This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotor Volgograd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.73
1.07
0.64
1.00
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.08
0.68
1.08
0.58
1.08
0.77
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Chayka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.3%
Under 1.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.1%
Under 2.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.2%
Under 3.5
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.8%
No
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.3%
1-1
14.2%
0-0
13.5%
0-2
10.0%
1-0 ✓
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.3%
Chayka goals ↓
Rotor Volgograd goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
14%
10.0%
4.3%
1.4%
1
8.8%
14%
8.2%
3.5%
1.1%
2
4.1%
5.3%
3.4%
1.4%
0.5%
3
1.1%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chayka goals (down), columns = Rotor Volgograd goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Baltika
2.03
Torpedo Moskva
1.91
Chernomorets
1.88
Ural
1.74
FC Sochi
1.68
Ska-khabarovsk
1.56
Rodina Moskva
1.47
Enisey
1.44
Rotor Volgograd
1.38
Arsenal Tula
1.21
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Chayka
1.12
KAMAZ
1.12
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.03
FC UFA
1.03
FK Sokol Saratov
0.94
Tyumen
0.79
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.79
Chayka is 0.26 points worse than Rotor Volgograd in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Sochi
1.62
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Chernomorets
1.50
Ural
1.47
Baltika
1.47
Ska-khabarovsk
1.29
Rodina Moskva
1.21
Enisey
1.06
Rotor Volgograd
0.94
FC UFA
0.94
FK Neftekhimik
0.91
Chayka
0.91
KAMAZ
0.91
Tyumen
0.88
Arsenal Tula
0.74
FK Sokol Saratov
0.74
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.71
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.71
Chayka is 0.03 goals worse than Rotor Volgograd in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Baltika
0.53
Torpedo Moskva
0.74
Rotor Volgograd
0.76
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Rodina Moskva
0.91
Chernomorets
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
KAMAZ
1.03
FK Neftekhimik
1.09
Ural
1.12
Enisey
1.15
Ska-khabarovsk
1.21
FK Sokol Saratov
1.21
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.24
Chayka
1.26
FC UFA
1.41
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.47
Tyumen
1.50
Chayka is 0.50 goals worse than Rotor Volgograd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 0.76).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
51%
Enisey
49%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chayka
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Rotor Volgograd
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Chayka
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (35)
-
-
-
2.6
2.7
2.6
-
-
-
vs Stronger (12)
-
-
-
2.2
3.2
1.3
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
-
-
-
2.8
2.5
3.2
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
34%
29%
39%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
66%
71%
61%
-
-
-
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotor Volgograd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (33)
-
-
-
2.4
2.4
2.5
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
-
-
-
2.6
2.6
2.6
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
1.6
1.0
2.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
27%
25%
29%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
73%
75%
71%
-
-
-
This opponent (Chayka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Arsenal Tula
12.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl
11.1
Ural
10.9
Rodina Moskva
10.4
Chernomorets
10.4
Baltika
10.2
KAMAZ
9.7
FK Sokol Saratov
9.6
FK Neftekhimik
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Enisey
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.2
Tyumen
7.3
Torpedo Moskva
6.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
4.5
FC UFA
4.4
Ural
4.2
FC Sochi
4.0
Chernomorets
3.9
Chayka
3.8
Enisey
3.8
Rodina Moskva
3.7
Baltika
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.6
Tyumen
3.4
Rotor Volgograd
3.3
Ska-khabarovsk
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.3
Arsenal Tula
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.2
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.0
FK Sokol Saratov
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ural
24.6
Arsenal Tula
23.5
FC Sochi
22.8
Baltika
21.9
Enisey
14.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.9%
Under 9.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.8%
Under 3.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
2.9%
Under 21.5
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chayka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.57
0.43
0.38
0.81
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.10
0.40
0.40
0.00
1.80
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.44
0.55
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotor Volgograd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.33
0.57
0.43
0.69
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.28
0.67
0.33
0.77
0.23
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.60
0.00
1.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Chayka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chayka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chayka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chayka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chayka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.60
0.50
0.64
0.25
0.56
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.70
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.55
0.44
0.67
0.36
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotor Volgograd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.21
0.31
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.36
0.40
0.42
0.25
0.31
0.54
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Chayka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chayka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chayka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chayka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 21.5 fouls
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 19.5 fouls
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Russia: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →