This opponent (Virtus Entella) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Entella
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.03
2.07
0.64
0.94
1.38
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
1.00
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (25)
1.64
1.00
2.25
0.58
1.08
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cesena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.4%
Under 1.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.8%
Under 2.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.4%
Under 3.5
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.3%
No
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
12.5%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
6.6%
0-1 ✓
6.0%
3-1
4.8%
Cesena goals ↓
Virtus Entella goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
6.0%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
1
15%
13%
4.1%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
9.1%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
3
6.6%
4.8%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
4
2.6%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cesena goals (down), columns = Virtus Entella goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Spal
1.86
Frosinone
1.76
Hellas Verona
1.76
Benevento
1.57
Perugia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Carpi
1.48
Spezia
1.43
Novara
1.33
Salernitana
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.29
Cesena
1.26
Bari
1.26
Avellino
1.24
Brescia
1.19
Ternana
1.17
Ascoli
1.17
Pro Vercelli
1.17
Trapani
1.05
Vicenza Virtus
0.98
Pisa
0.93
Latina
0.93
Cesena is 0.02 points worse than Virtus Entella in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Spal
1.57
Hellas Verona
1.52
Cittadella
1.43
Frosinone
1.36
Benevento
1.33
Perugia
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.29
Cesena
1.21
Brescia
1.17
Novara
1.14
Trapani
1.07
Ascoli
1.05
Salernitana
1.05
Ternana
1.00
Carpi
0.98
Avellino
0.95
Bari
0.93
Latina
0.90
Spezia
0.90
Pro Vercelli
0.83
Vicenza Virtus
0.79
Pisa
0.55
Cesena is 0.07 goals worse than Virtus Entella in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.81
Pisa
0.86
Spal
0.93
Carpi
0.95
Perugia
0.95
Hellas Verona
0.95
Frosinone
1.00
Benevento
1.00
Bari
1.05
Salernitana
1.05
Pro Vercelli
1.07
Cesena
1.14
Ascoli
1.17
Latina
1.19
Novara
1.19
Virtus Entella
1.21
Vicenza Virtus
1.24
Ternana
1.26
Cittadella
1.29
Trapani
1.31
Avellino
1.31
Brescia
1.38
Cesena is 0.07 goals better than Virtus Entella in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cesena
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Virtus Entella
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Cesena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (22)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Virtus Entella) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Entella
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (42)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Cesena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Frosinone
12.0
Hellas Verona
11.4
Carpi
10.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Frosinone
5.6
Carpi
5.4
Hellas Verona
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Frosinone
32.1
Carpi
31.9
Hellas Verona
31.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cesena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.40
0.67
0.20
0.20
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.27
0.67
0.00
0.22
0.44
vs Weaker (14)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Virtus Entella) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Entella
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.21
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.20
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.56
1.08
0.25
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Cesena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cesena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus Entella over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus Entella over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus Entella over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cesena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.93
0.47
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.47
1.17
0.33
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.36
0.78
0.56
0.40
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Virtus Entella) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Virtus Entella
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
1.07
0.43
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.44
1.17
0.33
0.38
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cesena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cesena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cesena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus Entella over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus Entella over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus Entella over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cesena · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cristian Shpendi67%
Antonio Fiori33%
Dimitri Bisoli0%
Alessandro Siano0%
Andrea Ciofi0%
Matteo Francesconi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Mihajlo Ilić0%
Matteo Guidi0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Xavello Druiventak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristian Shpendi67%
Matteo Guidi33%
Dimitri Bisoli0%
Alessandro Siano0%
Andrea Ciofi0%
Matteo Francesconi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Mihajlo Ilić0%
Antonio Fiori0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Xavello Druiventak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matteo Guidi33%
Xavello Druiventak33%
Dimitri Bisoli0%
Alessandro Siano0%
Andrea Ciofi0%
Matteo Francesconi0%
Cristian Shpendi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Mihajlo Ilić0%
Antonio Fiori0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dimitri Bisoli0%
Alessandro Siano0%
Andrea Ciofi0%
Matteo Francesconi0%
Cristian Shpendi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Mihajlo Ilić0%
Antonio Fiori0%
Matteo Guidi0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Xavello Druiventak0%
Virtus Entella · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Tiritiello33%
Bernat Guiu33%
Andrea Franzoni33%
Francesco Forte0%
Luca Parodi0%
Lucas Felippe0%
Federico Del Frate0%
Niccolò Squizzato0%
Giacomo Corona0%
Stefano Di Mario0%
Mattia Tirelli0%
Mattia Alborghetti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luca Parodi33%
Bernat Guiu33%
Niccolò Squizzato33%
Stefano Di Mario33%
Francesco Forte0%
Lucas Felippe0%
Andrea Tiritiello0%
Federico Del Frate0%
Giacomo Corona0%
Andrea Franzoni0%
Mattia Tirelli0%
Mattia Alborghetti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrea Franzoni33%
Francesco Forte0%
Luca Parodi0%
Lucas Felippe0%
Andrea Tiritiello0%
Bernat Guiu0%
Federico Del Frate0%
Niccolò Squizzato0%
Giacomo Corona0%
Stefano Di Mario0%
Mattia Tirelli0%
Mattia Alborghetti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bernat Guiu33%
Andrea Franzoni33%
Francesco Forte0%
Luca Parodi0%
Lucas Felippe0%
Andrea Tiritiello0%
Federico Del Frate0%
Niccolò Squizzato0%
Giacomo Corona0%
Stefano Di Mario0%
Mattia Tirelli0%
Mattia Alborghetti0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CES (32)
€28m
AVE (27)
€26m
BEN (30)
€12m
VV (26)
€11m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
BAR (22)
€8m
Cesena's squad is €17m more valuable than Virtus Entella's (€28m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
HV (10)
€13m
CES (10)
€10m
AVE (10)
€6m
ASC (11)
€5m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
VV (6)
€2m
BAR (6)
€2m
Cesena's attack is €8m more valuable than Virtus Entella's (€10m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
HV (9)
€14m
AVE (6)
€9m
VE (11)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
VV (12)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
BAR (6)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
Cesena and Virtus Entella have a similar midfield value (both €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HV (15)
€30m
FRO (14)
€24m
PIS (14)
€22m
CES (13)
€12m
AVE (11)
€11m
BEN (13)
€5m
SPE (13)
€4m
VV (8)
€4m
BAR (10)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Cesena's defence is €10m more valuable than Virtus Entella's (€12m vs €2m).
Italy: Serie B 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Spal
Hellas Verona
Frosinone
Benevento
Perugia
Cittadella
Spezia
Salernitana
Bari
Avellino
Brescia
Ascoli
Ternana
Vicenza Virtus
Pisa