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Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 12:00
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk
Vs
34%
26%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Kostroma
Russia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The encounter between Chelyabinsk and Spartak Kostroma is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 34% and 40% respectively, while a draw is 26%. The average goal output is 3.1, yet the most likely total is 2, a 22% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.8% probability. Chelyabinsk, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.36 goals scored and 1.64 conceded, whereas Spartak Kostroma on the road averages 1.27 scored and 1.82 conceded against comparable opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.5%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.2%), Under 6.5 (96.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.4%) and Over 19.5 fouls (92.8%). Both sides are coming off defeats, with Chelyabinsk losing 1-2 to FC Sochi and Spartak Kostroma 0-3 to Torpedo Moskva, adding to the uncertainty of the result.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chelyabinsk win
34.4%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.04
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.12
Marathonbet
3.08
Dafabet
3.05
SBO
2.76
Draw
25.8%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.19
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.29
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.22
Dafabet
3.20
SBO
2.96
Spartak Kostroma win
39.8%
Avg Implied 40.9% · @ 2.25
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.33
Pinnacle
2.29
Dafabet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.25
SBO
2.12

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L20W02L22D12L20W14L04L11D12LH·URA26/04H·FK 02/05A·ROD08/05H·SHI16/05H·NIZ25/07A·VOL02/08A·ROT09/08H·TOR15/08A·LEN23/08A·FC 30/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.431.361.640.691.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.001.431.361.640.691.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L11D01L00D22D31W11D03L10WH·ARS25/04A·KAM01/05A·FK 10/05H·FC 16/05A·TEK25/07H·ENI01/08A·SKA09/08H·FC 17/08A·TOR21/08H·ROT31/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.231.201.001.001.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.321.411.361.001.271.82
vs Weaker (8)0.500.750.751.000.250.50
Clean sheet %17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.0%
@ 1.28+11.6%
Under 1.5
17.0%
@ 3.21-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Pinnacle
3.45
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.04
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.5%
@ 1.99+12.9%
Under 2.5
39.5%
@ 1.80-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.05
SBO
1.98
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.79
SBO
1.78
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.2%
@ 3.28+10.3%
Under 3.5
61.8%
@ 1.27-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.43
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.14
Under
Pinnacle
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
63.5%
@ 1.74+10.4%
No
36.5%
@ 1.97-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.72
No
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.96

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%@ 5.69+4.2%
1-2
8.7%@ 8.70+3.8%
2-1
8.0%@ 10.46+3.9%
2-2
6.5%@ 12.83+3.2%
0-1
6.1%@ 7.15+0.0%
0-2
5.8%@ 10.70+1.8%
1-0
5.5%@ 8.63+0.5%
0-0
5.4%@ 8.32+0.3%
Chelyabinsk goals ↓
Spartak Kostroma goals →
01234
05.4%6.1%5.8%3.1%1.3%
15.5%12%8.7%4.7%1.9%
24.9%8.0%6.5%3.5%1.4%
32.5%4.0%3.3%1.8%0.7%
40.9%1.5%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chelyabinsk goals (down), columns = Spartak Kostroma goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Chelyabinsk is 0.83 points worse than Spartak Kostroma in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Chelyabinsk is 0.17 goals worse than Spartak Kostroma in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Chelyabinsk is 1.00 goals worse than Spartak Kostroma in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Chelyabinsk is 1.0 percentage points better than Spartak Kostroma in terms of average possession (50% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

For 5.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

1105611H·NIZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

110131142221423132656342645548113H·NIZA·FAKA·ROTH·KAMH·FC A·URAA·SHIA·CHEH·ARSH·ENI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma

For 5.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1207536129A·TEKA·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

7023161212113422132315173346354A·TEKA·FK H·TORA·URAH·RODA·FAKH·CHEA·SHIA·ENIH·KAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (46)11.011.0-2.22.61.8---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (45)11.011.0-2.22.61.8---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line100%100%-30%36%25%---
% under line0%0%-70%64%75%---
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (46)10.5-10.52.02.12.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (35)9.0-9.01.81.71.8---
vs Weaker (11)12.0-12.02.83.42.3---
% over line50%-50%28%27%29%---
% under line50%-50%72%73%71%---
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
Arsenal Tula
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Ural
8.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.2%
Under 9.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.2%
Under 3.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.0%
Under 21.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Chelyabinsk or Draw
60.2%
Avg Implied 59.2% · @ 1.56
Edge
+1.0%
34%
26%
40%
covers Chelyabinsk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
SBO
1.50
Chelyabinsk or Spartak Kostroma
74.2%
Avg Implied 71.0% · @ 1.30
Edge
+3.2%
34%
26%
40%
covers Chelyabinsk + Spartak Kostroma
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
SBO
1.25
Draw or Spartak Kostroma
65.6%
Avg Implied 69.8% · @ 1.32
Edge
-4.1%
34%
26%
40%
covers Draw + Spartak Kostroma
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
SBO
1.29

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Chelyabinsk over/under 0.5
Over
77.7%
@ 1.35+9.5%
Under
22.3%
@ 2.91-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.04
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.80
Chelyabinsk over/under 1.5
Over
44.3%
@ 2.81+11.0%
Under
55.7%
@ 1.40-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.88
1xBet
2.81
Marathonbet
2.73
Under
Marathonbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Chelyabinsk over/under 2.5
Over
19.2%
@ 6.67+5.4%
Under
80.8%
@ 1.06-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.55
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Chelyabinsk over/under 3.5
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 0.5
Over
80.4%
@ 1.24+5.8%
Under
19.6%
@ 3.64-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
3.87
Marathonbet
3.56
1xBet
3.48
Spartak Kostroma over/under 1.5
Over
48.4%
@ 2.24+6.4%
Under
51.6%
@ 1.62-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.29
Marathonbet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.58
Spartak Kostroma over/under 2.5
Over
22.4%
@ 4.90+3.6%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.14-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Spartak Kostroma over/under 3.5
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Chelyabinsk, so a minus line means Chelyabinsk give that many goals of a start and Spartak Kostroma receive them. At -1, Chelyabinsk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Chelyabinsk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Chelyabinsk)
Chelyabinsk -2
6.4%
Draw -2
10.4%
Spartak Kostroma +2
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Chelyabinsk)
Chelyabinsk -1
16.8%
@ 6.15+2.5%
Draw -1
17.6%
@ 4.60-1.7%
Spartak Kostroma +1
65.6%
@ 1.33-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.15
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Marathonbet
1.33
Handicap +1 (Chelyabinsk)
Chelyabinsk +1
60.2%
@ 1.58+4.4%
Draw +1
19.1%
@ 3.84-3.8%
Spartak Kostroma -1
20.7%
@ 4.15-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.58
Draw
Marathonbet
3.84
Away
Marathonbet
4.15
Handicap +2 (Chelyabinsk)
Chelyabinsk +2
79.3%
@ 1.16+3.6%
Draw +2
12.2%
@ 6.30-1.7%
Spartak Kostroma -2
8.5%
@ 8.50-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw
Marathonbet
6.30
Away
Marathonbet
8.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L21W12L20W13L01L00D00DH·URA26/04H·FK 02/05A·ROD08/05H·SHI16/05H·NIZ25/07A·VOL02/08A·ROT09/08H·TOR15/08A·LEN23/08A·FC 30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.860.860.380.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.600.700.860.860.380.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L11D01L00D11D00D00D02L00DH·ARS25/04A·KAM01/05A·FK 10/05H·FC 16/05A·TEK25/07H·ENI01/08A·SKA09/08H·FC 17/08A·TOR21/08H·ROT31/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.400.670.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.450.680.550.640.360.73
vs Weaker (8)0.120.620.000.750.250.50
Clean sheet %43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.3%
@ 1.40+5.1%
Under 0.5
28.7%
@ 2.75-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.93
Marathonbet
2.69
1xBet
2.62
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.4%
@ 2.88+2.2%
Under 1.5
65.6%
@ 1.37-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.94
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 6.75-0.2%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.04+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chelyabinsk over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.0%
@ 2.29+8.5%
Under
51.0%
@ 1.56-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.24
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.53
Chelyabinsk over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.4%
@ 8.00+3.8%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.04-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Marathonbet
7.90
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Chelyabinsk over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.3%
@ 2.00+1.0%
Under
52.7%
@ 1.73-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Spartak Kostroma over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.9%
@ 6.25-3.9%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.08+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.35
Marathonbet
6.15
Under
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Spartak Kostroma over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W01L01L00D00D01L03L11D12LH·URA26/04H·FK 02/05A·ROD08/05H·SHI16/05H·NIZ25/07A·VOL02/08A·ROT09/08H·TOR15/08A·LEN23/08A·FC 30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.730.500.790.310.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.400.730.500.790.310.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L00D00D00D11D31W11D01L10WH·ARS25/04A·KAM01/05A·FK 10/05H·FC 16/05A·TEK25/07H·ENI01/08A·SKA09/08H·FC 17/08A·TOR21/08H·ROT31/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.800.330.670.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.860.730.820.360.911.09
vs Weaker (8)0.380.120.750.250.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelyabinsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.9%
@ 1.23+3.5%
Under 0.5
22.1%
@ 3.56-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Marathonbet
3.60
1xBet
3.52
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.4%
@ 2.15+2.0%
Under 1.5
54.6%
@ 1.65-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.12
Under
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.63
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.4%
@ 4.50+0.1%
Under 2.5
79.6%
@ 1.15-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chelyabinsk over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.9%
@ 1.89+2.3%
Under
49.1%
@ 1.79-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Under
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Chelyabinsk over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.7%
@ 5.67+1.4%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.10-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Chelyabinsk over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.6%
@ 1.70-0.5%
Under
46.4%
@ 2.01+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.70
Under
1xBet
2.01
Spartak Kostroma over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.6%
@ 4.45-1.2%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.17+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Spartak Kostroma over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.5%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.9%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.3%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.4%-------
Under 6.596.0%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals94.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals93.4%-------
Over 19.5 fouls92.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals91.7%-------
Under 5.590.2%1.02
1xBet
1.02
-----2.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.1%1.08
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
---+3.9%
Under 2.5 HT goals86.8%1.04
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
---+0.2%
Over 21.5 fouls85.0%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals84.6%1.04
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
----3.8%
Away +2 handicap83.2%-------
Over 1.583.0%1.28
1xBet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
--+11.6%
Home under 1.5 2H goals82.3%1.10
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
----1.4%
Home under 2.5 goals80.8%1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
----5.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals80.4%1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
---+1.2%
Away over 0.5 goals80.4%1.24
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
--+5.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals79.6%1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
----0.1%
Under 4.579.3%1.06
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
----5.8%
Home +2 handicap79.3%1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
----+3.6%
Over 2.5 cards78.8%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals77.9%1.23
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
---+3.5%
Home over 0.5 goals77.7%1.35
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
--+9.5%
Away under 2.5 goals77.6%1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
----3.6%
Under 5.5 cards75.6%-------
Under 11.5 corners74.9%-------
Home or Away74.2%1.30
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
SBO
1.25
--+3.2%
Over 23.5 fouls73.5%-------
Over 0.5 HT goals71.3%1.40
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
--+5.1%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Chelyabinsk and Spartak Kostroma have a similar squad value (both €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Chelyabinsk's attack is €2m more valuable than Spartak Kostroma's (€4m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Chelyabinsk and Spartak Kostroma have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Chelyabinsk and Spartak Kostroma have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
CHE wins
1
Draws
1
SK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma · H/A from CHE
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26HCHE Vs Spartak Kostroma3-3
17/08/25ASpartak Kostroma Vs CHE2-1

ChelyabinskChelyabinsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AFC Sochi Vs CHE2-1
23/08/26ALeningradets Vs CHE1-1
15/08/26HCHE Vs Torpedo Moskva0-4
09/08/26ARotor Volgograd Vs CHE4-1
02/08/26AVolga Ulyanovsk Vs CHE0-2
25/07/26HCHE Vs Nizhny Novgorod1-2
16/05/26HCHE Vs Shinnik Yaroslavl2-2
08/05/26ARodina Moskva Vs CHE2-0
02/05/26HCHE Vs FK Neftekhimik2-0
26/04/26HCHE Vs Ural1-2

Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HSK Vs Rotor Volgograd1-0
21/08/26ATorpedo Moskva Vs SK3-0
17/08/26HSK Vs FC UFA1-1
09/08/26ASka-khabarovsk Vs SK1-3
01/08/26HSK Vs Enisey2-2
25/07/26ATekstilshchik Vs SK0-0
16/05/26HSK Vs FC UFA0-1
10/05/26AFK Sokol Saratov Vs SK1-1
01/05/26AKAMAZ Vs SK2-0
25/04/26HSK Vs Arsenal Tula1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk
Russia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.24
HomeLWDLL1.50
AwayLWLDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%21%
AVG goals2.412.642.21
Over 1.5 %70%68%71%
Over 2.5 %43%50%38%
Over 3.5 %26%36%17%
Scored1.151.410.92
Conceded1.261.231.29
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet33%36%29%
Corners11.0011.00-
Cards4.355.273.50
Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Kostroma
Russia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.52
HomeDLDDW1.55
AwayLDDWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%36%38%
AVG goals2.432.092.75
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %43%27%58%
Over 3.5 %22%9%33%
Scored1.301.181.42
Conceded1.130.911.33
BTTS65%64%67%
Clean Sheet17%18%17%
Corners10.50-10.50
Cards4.044.603.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC SochiFC Sochi718
86%
2.6
167+9
3.3
86%
86%
29%
10.5
100%
5.5
100%
-
0%
15
5192.31.0
54%
2Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod716
71%
2.3
2110+11
4.4
100%
100%
71%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
18
6393.01.4
50%
3VelesVeles715
71%
2.1
1110+1
3.0
86%
57%
29%
4.5
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
5
2221.61.4
54%
4UralUral612
50%
2.0
113+8
2.3
83%
50%
17%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
11
4241.80.5
40%
5FC UFAFC UFA611
50%
1.8
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
10.5
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
5
2221.21.0
46%
6Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva610
50%
1.7
114+7
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5141.80.7
-
7Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd810
38%
1.2
108+2
2.2
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.21.0
-
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl69
33%
1.5
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.2
-
9Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma69
33%
1.5
77+0
2.3
67%
50%
33%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3241.21.2
49%
10Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula89
25%
1.1
713-6
2.5
62%
50%
38%
8.5
50%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3230.91.6
52%
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik89
38%
1.1
512-7
2.1
50%
25%
12%
8.5
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
5
2120.61.5
54%
12EniseyEnisey67
17%
1.2
98+1
2.8
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.3
-
13Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk67
33%
1.2
79-2
2.7
83%
50%
33%
6.0
0%
5.0
100%
-
0%
6
2131.21.5
52%
14LeningradetsLeningradets66
17%
1.0
45-1
1.5
50%
33%
0%
12.5
100%
4.0
50%
-
0%
5
1120.70.8
50%
15KAMAZKAMAZ75
14%
0.7
711-4
2.6
71%
43%
29%
15.0
100%
3.0
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
46%
16TekstilshchikTekstilshchik75
14%
0.7
27-5
1.3
29%
14%
14%
9.0
50%
5.5
100%
-
0%
5
2120.31.0
49%
17ChelyabinskChelyabinsk64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
9
4131.02.2
50%
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk73
14%
0.4
514-9
2.7
71%
43%
29%
6.5
50%
2.5
50%
-
0%
6
2230.72.0
46%
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

← all matches