Pythia gives Chelsea a 47% win probability against Manchester United in the England: Premier League on 2024-04-04, with 22% for the draw and 31% for Manchester United. The model estimates around 4.0 total goals, with 6+ the most likely total (21%) and 2-1 the most likely scoreline (8.0%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (92%), Over 2.5 cards (90%), Under 25.5 fouls (84%), Over 3.5 cards (77%).
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on, as Chelsea’s 4-3 triumph over Manchester United confirmed the favoured home win and extended their three-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 47% probability, and the outcome matched that call. The model’s selections largely hit: Over 1.5 goals at 91.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.5%, Under 25.5 fouls at 83.8%, Over 8.5 corners at 76.6%, Over 2.5 goals at 76.2%, BTTS Yes at 74.8%, and Under 23.5 fouls at 71.7%. Only Over 3.5 cards, with a 76.9% chance, missed. The match delivered the predicted high-scoring, high-card drama the model anticipated.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Chelsea win✓ Hit
47.3%
Avg Implied 52.9% · @ 1.82
Edge
-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied 22.5% · @ 4.27
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.92
Edge
+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.73
1.73
1.53
1.67
1.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.64
2.07
2.00
1.86
1.29
2.29
vs Weaker (16)
1.75
1.44
1.50
1.25
2.00
1.62
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.50
1.36
1.36
1.69
1.62
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.75
0.00
2.00
2.00
3.50
vs Similar (17)
1.47
1.59
1.67
1.44
1.25
1.75
vs Weaker (9)
1.89
0.78
1.33
0.67
2.17
0.83
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.6%
Under 1.5
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
76.2%
@ 1.41+8.3%
Under 2.5
23.8%
@ 2.97-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.6%
Under 3.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
74.8%
No
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.0%
1-1
8.0%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
5.3%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
Chelsea goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.6%
2.6%
2.9%
1.7%
0.8%
1
3.3%
8.0%
6.5%
3.9%
1.7%
2
4.5%
8.0%
7.2%
4.3%
1.9%
3
3.3%
5.9%
5.3%
3.1%
1.4%
4
1.8%
3.3%
2.9%
1.7%
0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Chelsea is 0.08 points better than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Chelsea is 0.53 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Chelsea is 0.13 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Chelsea is 7.9 percentage points better than Manchester United in terms of average possession (58% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chelsea
For 4.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
For 5.8 · Against 9.3 · Total 15.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 7.9 · Total 18.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.0
10.0
5.1
5.1
5.1
23.6
23.5
23.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
9.8
10.0
9.6
5.3
5.3
5.2
23.8
23.1
24.5
vs Weaker (25)
10.2
10.0
10.5
4.9
4.9
4.9
23.4
23.9
22.8
% over line
50%
58%
42%
86%
88%
83%
50%
58%
42%
% under line
50%
42%
58%
14%
12%
17%
50%
42%
58%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.4
13.1
11.8
4.1
4.1
4.1
20.2
20.1
20.2
vs Stronger (4)
13.0
12.5
13.5
2.8
4.0
1.5
15.8
16.0
15.5
vs Similar (30)
12.1
12.5
11.7
4.1
4.1
4.1
19.7
20.0
19.4
vs Weaker (16)
13.0
14.2
11.8
4.4
4.1
4.6
22.2
21.4
23.1
% over line
74%
75%
73%
58%
58%
58%
34%
38%
31%
% under line
26%
25%
27%
42%
42%
42%
66%
62%
69%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.4
Bournemouth
11.7
Tottenham
11.5
Liverpool
10.9
Everton
10.8
Luton
10.8
Burnley
10.4
Fulham
10.4
Sheffield United
10.4
Wolves
10.2
Newcastle
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Brentford
10.2
Manchester City
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Crystal Palace
9.9
Aston Villa
9.8
Brighton
9.4
Arsenal
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brighton
5.2
Aston Villa
5.1
Chelsea
5.1
Tottenham
4.9
Wolves
4.7
Sheffield United
4.4
Newcastle
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Burnley
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Bournemouth
4.0
Manchester City
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Luton
3.8
West Ham
3.7
Everton
3.7
Fulham
3.7
Arsenal
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.4
Crystal Palace
23.9
Aston Villa
23.8
Wolves
23.6
Chelsea
23.6
Luton
23.5
Brighton
23.2
Newcastle
23.0
Liverpool
22.3
Arsenal
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.8
Bournemouth
21.8
Everton
21.5
Burnley
21.5
Fulham
21.5
Brentford
21.5
Sheffield United
20.3
Manchester United
20.2
Manchester City
20.0
West Ham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.7%
Under 9.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
76.9%
Under 3.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
44.2%
Under 21.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
0.87
0.60
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.93
1.14
0.86
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
0.75
0.38
0.62
0.38
0.88
0.38
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.50
0.64
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.65
0.56
0.89
0.62
0.38
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.22
0.67
0.00
1.17
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.10
0.87
0.93
0.93
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
1.14
0.86
1.00
0.71
1.29
vs Weaker (16)
1.00
1.06
0.88
0.88
1.12
1.25
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.97
0.86
0.71
0.88
1.19
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.94
1.11
0.56
0.62
1.38
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.56
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
76.2%
1.41
-
-
-
-
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cole Palmer45%
Nicolas Jackson31%
Christopher Nkunku27%
Raheem Sterling23%
Noni Madueke22%
Mykhaylo Mudryk16%
Carney Chukwuemeka11%
Conor Gallagher11%
Thiago Silva10%
Alfie Gilchrist9%
Trevoh Chalobah8%
Armando Broja8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Axel Disasi6%
Levi Colwill4%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Ben Chilwell0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marc Cucurella48%
Ben Chilwell38%
Moisés Caicedo31%
Nicolas Jackson29%
Malo Gusto26%
Enzo Fernández25%
Raheem Sterling23%
Carney Chukwuemeka22%
Conor Gallagher22%
Cole Palmer21%
Axel Disasi19%
Benoît Badiashile17%
Lesley Ugochukwu17%
Mykhaylo Mudryk16%
Thiago Silva13%
Robert Sánchez12%
Reece James10%
Alfie Gilchrist9%
Đorđe Petrović9%
Noni Madueke9%
Levi Colwill9%
Ian Maatsen8%
Trevoh Chalobah8%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Armando Broja0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cole Palmer30%
Reece James20%
Conor Gallagher19%
Malo Gusto19%
Nicolas Jackson14%
Raheem Sterling13%
Carney Chukwuemeka11%
Marc Cucurella10%
Noni Madueke9%
Moisés Caicedo9%
Ben Chilwell8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Mykhaylo Mudryk6%
Benoît Badiashile6%
Levi Colwill4%
Thiago Silva3%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Axel Disasi0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Armando Broja0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
Alfie Gilchrist0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cole Palmer39%
Nicolas Jackson23%
Raheem Sterling16%
Noni Madueke13%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Conor Gallagher8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Mykhaylo Mudryk6%
Axel Disasi3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Thiago Silva0%
Ben Chilwell0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
Alfie Gilchrist0%
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rasmus Højlund33%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Marcus Rashford19%
Scott McTominay16%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Alejandro Garnacho12%
Harry Maguire12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
Amad Diallo11%
Casemiro7%
Mason Mount6%
Anthony Martial6%
Diogo Dalot5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Christian Eriksen4%
Raphaël Varane4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Shaw50%
Lisandro Martínez33%
Sofyan Amrabat31%
Casemiro30%
Sergio Reguilón27%
Bruno Fernandes27%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka20%
Harry Maguire19%
Antony18%
Diogo Dalot14%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Mason Mount12%
Willy Kambwala12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
André Onana11%
Amad Diallo11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Victor Lindelöf9%
Scott McTominay8%
Jonny Evans8%
Raphaël Varane8%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Marcus Rashford5%
Christian Eriksen4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Anthony Martial0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Forson25%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka12%
Christian Eriksen12%
Amad Diallo11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Lisandro Martínez8%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro7%
Diogo Dalot7%
Luke Shaw7%
Anthony Martial6%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Scott McTominay5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jonny Evans4%
Kobbie Mainoo4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Fernandes37%
Alejandro Garnacho26%
Casemiro11%
Amad Diallo11%
Rasmus Højlund11%
Scott McTominay11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Antony9%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Diogo Dalot2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Christian Eriksen0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Anthony Martial0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Omari Forson0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Chelsea's squad is €477m more valuable than Manchester United's (€1407m vs €929m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Chelsea's attack is €182m more valuable than Manchester United's (€614m vs €432m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Chelsea's midfield is €42m more valuable than Manchester United's (€278m vs €236m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Chelsea's defence is €253m more valuable than Manchester United's (€514m vs €261m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Newcastle
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United