Chelsea and Arsenal face a tightly contested Premier League clash, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are evenly split, with a 40% chance of a Chelsea victory, 30% for a draw and 30% for an Arsenal win. The expected total goals sit at 2.4, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.3% probability. Chelsea’s home form shows they average 1.67 goals scored and 1.83 conceded against similarly strong opponents, while Arsenal’s away numbers are 1.67 scored and 2.33 conceded. The model’s selections include an 83.7% chance of Under 5.5 cards, 79.7% for Under 25.5 fouls, 78.2% for Under 3.5 goals, 70.9% for Under 11.5 corners, 70.6% for Over 2.5 cards and 70.1% for Over 1.5 goals. Both teams are on solid recent runs - Chelsea on a two-game winning streak and Arsenal unbeaten in five - making the outcome uncertain.
Results analysis
The upset came early, as Arsenal seized a 0-1 victory over Chelsea, extending their unbeaten run to five matches. The pre-match favourite was a home win, with a 40% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The final score of 0-1 confirmed an away win. The model’s selection of “Under 5.5 cards” missed, as did “Under 25.5 fouls” and “Over 1.5 goals”; “Under 3.5” and “Under 11.5 corners” hit, while “Over 2.5 cards” also hit. Each probability was quoted once: 83.7% for the card pick, 79.7% for fouls, 78.2% for the goal total, 70.9% for corners, 70.6% for cards, and 70.1% for the goal total.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Chelsea win✗ Miss
40.1%
Avg Implied 35.1% · @ 2.74
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.39
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal win✓ Hit
29.7%
Avg Implied 36.5% · @ 2.64
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.13
1.73
1.27
1.60
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.45
1.45
1.67
1.83
1.20
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
1.79
0.95
1.78
0.89
1.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.10
2.50
1.00
1.31
1.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.71
1.71
1.75
1.25
1.67
2.33
vs Weaker (23)
1.91
0.91
2.80
0.90
1.23
0.92
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.6%
@ 1.91-7.5%
Under 2.5
57.4%
@ 1.92+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.5%
0-1 ✓
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.4%
Chelsea goals ↓
Arsenal goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.7%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
7.1%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.8%
8.4%
4.6%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.4%
3.7%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Arsenal goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Chelsea is 1.05 points worse than Arsenal in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 2.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Chelsea is 1.32 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Chelsea is 0.11 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Chelsea is 0.9 percentage points worse than Arsenal in terms of average possession (59% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chelsea
For 4.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal
For 5.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.4
9.1
3.8
4.1
3.4
22.3
21.8
22.9
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
-
10.0
2.0
-
2.0
17.0
-
17.0
vs Similar (19)
10.8
12.6
8.9
3.8
4.2
3.4
21.8
22.6
21.0
vs Weaker (30)
9.0
8.8
9.2
3.8
4.1
3.5
22.8
21.1
24.3
% over line
48%
50%
46%
52%
67%
38%
50%
42%
58%
% under line
52%
50%
54%
48%
33%
62%
50%
58%
42%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.1
9.1
3.5
3.7
3.4
20.0
19.9
20.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
8.0
7.8
8.2
4.0
4.2
3.8
20.3
19.8
20.8
vs Weaker (40)
10.0
10.7
9.3
3.4
3.5
3.3
19.9
19.9
19.9
% over line
46%
52%
40%
44%
48%
40%
34%
32%
36%
% under line
54%
48%
60%
56%
52%
60%
66%
68%
64%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Southampton
11.1
Brighton
10.7
Everton
10.6
Aston Villa
10.6
Leicester
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Bournemouth
10.5
Brentford
10.4
Liverpool
10.3
Tottenham
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
Manchester United
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Wolves
9.9
Chelsea
9.7
Newcastle
9.7
Leeds
9.6
Arsenal
9.6
Crystal Palace
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Leeds
4.4
Aston Villa
4.2
Tottenham
4.1
Newcastle
4.1
Everton
4.1
Bournemouth
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Brighton
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Chelsea
3.8
Arsenal
3.5
Manchester United
3.5
Southampton
3.5
Brentford
3.1
Liverpool
3.0
Leicester
3.0
West Ham
2.9
Manchester City
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.7
Aston Villa
24.1
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Leeds
22.9
Chelsea
22.3
Bournemouth
21.2
Newcastle
20.9
Brighton
20.5
Tottenham
20.4
Leicester
20.4
Fulham
20.4
Southampton
20.3
Wolves
20.0
Arsenal
20.0
Everton
20.0
Brentford
19.8
Manchester United
19.3
Liverpool
17.8
West Ham
17.0
Manchester City
16.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.9%
Under 9.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.5%
Under 3.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.2%
Under 21.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
0.60
0.27
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.45
0.67
0.33
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (19)
0.84
0.42
0.56
0.22
1.10
0.60
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.50
1.14
0.36
0.81
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.71
1.00
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.00
0.43
1.20
0.30
0.85
0.54
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
1.13
1.00
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.82
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (19)
0.95
0.53
1.22
0.67
0.70
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
1.36
0.64
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (23)
0.91
0.48
1.60
0.60
0.38
0.38
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Félix20%
Kai Havertz20%
Raheem Sterling19%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang14%
Jorginho12%
Denis Zakaria11%
Wesley Fofana10%
Benoît Badiashile9%
Reece James8%
Noni Madueke8%
Conor Gallagher7%
Kalidou Koulibaly7%
Ben Chilwell7%
Mason Mount6%
Armando Broja6%
Mateo Kovačić6%
Christian Pulišić3%
Thiago Silva0%
Hakim Ziyech0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
César Azpilicueta0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Edouard Mendy0%
Enzo Fernández0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Mykhaylo Mudryk0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Lewis Hall0%
David Datro Fofana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reece James29%
Mateo Kovačić29%
Conor Gallagher28%
Kalidou Koulibaly27%
Mason Mount21%
Wesley Fofana20%
Marc Cucurella19%
Benoît Badiashile18%
Enzo Fernández18%
Jorginho17%
Raheem Sterling14%
Ben Chilwell13%
Trevoh Chalobah13%
Mykhaylo Mudryk12%
Thiago Silva11%
Kai Havertz11%
N'Golo Kanté11%
Lewis Hall11%
César Azpilicueta10%
Hakim Ziyech9%
Edouard Mendy9%
Kepa Arrizabalaga8%
João Félix5%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang5%
Christian Pulišić3%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Denis Zakaria0%
Noni Madueke0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hakim Ziyech14%
Mykhaylo Mudryk12%
N'Golo Kanté11%
Raheem Sterling11%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang10%
Enzo Fernández9%
Reece James8%
Christian Pulišić7%
Ben Chilwell7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Marc Cucurella6%
Mason Mount6%
Thiago Silva6%
Mateo Kovačić6%
Kalidou Koulibaly3%
Conor Gallagher2%
Kai Havertz2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
João Félix0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
César Azpilicueta0%
Jorginho0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Edouard Mendy0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Noni Madueke0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Lewis Hall0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kai Havertz27%
João Félix15%
Raheem Sterling14%
Mykhaylo Mudryk12%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang10%
Enzo Fernández9%
Noni Madueke8%
Christian Pulišić7%
Mason Mount6%
Hakim Ziyech5%
Kalidou Koulibaly3%
Ben Chilwell3%
Thiago Silva3%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
César Azpilicueta0%
Jorginho0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Edouard Mendy0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Conor Gallagher0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Lewis Hall0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriel Martinelli33%
Bukayo Saka28%
Gabriel Jesus28%
Martin Ødegaard27%
Marquinhos25%
Granit Xhaka18%
Edward Nketiah14%
Jakub Kiwior12%
Reiss Nelson12%
William Saliba10%
Rob Holding10%
Thomas Partey8%
Gabriel Magalhães7%
Fábio Vieira7%
Leandro Trossard5%
Benjamin White4%
Oleksandr Zinchenko3%
Kieran Tierney3%
Cédric Soares0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Jorginho0%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Matt Turner0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabriel Jesus22%
Matt Turner20%
Granit Xhaka18%
Thomas Partey15%
Bukayo Saka15%
Oleksandr Zinchenko13%
Gabriel Magalhães13%
William Saliba13%
Gabriel Martinelli12%
Martin Ødegaard11%
Benjamin White11%
Edward Nketiah8%
Takehiro Tomiyasu7%
Kieran Tierney6%
Rob Holding5%
Fábio Vieira3%
Aaron Ramsdale2%
Cédric Soares0%
Reiss Nelson0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Jorginho0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Marquinhos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leandro Trossard33%
Marquinhos25%
Bukayo Saka22%
Gabriel Jesus16%
Emile Smith Rowe15%
Granit Xhaka14%
Martin Ødegaard14%
Fábio Vieira13%
Reiss Nelson12%
Gabriel Martinelli12%
Benjamin White11%
Takehiro Tomiyasu7%
Oleksandr Zinchenko7%
Jorginho6%
William Saliba3%
Kieran Tierney3%
Edward Nketiah3%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Rob Holding0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Gabriel Magalhães0%
Matt Turner0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriel Jesus31%
Gabriel Martinelli21%
Bukayo Saka20%
Edward Nketiah19%
Martin Ødegaard16%
Granit Xhaka9%
Reiss Nelson6%
Oleksandr Zinchenko3%
Fábio Vieira3%
Thomas Partey3%
Cédric Soares0%
Kieran Tierney0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Rob Holding0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Leandro Trossard0%
Jorginho0%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
Benjamin White0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
William Saliba0%
Gabriel Magalhães0%
Matt Turner0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Marquinhos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Chelsea and Arsenal have a similar squad value (both €1407m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Chelsea's attack is €6m more valuable than Arsenal's (€614m vs €608m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Chelsea's midfield is €12m less valuable than Arsenal's (€278m vs €290m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Chelsea's defence is €6m more valuable than Arsenal's (€514m vs €508m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Manchester United
Newcastle
Liverpool
Brighton
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton