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Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Result & Analysis

Date: 06/10/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Chelsea
Chelsea
Vs
65%
20%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Referee: C Kavanagh

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chelsea win✗ Miss
65.1%
Avg Implied 64.0% · @ 1.50
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
20.1%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.60
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest win✗ Miss
14.8%
Avg Implied 15.1% · @ 6.34
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L20W62W12L11D10W30W50W42W42WH·MAN18/08H·SER22/08A·WOL25/08A·SER29/08H·CRY01/09A·BOU14/09A·WES21/09H·BAR24/09H·BRI28/09H·GEN03/10
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.501.532.811.252.141.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.831.922.501.671.172.17
vs Weaker (18)2.941.283.001.002.881.62
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W23L21W11D10W11D11D10W22D01LA·SHE04/05H·CHE11/05A·BUR19/05H·BOU17/08A·SOU24/08H·NEW28/08H·WOL31/08A·LIV14/09A·BRI22/09H·FUL28/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.531.251.561.431.50
vs Stronger (5)0.801.600.752.001.000.00
vs Similar (24)1.461.541.421.421.501.67
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.6%
@ 1.59+5.3%
Under 2.5
34.4%
@ 2.41-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
1-1 ✓
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
Chelsea goals ↓
Nottingham Forest goals →
01234
04.3%2.8%1.9%0.7%0.2%
17.1%9.2%4.4%1.5%0.4%
29.3%9.7%5.1%1.8%0.5%
37.2%7.5%4.0%1.4%0.4%
44.2%4.4%2.3%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Nottingham Forest goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Chelsea is 0.11 points better than Nottingham Forest in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Chelsea is 0.16 goals better than Nottingham Forest in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Chelsea is 0.08 goals better than Nottingham Forest in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Chelsea is 16.3 percentage points better than Nottingham Forest in terms of average possession (57% vs 41%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ChelseaChelsea

For 5.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

14010482563645665548436514101199121012711H·GENH·BRIA·WESA·BOUH·CRYA·SERA·WOLH·SERH·MANH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

1401132258642333211112325714665225H·GENH·BRIA·WESA·BOUH·CRYA·SERA·WOLH·SERH·MANH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 10.6 · Total 19.6

⚠️ Fouls

26097118917916913771313671295916192625221426132114H·GENH·BRIA·WESA·BOUH·CRYA·SERA·WOLH·SERH·MANH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 4.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

140651927731042634563545111091014871189H·FULA·BRIA·LIVH·WOLA·SOUH·BOUA·BURH·CHEA·SHEH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

80245344343313123116887641520H·FULA·BRIA·LIVH·WOLA·SOUH·BOUA·BURH·CHEA·SHEH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

3301115111261515181414178511148798626232133282516221614H·FULA·BRIA·LIVH·WOLA·SOUH·BOUA·BURH·CHEA·SHEH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChelseaChelsea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.99.85.14.45.823.021.624.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)9.710.48.85.44.56.423.921.326.7
vs Weaker (27)11.011.310.74.94.45.422.321.822.8
% over line59%68%50%84%73%96%57%48%67%
% under line41%32%50%16%27%4%43%52%33%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.210.34.33.94.722.121.822.5
vs Stronger (11)10.511.49.74.93.06.521.019.022.7
vs Similar (37)10.210.110.34.24.24.222.322.522.2
vs Weaker (2)9.56.013.03.03.03.025.023.027.0
% over line59%62%56%62%60%64%59%58%60%
% under line41%38%44%38%40%36%41%42%40%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.6
Manchester United
12.5
Bournemouth
11.7
Southampton
11.4
Everton
11.1
Liverpool
11.1
Brentford
10.8
Manchester City
10.6
Newcastle
10.6
Ipswich
10.6
Fulham
10.5
Wolves
10.3
Chelsea
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Crystal Palace
10.1
Aston Villa
9.9
Leicester
9.7
Brighton
9.6
West Ham
9.5
Arsenal
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.1
Chelsea
5.1
Brighton
5.0
Wolves
4.9
Tottenham
4.9
Newcastle
4.8
Southampton
4.7
Manchester United
4.4
Bournemouth
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Liverpool
4.3
Leicester
4.3
Brentford
4.2
West Ham
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Arsenal
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.7
Wolves
24.0
Crystal Palace
23.5
Aston Villa
23.4
Bournemouth
23.3
Newcastle
23.3
Ipswich
23.2
Chelsea
23.0
Brighton
22.6
Southampton
22.6
Nottingham Forest
22.0
Liverpool
22.0
Everton
21.6
Leicester
21.6
Arsenal
21.6
Fulham
21.4
West Ham
21.0
Brentford
20.7
Manchester United
19.9
Manchester City
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
73.3%
Under 9.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.3%
Under 3.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.9%
Under 21.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ChelseaChelsea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D22D11D10W00D20W30W42W10WH·MAN18/08H·SER22/08A·WOL25/08A·SER29/08H·CRY01/09A·BOU14/09A·WES21/09H·BAR24/09H·BRI28/09H·GEN03/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.671.560.560.860.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.920.921.501.000.330.83
vs Weaker (18)1.440.501.600.301.250.75
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D20W10W00D01L11D00D12L00DA·SHE04/05H·CHE11/05A·BUR19/05H·BOU17/08A·SOU24/08H·NEW28/08H·WOL31/08A·LIV14/09A·BRI22/09H·FUL28/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.620.560.790.93
vs Stronger (5)0.200.400.250.500.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.790.830.750.580.831.08
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ChelseaChelsea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L20W40W01L01L10W10W20W00D32WH·MAN18/08H·SER22/08A·WOL25/08A·SER29/08H·CRY01/09A·BOU14/09A·WES21/09H·BAR24/09H·BRI28/09H·GEN03/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.871.250.691.291.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.921.001.000.670.831.33
vs Weaker (18)1.500.781.400.701.620.88
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W12L01L01L10W10W00D10W10W01LA·SHE04/05H·CHE11/05A·BUR19/05H·BOU17/08A·SOU24/08H·NEW28/08H·WOL31/08A·LIV14/09A·BRI22/09H·FUL28/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.621.000.640.57
vs Stronger (5)0.601.200.501.501.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.670.710.670.830.670.58
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners82.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners73.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolas Jackson32%
Christopher Nkunku26%
Cole Palmer24%
Marc Guiu21%
João Félix20%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Noni Madueke20%
Enzo Fernández17%
Marc Cucurella15%
Pedro Neto13%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall13%
Jadon Sancho12%
Axel Disasi12%
Renato Veiga11%
Tyrique George8%
Tosin Adarabioyo8%
Reece James7%
Levi Colwill5%
Moisés Caicedo4%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wesley Fofana50%
Moisés Caicedo29%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Levi Colwill24%
Nicolas Jackson24%
Roméo Lavia22%
Renato Veiga22%
Marc Cucurella21%
João Félix20%
Enzo Fernández20%
Tosin Adarabioyo19%
Pedro Neto18%
Axel Disasi18%
Cole Palmer17%
Cesare Casadei17%
Robert Sánchez15%
Trevoh Chalobah11%
Malo Gusto10%
Filip Jørgensen9%
Josh Acheampong8%
Jadon Sancho7%
Noni Madueke7%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall6%
Christopher Nkunku5%
Tyrique George4%
Reece James4%
Mykhaylo Mudryk0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Marc Guiu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enzo Fernández24%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Pedro Neto18%
Cole Palmer17%
Jadon Sancho17%
Tyrique George17%
Nicolas Jackson15%
Axel Disasi12%
João Félix10%
Noni Madueke10%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Christopher Nkunku10%
Reece James7%
Moisés Caicedo7%
Marc Cucurella6%
Roméo Lavia6%
Renato Veiga6%
Trevoh Chalobah5%
Malo Gusto5%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marc Guiu36%
João Félix35%
Cole Palmer28%
Nicolas Jackson26%
Noni Madueke22%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Carney Chukwuemeka20%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Pedro Neto9%
Enzo Fernández9%
Mykhaylo Mudryk7%
Axel Disasi6%
Marc Cucurella4%
Tyrique George4%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Malo Gusto2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Renato Veiga0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Wood42%
Morgan Gibbs-White18%
Callum Hudson-Odoi14%
Ramón Sosa13%
Nikola Milenković12%
Anthony Elanga12%
Jota Silva11%
Ryan Yates10%
Taiwo Awoniyi6%
Ola Aina5%
Murillo5%
Elliot Anderson5%
Neco Williams3%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Nicolás Domínguez0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Gibbs-White32%
Ryan Yates31%
Nicolás Domínguez28%
Elliot Anderson26%
Ibrahim Sangaré24%
Neco Williams23%
Morato21%
Jota Silva16%
Álex Moreno16%
Murillo15%
Harry Toffolo14%
Ola Aina14%
Willy Boly11%
Nikola Milenković10%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Matz Sels10%
Ramón Sosa9%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Chris Wood2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anthony Elanga23%
Morgan Gibbs-White21%
Elliot Anderson14%
Ibrahim Sangaré12%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Neco Williams8%
Chris Wood8%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Jota Silva5%
Álex Moreno5%
Nikola Milenković5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Ola Aina3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ryan Yates3%
Matz Sels0%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Wood25%
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Elliot Anderson7%
Anthony Elanga7%
Ryan Yates5%
Neco Williams5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Taiwo Awoniyi3%
Callum Hudson-Odoi3%
Jota Silva3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Chelsea's squad is €856m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€1407m vs €551m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Chelsea's attack is €351m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€614m vs €263m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Chelsea's midfield is €226m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€278m vs €52m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Chelsea's defence is €279m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€514m vs €236m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
CHE wins
2
Draws
1
NFO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest · H/A from CHE
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/24ANottingham Forest Vs CHE2-3
02/09/23HCHE Vs Nottingham Forest0-1
13/05/23HCHE Vs Nottingham Forest2-2
01/01/23ANottingham Forest Vs CHE1-1

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/24HCHE Vs Gent4-2
28/09/24HCHE Vs Brighton4-2
24/09/24HCHE Vs Barrow5-0
21/09/24AWest Ham Vs CHE0-3
14/09/24ABournemouth Vs CHE0-1
01/09/24HCHE Vs Crystal Palace1-1
29/08/24AServette FC Vs CHE2-1
25/08/24AWolves Vs CHE2-6
22/08/24HCHE Vs Servette FC2-0
18/08/24HCHE Vs Manchester City0-2

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24HNFO Vs Fulham0-1
22/09/24ABrighton Vs NFO2-2
14/09/24ALiverpool Vs NFO0-1
31/08/24HNFO Vs Wolves1-1
28/08/24HNFO Vs Newcastle1-1
24/08/24ASouthampton Vs NFO0-1
17/08/24HNFO Vs Bournemouth1-1
19/05/24ABurnley Vs NFO1-2
11/05/24HNFO Vs Chelsea2-3
04/05/24ASheffield United Vs NFO1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.72
HomeWDWWW1.96
AwayWWLWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%58%42%
AVG goals3.703.653.75
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %68%58%79%
Over 3.5 %52%46%58%
Scored2.122.351.88
Conceded1.581.311.88
BTTS64%54%75%
Clean Sheet24%31%17%
Corners10.3710.889.83
Cards5.204.605.83
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDL1.08
HomeLDDDL1.16
AwayWWWWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals2.922.882.96
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %36%32%40%
Scored1.301.401.20
Conceded1.621.481.76
BTTS66%68%64%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Corners10.2410.2110.28
Cards4.374.044.68

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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