Chelsea are tipped to win this Premier League clash, with a 53% chance of triumph, a 24% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of a Palace win. The model expects a total of 3.1 goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 11.3%. Chelsea’s home form shows they average 2.22 goals scored and only 0.89 conceded against weaker opposition, while Crystal Palace, playing away against stronger teams, average 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 98.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.7%, Under 6.5 at 96.6%, Under 5.5 at 91.6%, Home +2 handicap at 90.1%, Home under 3.5 goals at 88.9%, Away under 2.5 goals at 88.2%, and Home over 0.5 goals at 83.7%. Chelsea’s recent 3-game winning streak, highlighted by a 4-3 victory over Brighton, contrasts with Palace’s two-straight defeats, most recently a 1-4 loss to Manchester City.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Chelsea win
53.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace win
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.57
1.62
1.31
1.93
1.86
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
4.00
0.00
3.00
2.00
5.00
vs Similar (12)
1.25
1.67
1.00
1.67
1.50
1.67
vs Weaker (16)
2.25
1.19
2.22
0.89
2.29
1.57
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.40
1.20
1.07
1.13
1.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
3.00
1.00
3.00
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (19)
1.32
1.21
1.33
0.78
1.30
1.60
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59.9%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.5%
Under 3.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
60.3%
No
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
Chelsea goals ↓
Crystal Palace goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
4.3%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
1
7.6%
11%
6.1%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.2%
9.8%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
5.2%
6.2%
3.7%
1.5%
0.4%
4
2.5%
3.0%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Crystal Palace goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Ipswich
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
Hull
0.98
Coventry
0.97
Chelsea is 0.18 points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
Ipswich
1.19
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Hull
0.99
Coventry
0.98
Chelsea is 0.45 goals better than Crystal Palace in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
Ipswich
1.58
Hull
1.91
Coventry
1.93
Chelsea is 0.03 goals worse than Crystal Palace in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.34).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
Chelsea is 12.0 percentage points better than Crystal Palace in terms of average possession (57% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chelsea
For 5.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Crystal Palace
For 2.5 · Against 6.8 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.4
9.9
3.4
3.4
3.4
22.0
22.1
21.9
vs Stronger (2)
8.5
12.0
5.0
0.5
0.0
1.0
19.5
18.0
21.0
vs Similar (21)
10.5
11.3
9.5
4.0
3.8
4.3
24.6
23.3
26.0
vs Weaker (27)
11.1
11.4
10.8
3.1
3.3
2.9
20.0
21.3
18.7
% over line
69%
75%
63%
52%
58%
46%
49%
60%
37%
% under line
31%
25%
37%
48%
42%
54%
51%
40%
63%
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.2
9.2
2.6
2.3
3.0
21.2
21.3
21.1
vs Stronger (6)
10.0
8.0
13.0
2.5
2.2
3.0
19.4
20.0
18.5
vs Similar (37)
9.0
8.5
9.4
2.3
2.0
2.7
21.0
21.0
21.0
vs Weaker (7)
6.8
7.3
6.3
4.4
4.0
5.0
23.3
23.7
23.0
% over line
36%
29%
44%
38%
26%
52%
36%
41%
31%
% under line
64%
71%
56%
62%
74%
48%
64%
59%
69%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
10.7
Fulham
10.5
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Tottenham
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Brighton
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Hull
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Aston Villa
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Bournemouth
23.2
Tottenham
22.9
Chelsea
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Leeds
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Newcastle
21.8
Everton
21.6
Manchester United
21.5
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Fulham
20.0
Brentford
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.7%
Under 9.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.0%
Under 3.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
46.4%
Under 21.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Chelsea or Draw
76.1%
Avg Implied -
53%
24%
23%
covers Chelsea + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea or Crystal Palace
74.8%
Avg Implied -
53%
24%
23%
covers Chelsea + Crystal Palace
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Crystal Palace
49.1%
Avg Implied -
53%
24%
23%
covers Draw + Crystal Palace
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Chelsea over/under 0.5
Over
83.7%
Under
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5
Over
54.1%
Under
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5
Over
27.3%
Under
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 3.5
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5
Over
69.6%
Under
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5
Over
33.3%
Under
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5
Over
11.8%
Under
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 3.5
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Chelsea, so a minus line means Chelsea give that many goals of a start and Crystal Palace receive them. At -1, Chelsea must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Chelsea win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Chelsea)
Chelsea -2
13.2%
Draw -2
15.9%
Crystal Palace +2
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Chelsea)
Chelsea -1
29.1%
Draw -1
21.8%
Crystal Palace +1
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Chelsea)
Chelsea +1
76.1%
Draw +1
13.9%
Crystal Palace -1
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Chelsea)
Chelsea +2
90.1%
Draw +2
6.8%
Crystal Palace -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.69
0.56
1.00
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.75
0.67
0.50
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
0.94
0.50
0.78
0.44
1.14
0.57
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.47
0.60
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.40
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.74
0.67
0.67
0.90
0.80
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.17
0.33
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.87
0.94
0.75
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.92
0.33
1.17
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (16)
1.31
0.69
1.44
0.44
1.14
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Crystal Palace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Crystal Palace
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.73
0.47
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.60
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.11
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.00
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crystal Palace over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
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🎽 13. Player market rates
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro67%
Cole Palmer67%
Pedro Neto33%
Morgan Rogers33%
Roméo Lavia33%
Reece James0%
Maxence Lacroix0%
Malo Gusto0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Josh Acheampong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reece James33%
Roméo Lavia33%
Pedro Neto0%
João Pedro0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Maxence Lacroix0%
Cole Palmer0%
Malo Gusto0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro67%
Morgan Rogers33%
Maxence Lacroix33%
Cole Palmer33%
Malo Gusto33%
Jorrel Hato33%
Pedro Neto0%
Reece James0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro67%
Cole Palmer67%
Pedro Neto0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Reece James0%
Maxence Lacroix0%
Malo Gusto0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Crystal Palace · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ismaïla Sarr36%
Jean-Philippe Mateta24%
Edward Nketiah21%
Evann Guessand14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen14%
Daniel Muñoz11%
Yéremy Pino10%
Marc Guéhi9%
Christantus Uche9%
Justin Devenny6%
Maxence Lacroix6%
Tyrick Mitchell6%
Chris Richards4%
Daichi Kamada2%
Adam Wharton2%
Jefferson Lerma0%
Will Hughes0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Borna Sosa0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Chadi Riad0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chadi Riad33%
Borna Sosa29%
Jørgen Strand Larsen23%
Marc Guéhi22%
Will Hughes19%
Jaydee Canvot17%
Edward Nketiah16%
Yéremy Pino16%
Daniel Muñoz16%
Brennan Johnson15%
Adam Wharton15%
Jefferson Lerma15%
Romain Esse12%
Chris Richards12%
Maxence Lacroix11%
Tyrick Mitchell11%
Dean Henderson10%
Ismaïla Sarr9%
Daichi Kamada9%
Jean-Philippe Mateta8%
Nathaniel Clyne7%
Walter Benítez0%
Evann Guessand0%
Justin Devenny0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Christantus Uche0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adam Wharton10%
Marc Guéhi9%
Daichi Kamada9%
Daniel Muñoz9%
Jefferson Lerma9%
Chadi Riad8%
Yéremy Pino8%
Brennan Johnson8%
Tyrick Mitchell7%
Nathaniel Clyne7%
Evann Guessand7%
Jean-Philippe Mateta6%
Maxence Lacroix6%
Edward Nketiah5%
Jørgen Strand Larsen5%
Justin Devenny3%
Ismaïla Sarr2%
Will Hughes2%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Borna Sosa0%
Chris Richards0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Christantus Uche0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jean-Philippe Mateta18%
Ismaïla Sarr16%
Christantus Uche9%
Evann Guessand7%
Borna Sosa6%
Yéremy Pino6%
Edward Nketiah5%
Jørgen Strand Larsen5%
Chris Richards4%
Brennan Johnson4%
Adam Wharton4%
Justin Devenny3%
Daniel Muñoz2%
Jefferson Lerma2%
Will Hughes2%
Maxence Lacroix2%
Daichi Kamada0%
Nathaniel Clyne0%
Dean Henderson0%
Walter Benítez0%
Marc Guéhi0%
Tyrick Mitchell0%
Chadi Riad0%
Kaden Rodney0%
Rio Cardines0%
Romain Esse0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Joel Drakes-Thomas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
HUL (27)
€105m
Chelsea's squad is €902m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€1407m vs €505m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
HUL (7)
€22m
Chelsea's attack is €385m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€614m vs €229m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
HUL (8)
€31m
FUL (3)
€28m
Chelsea's midfield is €185m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€278m vs €93m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
HUL (12)
€52m
Chelsea's defence is €332m more valuable than Crystal Palace's (€514m vs €182m).
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
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Manchester City
Arsenal
Hull
Brentford
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Brighton
Manchester United
Sunderland
Ipswich
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Fulham
Coventry
Aston Villa
Tottenham