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Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-3
Chelsea
Chelsea
Vs
44%
28%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Referee: A Taylor

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chelsea win✗ Miss
44.3%
Avg Implied 67.0% · @ 1.41
Edge
-22.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 19.8% · @ 4.78
Edge
+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest win✓ Hit
27.5%
Avg Implied 13.3% · @ 7.11
Edge
+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-722D25L01L03L03L70W03L01L03L10WA·WRE07/03A·PAR11/03H·NEW14/03H·PAR17/03A·EVE21/03H·POR04/04H·MAN12/04H·MAN18/04A·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.601.571.432.121.75
vs Stronger (2)1.004.000.003.002.005.00
vs Similar (13)1.231.850.832.001.571.71
vs Weaker (15)2.531.072.430.712.621.38
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D21W30W11D11D10W41W50W10WH·FC 12/03H·FUL15/03A·FC 19/03A·TOT22/03A·FC 09/04H·AST12/04H·FC 16/04H·BUR19/04A·SUN24/04H·AST30/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.001.130.731.871.27
vs Stronger (6)0.831.000.500.751.501.50
vs Similar (24)1.671.001.360.731.921.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.0%
Under 1.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.8%
@ 1.60-10.0%
Under 2.5
51.2%
@ 2.28+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
Chelsea goals ↓
Nottingham Forest goals →
01234
08.5%7.0%4.6%1.8%0.5%
19.6%13%6.9%2.6%0.7%
28.1%9.1%5.2%2.0%0.6%
34.0%4.5%2.6%1.0%0.3%
41.5%1.7%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Nottingham Forest goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Chelsea is 0.21 points better than Nottingham Forest in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.16).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Chelsea is 0.26 goals better than Nottingham Forest in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Chelsea is 0.03 goals worse than Nottingham Forest in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Chelsea is 11.2 percentage points better than Nottingham Forest in terms of average possession (57% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ChelseaChelsea

For 6.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

16064567141282939381324910118161012129513H·LEEA·BRIH·MANH·MANH·PORA·EVEH·PARH·NEWA·PARA·WRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

70341113311222133237244124165H·LEEA·BRIH·MANH·MANH·PORA·EVEH·NEWA·PARA·WREA·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 11.6 · Total 20.5

⚠️ Fouls

27014136151213101410107681091071461127212524201318192117H·LEEA·BRIH·MANH·MANH·PORA·EVEH·PARH·NEWA·PARA·WRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 5.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

160576344817325313114547212989107161599H·ASTA·SUNH·BURH·FC H·ASTA·FC A·TOTA·FC H·FULH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

7015221422121242311725413651H·ASTA·SUNH·BURH·FC H·ASTA·FC A·TOTA·FC H·FULH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

3807111513812161115101141313162281091318282027251526381822H·ASTA·SUNH·BURH·FC H·ASTA·FC A·TOTA·FC H·FULH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChelseaChelsea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.99.04.64.84.422.622.922.3
vs Stronger (3)8.312.06.51.70.02.519.318.020.0
vs Similar (23)9.910.59.35.05.64.524.123.325.0
vs Weaker (24)10.011.29.14.54.34.621.522.820.5
% over line60%70%52%64%70%59%56%65%48%
% under line40%30%48%36%30%41%44%35%52%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.49.83.62.94.223.421.924.8
vs Stronger (10)9.99.810.03.03.52.221.524.317.2
vs Similar (40)10.210.69.83.72.74.523.921.126.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line54%62%46%52%42%62%62%50%73%
% under line46%38%54%48%58%38%38%50%27%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.3
West Ham
10.9
Bournemouth
10.5
Fulham
10.4
Liverpool
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Manchester City
9.9
Tottenham
9.9
Brentford
9.9
Chelsea
9.8
Manchester United
9.6
Brighton
9.5
Everton
9.5
Aston Villa
9.4
Leeds
9.3
Burnley
9.3
Arsenal
9.2
Wolves
9.1
Sunderland
8.9
Crystal Palace
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.7
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Manchester United
4.3
Brighton
4.3
Sunderland
4.3
Newcastle
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.0
Wolves
3.9
Aston Villa
3.9
Brentford
3.8
West Ham
3.8
Manchester City
3.7
Everton
3.6
Leeds
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Nottingham Forest
3.6
Liverpool
3.4
Arsenal
3.3
Burnley
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
23.8
Wolves
23.8
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Bournemouth
23.4
Tottenham
22.7
Chelsea
22.6
Sunderland
22.5
West Ham
22.4
Brighton
22.4
Leeds
22.3
Manchester United
22.0
Arsenal
21.9
Everton
21.7
Crystal Palace
21.4
Newcastle
21.3
Liverpool
20.7
Manchester City
20.7
Burnley
20.5
Fulham
19.8
Brentford
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.3%
Under 9.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.2%
Under 3.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
48.4%
Under 21.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ChelseaChelsea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L01L02L01L30W00D01L01L10WA·WRE07/03A·PAR11/03H·NEW14/03H·PAR17/03A·EVE21/03H·POR04/04H·MAN12/04H·MAN18/04A·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.710.640.750.75
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (13)0.541.000.500.830.571.14
vs Weaker (15)0.930.271.000.290.880.25
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D10W10W11D11D10W01L40W00DH·FC 12/03H·FUL15/03A·FC 19/03A·TOT22/03A·FC 09/04H·AST12/04H·FC 16/04H·BUR19/04A·SUN24/04H·AST30/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.400.330.730.73
vs Stronger (6)0.330.330.250.000.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.620.580.450.450.770.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ChelseaChelsea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D13L00D01L02L40W03L00D02L00DA·WRE07/03A·PAR11/03H·NEW14/03H·PAR17/03A·EVE21/03H·POR04/04H·MAN12/04H·MAN18/04A·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.900.860.791.381.00
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (13)0.690.850.331.171.000.57
vs Weaker (15)1.600.801.430.431.751.12
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D11D20W00D00D00D40W10W10WH·FC 12/03H·FUL15/03A·FC 19/03A·TOT22/03A·FC 09/04H·AST12/04H·FC 16/04H·BUR19/04A·SUN24/04H·AST30/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.470.730.401.130.53
vs Stronger (6)0.500.670.250.751.000.50
vs Similar (24)1.040.420.910.271.150.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards84.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners71.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro35%
Enzo Fernández28%
Cole Palmer27%
Tyrique George27%
Estêvão Willian23%
Pedro Neto15%
Marc Guiu15%
Alejandro Garnacho14%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Moisés Caicedo10%
Andrey Santos7%
Tosin Adarabioyo7%
Josh Acheampong7%
Trevoh Chalobah7%
Malo Gusto6%
Jorrel Hato6%
Reece James5%
Liam Delap5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Marc Cucurella2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Dário Essugo0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dário Essugo40%
Moisés Caicedo33%
Tyrique George27%
Enzo Fernández26%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Marc Cucurella24%
Wesley Fofana22%
Jorrel Hato20%
Estêvão Willian20%
Andrey Santos19%
Cole Palmer18%
Mamadou Sarr17%
Reece James13%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
João Pedro12%
Pedro Neto12%
Malo Gusto10%
Tosin Adarabioyo10%
Trevoh Chalobah9%
Filip Jørgensen8%
Marc Guiu8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Robert Sánchez6%
Roméo Lavia5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Josh Acheampong3%
Levi Colwill0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Dário Essugo20%
Pedro Neto19%
Reece James15%
Marc Guiu15%
Jamie Gittens15%
Enzo Fernández13%
Malo Gusto10%
João Pedro10%
Andrey Santos10%
Tyrique George9%
Estêvão Willian9%
Marc Cucurella8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Cole Palmer6%
Wesley Fofana5%
Jorrel Hato3%
Liam Delap2%
Robert Sánchez2%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Jesse Derry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho19%
João Pedro18%
Cole Palmer18%
Enzo Fernández15%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Estêvão Willian11%
Pedro Neto8%
Jamie Gittens4%
Reece James3%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Andrey Santos0%
Dário Essugo0%
Tyrique George0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Jesse Derry0%
Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Gibbs-White30%
Igor Jesus25%
Chris Wood20%
Taiwo Awoniyi17%
Arnaud Kalimuendo14%
Lorenzo Lucca11%
Nicolò Savona10%
Callum Hudson-Odoi9%
Elliot Anderson8%
Ryan Yates6%
Dan Ndoye5%
Murillo5%
Nicolás Domínguez5%
Ibrahim Sangaré5%
James McAtee4%
Neco Williams4%
Morato3%
Omari Hutchinson2%
Nikola Milenković2%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Douglas Luiz0%
John Victor0%
Dilane Bakwa0%
Luca Netz0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morato24%
Elliot Anderson22%
Douglas Luiz21%
Murillo18%
Nicolò Savona15%
Ryan Yates14%
Ibrahim Sangaré14%
Neco Williams13%
Nicolás Domínguez12%
Ola Aina12%
Igor Jesus12%
Nikola Milenković11%
Taiwo Awoniyi11%
John Victor11%
Lorenzo Lucca11%
Zach Abbott10%
Morgan Gibbs-White8%
Omari Hutchinson7%
Jair7%
Dan Ndoye5%
Matz Sels5%
Dilane Bakwa4%
James McAtee4%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi0%
Chris Wood0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Arnaud Kalimuendo0%
Luca Netz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Hutchinson15%
Morgan Gibbs-White13%
Igor Jesus10%
Callum Hudson-Odoi9%
Ryan Yates9%
Dilane Bakwa8%
Elliot Anderson8%
James McAtee8%
Douglas Luiz7%
Neco Williams6%
Taiwo Awoniyi6%
Nicolò Savona5%
Ibrahim Sangaré5%
Ola Aina4%
Dan Ndoye3%
Nicolás Domínguez2%
Nikola Milenković2%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Matz Sels0%
Chris Wood0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Morato0%
John Victor0%
Arnaud Kalimuendo0%
Luca Netz0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Gibbs-White19%
Callum Hudson-Odoi16%
Igor Jesus12%
Dan Ndoye11%
Oleksandr Zinchenko10%
Chris Wood10%
Nicolás Domínguez10%
Ryan Yates9%
Elliot Anderson8%
Arnaud Kalimuendo7%
Neco Williams6%
James McAtee4%
Nikola Milenković2%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Morato0%
John Victor0%
Dilane Bakwa0%
Luca Netz0%
Nicolò Savona0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Omari Hutchinson0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Chelsea's squad is €856m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€1407m vs €551m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Chelsea's attack is €351m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€614m vs €263m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Chelsea's midfield is €226m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€278m vs €52m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Chelsea's defence is €279m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€514m vs €236m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
CHE wins
3
Draws
1
NFO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest · H/A from CHE
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25ANottingham Forest Vs CHE0-3
25/05/25ANottingham Forest Vs CHE0-1
06/10/24HCHE Vs Nottingham Forest1-1
11/05/24ANottingham Forest Vs CHE2-3
02/09/23HCHE Vs Nottingham Forest0-1
13/05/23HCHE Vs Nottingham Forest2-2
01/01/23ANottingham Forest Vs CHE1-1

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HCHE Vs Leeds1-0
21/04/26ABrighton Vs CHE3-0
18/04/26HCHE Vs Manchester United0-1
12/04/26HCHE Vs Manchester City0-3
04/04/26HCHE Vs Port Vale7-0
21/03/26AEverton Vs CHE3-0
17/03/26HCHE Vs Paris Saint Germain0-3
14/03/26HCHE Vs Newcastle0-1
11/03/26AParis Saint Germain Vs CHE5-2
07/03/26AWrexham Vs CHE2-2

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/26HNFO Vs Aston Villa1-0
24/04/26ASunderland Vs NFO0-5
19/04/26HNFO Vs Burnley4-1
16/04/26HNFO Vs FC Porto1-0
12/04/26HNFO Vs Aston Villa1-1
09/04/26AFC Porto Vs NFO1-1
22/03/26ATottenham Vs NFO0-3
19/03/26AFC Midtjylland Vs NFO1-2
15/03/26HNFO Vs Fulham0-0
12/03/26HNFO Vs FC Midtjylland0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.56
HomeLWLLW1.61
AwayWDLLL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%48%44%
AVG goals3.303.003.56
Over 1.5 %84%78%89%
Over 2.5 %72%61%81%
Over 3.5 %42%30%52%
Scored1.861.781.93
Conceded1.441.221.63
BTTS60%48%70%
Clean Sheet26%35%19%
Corners9.8410.878.96
Cards4.675.004.41
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.28
HomeDDWWW1.25
AwayDWWDW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%33%35%
AVG goals2.582.292.85
Over 1.5 %76%67%85%
Over 2.5 %54%46%62%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.341.211.46
Conceded1.241.081.38
BTTS42%33%50%
Clean Sheet32%38%27%
Corners10.1010.429.81
Cards3.562.924.15

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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