Chelsea’s recent three-game winning streak and the fact that they are playing at home against a weaker opponent make the model’s Home win pick the clear favourite. The odds reflect a 62% chance for a Chelsea victory, 24% for a draw and 15% for an Everton win. The average goal output is 2.7, with the most likely total being two goals at 26%. The single most likely scoreline is a 2-0 win for Chelsea, a 11.9% chance. Chelsea’s home form shows they average 2.45 goals scored and only 0.91 conceded against weaker sides, while Everton’s away form is poorer, scoring only 0.25 and conceding 1.5 against stronger teams. The model’s suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls (83.5%), Under 5.5 cards (73.2%), Under 3.5 (71.3%) and Under 23.5 fouls (71.3%), all with a hit probability. The remaining picks - Over 2.5 cards, Under 11.5 corners and Over 1.5 - are less likely, with probabilities of 80.6%, 77.2% and 76.2% respectively.
Results analysis
Chelsea extended their three-game winning run with a 1-0 victory over Everton, confirming the model’s home-win pick that carried a 62% probability. The match finished with the predicted result, so the model’s favourite was correct. The model’s suggested selections were mixed: “Under 25.5 fouls” at 83.5% hit, “Under 5.5 cards” at 73.2% hit, “Under 3.5” at 71.3% hit and “Under 23.5 fouls” at 71.3% hit, while “Over 2.5 cards” at 80.6% missed, “Under 11.5 corners” at 77.2% missed and “Over 1.5” at 76.2% missed. The final score of 1-0 matched the model’s 2-0 and 1-0 most-likely outcomes, but the total goal expectation of 2.7 fell short of the single goal actually scored.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Chelsea win✓ Hit
61.6%
Avg Implied 66.8% · @ 1.44
Edge
-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 20.1% · @ 4.79
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Everton win✗ Miss
14.6%
Avg Implied 13.2% · @ 7.31
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.10
2.36
0.86
1.56
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.44
1.78
2.00
0.67
1.17
2.33
vs Weaker (21)
2.14
0.81
2.45
0.91
1.80
0.70
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Everton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Everton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.93
1.29
1.00
0.69
0.85
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.40
0.83
1.33
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (19)
1.21
0.74
1.50
0.90
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.7%
@ 1.64-7.4%
Under 2.5
49.3%
@ 2.28+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.7%
Under 3.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.4%
No
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.9%
1-0 ✓
11.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.4%
Chelsea goals ↓
Everton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
4.4%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
1
12%
11%
4.2%
1.2%
0.2%
2
12%
9.7%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
3
7.5%
6.1%
2.5%
0.7%
0.1%
4
3.5%
2.9%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Everton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Chelsea is 0.55 points better than Everton in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Chelsea is 0.58 goals better than Everton in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Chelsea is 0.03 goals better than Everton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.16).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Chelsea is 16.2 percentage points better than Everton in terms of average possession (57% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chelsea
For 5.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 10.1 · Total 19.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Everton
For 4.4 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.5 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.8
9.6
4.3
4.0
4.7
21.6
20.5
22.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
9.3
9.4
9.2
5.4
5.8
5.1
24.6
23.5
25.8
vs Weaker (32)
9.9
10.0
9.7
3.7
3.1
4.4
20.0
18.9
21.2
% over line
54%
52%
57%
60%
52%
68%
54%
43%
65%
% under line
46%
48%
43%
40%
48%
32%
46%
57%
35%
This opponent (Everton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Everton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.2
11.1
3.3
2.8
3.9
21.6
21.0
22.1
vs Stronger (15)
10.7
10.9
10.6
4.5
4.3
4.6
22.3
24.4
20.4
vs Similar (33)
10.6
9.9
11.3
2.9
2.5
3.5
21.2
19.5
23.1
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
57%
65%
40%
30%
52%
54%
43%
65%
% under line
39%
43%
35%
60%
70%
48%
46%
57%
35%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.8
Bournemouth
11.5
Brentford
11.1
Everton
10.8
Ipswich
10.8
Newcastle
10.8
Fulham
10.8
Liverpool
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.6
Brighton
10.2
Southampton
10.2
Manchester United
10.1
Manchester City
10.1
Aston Villa
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.1
Leicester
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
West Ham
9.8
Wolves
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.8
Chelsea
4.7
Brighton
4.6
Wolves
4.5
Aston Villa
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Newcastle
4.2
Southampton
4.2
Manchester United
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Arsenal
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
Leicester
4.0
Fulham
4.0
West Ham
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Everton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.2
Wolves
24.1
Tottenham
23.9
Southampton
23.6
Aston Villa
23.2
Brighton
23.0
Newcastle
22.7
Ipswich
22.6
Crystal Palace
22.2
West Ham
22.0
Chelsea
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Leicester
21.5
Everton
21.4
Arsenal
21.2
Manchester United
21.0
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.7
Brentford
18.7
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.3%
Under 9.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.8%
Under 3.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
44.6%
Under 21.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
1.07
0.43
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.78
1.00
0.00
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (21)
0.90
0.48
1.09
0.55
0.70
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Everton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Everton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.37
0.71
0.35
0.46
0.38
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.32
0.80
0.40
0.56
0.22
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.53
1.29
0.43
0.88
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (21)
1.24
0.33
1.36
0.36
1.10
0.30
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Everton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Everton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.59
0.65
0.23
0.46
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.90
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.42
0.70
0.50
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Everton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolas Jackson32%
Christopher Nkunku26%
Cole Palmer24%
Marc Guiu21%
João Félix20%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Noni Madueke20%
Enzo Fernández17%
Marc Cucurella15%
Pedro Neto13%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall13%
Jadon Sancho12%
Axel Disasi12%
Renato Veiga11%
Tyrique George8%
Tosin Adarabioyo8%
Reece James7%
Levi Colwill5%
Moisés Caicedo4%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wesley Fofana50%
Moisés Caicedo29%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Levi Colwill24%
Nicolas Jackson24%
Roméo Lavia22%
Renato Veiga22%
Marc Cucurella21%
João Félix20%
Enzo Fernández20%
Tosin Adarabioyo19%
Pedro Neto18%
Axel Disasi18%
Cole Palmer17%
Cesare Casadei17%
Robert Sánchez15%
Trevoh Chalobah11%
Malo Gusto10%
Filip Jørgensen9%
Josh Acheampong8%
Jadon Sancho7%
Noni Madueke7%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall6%
Christopher Nkunku5%
Tyrique George4%
Reece James4%
Mykhaylo Mudryk0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Marc Guiu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enzo Fernández24%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Pedro Neto18%
Cole Palmer17%
Jadon Sancho17%
Tyrique George17%
Nicolas Jackson15%
Axel Disasi12%
João Félix10%
Noni Madueke10%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Christopher Nkunku10%
Reece James7%
Moisés Caicedo7%
Marc Cucurella6%
Roméo Lavia6%
Renato Veiga6%
Trevoh Chalobah5%
Malo Gusto5%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marc Guiu36%
João Félix35%
Cole Palmer28%
Nicolas Jackson26%
Noni Madueke22%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Carney Chukwuemeka20%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Pedro Neto9%
Enzo Fernández9%
Mykhaylo Mudryk7%
Axel Disasi6%
Marc Cucurella4%
Tyrique George4%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Malo Gusto2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Renato Veiga0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Everton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iliman Ndiaye27%
Beto26%
Dwight McNeil17%
Michael Keane17%
Carlos Alcaraz12%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin12%
Abdoulaye Doucouré11%
Jake O'Brien8%
Orel Mangala5%
James Tarkowski3%
Ashley Young3%
Vitaliy Mykolenko3%
Jack Harrison3%
James Garner0%
Jordan Pickford0%
Idrissa Gueye0%
Jesper Lindstrøm0%
Jarrad Branthwaite0%
Séamus Coleman0%
Nathan Patterson0%
Armando Broja0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Youssef Chermiti0%
Harrison Armstrong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Keane28%
Carlos Alcaraz25%
Youssef Chermiti25%
Tim Iroegbunam24%
Idrissa Gueye22%
Ashley Young22%
James Garner22%
Jake O'Brien21%
James Tarkowski18%
Jordan Pickford18%
Séamus Coleman17%
Harrison Armstrong17%
Jarrad Branthwaite12%
Abdoulaye Doucouré11%
Vitaliy Mykolenko11%
Iliman Ndiaye11%
Jesper Lindstrøm10%
Orel Mangala10%
Nathan Patterson9%
Armando Broja9%
Beto9%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin8%
Dwight McNeil4%
Jack Harrison3%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dwight McNeil26%
Carlos Alcaraz19%
Harrison Armstrong17%
Tim Iroegbunam10%
Nathan Patterson9%
Ashley Young8%
Vitaliy Mykolenko8%
Michael Keane6%
Abdoulaye Doucouré6%
Idrissa Gueye5%
James Garner4%
Jake O'Brien4%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin4%
Jesper Lindstrøm3%
Jarrad Branthwaite3%
James Tarkowski3%
Jordan Pickford2%
Iliman Ndiaye0%
Séamus Coleman0%
Jack Harrison0%
Orel Mangala0%
Beto0%
Armando Broja0%
Youssef Chermiti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Calvert-Lewin23%
Beto21%
Carlos Alcaraz19%
Dwight McNeil17%
Armando Broja9%
Jesper Lindstrøm7%
Michael Keane6%
Iliman Ndiaye5%
Idrissa Gueye5%
Ashley Young0%
James Garner0%
Vitaliy Mykolenko0%
Jordan Pickford0%
James Tarkowski0%
Jarrad Branthwaite0%
Séamus Coleman0%
Abdoulaye Doucouré0%
Jack Harrison0%
Orel Mangala0%
Nathan Patterson0%
Jake O'Brien0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Youssef Chermiti0%
Harrison Armstrong0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Chelsea's squad is €948m more valuable than Everton's (€1407m vs €459m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Chelsea's attack is €440m more valuable than Everton's (€614m vs €174m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Chelsea's midfield is €116m more valuable than Everton's (€278m vs €162m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Chelsea's defence is €391m more valuable than Everton's (€514m vs €123m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Manchester City
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton