The clash between Chelsea and Brighton is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for a draw or an away victory. The predicted probabilities are 39% for Chelsea, 29% for a draw and 32% for Brighton. The average goal tally sits at 2.6, with the most likely total of two goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.7% chance. Chelsea’s home form shows a modest 1.0 goal scored and 0.62 conceded against similar opposition, while Brighton’s away numbers are higher at 1.85 scored and 1.31 conceded. Suggested picks from the model include Under 5.5 cards at 84.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 75.8%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.1%, Under 3.5 goals at 72.9%, Under 25.5 fouls at 71.2% and Under 4.5 cards at 70.5%. Chelsea entered the match on a three-game winning streak, while Brighton came off a defeat, adding to the uncertainty. The model’s selection remains a home win, but the balanced odds hint that the outcome could swing either way.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Brighton snatched a 2-1 victory, extending their three-game winning run after a 4-3 win over Chelsea. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 39% chance, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Under 5.5 cards at 84.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 75.8%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.1%, Under 3.5 goals at 72.9%, Under 25.5 fouls at 71.2% and Under 4.5 cards at 70.5%. The final score of 1-2 confirmed an away win, leaving the model’s prediction for the outcome incorrect.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Chelsea win✗ Miss
39.0%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.94
Edge
+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.37
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✓ Hit
32.4%
Avg Implied 38.8% · @ 2.48
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.87
1.13
0.60
0.87
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.94
1.00
0.62
0.62
1.25
vs Weaker (14)
1.21
0.79
1.29
0.57
1.14
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.27
1.87
1.00
1.87
1.53
vs Stronger (4)
2.25
2.50
2.50
2.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.81
1.08
1.77
0.85
1.85
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.0%
@ 1.96+0.2%
Under 2.5
51.0%
@ 1.87-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.7%
No
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.4%
1-2 ✓
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
Chelsea goals ↓
Brighton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
7.7%
5.6%
2.3%
0.7%
1
8.7%
14%
7.7%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.9%
8.6%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.2%
4.0%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Chelsea is 0.47 points worse than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Chelsea is 0.89 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Chelsea is 0.16 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Chelsea is 1.2 percentage points worse than Brighton in terms of average possession (59% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chelsea
For 6.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
For 7.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.0
9.5
4.3
4.2
4.3
23.4
22.7
24.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
9.7
9.6
9.8
4.9
4.6
5.2
23.5
23.5
23.4
vs Weaker (30)
9.9
10.3
9.4
3.8
3.9
3.7
23.3
22.1
24.5
% over line
50%
54%
46%
62%
69%
54%
54%
42%
67%
% under line
50%
46%
54%
38%
31%
46%
46%
58%
33%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.8
10.2
3.7
3.9
3.5
21.1
21.5
20.7
vs Stronger (7)
11.0
10.7
11.2
4.3
4.7
4.0
23.3
22.7
23.8
vs Similar (42)
10.5
10.9
10.1
3.6
3.8
3.4
20.6
21.3
19.9
vs Weaker (1)
9.0
-
9.0
5.0
-
5.0
25.0
-
25.0
% over line
64%
68%
60%
50%
52%
48%
46%
56%
36%
% under line
36%
32%
40%
50%
48%
52%
54%
44%
64%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bournemouth
10.6
Brentford
10.6
Newcastle
10.6
Brighton
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Everton
10.3
Aston Villa
10.3
Southampton
10.3
West Ham
10.3
Manchester United
10.3
Tottenham
10.1
Leicester
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Wolves
9.9
Arsenal
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
Liverpool
9.7
Leeds
9.6
Manchester City
9.2
Crystal Palace
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Chelsea
4.3
Tottenham
4.2
Leeds
4.2
Everton
4.2
Aston Villa
4.2
Wolves
4.1
Crystal Palace
3.9
Fulham
3.9
Newcastle
3.9
Arsenal
3.8
Bournemouth
3.7
Brighton
3.7
Manchester United
3.5
Southampton
3.2
Manchester City
3.2
Leicester
3.1
Liverpool
3.0
Brentford
2.8
West Ham
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.2
Aston Villa
24.0
Nottingham Forest
23.7
Chelsea
23.4
Leeds
23.0
Fulham
21.9
Tottenham
21.5
Bournemouth
21.2
Brighton
21.1
Newcastle
21.0
Everton
21.0
Wolves
21.0
Arsenal
20.9
Southampton
20.7
Leicester
20.4
Manchester United
19.6
Brentford
19.4
Liverpool
18.8
Manchester City
18.6
West Ham
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.5%
Under 9.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.6%
Under 3.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.6%
Under 21.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.37
0.47
0.20
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.31
0.50
0.12
0.38
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
0.57
0.43
0.43
0.29
0.71
0.57
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.67
0.60
1.00
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.50
0.77
0.54
1.00
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.40
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.36
0.86
0.29
0.43
0.43
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.67
1.20
0.40
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.25
2.50
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.58
1.00
0.31
0.85
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Félix20%
Kai Havertz20%
Raheem Sterling19%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang14%
Jorginho12%
Denis Zakaria11%
Wesley Fofana10%
Benoît Badiashile9%
Reece James8%
Noni Madueke8%
Conor Gallagher7%
Kalidou Koulibaly7%
Ben Chilwell7%
Mason Mount6%
Armando Broja6%
Mateo Kovačić6%
Christian Pulišić3%
Thiago Silva0%
Hakim Ziyech0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
César Azpilicueta0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Edouard Mendy0%
Enzo Fernández0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Mykhaylo Mudryk0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Lewis Hall0%
David Datro Fofana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reece James29%
Mateo Kovačić29%
Conor Gallagher28%
Kalidou Koulibaly27%
Mason Mount21%
Wesley Fofana20%
Marc Cucurella19%
Benoît Badiashile18%
Enzo Fernández18%
Jorginho17%
Raheem Sterling14%
Ben Chilwell13%
Trevoh Chalobah13%
Mykhaylo Mudryk12%
Thiago Silva11%
Kai Havertz11%
N'Golo Kanté11%
Lewis Hall11%
César Azpilicueta10%
Hakim Ziyech9%
Edouard Mendy9%
Kepa Arrizabalaga8%
João Félix5%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang5%
Christian Pulišić3%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Denis Zakaria0%
Noni Madueke0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hakim Ziyech14%
Mykhaylo Mudryk12%
N'Golo Kanté11%
Raheem Sterling11%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang10%
Enzo Fernández9%
Reece James8%
Christian Pulišić7%
Ben Chilwell7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Marc Cucurella6%
Mason Mount6%
Thiago Silva6%
Mateo Kovačić6%
Kalidou Koulibaly3%
Conor Gallagher2%
Kai Havertz2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
João Félix0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
César Azpilicueta0%
Jorginho0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Edouard Mendy0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Noni Madueke0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Lewis Hall0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kai Havertz27%
João Félix15%
Raheem Sterling14%
Mykhaylo Mudryk12%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang10%
Enzo Fernández9%
Noni Madueke8%
Christian Pulišić7%
Mason Mount6%
Hakim Ziyech5%
Kalidou Koulibaly3%
Ben Chilwell3%
Thiago Silva3%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
César Azpilicueta0%
Jorginho0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Edouard Mendy0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Conor Gallagher0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Lewis Hall0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leandro Trossard31%
Evan Ferguson26%
Alexis Mac Allister26%
Kaoru Mitoma21%
Julio Enciso20%
Pascal Groß19%
Deniz Undav18%
Danny Welbeck16%
Solly March15%
Adam Lallana12%
Facundo Buonanotte8%
Joël Veltman3%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Lewis Dunk3%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Enock Mwepu0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Levi Colwill0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Yasin Ayari0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Moisés Caicedo27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Alexis Mac Allister23%
Joël Veltman19%
Pascal Groß19%
Facundo Buonanotte15%
Pervis Estupiñán11%
Lewis Dunk11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Deniz Undav9%
Robert Sánchez9%
Adam Webster7%
Billy Gilmour7%
Jason Steele7%
Leandro Trossard6%
Solly March6%
Levi Colwill6%
Evan Ferguson5%
Julio Enciso5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Adam Lallana0%
Enock Mwepu0%
Danny Welbeck0%
Kaoru Mitoma0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß22%
Solly March21%
Enock Mwepu17%
Kaoru Mitoma15%
Leandro Trossard12%
Levi Colwill12%
Pervis Estupiñán11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Evan Ferguson11%
Danny Welbeck10%
Facundo Buonanotte8%
Billy Gilmour7%
Jason Steele7%
Adam Lallana6%
Alexis Mac Allister6%
Julio Enciso5%
Joël Veltman3%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Robert Sánchez0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Deniz Undav0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexis Mac Allister31%
Evan Ferguson26%
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck23%
Solly March18%
Leandro Trossard12%
Kaoru Mitoma12%
Deniz Undav9%
Pascal Groß5%
Adam Webster4%
Adam Lallana0%
Joël Veltman0%
Enock Mwepu0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Levi Colwill0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Chelsea's squad is €787m more valuable than Brighton's (€1407m vs €620m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Chelsea's attack is €424m more valuable than Brighton's (€614m vs €190m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Chelsea's midfield is €98m more valuable than Brighton's (€278m vs €180m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Chelsea's defence is €266m more valuable than Brighton's (€514m vs €249m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester United
Newcastle
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton