Chelsea’s recent 2-game winning streak and a 2-0 victory over Luton set a positive tone for the home side, while Tottenham’s return from a defeat to Newcastle signals a cautious approach. The model favours a Chelsea win, with a 54% chance of triumph, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 23% chance of a Tottenham win. The expected total goals hover around 3.4, pointing to a high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.1% probability. Chelsea’s home form shows an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Tottenham’s away form averages 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (89.6%), Over 1.5 (86.2%) - a miss, Over 2.5 cards (81.6%), Over 21.5 fouls (79.9%) and Under 5.5 cards (71.8%) - a miss.
Results analysis
Chelsea’s 1-0 win over Tottenham extended their two-game winning run, with the final score confirming the model’s home-win pick and its 54% probability. The match delivered a total of one goal, far below the 3.4 expected and the most likely 3-goal outcome. The model’s favourite was correct, and the game’s outcome matched the prediction. Among the model’s selections, “Over 19.5 fouls” hit at 89.6%, “Over 2.5 cards” hit at 81.6%, and “Over 21.5 fouls” hit at 79.9%. The “Over 1.5” pick missed at 86.2%, and “Under 5.5 cards” missed at 71.8%. The final result was a home win, as forecast.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Chelsea win✓ Hit
53.6%
Avg Implied 57.1% · @ 1.68
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.36
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tottenham win✗ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.58
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.13
2.86
0.71
1.44
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (12)
1.42
1.58
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (17)
2.65
0.71
3.33
0.56
1.88
0.88
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.60
1.87
1.87
1.73
1.33
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.52
1.86
2.00
2.09
1.00
1.60
vs Weaker (6)
2.83
1.00
2.00
1.33
3.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
86.2%
Under 1.5
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.9%
@ 1.45+0.3%
Under 2.5
34.1%
@ 2.77-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.0%
Under 3.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.1%
No
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
1-0 ✓
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
Chelsea goals ↓
Tottenham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
3.5%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
1
6.0%
10%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
2
7.2%
9.5%
6.3%
2.8%
0.9%
3
4.9%
6.6%
4.4%
1.9%
0.6%
4
2.6%
3.4%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelsea goals (down), columns = Tottenham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Chelsea is 0.82 points better than Tottenham in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Chelsea and Tottenham are level in goals scored per game (both 1.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Chelsea is 0.58 goals better than Tottenham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Chelsea is 2.0 percentage points better than Tottenham in terms of average possession (57% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chelsea
For 4.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 10.6 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
For 5.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 12.5 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.9
9.2
4.4
3.7
5.0
22.4
21.1
23.5
vs Stronger (2)
6.5
7.0
6.0
3.5
2.0
5.0
17.5
21.0
14.0
vs Similar (20)
9.7
10.5
9.0
5.0
4.8
5.2
25.5
23.8
26.9
vs Weaker (28)
9.7
9.8
9.5
4.0
3.2
4.8
20.6
19.5
21.7
% over line
54%
55%
54%
62%
50%
73%
61%
50%
71%
% under line
46%
45%
46%
38%
50%
27%
39%
50%
29%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.1
12.7
11.6
3.5
3.5
3.5
23.6
23.2
24.0
vs Stronger (6)
12.2
11.7
13.0
4.5
4.2
5.0
25.6
25.0
26.5
vs Similar (34)
12.7
13.6
11.8
3.5
3.1
3.8
24.4
23.9
24.8
vs Weaker (10)
10.4
10.8
10.0
3.0
4.2
1.8
19.8
20.0
19.5
% over line
79%
91%
67%
46%
44%
48%
72%
64%
81%
% under line
21%
9%
33%
54%
56%
52%
28%
36%
19%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.3
Bournemouth
11.5
Brentford
10.9
Everton
10.9
Newcastle
10.9
Nottingham Forest
10.7
Fulham
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Manchester United
10.6
Ipswich
10.5
Southampton
10.5
Manchester City
10.4
Crystal Palace
10.2
Brighton
10.2
Aston Villa
9.9
Chelsea
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Wolves
9.8
West Ham
9.8
Arsenal
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.8
Bournemouth
4.7
Aston Villa
4.7
Brighton
4.5
Wolves
4.5
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Newcastle
4.3
Southampton
4.2
Tottenham
4.1
Arsenal
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Leicester
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Manchester United
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
West Ham
3.9
Ipswich
3.8
Brentford
3.6
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.2
Aston Villa
23.8
Tottenham
23.8
Wolves
23.7
Southampton
23.3
Brighton
23.2
Newcastle
22.8
Ipswich
22.6
Crystal Palace
22.5
Chelsea
22.4
West Ham
21.9
Leicester
21.6
Nottingham Forest
21.6
Arsenal
21.5
Everton
21.5
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.7
Manchester United
20.6
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.3%
Under 3.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.9%
Under 21.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.53
1.50
0.29
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.75
1.00
0.20
0.43
1.14
vs Weaker (17)
1.41
0.35
1.78
0.33
1.00
0.38
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.80
0.80
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.90
0.82
0.91
0.30
0.90
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
0.17
1.00
0.33
2.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.60
1.36
0.43
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.83
1.00
0.80
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (17)
1.24
0.35
1.56
0.22
0.88
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.83
1.07
1.07
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.95
1.18
1.18
0.70
0.70
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.83
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolas Jackson32%
Christopher Nkunku26%
Cole Palmer24%
Marc Guiu21%
João Félix20%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Noni Madueke20%
Enzo Fernández17%
Marc Cucurella15%
Pedro Neto13%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall13%
Jadon Sancho12%
Axel Disasi12%
Renato Veiga11%
Tyrique George8%
Tosin Adarabioyo8%
Reece James7%
Levi Colwill5%
Moisés Caicedo4%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wesley Fofana50%
Moisés Caicedo29%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Levi Colwill24%
Nicolas Jackson24%
Roméo Lavia22%
Renato Veiga22%
Marc Cucurella21%
João Félix20%
Enzo Fernández20%
Tosin Adarabioyo19%
Pedro Neto18%
Axel Disasi18%
Cole Palmer17%
Cesare Casadei17%
Robert Sánchez15%
Trevoh Chalobah11%
Malo Gusto10%
Filip Jørgensen9%
Josh Acheampong8%
Jadon Sancho7%
Noni Madueke7%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall6%
Christopher Nkunku5%
Tyrique George4%
Reece James4%
Mykhaylo Mudryk0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Marc Guiu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enzo Fernández24%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Pedro Neto18%
Cole Palmer17%
Jadon Sancho17%
Tyrique George17%
Nicolas Jackson15%
Axel Disasi12%
João Félix10%
Noni Madueke10%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Christopher Nkunku10%
Reece James7%
Moisés Caicedo7%
Marc Cucurella6%
Roméo Lavia6%
Renato Veiga6%
Trevoh Chalobah5%
Malo Gusto5%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marc Guiu36%
João Félix35%
Cole Palmer28%
Nicolas Jackson26%
Noni Madueke22%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Carney Chukwuemeka20%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Pedro Neto9%
Enzo Fernández9%
Mykhaylo Mudryk7%
Axel Disasi6%
Marc Cucurella4%
Tyrique George4%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Malo Gusto2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Renato Veiga0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brennan Johnson31%
Dominic Solanke31%
James Maddison22%
Richarlison21%
Dejan Kulusevski20%
Dane Scarlett20%
Heung-min Son20%
Will Lankshear17%
Mathys Tel15%
Pape Matar Sarr11%
Wilson Odobert10%
Pedro Porro8%
Djed Spence6%
Mikey Moore5%
Rodrigo Bentancur5%
Yves Bissouma5%
Cristian Romero4%
Timo Werner4%
Lucas Bergvall2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio Reguilón33%
Rodrigo Bentancur32%
Yves Bissouma27%
Micky van de Ven23%
Cristian Romero19%
Ben Davies18%
James Maddison18%
Lucas Bergvall18%
Will Lankshear17%
Mathys Tel15%
Pape Matar Sarr15%
Radu Drăguşin14%
Pedro Porro14%
Brennan Johnson14%
Richarlison12%
Dejan Kulusevski10%
Djed Spence9%
Guglielmo Vicario6%
Destiny Udogie6%
Archie Gray4%
Heung-min Son2%
Timo Werner0%
Dominic Solanke0%
Fraser Forster0%
Kevin Danso0%
Brandon Austin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Mikey Moore0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dane Scarlett40%
James Maddison22%
Dejan Kulusevski20%
Pedro Porro18%
Heung-min Son17%
Dominic Solanke16%
Timo Werner11%
Mikey Moore11%
Micky van de Ven9%
Djed Spence9%
Richarlison8%
Brennan Johnson8%
Lucas Bergvall7%
Mathys Tel5%
Cristian Romero4%
Pape Matar Sarr4%
Destiny Udogie3%
Rodrigo Bentancur2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Will Lankshear0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Solanke20%
Heung-min Son15%
Brennan Johnson12%
Mathys Tel10%
Richarlison8%
Pedro Porro8%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Mikey Moore5%
Wilson Odobert5%
James Maddison4%
Cristian Romero4%
Timo Werner4%
Pape Matar Sarr4%
Rodrigo Bentancur2%
Yves Bissouma2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Lucas Bergvall0%
Will Lankshear0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Chelsea's squad is €486m more valuable than Tottenham's (€1407m vs €920m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Chelsea's attack is €364m more valuable than Tottenham's (€614m vs €250m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Chelsea's midfield is €4m less valuable than Tottenham's (€278m vs €282m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Chelsea's defence is €126m more valuable than Tottenham's (€514m vs €388m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Manchester City
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton