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Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Result & Analysis

Date: 02/09/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Chelsea
Chelsea
Vs
58%
25%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Referee: T Robinson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chelsea win✗ Miss
57.5%
Avg Implied 68.3% · @ 1.40
Edge
-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 19.8% · @ 4.84
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest win✓ Hit
17.1%
Avg Implied 11.9% · @ 8.03
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L13L31W22D01L14L11D11D13L30WH·BRE26/04A·ARS02/05A·BOU06/05H·NOT13/05A·MAN21/05A·MAN25/05H·NEW28/05H·LIV13/08A·WES20/08H·LUT25/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.300.881.000.861.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.621.440.621.120.621.75
vs Weaker (14)1.141.141.120.881.171.50
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L31W12L43W22D10W11D12L21W23LA·LIV22/04H·BRI26/04A·BRE29/04H·SOU08/05A·CHE13/05H·ARS20/05A·CRY28/05A·ARS12/08H·SHE18/08A·MAN26/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.701.531.070.872.33
vs Stronger (8)1.121.751.000.501.253.00
vs Similar (22)1.231.681.731.270.732.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.0%
Under 1.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.0%
@ 1.73-6.4%
Under 2.5
51.0%
@ 2.15+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
0-1 ✓
5.1%
Chelsea goals ↓
Nottingham Forest goals →
01234
08.3%5.1%2.7%0.8%0.2%
112%12%4.8%1.4%0.3%
211%9.7%4.2%1.2%0.3%
36.6%5.7%2.5%0.7%0.2%
42.9%2.5%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Nottingham Forest goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Chelsea is 0.71 points better than Nottingham Forest in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 0.95).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Chelsea is 0.74 goals better than Nottingham Forest in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Chelsea is 0.11 goals better than Nottingham Forest in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.76).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Chelsea is 18.2 percentage points better than Nottingham Forest in terms of average possession (58% vs 40%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ChelseaChelsea

For 5.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

14064934410343252577275210128137771497H·LUTA·WESH·LIVH·NEWA·MANA·MANH·NOTA·BOUA·ARSH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

6023333311231312125660224423H·LUTA·WESH·LIVH·NEWA·MANA·MANH·NOTA·BOUA·ARSH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 11.8 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

28015129125129116129121315119101051327211720182128202018H·LUTA·WESH·LIVH·NEWA·MANA·MANH·NOTA·BOUA·ARSH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 3.1 · Against 7.2 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

140311673845365221162739141311997136912A·MANH·SHEA·ARSA·CRYH·ARSA·CHEH·SOUA·BREH·BRIA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

9054232223213121219542541321A·MANH·SHEA·ARSA·CRYH·ARSA·CHEH·SOUA·BREH·BRIA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

28011135912121391112151316101367812924142422232826191521A·MANH·SHEA·ARSA·CRYH·ARSA·CHEH·SOUA·BREH·BRIA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChelseaChelsea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.19.34.34.44.223.423.323.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)9.810.19.54.44.24.722.622.822.4
vs Weaker (25)9.710.29.24.24.63.824.323.824.8
% over line52%62%42%64%73%54%56%54%58%
% under line48%38%58%36%27%46%44%46%42%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.210.74.24.53.922.522.522.6
vs Stronger (9)9.98.810.82.73.22.221.722.221.2
vs Similar (38)10.19.410.84.34.83.822.422.822.1
vs Weaker (3)8.78.09.07.35.08.526.316.031.5
% over line54%46%62%64%71%58%58%58%58%
% under line46%54%38%36%29%42%42%42%42%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Everton
10.9
West Ham
10.9
Bournemouth
10.7
Newcastle
10.7
Luton
10.7
Sheffield United
10.6
Manchester United
10.5
Fulham
10.4
Tottenham
10.3
Brighton
10.2
Brentford
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Wolves
10.0
Burnley
9.9
Aston Villa
9.9
Liverpool
9.9
Arsenal
9.8
Chelsea
9.7
Crystal Palace
9.4
Manchester City
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Wolves
4.3
Chelsea
4.3
Everton
4.3
Tottenham
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Sheffield United
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.1
Aston Villa
4.0
Brighton
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Burnley
3.8
Luton
3.8
Newcastle
3.7
Manchester United
3.6
Arsenal
3.6
Bournemouth
3.5
Manchester City
3.4
Liverpool
3.0
Brentford
3.0
West Ham
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.9
Aston Villa
24.1
Chelsea
23.4
Luton
22.6
Nottingham Forest
22.5
Brighton
22.2
Fulham
22.2
Wolves
22.0
Tottenham
21.7
Newcastle
21.6
Arsenal
21.1
Bournemouth
21.1
Burnley
21.0
Everton
20.5
Sheffield United
20.2
Manchester United
20.0
Brentford
19.9
Liverpool
19.7
Manchester City
19.7
West Ham
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.3%
Under 9.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.4%
Under 3.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
39.9%
Under 21.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ChelseaChelsea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L11D01L01L02L11D11D11D10WH·BRE26/04A·ARS02/05A·BOU06/05H·NOT13/05A·MAN21/05A·MAN25/05H·NEW28/05H·LIV13/08A·WES20/08H·LUT25/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.310.440.430.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.310.750.500.500.121.00
vs Weaker (14)0.430.570.120.380.830.83
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D10W31W10W10W10W02L10W21WA·LIV22/04H·BRI26/04A·BRE29/04H·SOU08/05A·CHE13/05H·ARS20/05A·CRY28/05A·ARS12/08H·SHE18/08A·MAN26/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.730.600.470.80
vs Stronger (8)0.250.620.250.500.250.75
vs Similar (22)0.730.730.910.640.550.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ChelseaChelsea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W20W21W00D12L00D00D02L20WH·BRE26/04A·ARS02/05A·BOU06/05H·NOT13/05A·MAN21/05A·MAN25/05H·NEW28/05H·LIV13/08A·WES20/08H·LUT25/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.560.560.430.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.310.690.120.620.500.75
vs Weaker (14)0.710.571.000.500.330.67
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L20W02L12L12L00D01L10W11D02LA·LIV22/04H·BRI26/04A·BRE29/04H·SOU08/05A·CHE13/05H·ARS20/05A·CRY28/05A·ARS12/08H·SHE18/08A·MAN26/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.000.800.470.401.53
vs Stronger (8)0.881.120.750.001.002.25
vs Similar (22)0.500.950.820.640.181.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls86.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards82.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners79.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls75.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cole Palmer45%
Nicolas Jackson31%
Christopher Nkunku27%
Raheem Sterling23%
Noni Madueke22%
Mykhaylo Mudryk16%
Carney Chukwuemeka11%
Conor Gallagher11%
Thiago Silva10%
Alfie Gilchrist9%
Trevoh Chalobah8%
Armando Broja8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Axel Disasi6%
Levi Colwill4%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Ben Chilwell0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marc Cucurella48%
Ben Chilwell38%
Moisés Caicedo31%
Nicolas Jackson29%
Malo Gusto26%
Enzo Fernández25%
Raheem Sterling23%
Carney Chukwuemeka22%
Conor Gallagher22%
Cole Palmer21%
Axel Disasi19%
Benoît Badiashile17%
Lesley Ugochukwu17%
Mykhaylo Mudryk16%
Thiago Silva13%
Robert Sánchez12%
Reece James10%
Alfie Gilchrist9%
Đorđe Petrović9%
Noni Madueke9%
Levi Colwill9%
Ian Maatsen8%
Trevoh Chalobah8%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Armando Broja0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cole Palmer30%
Reece James20%
Conor Gallagher19%
Malo Gusto19%
Nicolas Jackson14%
Raheem Sterling13%
Carney Chukwuemeka11%
Marc Cucurella10%
Noni Madueke9%
Moisés Caicedo9%
Ben Chilwell8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Mykhaylo Mudryk6%
Benoît Badiashile6%
Levi Colwill4%
Thiago Silva3%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Axel Disasi0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Armando Broja0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
Alfie Gilchrist0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cole Palmer39%
Nicolas Jackson23%
Raheem Sterling16%
Noni Madueke13%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Conor Gallagher8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Mykhaylo Mudryk6%
Axel Disasi3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Thiago Silva0%
Ben Chilwell0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
Alfie Gilchrist0%
Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Wood32%
Taiwo Awoniyi30%
Callum Hudson-Odoi24%
Anthony Elanga14%
Morgan Gibbs-White14%
Willy Boly10%
Nicolás Domínguez8%
Danilo7%
Orel Mangala5%
Moussa Niakhaté5%
Ola Aina5%
Harry Toffolo4%
Ryan Yates3%
Serge Aurier0%
Divock Origi0%
Felipe0%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Joe Worrall0%
Gonzalo Montiel0%
Matz Sels0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Scott McKenna0%
Matt Turner0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Neco Williams0%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Murillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Felipe57%
Gonzalo Montiel36%
Ibrahim Sangaré35%
Orel Mangala30%
Nuno Tavares25%
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Moussa Niakhaté19%
Andrew Omobamidele18%
Ryan Yates17%
Serge Aurier17%
Cheikhou Kouyaté17%
Murillo16%
Nicolás Domínguez15%
Neco Williams15%
Danilo14%
Ola Aina14%
Harry Toffolo13%
Matt Turner12%
Taiwo Awoniyi10%
Willy Boly10%
Matz Sels6%
Divock Origi5%
Anthony Elanga3%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Joe Worrall0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi0%
Chris Wood0%
Scott McKenna0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Anthony Elanga19%
Taiwo Awoniyi15%
Gonzalo Montiel14%
Giovanni Reyna11%
Harry Toffolo9%
Serge Aurier8%
Nicolás Domínguez8%
Danilo7%
Murillo6%
Divock Origi5%
Willy Boly5%
Ola Aina5%
Neco Williams4%
Callum Hudson-Odoi3%
Chris Wood3%
Ryan Yates3%
Felipe0%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Joe Worrall0%
Matz Sels0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Orel Mangala0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Scott McKenna0%
Matt Turner0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Wood26%
Taiwo Awoniyi20%
Callum Hudson-Odoi17%
Anthony Elanga17%
Giovanni Reyna11%
Danilo7%
Morgan Gibbs-White5%
Orel Mangala5%
Nicolás Domínguez4%
Ryan Yates3%
Serge Aurier0%
Divock Origi0%
Felipe0%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Joe Worrall0%
Gonzalo Montiel0%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Scott McKenna0%
Matt Turner0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Neco Williams0%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Murillo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Chelsea's squad is €856m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€1407m vs €551m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Chelsea's attack is €351m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€614m vs €263m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Chelsea's midfield is €226m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€278m vs €52m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Chelsea's defence is €279m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€514m vs €236m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
CHE wins
2
Draws
0
NFO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest · H/A from CHE
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/23HCHE Vs Nottingham Forest2-2
01/01/23ANottingham Forest Vs CHE1-1

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/23HCHE Vs Luton3-0
20/08/23AWest Ham Vs CHE3-1
13/08/23HCHE Vs Liverpool1-1
28/05/23HCHE Vs Newcastle1-1
25/05/23AManchester United Vs CHE4-1
21/05/23AManchester City Vs CHE1-0
13/05/23HCHE Vs Nottingham Forest2-2
06/05/23ABournemouth Vs CHE1-3
02/05/23AArsenal Vs CHE3-1
26/04/23HCHE Vs Brentford0-2

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/23AManchester United Vs NFO3-2
18/08/23HNFO Vs Sheffield United2-1
12/08/23AArsenal Vs NFO2-1
28/05/23ACrystal Palace Vs NFO1-1
20/05/23HNFO Vs Arsenal1-0
13/05/23AChelsea Vs NFO2-2
08/05/23HNFO Vs Southampton4-3
29/04/23ABrentford Vs NFO2-1
26/04/23HNFO Vs Brighton3-1
22/04/23ALiverpool Vs NFO3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLW1.22
HomeLDDDW1.50
AwayLWLLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%25%
AVG goals2.282.152.42
Over 1.5 %72%73%71%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %18%12%25%
Scored1.081.230.92
Conceded1.200.921.50
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners9.7410.129.33
Cards4.324.384.25
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.20
HomeLWWWW1.88
AwayLDDLL0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%54%12%
AVG goals2.742.832.65
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored1.181.750.65
Conceded1.561.082.00
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet26%38%15%
Corners9.989.2110.69
Cards4.204.543.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3891
74%
2.4
9634+62
3.4
84%
63%
47%
10.9
61%
3.8
50%
18.6
26%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3889
74%
2.3
9129+62
3.2
79%
63%
42%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
21.0
42%
1406
6082905082.40.8
59%
3LiverpoolLiverpool3882
63%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
92%
66%
47%
11.6
71%
4.3
53%
22.5
53%
980
5182012602.31.1
61%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3868
53%
1.8
7661+15
3.6
87%
71%
58%
10.4
58%
5.0
74%
23.6
66%
536
2201601562.01.6
53%
5TottenhamTottenham3866
53%
1.7
7461+13
3.6
97%
79%
45%
12.4
76%
5.1
74%
25.1
87%
920
2502823881.91.6
62%
6ChelseaChelsea3863
47%
1.7
7763+14
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.4
58%
5.4
95%
23.9
63%
1407
6142785142.01.7
58%
7NewcastleNewcastle3860
47%
1.6
8562+23
3.9
84%
71%
61%
10.2
53%
4.6
63%
22.8
58%
568
2341242102.21.6
52%
8Manchester UnitedManchester United3860
47%
1.6
5758-1
3.0
79%
63%
34%
13.3
79%
4.4
68%
19.7
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
51%
9West HamWest Ham3852
37%
1.4
6074-14
3.5
95%
68%
53%
10.4
53%
3.9
61%
21.0
47%
274
84481411.61.9
41%
10Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3849
34%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
82%
55%
42%
9.9
58%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
505
229931821.51.5
42%
11BrightonBrighton3848
32%
1.3
5562-7
3.1
87%
61%
39%
9.8
55%
5.0
76%
23.0
63%
620
1901802491.41.6
60%
12EvertonEverton3848
34%
1.3
4051-11
2.4
74%
42%
21%
11.1
61%
3.8
45%
21.8
55%
459
1741621231.11.3
40%
13BournemouthBournemouth3848
34%
1.3
5467-13
3.2
89%
71%
42%
11.8
74%
4.3
71%
23.7
63%
573
2851061821.41.8
45%
14FulhamFulham3847
34%
1.2
5561-6
3.1
79%
63%
39%
10.6
50%
3.8
47%
20.2
39%
329
178281231.41.6
50%
15WolvesWolves3846
34%
1.2
5065-15
3.0
84%
63%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
76%
23.6
68%
273
79791161.31.7
-
16BrentfordBrentford3839
26%
1.0
5665-9
3.2
82%
66%
42%
10.6
63%
4.3
63%
21.5
50%
565
2281282091.51.7
45%
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3836
24%
0.9
4967-18
3.1
87%
55%
39%
10.4
63%
4.2
61%
21.3
53%
551
263522361.31.8
40%
18LutonLuton3826
16%
0.7
5285-33
3.6
89%
71%
45%
11.3
71%
3.8
53%
24.0
61%
29
134121.42.2
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3824
13%
0.6
4178-37
3.1
92%
61%
37%
10.9
66%
4.3
66%
20.9
39%
115
708371.12.1
47%
20Sheffield UnitedSheffield United3816
8%
0.4
35104-69
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.9
61%
4.0
50%
19.8
39%
110
2932490.92.7
35%
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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