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Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction & Stats

Date: 31/10/2026
Time: 12:30
Chelsea
Chelsea
Vs
45%
25%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Chelsea’s recent 3-game winning streak and a 4-3 victory over Brighton signal an attacking surge, while United’s 5-2 win at Ipswich shows they can fire from the back. The model favours a Chelsea win, with a 45% chance, a draw at 24% and a United win at 30%. The expected total is 3.4 goals, with a 22% chance that exactly three goals will be scored. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.7% probability. Chelsea averages one goal scored and 1.67 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas United averages 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded on the road. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Under 6.5 (96.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.8%), Under 5.5 (91.9%), Over 1.5 (85.8%), Home +2 handicap (83.9%) and Away under 2.5 goals (82.9%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chelsea win
44.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L10W13L11D01L21W12L32W20W43WA·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04H·NOT04/05A·LIV09/05H·MAN16/05H·TOT19/05A·SUN24/05A·FUL24/08H·LUT27/08H·BRI30/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.571.621.311.931.86
vs Stronger (2)1.004.000.003.002.005.00
vs Similar (12)1.251.671.001.671.501.67
vs Weaker (16)2.251.192.220.892.291.57
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D12L10W21W32W00D32W30W02L52WA·BOU20/03H·LEE13/04A·CHE18/04H·BRE27/04H·LIV03/05A·SUN09/05H·NOT17/05A·BRI24/05A·HUL22/08H·IPS30/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.272.121.381.571.14
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (22)1.951.322.331.501.501.10
vs Weaker (7)1.571.291.331.331.751.25
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.6%
Under 2.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.4%
Under 3.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
64.6%
No
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
1-0
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
Chelsea goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
01234
05.0%4.7%4.2%2.0%0.7%
16.0%11%7.4%3.6%1.3%
26.3%9.1%6.6%3.2%1.1%
33.7%5.4%3.9%1.9%0.7%
41.7%2.4%1.7%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brentford
1.39
Brighton
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Ipswich
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
Hull
0.98
Coventry
0.97
Chelsea is 0.50 points worse than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.87).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
Ipswich
1.19
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Hull
0.99
Coventry
0.98
Chelsea is 0.29 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
Ipswich
1.58
Hull
1.91
Coventry
1.93
Chelsea is 0.05 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
Chelsea is 5.4 percentage points better than Manchester United in terms of average possession (57% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ChelseaChelsea

For 5.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

14047934677344425101645611121014787111011H·BRIH·LUTA·FULA·SUNH·TOTH·MANA·LIVH·NOTH·LEEA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

7013132234331423134114155746472H·BRIH·LUTA·FULA·SUNH·TOTH·MANA·LIVH·NOTH·LEEA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

34061211671218151118151317171210141361518171933292834222721H·BRIH·LUTA·FULA·SUNH·TOTH·MANA·LIVH·NOTH·LEEA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester UnitedManchester United

For 6.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

150846137687327817114861273131551581514H·IPSA·HULA·BRIH·NOTA·SUNH·LIVH·BREA·CHEH·LEEA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

601312121322243142324313346465H·IPSA·HULA·BRIH·NOTA·SUNH·LIVH·BREA·CHEH·LEEA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.6

⚠️ Fouls

27071291081111512121211691312121591019191916242315252719H·IPSA·HULA·BRIH·NOTA·SUNH·LIVH·BREA·CHEH·LEEA·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChelseaChelsea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.311.19.43.63.83.422.222.222.1
vs Stronger (2)8.512.05.00.50.01.019.518.021.0
vs Similar (23)9.810.88.84.14.43.824.623.525.6
vs Weaker (25)10.911.410.43.43.63.320.121.319.1
% over line63%71%55%54%64%44%51%62%41%
% under line37%29%45%46%36%56%49%38%59%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.89.23.13.62.620.920.721.1
vs Stronger (3)6.57.06.01.72.50.018.521.016.0
vs Similar (35)9.810.09.53.33.92.721.421.221.7
vs Weaker (12)9.610.09.22.82.82.719.718.820.4
% over line52%55%50%48%60%36%42%45%40%
% under line48%45%50%52%40%64%58%55%60%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
10.7
Fulham
10.5
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Tottenham
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Brighton
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Hull
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Aston Villa
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Bournemouth
23.2
Tottenham
22.9
Chelsea
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Leeds
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Newcastle
21.8
Everton
21.6
Manchester United
21.5
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Fulham
20.0
Brentford
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.0%
Under 9.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.0%
Under 3.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
49.6%
Under 21.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Chelsea or Draw
66.3%
Avg Implied -
45%
25%
30%
covers Chelsea + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea or Manchester United
73.3%
Avg Implied -
45%
25%
30%
covers Chelsea + Manchester United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Manchester United
60.4%
Avg Implied -
45%
25%
30%
covers Draw + Manchester United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Chelsea over/under 0.5
Over
78.7%
Under
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5
Over
45.7%
Under
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5
Over
20.3%
Under
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 3.5
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5
Over
75.7%
Under
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5
Over
41.3%
Under
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5
Over
17.0%
Under
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 3.5
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Chelsea, so a minus line means Chelsea give that many goals of a start and Manchester United receive them. At -1, Chelsea must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Chelsea win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Chelsea)
Chelsea -2
8.0%
Draw -2
12.1%
Manchester United +2
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Chelsea)
Chelsea -1
20.1%
Draw -1
19.5%
Manchester United +1
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Chelsea)
Chelsea +1
66.3%
Draw +1
17.7%
Manchester United -1
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Chelsea)
Chelsea +2
84.0%
Draw +2
10.1%
Manchester United -2
5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ChelseaChelsea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W02L11D00D10W01L21W00D31WA·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04H·NOT04/05A·LIV09/05H·MAN16/05H·TOT19/05A·SUN24/05A·FUL24/08H·LUT27/08H·BRI30/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.700.690.561.000.86
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.750.750.670.500.831.00
vs Weaker (16)0.940.500.780.441.140.57
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W20W20W00D10W20W02L11DA·BOU20/03H·LEE13/04A·CHE18/04H·BRE27/04H·LIV03/05A·SUN09/05H·NOT17/05A·BRI24/05A·HUL22/08H·IPS30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.750.500.500.57
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (22)0.730.450.830.500.600.40
vs Weaker (7)0.430.860.670.670.251.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ChelseaChelsea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D00D01L11D11D11D20W12LA·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04H·NOT04/05A·LIV09/05H·MAN16/05H·TOT19/05A·SUN24/05A·FUL24/08H·LUT27/08H·BRI30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.870.940.750.931.00
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (12)0.500.920.331.170.670.67
vs Weaker (16)1.310.691.440.441.141.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D10W00D01L12L00D22D10W00D41WA·BOU20/03H·LEE13/04A·CHE18/04H·BRE27/04H·LIV03/05A·SUN09/05H·NOT17/05A·BRI24/05A·HUL22/08H·IPS30/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.731.380.881.070.57
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (22)1.230.861.501.000.900.70
vs Weaker (7)1.140.430.670.671.500.25
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.9%-------
Under 6.596.9%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals92.8%-------
Under 5.592.0%-------
Over 1.584.3%-------
Home +2 handicap84.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals83.0%-------
Under 4.582.2%-------
Under 25.5 fouls80.1%-------
Away +2 handicap79.9%-------
Under 5.5 cards79.8%-------
Home under 2.5 goals79.7%-------
Home over 0.5 goals78.7%-------
Away over 0.5 goals75.7%-------
Over 2.5 cards75.0%-------
Home or Away73.3%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro67%
Cole Palmer67%
Pedro Neto33%
Morgan Rogers33%
Roméo Lavia33%
Reece James0%
Maxence Lacroix0%
Malo Gusto0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Josh Acheampong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reece James33%
Roméo Lavia33%
Pedro Neto0%
João Pedro0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Maxence Lacroix0%
Cole Palmer0%
Malo Gusto0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro67%
Morgan Rogers33%
Maxence Lacroix33%
Cole Palmer33%
Malo Gusto33%
Jorrel Hato33%
Pedro Neto0%
Reece James0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro67%
Cole Palmer67%
Pedro Neto0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Reece James0%
Maxence Lacroix0%
Malo Gusto0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Manchester United · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Šeško34%
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha29%
Casemiro26%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Mason Mount12%
Harry Maguire8%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Matthijs de Ligt7%
Amad Diallo6%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Diogo Dalot3%
Luke Shaw3%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Casemiro29%
Shea Lacey25%
Luke Shaw24%
Patrick Dorgu18%
Harry Maguire16%
Joshua Zirkzee15%
Noussair Mazraoui15%
Diogo Dalot14%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Bryan Mbeumo12%
Matheus Cunha11%
Ayden Heaven11%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Mason Mount8%
Benjamin Šeško6%
Amad Diallo6%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Senne Lammens0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes51%
Patrick Dorgu14%
Kobbie Mainoo10%
Amad Diallo9%
Bryan Mbeumo9%
Diogo Dalot8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro6%
Matheus Cunha6%
Ayden Heaven6%
Mason Mount4%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Benjamin Šeško3%
Luke Shaw3%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Shea Lacey0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Matheus Cunha31%
Benjamin Šeško25%
Bruno Fernandes22%
Amad Diallo15%
Casemiro14%
Joshua Zirkzee8%
Patrick Dorgu7%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Diogo Dalot0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Harry Maguire0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Senne Lammens0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Leny Yoro0%
Jack Fletcher0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Shea Lacey0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
HUL (27)
€105m
Chelsea's squad is €477m more valuable than Manchester United's (€1407m vs €929m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
HUL (7)
€22m
Chelsea's attack is €182m more valuable than Manchester United's (€614m vs €432m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
HUL (8)
€31m
FUL (3)
€28m
Chelsea's midfield is €42m more valuable than Manchester United's (€278m vs €236m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
HUL (12)
€52m
Chelsea's defence is €253m more valuable than Manchester United's (€514m vs €261m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
CHE wins
2
Draws
4
MU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chelsea vs Manchester United · H/A from CHE
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26HCHE Vs Manchester United0-1
20/09/25AManchester United Vs CHE2-1
16/05/25HCHE Vs Manchester United1-0
03/11/24AManchester United Vs CHE1-1
04/04/24HCHE Vs Manchester United4-3
06/12/23AManchester United Vs CHE2-1
25/05/23AManchester United Vs CHE4-1
22/10/22HCHE Vs Manchester United1-1

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HCHE Vs Brighton4-3
27/08/26HCHE Vs Luton2-0
24/08/26AFulham Vs CHE2-3
24/05/26ASunderland Vs CHE2-1
19/05/26HCHE Vs Tottenham2-1
16/05/26HCHE Vs Manchester City0-1
09/05/26ALiverpool Vs CHE1-1
04/05/26HCHE Vs Nottingham Forest1-3
26/04/26HCHE Vs Leeds1-0
21/04/26ABrighton Vs CHE3-0

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HMU Vs Ipswich5-2
22/08/26AHull Vs MU2-0
24/05/26ABrighton Vs MU0-3
17/05/26HMU Vs Nottingham Forest3-2
09/05/26ASunderland Vs MU0-0
03/05/26HMU Vs Liverpool3-2
27/04/26HMU Vs Brentford2-1
18/04/26AChelsea Vs MU0-1
13/04/26HMU Vs Leeds1-2
20/03/26ABournemouth Vs MU2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.52
HomeLLWWW1.54
AwayLLDLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%46%42%
AVG goals3.303.003.58
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %68%58%77%
Over 3.5 %42%29%54%
Scored1.821.711.92
Conceded1.481.291.65
BTTS60%46%73%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners10.0410.799.35
Cards4.434.574.31
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.70
HomeLWWWW2.12
AwayDWDWL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%67%31%
AVG goals3.163.422.92
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %36%38%35%
Scored1.802.121.50
Conceded1.361.291.42
BTTS66%67%65%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners9.589.429.73
Cards4.104.503.73

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City26
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
3.0
0%
20.0
50%
1326
6351605313.01.0
60%
2ArsenalArsenal26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
3.0
50%
23.0
100%
1406
6082905082.00.0
56%
3HullHull26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
50%
19.0
0%
105
2231521.50.0
-
4ChelseaChelsea26
100%
3.0
75+2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
10.5
100%
4.5
100%
18.5
0%
1407
6142785143.52.5
57%
5BrentfordBrentford24
50%
2.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.5
100%
3.0
50%
24.5
50%
565
2281282092.00.5
47%
6NewcastleNewcastle24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
100%
568
2341242102.01.0
52%
7EvertonEverton24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
22.5
50%
459
1741621231.50.5
44%
8LeedsLeeds24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
427
166981631.00.5
46%
9BrightonBrighton23
50%
1.5
74+3
5.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
19.5
0%
620
1901802493.52.0
53%
10Manchester UnitedManchester United23
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
3.5
50%
19.0
0%
929
4322362612.52.0
52%
11SunderlandSunderland23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.5
0%
25.5
100%
392
1571101251.01.0
45%
12IpswichIpswich23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.5
50%
280
13066852.03.0
-
13LiverpoolLiverpool22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
100%
27.0
100%
980
5182012602.02.0
59%
14Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
4.5
50%
26.0
100%
551
263522361.01.5
46%
15BournemouthBournemouth21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
23.5
100%
573
2851061821.01.5
50%
16FulhamFulham20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
329
178281231.02.0
51%
17CoventryCoventry20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
237
8552990.02.0
-
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
2.0
0%
19.0
0%
505
229931820.53.0
45%
19Aston VillaAston Villa20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
5.0
100%
22.0
50%
536
2201601560.02.5
53%
20TottenhamTottenham20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
2.5
0%
27.5
100%
920
2502823880.02.5
50%
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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