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Chelsea vs Liverpool Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2025
Time: 16:30
Final 3-1
Chelsea
Chelsea
Vs
36%
27%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Referee: S Hooper

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chelsea win✓ Hit
35.7%
Avg Implied 40.7% · @ 2.35
Edge
-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.71
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.86
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L10W00D30W22D12L21W10W41WH·FC 13/03A·ARS16/03H·TOT03/04A·BRE06/04A·LEG10/04H·IPS13/04H·LEG17/04A·FUL20/04H·EVE26/04A·DJU01/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.132.210.861.691.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.252.001.501.001.172.33
vs Weaker (22)2.180.822.330.832.000.80
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W10W31W01L12L10W23L21W10W51WH·NEW26/02A·PAR05/03H·SOU08/03H·PAR11/03H·NEW16/03H·EVE02/04A·FUL06/04H·WES13/04A·LEI20/04H·TOT27/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.032.470.932.001.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)2.401.302.751.002.171.50
vs Weaker (20)2.150.902.360.911.890.89
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.50-8.3%
Under 2.5
44.8%
@ 2.61+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
Chelsea goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
01234
06.7%7.0%5.9%2.9%1.1%
16.8%13%8.5%4.1%1.5%
25.7%8.3%6.1%2.9%1.1%
32.7%3.9%2.9%1.4%0.5%
41.0%1.4%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Chelsea is 0.39 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 2.21).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Chelsea is 0.58 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 2.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Chelsea is 0.05 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.08).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Chelsea is 1.2 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (57% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ChelseaChelsea

For 5.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

1904310246231548663464516712105191491097A·DJUH·EVEA·FULH·LEGH·IPSA·LEGA·BREH·TOTA·ARSH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

100213122231553321130424410631A·DJUH·EVEA·FULH·LEGH·IPSA·BREH·TOTA·ARSH·FC H·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.3

⚠️ Fouls

24081011119139611757121271613109718222215181224232316A·DJUH·EVEA·FULH·LEGH·IPSA·LEGA·BREH·TOTA·ARSH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 7.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 12.3

🚩 Corners

1808213110344115126642144257101413816181016612H·TOTA·LEIH·WESA·FULH·EVEH·PARH·SOUA·PARH·NEWA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.3

🟨 Cards

402121232211211113323423210H·TOTA·LEIH·WESA·FULH·EVEH·PARH·SOUA·PARH·NEWA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 8.1 · Total 18.8

⚠️ Fouls

25016971115891071114610973121110325182319182019102313H·TOTA·LEIH·WESA·FULH·EVEH·PARH·SOUA·PARH·NEWA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChelseaChelsea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.09.54.23.84.621.720.822.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)9.49.59.25.66.55.125.625.525.8
vs Weaker (34)9.810.19.63.62.94.320.019.121.0
% over line54%55%54%58%50%65%57%50%62%
% under line46%45%46%42%50%35%43%50%38%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.710.63.53.63.320.722.019.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)10.811.110.43.33.82.819.722.617.1
vs Weaker (31)10.510.410.73.63.53.721.421.621.2
% over line60%57%62%48%48%48%43%52%33%
% under line40%43%38%52%52%52%57%48%67%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.8
Bournemouth
11.2
Brentford
10.9
Liverpool
10.8
Newcastle
10.7
Ipswich
10.7
Everton
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Southampton
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.2
Manchester United
10.2
Brighton
10.1
Aston Villa
10.1
Manchester City
10.1
Leicester
10.0
West Ham
9.8
Wolves
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Arsenal
9.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.8
Chelsea
4.7
Brighton
4.6
Aston Villa
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Wolves
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Newcastle
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Southampton
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
Leicester
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Ipswich
3.8
West Ham
3.8
Manchester City
3.7
Everton
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.1
Wolves
24.0
Tottenham
23.7
Southampton
23.7
Aston Villa
23.2
Brighton
22.8
Ipswich
22.7
Newcastle
22.6
Crystal Palace
22.0
West Ham
22.0
Chelsea
21.7
Nottingham Forest
21.6
Everton
21.6
Leicester
21.5
Manchester United
21.2
Arsenal
21.1
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.9
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.2%
Under 9.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.0%
Under 3.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
55.2%
Under 21.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ChelseaChelsea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D00D00D02L11D01L10W20WH·FC 13/03A·ARS16/03H·TOT03/04A·BRE06/04A·LEG10/04H·IPS13/04H·LEG17/04A·FUL20/04H·EVE26/04A·DJU01/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.571.000.430.810.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.620.880.500.000.671.17
vs Weaker (22)1.000.451.080.500.900.40
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L01L01L00D13L10W00D31WH·NEW26/02A·PAR05/03H·SOU08/03H·PAR11/03H·NEW16/03H·EVE02/04A·FUL06/04H·WES13/04A·LEI20/04H·TOT27/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.571.000.401.070.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.200.801.000.501.331.00
vs Weaker (20)0.950.451.000.360.890.56
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ChelseaChelsea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W00D30W20W01L20W00D21WH·FC 13/03A·ARS16/03H·TOT03/04A·BRE06/04A·LEG10/04H·IPS13/04H·LEG17/04A·FUL20/04H·EVE26/04A·DJU01/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.571.210.430.880.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.621.121.001.000.501.17
vs Weaker (22)1.180.361.250.331.100.40
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W30W00D11D10W10W11D10W20WH·NEW26/02A·PAR05/03H·SOU08/03H·PAR11/03H·NEW16/03H·EVE02/04A·FUL06/04H·WES13/04A·LEI20/04H·TOT27/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.471.470.530.930.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.200.501.750.500.830.50
vs Weaker (20)1.200.451.360.551.000.33
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards85.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls75.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls71.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolas Jackson32%
Christopher Nkunku26%
Cole Palmer24%
Marc Guiu21%
João Félix20%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Noni Madueke20%
Enzo Fernández17%
Marc Cucurella15%
Pedro Neto13%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall13%
Jadon Sancho12%
Axel Disasi12%
Renato Veiga11%
Tyrique George8%
Tosin Adarabioyo8%
Reece James7%
Levi Colwill5%
Moisés Caicedo4%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wesley Fofana50%
Moisés Caicedo29%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Levi Colwill24%
Nicolas Jackson24%
Roméo Lavia22%
Renato Veiga22%
Marc Cucurella21%
João Félix20%
Enzo Fernández20%
Tosin Adarabioyo19%
Pedro Neto18%
Axel Disasi18%
Cole Palmer17%
Cesare Casadei17%
Robert Sánchez15%
Trevoh Chalobah11%
Malo Gusto10%
Filip Jørgensen9%
Josh Acheampong8%
Jadon Sancho7%
Noni Madueke7%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall6%
Christopher Nkunku5%
Tyrique George4%
Reece James4%
Mykhaylo Mudryk0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Marc Guiu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enzo Fernández24%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Pedro Neto18%
Cole Palmer17%
Jadon Sancho17%
Tyrique George17%
Nicolas Jackson15%
Axel Disasi12%
João Félix10%
Noni Madueke10%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Christopher Nkunku10%
Reece James7%
Moisés Caicedo7%
Marc Cucurella6%
Roméo Lavia6%
Renato Veiga6%
Trevoh Chalobah5%
Malo Gusto5%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marc Guiu36%
João Félix35%
Cole Palmer28%
Nicolas Jackson26%
Noni Madueke22%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Carney Chukwuemeka20%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Pedro Neto9%
Enzo Fernández9%
Mykhaylo Mudryk7%
Axel Disasi6%
Marc Cucurella4%
Tyrique George4%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Malo Gusto2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Renato Veiga0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah56%
Cody Gakpo31%
Jayden Danns25%
Luis Díaz24%
Diogo Jota22%
Harvey Elliott18%
Dominik Szoboszlai16%
Alexis Mac Allister14%
Federico Chiesa14%
Darwin Núñez13%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Curtis Jones7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James McConnell25%
Alexis Mac Allister22%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Darwin Núñez19%
Ibrahima Konaté19%
Virgil van Dijk14%
Ryan Gravenberch14%
Harvey Elliott14%
Conor Bradley14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Joe Gomez12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold11%
Andrew Robertson11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas10%
Cody Gakpo10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Luis Díaz6%
Diogo Jota5%
Curtis Jones4%
Wataru Endo3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jayden Danns0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah37%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Dominik Szoboszlai14%
Conor Bradley14%
Trent Alexander-Arnold14%
Curtis Jones13%
Cody Gakpo12%
Harvey Elliott11%
Darwin Núñez11%
Alexis Mac Allister10%
Luis Díaz10%
Ryan Gravenberch8%
Diogo Jota8%
Federico Chiesa7%
Konstantinos Tsimikas7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Andrew Robertson4%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah52%
Cody Gakpo24%
Darwin Núñez21%
Luis Díaz18%
Diogo Jota16%
Harvey Elliott11%
Dominik Szoboszlai10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Curtis Jones4%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Alexis Mac Allister4%
Konstantinos Tsimikas3%
Ibrahima Konaté2%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Chelsea's squad is €427m more valuable than Liverpool's (€1407m vs €980m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Chelsea's attack is €96m more valuable than Liverpool's (€614m vs €518m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Chelsea's midfield is €77m more valuable than Liverpool's (€278m vs €201m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Chelsea's defence is €254m more valuable than Liverpool's (€514m vs €260m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
CHE wins
5
Draws
2
LIV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chelsea vs Liverpool · H/A from CHE
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24ALiverpool Vs CHE2-1
31/01/24ALiverpool Vs CHE4-1
13/08/23HCHE Vs Liverpool1-1
04/04/23HCHE Vs Liverpool0-0
21/01/23ALiverpool Vs CHE0-0
02/01/22HCHE Vs Liverpool2-2
28/08/21ALiverpool Vs CHE1-1
04/03/21ALiverpool Vs CHE0-1

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/25ADjurgardens IF Vs CHE1-4
26/04/25HCHE Vs Everton1-0
20/04/25AFulham Vs CHE1-2
17/04/25HCHE Vs Legia Warszawa1-2
13/04/25HCHE Vs Ipswich2-2
10/04/25ALegia Warszawa Vs CHE0-3
06/04/25ABrentford Vs CHE0-0
03/04/25HCHE Vs Tottenham1-0
16/03/25AArsenal Vs CHE1-0
13/03/25HCHE Vs FC Copenhagen1-0

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25HLIV Vs Tottenham5-1
20/04/25ALeicester Vs LIV0-1
13/04/25HLIV Vs West Ham2-1
06/04/25AFulham Vs LIV3-2
02/04/25HLIV Vs Everton1-0
16/03/25HLIV Vs Newcastle1-2
11/03/25HLIV Vs Paris Saint Germain0-1
08/03/25HLIV Vs Southampton3-1
05/03/25AParis Saint Germain Vs LIV0-1
26/02/25HLIV Vs Newcastle2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.98
HomeWWDLW2.33
AwayLDWWW1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%71%50%
AVG goals3.263.423.12
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %66%67%65%
Over 3.5 %34%42%27%
Scored2.202.581.85
Conceded1.060.831.27
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet32%42%23%
Corners9.709.959.46
Cards4.714.185.22
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.30
HomeLLWWW2.48
AwayDWWLW2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %72%80%64%
AVG goals3.183.163.20
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %42%40%44%
Scored2.262.442.08
Conceded0.920.721.12
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet40%40%40%
Corners10.6210.6710.57
Cards4.124.293.95

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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