jun20%
Tomáš Čvančara18%
Johnny Kenny17%
Arne Engels15%
Kieran Tierney13%
Reo Hatate12%
Julián Araujo9%
Auston Trusty6%
Luke McCowan6%
Sebastian Tounekti5%
Marcelo Saracchi4%
Callum McGregor4%
James Forrest3%
Liam Scales2%
Tony Ralston0%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Alistair Johnston0%
Junior Adamu0%
Adam Idah0%
Paulo Bernardo0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Michel Ange Balikwisha0%
Dane Murray0%
Shin Yamada0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Colby Donovan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Liam Scales29%
Julián Araujo27%
Adam Idah25%
Callum McGregor22%
Alistair Johnston22%
Arne Engels20%
Reo Hatate20%
Tomáš Čvančara18%
Daizen Maeda17%
Cameron Carter-Vickers17%
Kelechi Iheanacho15%
Paulo Bernardo13%
Marcelo Saracchi13%
Colby Donovan13%
Tony Ralston13%
Auston Trusty12%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain11%
Kasper Schmeichel8%
Sebastian Tounekti8%
Benjamin Nygren8%
Kieran Tierney7%
Luke McCowan6%
Yang Hyun-Jun5%
James Forrest3%
Junior Adamu0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Michel Ange Balikwisha0%
Johnny Kenny0%
Dane Murray0%
Callum Osmand0%
Shin Yamada0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Osmand33%
Junior Adamu20%
Kieran Tierney20%
Daizen Maeda17%
Arne Engels15%
Colby Donovan13%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Alistair Johnston11%
Johnny Kenny11%
Tomáš Čvančara9%
Michel Ange Balikwisha9%
Marcelo Saracchi9%
Reo Hatate7%
Liam Scales6%
Callum McGregor6%
Sebastian Tounekti5%
James Forrest3%
Luke McCowan3%
Yang Hyun-Jun2%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Tony Ralston0%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Kelechi Iheanacho0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Auston Trusty0%
Julián Araujo0%
Adam Idah0%
Paulo Bernardo0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Dane Murray0%
Shin Yamada0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Johnny Kenny28%
Adam Idah25%
Benjamin Nygren20%
Junior Adamu20%
Tomáš Čvančara18%
Kelechi Iheanacho15%
Daizen Maeda15%
Shin Yamada11%
Luke McCowan9%
Sebastian Tounekti8%
Reo Hatate7%
Arne Engels2%
Yang Hyun-Jun2%
Liam Scales2%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Tony Ralston0%
Kieran Tierney0%
James Forrest0%
Callum McGregor0%
Marcelo Saracchi0%
Kasper Schmeichel0%
Cameron Carter-Vickers0%
Auston Trusty0%
Julián Araujo0%
Alistair Johnston0%
Paulo Bernardo0%
Viljami Sinisalo0%
Michel Ange Balikwisha0%
Dane Murray0%
Callum Osmand0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Colby Donovan0%
Rangers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Youssef Chermiti21%
James Tavernier20%
Mikey Moore17%
Danilo17%
Thelo Aasgaard16%
Emmanuel Fernandez16%
Bojan Miovski16%
Djeidi Gassama14%
Dujon Sterling13%
Tochi Chukwuani13%
Nicolas Raskin13%
Findlay Curtis12%
Andreas Skov Olsen11%
Lyall Cameron11%
Ryan Don Naderi11%
Derek Cornelius10%
Tuur Rommens10%
Nedim Bajrami7%
Mohammed Diomande5%
Oliver Antman4%
Max Aarons3%
Jayden Meghoma3%
Jack Butland0%
Kieran Dowell0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
John Souttar0%
Connor Barron0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Jefté0%
Clinton Nsiala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kieran Dowell40%
John Souttar29%
Max Aarons23%
Nasser Djiga22%
Derek Cornelius20%
Nicolas Raskin20%
Connor Barron18%
Cyriel Dessers17%
Djeidi Gassama16%
Mohammed Diomande15%
Dujon Sterling13%
Nedim Bajrami13%
Youssef Chermiti13%
Jayden Meghoma13%
Thelo Aasgaard12%
Andreas Skov Olsen11%
Lyall Cameron11%
James Tavernier11%
Tuur Rommens10%
Emmanuel Fernandez10%
Bojan Miovski8%
Mikey Moore7%
Findlay Curtis6%
Oliver Antman4%
Jack Butland2%
Danilo0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
Ryan Don Naderi0%
Jefté0%
Clinton Nsiala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andreas Skov Olsen33%
Tuur Rommens20%
Nicolas Raskin20%
Youssef Chermiti13%
Jayden Meghoma13%
Oliver Antman12%
Mohammed Diomande12%
Thelo Aasgaard12%
Ryan Don Naderi11%
Derek Cornelius10%
Djeidi Gassama10%
James Tavernier9%
Mikey Moore7%
Dujon Sterling7%
Nedim Bajrami7%
Joe Rothwell6%
Findlay Curtis6%
Danilo4%
Connor Barron3%
Bojan Miovski3%
Jack Butland0%
Max Aarons0%
Kieran Dowell0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
John Souttar0%
Lyall Cameron0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Jefté0%
Emmanuel Fernandez0%
Clinton Nsiala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Youssef Chermiti34%
Jefté33%
Ryan Don Naderi22%
Derek Cornelius20%
James Tavernier13%
Nicolas Raskin11%
Emmanuel Fernandez10%
Thelo Aasgaard9%
Djeidi Gassama8%
Nedim Bajrami7%
Mikey Moore5%
Bojan Miovski3%
Mohammed Diomande2%
Danilo0%
Jack Butland0%
Oliver Antman0%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Max Aarons0%
Kieran Dowell0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
John Souttar0%
Lyall Cameron0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
Connor Barron0%
Tuur Rommens0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Clinton Nsiala0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Celtic's squad is €20m less valuable than Rangers's (€116m vs €136m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Celtic's attack is €18m more valuable than Rangers's (€56m vs €38m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Celtic's midfield is €25m less valuable than Rangers's (€20m vs €44m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Celtic's defence is €13m less valuable than Rangers's (€41m vs €54m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
CEL wins
4
Draws
2
RAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Celtic vs Rangers · H/A from CEL
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25ARangers Vs CEL0-0
04/05/25ARangers Vs CEL1-1
16/03/25HCEL Vs Rangers2-3
02/01/25ARangers Vs CEL3-0
15/12/24HCEL Vs Rangers3-3
01/09/24HCEL Vs Rangers3-0
11/05/24HCEL Vs Rangers2-1
07/04/24ARangers Vs CEL3-3

CelticCeltic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/25HCEL Vs Falkirk4-0
26/10/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs CEL3-1
23/10/25HCEL Vs Sturm Graz2-1
19/10/25ADundee Vs CEL2-0
05/10/25HCEL Vs Motherwell3-2
02/10/25HCEL Vs SC Braga0-2
27/09/25HCEL Vs Hibernian0-0
24/09/25AFK Crvena Zvezda Vs CEL1-1
21/09/25APartick Vs CEL0-4
14/09/25AKilmarnock Vs CEL1-2

RangersRangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/25AHibernian Vs RAN0-1
26/10/25HRAN Vs Kilmarnock3-1
23/10/25ABrann Vs RAN3-0
18/10/25HRAN Vs Dundee Utd2-2
05/10/25AFalkirk Vs RAN1-1
02/10/25ASturm Graz Vs RAN2-1
28/09/25ALivingston Vs RAN1-2
25/09/25HRAN Vs Genk0-1
20/09/25HRAN Vs Hibernian2-0
13/09/25HRAN Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Celtic
Celtic
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.98
HomeDLWWW2.37
AwayWWDLL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%74%39%
AVG goals3.303.373.22
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %64%70%57%
Over 3.5 %44%44%43%
Scored2.362.672.00
Conceded0.940.701.22
BTTS48%41%57%
Clean Sheet44%56%30%
Corners11.3611.6811.00
Cards3.323.003.71
Rangers
Rangers
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW1.56
HomeLWLDW1.69
AwayWLDLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%33%
AVG goals3.162.773.58
Over 1.5 %90%85%96%
Over 2.5 %62%54%71%
Over 3.5 %42%35%50%
Scored1.781.811.75
Conceded1.380.961.83
BTTS60%38%83%
Clean Sheet22%38%4%
Corners11.0010.7611.21
Cards3.964.053.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3882
68%
2.2
7341+32
3.0
82%
68%
42%
10.6
61%
4.1
55%
21.8
37%
116
5620411.91.1
66%
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3880
63%
2.1
6734+33
2.7
71%
53%
29%
10.1
63%
4.7
63%
24.3
61%
22
12461.80.9
53%
3RangersRangers3872
53%
1.9
7643+33
3.1
82%
61%
37%
10.6
63%
4.2
58%
25.5
76%
136
3844542.01.1
58%
4MotherwellMotherwell3861
42%
1.6
5936+23
2.5
76%
39%
29%
8.1
32%
4.9
71%
26.3
79%
16
10151.60.9
58%
5HibernianHibernian3857
39%
1.5
5844+14
2.7
76%
55%
29%
10.6
68%
4.4
61%
23.2
66%
20
7851.51.2
47%
6FalkirkFalkirk3849
37%
1.3
5062-12
2.9
74%
58%
34%
9.6
53%
4.2
63%
25.3
76%
6
2131.31.6
51%
7Dundee UtdDundee Utd3845
26%
1.2
4960-11
2.9
89%
50%
34%
10.0
55%
4.2
61%
22.8
53%
11
4341.31.6
42%
8DundeeDundee3842
29%
1.1
4261-19
2.7
71%
58%
34%
9.5
61%
3.7
51%
22.9
55%
5
1221.11.6
44%
9AberdeenAberdeen3840
29%
1.1
4055-15
2.5
74%
34%
24%
10.0
58%
4.9
69%
26.4
95%
15
4471.11.4
48%
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
26%
1.1
5068-18
3.1
84%
66%
42%
9.7
53%
4.5
71%
25.0
74%
7
3231.31.8
42%
11ST MirrenST Mirren4038
22%
0.9
3256-24
2.2
68%
30%
15%
11.1
71%
3.3
38%
22.3
58%
8
1330.81.4
46%
12LivingstonLivingston3821
5%
0.6
4075-35
3.0
84%
63%
39%
10.4
58%
4.2
65%
25.2
71%
4
1111.12.0
45%
13PartickPartick45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
4
2020.80.8
50%
15ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
1
0000.00.5
50%
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

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