This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Sofia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.56
1.90
0.30
1.00
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.47
0.60
1.88
0.38
1.00
0.86
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Cherno More Varna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.4%
Under 1.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.2%
Under 2.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.7%
Under 3.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.7%
No
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
0-0 ✓
12.6%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.0%
Cherno More Varna goals ↓
Levski Sofia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
9.3%
5.0%
1.6%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.2%
2.0%
0.5%
2
8.6%
8.2%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.6%
3.4%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cherno More Varna goals (down), columns = Levski Sofia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ludogorets
2.43
CSKA Sofia
2.40
CSKA 1948
1.83
Levski Sofia
1.78
Slavia Sofia
1.61
Arda Kardzhali
1.57
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.54
Cherno More Varna
1.54
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.17
Botev Plovdiv
1.00
Beroe
0.97
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.97
Botev Vratsa
0.91
Hebar 1918
0.91
Septemvri Sofia
0.80
Spartak Varna
0.71
Sportist Svoge
0.00
Cherno More Varna is 0.23 points worse than Levski Sofia in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 1.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ludogorets
2.31
CSKA Sofia
1.86
CSKA 1948
1.57
Levski Sofia
1.36
Arda Kardzhali
1.27
Botev Plovdiv
1.14
Cherno More Varna
1.11
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.03
Slavia Sofia
1.03
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.00
Spartak Varna
0.91
Beroe
0.89
Septemvri Sofia
0.89
Hebar 1918
0.86
Botev Vratsa
0.83
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.80
Sportist Svoge
0.00
Cherno More Varna is 0.25 goals worse than Levski Sofia in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
CSKA Sofia
0.49
Levski Sofia
0.61
Ludogorets
0.77
CSKA 1948
0.80
Slavia Sofia
0.86
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.97
Cherno More Varna
1.00
Sportist Svoge
1.00
Arda Kardzhali
1.03
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.23
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.36
Botev Plovdiv
1.36
Septemvri Sofia
1.49
Beroe
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.69
Botev Vratsa
1.83
Spartak Varna
1.86
Cherno More Varna is 0.39 goals worse than Levski Sofia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ludogorets
59%
Levski Sofia
58%
CSKA Sofia
55%
CSKA 1948
53%
Arda Kardzhali
52%
Septemvri Sofia
51%
Botev Plovdiv
51%
Cherno More Varna
51%
Slavia Sofia
49%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
48%
Beroe
47%
Spartak Varna
46%
Hebar 1918
44%
Lokomotiv Sofia
44%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
44%
Botev Vratsa
44%
Cherno More Varna is 7.2 percentage points worse than Levski Sofia in terms of average possession (51% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cherno More Varna
For 4.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levski Sofia
For 8.0 · Against 3.3 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 9.7 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cherno More Varna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (15)
9.0
9.5
8.7
1.7
1.0
2.2
25.4
21.0
28.3
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
-
8.0
2.5
0.0
5.0
28.0
-
28.0
vs Similar (11)
9.0
9.0
9.0
1.7
1.5
1.9
25.3
19.0
28.5
vs Weaker (2)
10.0
10.0
-
0.5
0.5
-
23.0
23.0
-
% over line
40%
50%
33%
27%
14%
38%
80%
50%
100%
% under line
60%
50%
67%
73%
86%
62%
20%
50%
0%
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Sofia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (18)
11.3
13.7
9.0
1.8
1.5
2.1
23.7
19.5
32.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
10.0
-
10.0
4.7
3.0
8.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (15)
11.6
13.7
8.5
1.2
1.1
1.3
23.7
19.5
32.0
% over line
83%
100%
67%
22%
20%
25%
67%
50%
100%
% under line
17%
0%
33%
78%
80%
75%
33%
50%
0%
This opponent (Cherno More Varna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Levski Sofia
11.3
Botev Plovdiv
10.7
CSKA 1948
10.5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
10.2
Ludogorets
10.1
Beroe
9.8
Botev Vratsa
9.7
Spartak Varna
9.4
Pirin Blagoevgrad
9.2
Cherno More Varna
9.0
Arda Kardzhali
8.8
CSKA Sofia
8.4
Lokomotiv Sofia
8.3
Septemvri Sofia
8.0
Hebar 1918
8.0
Slavia Sofia
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokomotiv Sofia
7.0
Botev Plovdiv
6.7
CSKA Sofia
6.4
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
6.3
Arda Kardzhali
6.2
CSKA 1948
6.0
Botev Vratsa
5.7
Beroe
5.3
Ludogorets
5.2
Slavia Sofia
5.0
Cherno More Varna
5.0
Spartak Varna
4.6
Levski Sofia
4.6
Hebar 1918
4.2
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3.8
Septemvri Sofia
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Botev Plovdiv
30.5
Botev Vratsa
29.2
Lokomotiv Sofia
27.8
Beroe
27.3
Spartak Varna
26.0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.7
Cherno More Varna
25.4
Ludogorets
25.4
Arda Kardzhali
25.3
CSKA 1948
25.3
Hebar 1918
24.8
Slavia Sofia
24.7
Levski Sofia
23.7
CSKA Sofia
22.6
Septemvri Sofia
21.8
Pirin Blagoevgrad
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.0%
Under 9.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
79.2%
Under 3.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.3%
Under 21.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cherno More Varna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.33
0.57
0.29
0.25
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.36
0.50
0.25
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Sofia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.72
0.11
0.90
0.00
0.50
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (15)
0.67
0.13
0.88
0.00
0.43
0.29
Clean sheet %
89% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Cherno More Varna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cherno More Varna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cherno More Varna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cherno More Varna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cherno More Varna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.86
0.57
0.62
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.45
1.00
0.50
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Sofia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
0.44
1.00
0.30
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
0.80
0.47
1.00
0.38
0.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Cherno More Varna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cherno More Varna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cherno More Varna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cherno More Varna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cherno More Varna · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Georgi Lazarov21%
Weslen Junior17%
João Pedro12%
Vasil Panayotov11%
Asen Chandarov11%
Celso Sidney11%
Dimitar Tonev10%
Berk Beyhan10%
Nikolay Zlatev5%
Plamen Iliev0%
Tsvetomir Panov0%
Ertan Tombak0%
Zhivko Atanasov0%
David Teles0%
Andreias Calcan0%
Dani Martín0%
Vlatko Drobarov0%
Kristian Tomov0%
Asen Donchev0%
Martin Milushev0%
Rosen Stefanov0%
Gustavo França0%
João Bandaro0%
Phellipe Cardoso Araujo0%
Jorge Padilla0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Weslen Junior33%
Tsvetomir Panov27%
Asen Chandarov26%
Nikolay Zlatev25%
Asen Donchev21%
Andreias Calcan20%
Berk Beyhan20%
Phellipe Cardoso Araujo20%
David Teles19%
Dani Martín19%
Ertan Tombak14%
Jorge Padilla12%
Vasil Panayotov11%
Zhivko Atanasov11%
Vlatko Drobarov11%
Celso Sidney11%
Dimitar Tonev10%
Rosen Stefanov8%
Plamen Iliev0%
João Pedro0%
Kristian Tomov0%
Martin Milushev0%
Gustavo França0%
João Bandaro0%
Georgi Lazarov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Milushev20%
Asen Donchev11%
David Teles6%
Dani Martín6%
Vasil Panayotov6%
Asen Chandarov5%
Plamen Iliev0%
Tsvetomir Panov0%
Ertan Tombak0%
Zhivko Atanasov0%
Andreias Calcan0%
Vlatko Drobarov0%
Dimitar Tonev0%
Weslen Junior0%
João Pedro0%
Kristian Tomov0%
Celso Sidney0%
Rosen Stefanov0%
Nikolay Zlatev0%
Gustavo França0%
Berk Beyhan0%
João Bandaro0%
Georgi Lazarov0%
Phellipe Cardoso Araujo0%
Jorge Padilla0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Georgi Lazarov16%
Nikolay Zlatev15%
João Pedro12%
Asen Chandarov5%
Plamen Iliev0%
Tsvetomir Panov0%
Vasil Panayotov0%
Ertan Tombak0%
Zhivko Atanasov0%
David Teles0%
Andreias Calcan0%
Dani Martín0%
Vlatko Drobarov0%
Dimitar Tonev0%
Weslen Junior0%
Kristian Tomov0%
Asen Donchev0%
Martin Milushev0%
Celso Sidney0%
Rosen Stefanov0%
Gustavo França0%
Berk Beyhan0%
João Bandaro0%
Phellipe Cardoso Araujo0%
Jorge Padilla0%
Levski Sofia · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Reinaldo33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
Everton Bala0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Aldair0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Juan Perea0%
Maicon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola Serafimov33%
Everton Bala33%
Aldair33%
Juan Perea33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Reinaldo0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Maicon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Everton Bala33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Reinaldo0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Aldair0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Juan Perea0%
Maicon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Reinaldo33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
Everton Bala0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Aldair0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Juan Perea0%
Maicon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (29)
€46m
LS (27)
€38m
CS (25)
€26m
C1 (30)
€18m
BP (29)
€11m
AK (20)
€10m
LP (23)
€9m
LS (25)
€8m
SS (25)
€7m
CMV (22)
€6m
SV (22)
€6m
BV (23)
€6m
SS (20)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
PB (17)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
Cherno More Varna's squad is €31m less valuable than Levski Sofia's (€6m vs €38m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (12)
€27m
LS (10)
€11m
CS (9)
€10m
C1 (14)
€9m
BP (12)
€5m
AK (7)
€3m
LS (11)
€3m
CMV (8)
€3m
LP (8)
€3m
SS (11)
€2m
BV (8)
€2m
SV (7)
€2m
H1 (8)
€2m
SS (8)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
Cherno More Varna's attack is €8m less valuable than Levski Sofia's (€3m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (5)
€8m
CS (6)
€6m
LUD (4)
€6m
AK (3)
€3m
LS (6)
€2m
C1 (4)
€2m
BP (6)
€2m
LP (5)
€2m
SS (4)
€2m
BV (5)
€1m
CMV (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Cherno More Varna's midfield is €7m less valuable than Levski Sofia's (€1m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (12)
€19m
LUD (13)
€13m
CS (10)
€10m
C1 (12)
€7m
BP (11)
€4m
LP (10)
€4m
AK (10)
€3m
SS (10)
€3m
LS (8)
€3m
SV (11)
€3m
CMV (9)
€2m
BV (10)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
H1 (9)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SS (3)
€0m
Cherno More Varna's defence is €16m less valuable than Levski Sofia's (€2m vs €19m).
Bulgaria: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →