Chelsea’s recent 2-game winning streak fuels optimism as they host Brighton, who also finished their last two games with victories. The model sees a 55% chance of a home win, 23% for a draw, and 22% for an away win, making a Chelsea victory the favourite. With an expected 3.4 goals, the most likely total is three, and the single scoreline the model predicts is 1-1, with a 10.2% probability. Chelsea’s home form shows an average of 2.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against similarly strong opposition, while Brighton’s away numbers are 1.09 scored and 1.36 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 86.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 85.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 77.4%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.9% (miss), Under 25.5 fouls at 72.3%, and Over 3.5 cards at 71.1%. These selections reflect the model’s view that a high-scoring, card-heavy match is likely.
Results analysis
Chelsea’s 4-2 victory over Brighton confirmed the model’s prediction that the home side would win, a call that proved correct. The win extends Chelsea’s two-game winning run, while Brighton also finished on a two-game winning streak. The model had given the home win a 55% probability, and the match’s final score of 4-2 matched the favoured outcome. The suggested selections performed largely as expected: Over 2.5 cards (86.1%) hit, Over 1.5 (85.7%) hit, Under 11.5 corners (77.4%) hit, Under 25.5 fouls (72.3%) hit, and Over 3.5 cards (71.1%) hit, while Over 19.5 fouls (74.9%) missed. The model’s overall accuracy was reinforced by these results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Chelsea win✓ Hit
54.9%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.77
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 4.18
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✗ Miss
22.2%
Avg Implied 22.6% · @ 4.26
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.47
2.60
1.07
2.07
1.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
1.90
2.00
2.75
1.50
1.33
2.33
vs Weaker (18)
2.78
1.17
2.80
0.80
2.75
1.62
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.40
1.50
1.25
1.00
1.57
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.50
0.00
3.50
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
1.33
1.17
1.54
1.00
1.09
1.36
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
2.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.1%
@ 1.48+0.4%
Under 2.5
34.9%
@ 2.71-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.1%
Under 3.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
Chelsea goals ↓
Brighton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
3.5%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
1
6.3%
10%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
2
7.5%
9.6%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
3
5.2%
6.7%
4.3%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.7%
3.5%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Chelsea is 0.21 points better than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Chelsea is 0.05 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Chelsea is 0.42 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Chelsea is 4.1 percentage points better than Brighton in terms of average possession (57% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chelsea
For 4.9 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 11.8 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
For 5.8 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.6
9.7
5.1
4.5
5.7
23.3
22.2
24.4
vs Stronger (4)
8.2
6.5
10.0
4.0
5.0
3.0
22.0
24.0
20.0
vs Similar (21)
9.7
11.3
8.2
5.4
4.4
6.4
23.9
20.8
26.7
vs Weaker (25)
10.9
10.8
11.1
5.0
4.5
5.5
23.0
23.0
23.1
% over line
55%
62%
48%
84%
76%
92%
59%
54%
64%
% under line
45%
38%
52%
16%
24%
8%
41%
46%
36%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.5
9.2
4.9
4.8
5.0
22.8
23.9
21.7
vs Stronger (7)
9.9
10.7
9.2
4.4
2.7
5.8
22.4
24.0
21.2
vs Similar (41)
9.2
9.3
9.1
5.1
5.3
4.8
22.8
23.9
21.5
vs Weaker (2)
11.0
-
11.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
27.0
-
27.0
% over line
54%
54%
54%
68%
65%
71%
60%
75%
46%
% under line
46%
46%
46%
32%
35%
29%
40%
25%
54%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.6
Manchester United
12.6
Bournemouth
11.7
Southampton
11.5
Everton
11.2
Liverpool
11.1
Manchester City
10.7
Newcastle
10.6
Brentford
10.6
Ipswich
10.5
Fulham
10.4
Wolves
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Chelsea
10.2
Crystal Palace
10.2
Aston Villa
9.8
West Ham
9.6
Leicester
9.6
Brighton
9.6
Arsenal
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.2
Chelsea
5.2
Brighton
5.1
Wolves
5.0
Tottenham
4.9
Southampton
4.9
Newcastle
4.7
Manchester United
4.3
Leicester
4.3
Bournemouth
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Liverpool
4.2
Brentford
4.2
Ipswich
4.1
West Ham
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Arsenal
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Manchester City
3.7
Everton
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.3
Tottenham
24.2
Aston Villa
23.7
Crystal Palace
23.6
Ipswich
23.4
Newcastle
23.4
Chelsea
23.3
Bournemouth
22.8
Brighton
22.8
Southampton
22.6
Liverpool
22.0
Arsenal
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Leicester
21.6
Everton
21.5
Fulham
21.4
West Ham
21.2
Brentford
20.8
Manchester United
19.9
Manchester City
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.1%
Under 9.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.1%
Under 3.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.4%
Under 21.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.60
1.33
0.47
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.80
1.25
0.75
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (18)
1.33
0.50
1.50
0.30
1.12
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.81
0.44
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.42
0.92
0.23
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.87
1.27
0.60
1.27
1.13
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
1.20
1.20
1.50
0.75
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (18)
1.44
0.67
1.30
0.50
1.62
0.88
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.69
0.81
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.75
0.62
0.77
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolas Jackson32%
Christopher Nkunku26%
Cole Palmer24%
Marc Guiu21%
João Félix20%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Noni Madueke20%
Enzo Fernández17%
Marc Cucurella15%
Pedro Neto13%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall13%
Jadon Sancho12%
Axel Disasi12%
Renato Veiga11%
Tyrique George8%
Tosin Adarabioyo8%
Reece James7%
Levi Colwill5%
Moisés Caicedo4%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wesley Fofana50%
Moisés Caicedo29%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Levi Colwill24%
Nicolas Jackson24%
Roméo Lavia22%
Renato Veiga22%
Marc Cucurella21%
João Félix20%
Enzo Fernández20%
Tosin Adarabioyo19%
Pedro Neto18%
Axel Disasi18%
Cole Palmer17%
Cesare Casadei17%
Robert Sánchez15%
Trevoh Chalobah11%
Malo Gusto10%
Filip Jørgensen9%
Josh Acheampong8%
Jadon Sancho7%
Noni Madueke7%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall6%
Christopher Nkunku5%
Tyrique George4%
Reece James4%
Mykhaylo Mudryk0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Marc Guiu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enzo Fernández24%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Pedro Neto18%
Cole Palmer17%
Jadon Sancho17%
Tyrique George17%
Nicolas Jackson15%
Axel Disasi12%
João Félix10%
Noni Madueke10%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Christopher Nkunku10%
Reece James7%
Moisés Caicedo7%
Marc Cucurella6%
Roméo Lavia6%
Renato Veiga6%
Trevoh Chalobah5%
Malo Gusto5%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marc Guiu36%
João Félix35%
Cole Palmer28%
Nicolas Jackson26%
Noni Madueke22%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Carney Chukwuemeka20%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Pedro Neto9%
Enzo Fernández9%
Mykhaylo Mudryk7%
Axel Disasi6%
Marc Cucurella4%
Tyrique George4%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Malo Gusto2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Renato Veiga0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck31%
João Pedro30%
Kaoru Mitoma27%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu25%
Georginio Rutter22%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Simon Adingra15%
Tariq Lamptey15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Solly March10%
Carlos Baleba10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Julio Enciso6%
Diego Gómez5%
Yasin Ayari5%
Adam Webster5%
Brajan Gruda4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Júlio31%
James Milner25%
Joël Veltman25%
Mats Wieffer21%
Solly March20%
Carlos Baleba20%
Pervis Estupiñán19%
Jack Hinshelwood19%
Lewis Dunk19%
Jan Paul van Hecke18%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Adam Webster15%
Jakub Moder14%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro13%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Yasin Ayari10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Kaoru Mitoma2%
Jason Steele0%
Julio Enciso0%
Simon Adingra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro20%
Brajan Gruda16%
Yankuba Minteh14%
Georginio Rutter12%
Mats Wieffer11%
Solly March10%
Tariq Lamptey10%
Kaoru Mitoma10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Joël Veltman8%
Danny Welbeck8%
Jack Hinshelwood6%
Julio Enciso6%
Simon Adingra6%
Adam Webster5%
Carlos Baleba5%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Bart Verbruggen2%
James Milner0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Diego Gómez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Simon Adingra9%
Pervis Estupiñán8%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Jack Hinshelwood3%
Yankuba Minteh3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Carlos Baleba2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WOL (29)
€311m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Chelsea's squad is €787m more valuable than Brighton's (€1407m vs €620m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WOL (10)
€86m
WHU (7)
€84m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Chelsea's attack is €424m more valuable than Brighton's (€614m vs €190m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
WOL (5)
€111m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Chelsea's midfield is €98m more valuable than Brighton's (€278m vs €180m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€115m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Chelsea's defence is €266m more valuable than Brighton's (€514m vs €249m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Manchester City
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton