Celtic vs ST Mirren Result & Analysis

Celtic’s recent 2-1 victory over Falkirk fuels the model’s confidence that they will win again at home, a result the algorithm rates at 81%. The model sees Celtic’s average of 2.46 goals scored and only 0.31 conceded against weaker opponents as a decisive advantage, while ST Mirren’s away form shows only 0.67 goals scored and 2.67 conceded against stronger teams. The predicted outcome is a home win, with a 14% chance of a draw and a 5% chance of an away win. The expected total of 3.0 goals points to a moderately high-scoring match, yet the most likely total is 2 goals at a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 16% chance. The model’s suggested picks include an 81.1% chance of a home win, an 80.3% chance of over 1.5 goals, an 88.3% chance of under 5.5 cards, an 82.2% chance of over 8.5 corners, a 76.3% chance of under 4.5 cards, a 73.2% chance of under 25.5 fouls, a 74.1% chance of over 19.5 fouls (missed), and a 72.7% chance of over 9.5 corners (missed).

The Celtic side, riding a win streak, extended their momentum with a 2-0 triumph over St Mirren, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had an 81.1% probability and was right. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 5.5 cards hit at 88.3%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 82.2%, Home win hit at 81.1%, Over 1.5 hit at 80.3%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 76.3%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 73.2%. The only misses were Over 19.5 fouls at 74.1% and Over 9.5 corners at 72.7%. The final score of 2-0 matched the most likely 2-0 outcome, and Celtic’s victory was a clean confirmation of the model’s forecast.