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Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo Result & Analysis

Date: 13/10/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 2-0
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgaria: Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Etar Veliko Tarnovo is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win but the odds for a draw and an away win remaining close. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly active match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.7% chance. Chernomorets, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.86 goals scored and 0.93 conceded, whereas Etar, on the road, averages 0.93 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.1%), Under 5.5 (94.8%), Under 4.5 (87.1%), Away under 2.5 goals (86.0%) and Home +2 handicap (84.5%). The probabilities for the match outcome are Home win 37%, Draw 29%, and Away win 34%. With Chernomorets coming off a 3-0 victory over Pirin Blagoevgrad and Etar having drawn 2-2 with Beroe, the game promises a tight contest where every goal will be hard earned.

Results analysis

The win extends Chernomorets 1919 Burgas’ recent run, and the model’s prediction of a home victory proved correct, with a 2-0 scoreline confirming the favoured result. The model had assigned a 37% probability to a home win and a 26% chance of a 2-goal total, both of which materialised. Every suggested selection performed as expected: Under 7.5 (99.4%) hit, Under 6.5 (98.1%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (95.8%) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (95.1%) hit, Under 5.5 (94.8%) hit, Under 4.5 (87.1%) hit, Away under 2.5 goals (86.0%) hit, and Home +2 handicap (84.5%) hit. The outcome matched the model’s comprehensive forecast.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win✓ Hit
37.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo win✗ Miss
34.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W02L11D21W12L01L22D30W30W71WH·CHE13/04A·LIT20/04H·LUD27/04A·SPA02/05H·CSK11/05A·SPO18/05H·YAN24/05H·SOZ21/08A·NEF28/08H·YAM11/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.131.801.000.731.27
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.321.111.860.930.791.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Etar Veliko Tarnovo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L51W10W14L22D01L25L41W10W10WA·BEL03/08H·STR10/08A·BOT19/08A·PIR27/08H·MAR02/09A·LOK07/09H·CSK16/09A·DUN21/09H·LIT28/09A·DOB07/10
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.701.381.540.761.82
vs Stronger (8)0.752.381.202.400.002.33
vs Similar (22)1.141.451.501.000.931.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.3%
Under 2.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.4%
Under 3.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
7.9%
2-0 ✓
6.5%
0-2
5.9%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals ↓
Etar Veliko Tarnovo goals →
01234
08.3%7.9%5.9%2.5%0.8%
18.4%14%8.0%3.4%1.1%
26.5%8.4%5.4%2.3%0.8%
33.0%3.8%2.5%1.1%0.3%
41.0%1.3%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals (down), columns = Etar Veliko Tarnovo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ludogorets
2.67
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
2.60
Maritsa Plovdiv
2.40
Akademik Svishtov
2.33
Botev Plovdiv
2.33
Rozova dolina
2.25
OFK Levski
2.25
CSKA Sofia
2.17
Asenovets
2.00
Kyustendil
2.00
Natsional Sofia
2.00
Cherno More Varna
2.00
Oborishte
2.00
Levski Sofia
2.00
Arda Kardzhali
2.00
Metalurg Pernik
2.00
Fratria
2.00
Rilski Sportist
1.75
Beroe
1.67
Lokomotiv Mezdra
1.60
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.50
Bratsigovo
1.50
Yantra 2019
1.50
CSKA 1948
1.50
Chernolomets 1919
1.50
Dobrudzha
1.50
Spartak Varna
1.50
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.50
Belasitsa
1.50
Levski Krumovgrad
1.50
Atletik Kuklen
1.50
FK Minyor Pernik
1.50
Neftochimic Burgas
1.50
Slavia Sofia
1.50
Vihar Zlatograd
1.50
Botev Vratsa
1.40
Dunav Ruse
1.33
Sayana Haskovo
1.33
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.00
Hebar 1918
1.00
Sportist Dragichevo
1.00
Septemvri Sofia
1.00
Sekirovo Rakovski
1.00
Levski Spartak 1962
1.00
Botev Ihtiman
1.00
Nesebar
1.00
Metalik Sopot
0.67
Bankya 2009
0.50
Montana
0.50
Druzhba Meshtitsa
0.50
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.50
Marek
0.00
Aksakovo
0.00
Sevlievo
0.00
Butan
0.00
Botev Novi Pazar
0.00
Rakovski 2011
0.00
Juventus Malchika
0.00
Gigant Saedinenie
0.00
Varbitsa Benkovski
0.00
Vitosha Dolna Dikanya
0.00
Kom Berkovitsa
0.00
Svoboda Peshtera
0.00
Zemedelets Kozlovets
0.00
Septemvri Glozhene
0.00
Spartak Plovdiv
0.00
Zagorets
0.00
Spartak Pleven
0.00
Orfey Devin
0.00
Vihren
0.00
Sozopol
0.00
Strumska Slava
0.00
Ovoshtnik
0.00
Partizan
0.00
Litex
0.00
Pavlikeni
0.00
Sveti Vlas
0.00
Yambol 1915
0.00
Ares Sofia
0.00
Septemvri Tervel
0.00
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.00
Balkan Botevgrad
0.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 2.60 points better than Etar Veliko Tarnovo in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Natsional Sofia
8.00
CSKA 1948
3.50
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
3.20
Spartak Varna
3.00
Maritsa Plovdiv
3.00
Akademik Svishtov
2.67
Metalurg Pernik
2.67
Fratria
2.50
Ludogorets
2.17
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
2.00
Asenovets
2.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
2.00
Kyustendil
2.00
Bankya 2009
2.00
Yantra 2019
2.00
Rakovski 2011
2.00
Svoboda Peshtera
2.00
Levski Spartak 1962
2.00
OFK Levski
2.00
Rilski Sportist
2.00
Botev Plovdiv
2.00
CSKA Sofia
1.83
Rozova dolina
1.75
Oborishte
1.67
Beroe
1.67
Arda Kardzhali
1.67
Sayana Haskovo
1.67
Lokomotiv Mezdra
1.60
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Bratsigovo
1.50
Chernolomets 1919
1.50
Dobrudzha
1.50
Atletik Kuklen
1.50
Neftochimic Burgas
1.50
Slavia Sofia
1.50
Cherno More Varna
1.40
Dunav Ruse
1.00
Marek
1.00
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.00
Vitosha Dolna Dikanya
1.00
Montana
1.00
Belasitsa
1.00
Sportist Dragichevo
1.00
Septemvri Sofia
1.00
Sekirovo Rakovski
1.00
Levski Sofia
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
1.00
Botev Ihtiman
1.00
Septemvri Glozhene
1.00
Zagorets
1.00
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Orfey Devin
1.00
Vihren
1.00
Strumska Slava
1.00
Yambol 1915
1.00
Vihar Zlatograd
1.00
Metalik Sopot
0.67
Botev Vratsa
0.60
Levski Krumovgrad
0.50
Druzhba Meshtitsa
0.50
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.50
Aksakovo
0.00
Sevlievo
0.00
Hebar 1918
0.00
Butan
0.00
Botev Novi Pazar
0.00
Juventus Malchika
0.00
Gigant Saedinenie
0.00
Varbitsa Benkovski
0.00
Kom Berkovitsa
0.00
Zemedelets Kozlovets
0.00
Spartak Plovdiv
0.00
Sozopol
0.00
Ovoshtnik
0.00
Partizan
0.00
Litex
0.00
Pavlikeni
0.00
Sveti Vlas
0.00
Nesebar
0.00
Ares Sofia
0.00
Septemvri Tervel
0.00
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.00
Balkan Botevgrad
0.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 3.20 goals better than Etar Veliko Tarnovo in terms of goals scored per game (3.20 vs 0.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hebar 1918
0.00
Nesebar
0.00
Akademik Svishtov
0.33
Levski Sofia
0.33
Ludogorets
0.33
Botev Plovdiv
0.33
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.40
Cherno More Varna
0.40
Yantra 2019
0.50
Botev Vratsa
0.60
Lokomotiv Mezdra
0.60
Dunav Ruse
0.67
Oborishte
0.67
OFK Levski
0.75
CSKA Sofia
0.83
Asenovets
1.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.00
Metalik Sopot
1.00
Sevlievo
1.00
Rozova dolina
1.00
Levski Krumovgrad
1.00
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.00
Sportist Dragichevo
1.00
Septemvri Sofia
1.00
Beroe
1.00
Sekirovo Rakovski
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
1.00
Botev Ihtiman
1.00
Arda Kardzhali
1.00
Spartak Plovdiv
1.00
Ovoshtnik
1.00
Slavia Sofia
1.00
Metalurg Pernik
1.33
CSKA 1948
1.50
Spartak Varna
1.50
Atletik Kuklen
1.50
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.50
Neftochimic Burgas
1.50
Fratria
1.50
Rilski Sportist
1.75
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
2.00
Sportist Svoge
2.00
Kyustendil
2.00
Natsional Sofia
2.00
Botev Novi Pazar
2.00
Juventus Malchika
2.00
Dobrudzha
2.00
Montana
2.00
Levski Spartak 1962
2.00
Spartak Pleven
2.00
Orfey Devin
2.00
Vihren
2.00
Strumska Slava
2.00
Sayana Haskovo
2.00
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2.00
Balkan Botevgrad
2.00
Bratsigovo
2.50
Lokomotiv Sofia
2.50
Druzhba Meshtitsa
2.50
Marek
3.00
Chernolomets 1919
3.00
Gigant Saedinenie
3.00
Varbitsa Benkovski
3.00
Vitosha Dolna Dikanya
3.00
Belasitsa
3.00
Svoboda Peshtera
3.00
Zemedelets Kozlovets
3.00
Septemvri Glozhene
3.00
Zagorets
3.00
Sozopol
3.00
Partizan
3.00
Litex
3.00
Sveti Vlas
3.00
Septemvri Tervel
3.00
Bankya 2009
3.50
Vihar Zlatograd
3.50
Aksakovo
4.00
Butan
4.00
Rakovski 2011
4.00
Kom Berkovitsa
4.00
Pavlikeni
4.00
Yambol 1915
7.00
Ares Sofia
16.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 1.60 goals better than Etar Veliko Tarnovo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.40 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or Draw✓ Hit
65.9%
Avg Implied -
37%
29%
34%
covers Chernomorets 1919 Burgas + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or Etar Veliko Tarnovo✓ Hit
71.4%
Avg Implied -
37%
29%
34%
covers Chernomorets 1919 Burgas + Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Etar Veliko Tarnovo✗ Miss
62.7%
Avg Implied -
37%
29%
34%
covers Draw + Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.2%
Under
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.3%
Under
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.6%
Under
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.4%
Under
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.9%
Under
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, so a minus line means Chernomorets 1919 Burgas give that many goals of a start and Etar Veliko Tarnovo receive them. At -1, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas)Actual: Draw
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas -2
6.4%
Draw -2
11.3%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo +2
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas)Actual: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas -1
17.6%
Draw -1
19.6%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo +1
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas)Actual: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas +1
65.9%
Draw +1
18.6%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo -1
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas)Actual: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas +2
84.5%
Draw +2
10.2%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo -2
5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W02L20W00D01L01L01L01L12LA·DOB16/03H·STR31/03A·MON06/04H·CHE13/04A·LIT20/04H·LUD27/04A·SPA02/05H·CSK11/05A·SPO18/05H·YAN24/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.700.570.710.190.69
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.390.710.620.690.200.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Etar Veliko Tarnovo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W10W02L00D00D12L30W00D10WA·BEL03/08H·STR10/08A·BOT19/08A·PIR27/08H·MAR02/09A·LOK07/09H·CSK16/09A·DUN21/09H·LIT28/09A·DOB07/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.430.540.230.470.59
vs Stronger (8)0.250.250.400.400.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.590.500.620.120.570.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L20W00D02L10W20W11D00D10WA·DOB16/03H·STR31/03A·MON06/04H·CHE13/04A·LIT20/04H·LUD27/04A·SPA02/05H·CSK11/05A·SPO18/05H·YAN24/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.710.360.560.69
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.640.500.690.310.600.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Etar Veliko Tarnovo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W00D12L22D01L13L11D10W00DA·BEL03/08H·STR10/08A·BOT19/08A·PIR27/08H·MAR02/09A·LOK07/09H·CSK16/09A·DUN21/09H·LIT28/09A·DOB07/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.270.851.310.291.24
vs Stronger (8)0.502.120.802.000.002.33
vs Similar (22)0.550.950.880.880.361.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.587.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals86.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap84.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals84.4%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap82.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.575.4%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals74.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.6%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals72.4%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away71.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Etar Veliko Tarnovo · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez33%
Martin Toshev33%
Ivan Vasilev30%
Didis Lutumba-Pitah10%
Martin Moran9%
Dimo Bakalov0%
Nikolay Yankov0%
Martin Nikolov0%
Valeri Hristov0%
Georgi Angelov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Krum Stoyanov0%
Yanko Angelov0%
Lovre Knežević0%
Kelyan Guessoum0%
Josecarlos van Rankin0%
Ivailo Dimitrov0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Chahreddine Boukholda0%
Aleksandar Mishov0%
Gorka Larrucea0%
Vladislav Naydenov0%
Kristijan Sekulic0%
Jaisen Clifford0%
Jean-Marc Tiboué0%
Georgi Aleksandrov0%
Moses Enokela Candidus0%
Luis Mario Córdova Mina0%
Atanas Atanasov0%
Serigne Mbacke Faye0%
Radoslav Naydenov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gorka Larrucea50%
Martin Moran36%
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez33%
Valeri Hristov33%
Krum Stoyanov33%
Martin Toshev33%
Luis Mario Córdova Mina33%
Josecarlos van Rankin29%
Dimo Bakalov25%
Yanko Angelov25%
Kelyan Guessoum25%
Ivan Vasilev20%
Kolyo Stanev20%
Kristijan Sekulic20%
Jean-Marc Tiboué20%
Georgi Aleksandrov17%
Moses Enokela Candidus17%
Nikolay Yankov14%
Martin Nikolov11%
Lovre Knežević11%
Georgi Angelov0%
Didis Lutumba-Pitah0%
Ivailo Dimitrov0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Chahreddine Boukholda0%
Aleksandar Mishov0%
Vladislav Naydenov0%
Jaisen Clifford0%
Atanas Atanasov0%
Serigne Mbacke Faye0%
Radoslav Naydenov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikolay Yankov14%
Didis Lutumba-Pitah10%
Jean-Marc Tiboué10%
Dimo Bakalov0%
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez0%
Martin Nikolov0%
Valeri Hristov0%
Georgi Angelov0%
Ivan Vasilev0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Krum Stoyanov0%
Yanko Angelov0%
Lovre Knežević0%
Kelyan Guessoum0%
Josecarlos van Rankin0%
Ivailo Dimitrov0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Chahreddine Boukholda0%
Martin Toshev0%
Aleksandar Mishov0%
Gorka Larrucea0%
Vladislav Naydenov0%
Kristijan Sekulic0%
Jaisen Clifford0%
Martin Moran0%
Georgi Aleksandrov0%
Moses Enokela Candidus0%
Luis Mario Córdova Mina0%
Atanas Atanasov0%
Serigne Mbacke Faye0%
Radoslav Naydenov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez11%
Ivan Vasilev10%
Didis Lutumba-Pitah10%
Dimo Bakalov0%
Nikolay Yankov0%
Martin Nikolov0%
Valeri Hristov0%
Georgi Angelov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Krum Stoyanov0%
Yanko Angelov0%
Lovre Knežević0%
Kelyan Guessoum0%
Josecarlos van Rankin0%
Ivailo Dimitrov0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Chahreddine Boukholda0%
Martin Toshev0%
Aleksandar Mishov0%
Gorka Larrucea0%
Vladislav Naydenov0%
Kristijan Sekulic0%
Jaisen Clifford0%
Jean-Marc Tiboué0%
Martin Moran0%
Georgi Aleksandrov0%
Moses Enokela Candidus0%
Luis Mario Córdova Mina0%
Atanas Atanasov0%
Serigne Mbacke Faye0%
Radoslav Naydenov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (29)
€46m
LS (27)
€38m
CS (25)
€26m
C1 (30)
€18m
BP (29)
€11m
AK (20)
€10m
LP (23)
€9m
LS (25)
€8m
SS (25)
€7m
CMV (22)
€6m
SV (22)
€6m
BV (23)
€6m
DR (22)
€4m
SS (20)
€3m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (12)
€27m
LS (10)
€11m
CS (9)
€10m
C1 (14)
€9m
BP (12)
€5m
AK (7)
€3m
LS (11)
€3m
CMV (8)
€3m
LP (8)
€3m
SS (11)
€2m
BV (8)
€2m
SV (7)
€2m
H1 (8)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
SS (8)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (5)
€8m
CS (6)
€6m
LUD (4)
€6m
AK (3)
€3m
LS (6)
€2m
C1 (4)
€2m
BP (6)
€2m
LP (5)
€2m
SS (4)
€2m
BV (5)
€1m
CMV (5)
€1m
DR (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (12)
€19m
LUD (13)
€13m
CS (10)
€10m
C1 (12)
€7m
BP (11)
€4m
LP (10)
€4m
AK (10)
€3m
SS (10)
€3m
LS (8)
€3m
SV (11)
€3m
CMV (9)
€2m
BV (10)
€2m
DR (11)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
C1B wins
0
Draws
0
EVT wins

Head-to-head

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo · H/A from C1B
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/24HC1B Vs Yambol 19157-1
28/08/24ANeftochimic Burgas Vs C1B0-3
21/08/24HC1B Vs Sozopol3-0
24/05/24HC1B Vs Yantra 20192-2
18/05/24ASportist Svoge Vs C1B1-0
11/05/24HC1B Vs CSKA 1948 Sofia II1-2
02/05/24ASpartak Pleven Vs C1B1-2
27/04/24HC1B Vs Ludogorets II1-1
20/04/24ALitex Vs C1B2-0
13/04/24HC1B Vs Chernomorets Balchik2-0

Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/24ADobrudzha Vs EVT0-1
28/09/24HEVT Vs Litex1-0
21/09/24ADunav Ruse Vs EVT1-4
16/09/24HEVT Vs CSKA 1948 Sofia II2-5
07/09/24ALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Vs EVT1-0
02/09/24HEVT Vs Marek2-2
27/08/24APirin Blagoevgrad Vs EVT4-1
19/08/24ABotev Plovdiv II Vs EVT0-1
10/08/24HEVT Vs Strumska Slava5-1
03/08/24ABelasitsa Vs EVT2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Bulgaria: Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.27
HomeDLDWW1.58
AwayDLWLW0.94
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%22%
AVG goals2.382.582.17
Over 1.5 %70%79%61%
Over 2.5 %41%47%33%
Over 3.5 %16%16%17%
Scored1.241.580.89
Conceded1.141.001.28
BTTS49%58%39%
Clean Sheet27%32%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgaria: Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW0.86
HomeDWDLW0.92
AwayWLLWW0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%21%23%
AVG goals2.702.832.58
Over 1.5 %72%75%69%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored0.981.170.81
Conceded1.721.671.77
BTTS46%58%35%
Clean Sheet14%12%15%
Corners9.818.8810.75
Cards5.445.885.00

🏆 17. League Table

Etar Veliko Tarnovo plays in Bulgaria - Second League
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DobrudzhaDobrudzha3882
63%
2.2
7426+48
2.6
76%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.90.7
-
2MontanaMontana3878
58%
2.1
5315+38
1.8
55%
29%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.4
-
3Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3872
55%
1.9
5541+14
2.5
68%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.41.1
-
4MarekMarek3865
47%
1.7
4431+13
2.0
63%
24%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.20.8
-
5Yantra 2019Yantra 20193864
47%
1.7
5937+22
2.5
74%
47%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.61.0
-
6Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3864
45%
1.7
5235+17
2.3
71%
34%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.40.9
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3856
39%
1.5
5140+11
2.4
68%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.1
-
8BelasitsaBelasitsa3856
42%
1.5
4245-3
2.3
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CSKA 1948 Sofia IICSKA 1948 Sofia II3855
45%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
76%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
10Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3852
39%
1.4
4141+0
2.2
66%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.1
-
11Ludogorets IILudogorets II3851
34%
1.3
5342+11
2.5
79%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.1
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3851
37%
1.3
3543-8
2.1
58%
37%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.1
-
13CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3849
32%
1.3
4741+6
2.3
66%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
14FratriaFratria3848
34%
1.3
4550-5
2.5
74%
45%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
15FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3841
29%
1.1
3656-20
2.4
66%
32%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3837
21%
1.0
2240-18
1.6
55%
26%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.61.1
-
17LitexLitex3833
21%
0.9
1945-26
1.7
45%
29%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.2
-
18Botev Plovdiv IIBotev Plovdiv II3829
21%
0.8
3370-37
2.7
76%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
19Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava3828
11%
0.7
2354-31
2.0
58%
37%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
20NesebarNesebar3828
13%
0.7
2863-35
2.4
71%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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