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Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Ludogorets II Result & Analysis

Date: 02/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Vs
42%
38%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape the opening minutes, as Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have conceded only half a goal per game at home against comparable opposition, while Ludogorets II have allowed almost a goal per match away. The model favours a home win, with a 42% chance, a 38% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of an away victory. The expected total is 1.5 goals, with a 31% probability that the match will finish with one goal. The most likely exact score is 0-0, a 22.5% chance. The side that is most likely to score is the home team, who average 1.07 goals per match, while the away side is expected to score only 0.55. Their defensive record is weaker, conceding 0.91 goals on the road.

The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (100%), Under 6.5 (99.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.7%), Under 5.5 (99.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.1%) and Under 4.5 (97.9%). Each selection is presented with its exact probability, and the edge percentage is omitted where not provided.

Results analysis

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas extended their two-game winning run, beating Ludogorets II 1-0 to secure the home win the model predicted. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 42% probability and the model’s call proved correct. Every suggested pick settled in the match: Under 7.5 (100%), Under 6.5 (99.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.7%), Under 5.5 (99.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98%), and Under 4.5 (97.9%). All selections hit, confirming the model’s strong predictions for a low-scoring, home-side victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win✓ Hit
41.7%
Avg Implied 56.6% · @ 1.58
Edge
-15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.64
Bet365
1.60
Dafabet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Draw✗ Miss
37.5%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.52
Edge
+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.60
Superbet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Ludogorets II win✗ Miss
20.8%
Avg Implied 17.9% · @ 5.02
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.34
Marathonbet
5.25
Pinnacle
5.01
10Bet
5.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L10W23L11D10W11D01L01L30WH·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05H·SPO15/05A·SEV23/05A·LOK25/07H·BER01/08A·VIH09/08H·CSK17/08A·HEB23/08A·PIR29/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.901.000.471.331.33
vs Stronger (4)1.500.501.500.501.500.50
vs Similar (26)1.120.960.920.461.311.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W31W01L31W10W21W02L02L11D11DA·HEB04/05H·LOK11/05A·ETA15/05H·SPA23/05A·RIL28/07H·LOK03/08A·BER10/08H·VIH18/08A·CSK25/08H·HEB29/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.102.001.330.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.111.161.881.500.550.91
vs Weaker (11)1.641.002.141.140.750.75
Clean sheet %23% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%15%23%31%22%031%127%213%35%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (31%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.0%
@ 1.28-23.7%
Under 1.5
53.0%
@ 3.10+23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
Superbet
3.05
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.3%
@ 1.96-26.5%
Under 2.5
79.7%
@ 1.73+26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.08
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.96
Under
Superbet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
BetVictor
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
7.2%
@ 3.33-20.1%
Under 3.5
92.8%
@ 1.25+20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Superbet
3.25
Unibet
3.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
28.7%
@ 1.94-18.7%
No
71.3%
@ 1.74+18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
2.00
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Betfair
1.95
No
Unibet
1.78
Betfair
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Superbet
1.75
1xBet
1.74

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
22.5%@ 8.37+17.9%
1-0 ✓
19.1%@ 5.61+12.4%
1-1
13.2%@ 6.47+7.4%
0-1
11.4%@ 11.26+8.0%
2-0
9.7%@ 6.53+3.9%
2-1
5.8%@ 7.30+0.6%
0-2
3.7%@ 24.43+2.2%
1-2
3.6%@ 14.61+1.0%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals ↓
Ludogorets II goals →
01234
022%11%3.7%0.7%0.1%
119%13%3.6%0.7%0.1%
29.7%5.8%1.7%0.3%0.0%
33.1%1.8%0.5%0.1%0.0%
40.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals (down), columns = Ludogorets II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vihren
2.14
CSKA Sofia II
2.00
Fratria
2.00
Yantra 2019
1.86
Montana
1.57
Beroe
1.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.57
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Marek
1.43
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Rilski Sportist
1.29
Ludogorets II
1.14
Hebar 1918
1.14
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Sportist Svoge
0.86
Dobrudzha
0.71
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 0.43 points better than Ludogorets II in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
CSKA Sofia II
2.14
Vihren
2.14
Nesebar
1.86
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.86
Montana
1.71
Hebar 1918
1.71
Beroe
1.29
Fratria
1.29
Yantra 2019
1.29
Marek
1.00
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.00
Dobrudzha
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Ludogorets II
0.71
Sportist Svoge
0.57
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.43
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 0.29 goals better than Ludogorets II in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fratria
0.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.57
Marek
0.86
Beroe
0.86
Sportist Svoge
0.86
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Yantra 2019
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Vihren
1.00
Montana
1.14
Ludogorets II
1.14
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.29
Dobrudzha
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Hebar 1918
1.86
Spartak Pleven
2.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3.43
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 0.57 goals better than Ludogorets II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or Draw✓ Hit
79.2%
Avg Implied 82.1% · @ 1.11
Edge
-2.9%
42%
38%
21%
covers Chernomorets 1919 Burgas + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or Ludogorets II✓ Hit
62.5%
Avg Implied 74.7% · @ 1.22
Edge
-12.3%
42%
38%
21%
covers Chernomorets 1919 Burgas + Ludogorets II
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw or Ludogorets II✗ Miss
58.3%
Avg Implied 43.2% · @ 2.11
Edge
+15.1%
42%
38%
21%
covers Draw + Ludogorets II
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.15
Bet365
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
61.5%
@ 1.12-19.0%
Under
38.5%
@ 4.65+19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
4.65
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
24.8%
@ 1.77-26.8%
Under
75.2%
@ 1.89+26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.77
1xBet
1.75
Under
1xBet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathonbet
1.90
Unibet
1.80
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 3.24-21.0%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.27+21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 6.30-12.9%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.07+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Under
1xBet
1.07
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
44.7%
@ 1.64-11.0%
Under
55.3%
@ 2.06+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Unibet
1.54
Under
Unibet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
11.9%
@ 4.21-9.8%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.17+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, so a minus line means Chernomorets 1919 Burgas give that many goals of a start and Ludogorets II receive them. At -1, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas)Actual: Ludogorets II
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas -2
4.6%
@ 4.92-12.5%
Draw -2
11.7%
@ 4.20-8.3%
Ludogorets II +2
83.8%
@ 1.33+20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.05
Unibet
4.80
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Unibet
3.90
Away
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.27
Handicap -1 (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas)Actual: Draw
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas -1
16.2%
@ 2.69-15.7%
Draw -1
25.4%
@ 3.21-1.3%
Ludogorets II +1
58.3%
@ 2.08+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Unibet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.59
Draw
10Bet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Unibet
2.90
Away
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
1.90
Handicap +1 (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas)Actual: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas +1
79.2%
@ 1.12+8.6%
Draw +1
15.3%
@ 4.40-2.7%
Ludogorets II -1
5.5%
@ 6.95-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Marathonbet
6.95
Handicap +2 (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas)Actual: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas +2
94.5%
Draw +2
4.5%
Ludogorets II -2
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D02L00D10W00D01L00D20WH·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05H·SPO15/05A·SEV23/05A·LOK25/07H·BER01/08A·VIH09/08H·CSK17/08A·HEB23/08A·PIR29/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.400.730.270.600.53
vs Stronger (4)0.500.251.000.500.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.690.420.690.230.690.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W00D10W00D21W00D01L00D11DA·HEB04/05H·LOK11/05A·ETA15/05H·SPA23/05A·RIL28/07H·LOK03/08A·BER10/08H·VIH18/08A·CSK25/08H·HEB29/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.571.200.800.270.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.580.531.120.880.180.27
vs Weaker (11)1.000.641.290.710.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
64.6%
@ 1.37-1.4%
Under 0.5
35.4%
@ 2.66+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Under
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
Unibet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.69
10Bet
2.62
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.4%
@ 2.82-4.0%
Under 1.5
71.6%
@ 1.35+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.83
Pinnacle
2.80
William Hil
2.75
Under
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.6%
@ 7.43-3.9%
Under 2.5
91.4%
@ 1.06+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.30
William Hil
7.00
Under
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.05

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.6%
@ 1.71-8.6%
Under
55.4%
@ 1.95+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 4.60-6.9%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.13+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Under
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.1%
@ 2.92+2.0%
Under
66.9%
@ 1.32-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.92
Under
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.5%
Under
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L10W21W11D00D11D00D01L10WH·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05H·SPO15/05A·SEV23/05A·LOK25/07H·BER01/08A·VIH09/08H·CSK17/08A·HEB23/08A·PIR29/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.270.200.730.80
vs Stronger (4)1.000.250.500.001.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.420.540.230.230.620.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D01L21W10W00D02L01L11D00DA·HEB04/05H·LOK11/05A·ETA15/05H·SPA23/05A·RIL28/07H·LOK03/08A·BER10/08H·VIH18/08A·CSK25/08H·HEB29/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.800.530.330.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.530.630.750.620.360.64
vs Weaker (11)0.640.360.860.430.250.25
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.6%
@ 1.25-0.6%
Under 0.5
26.4%
@ 3.60+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.1%
@ 2.15-3.7%
Under 1.5
60.9%
@ 1.61+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Under
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.7%
@ 4.80-4.4%
Under 2.5
85.3%
@ 1.13+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Under
1xBet
1.13

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.2%
@ 1.48-7.3%
Under
45.8%
@ 2.36+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.48
Under
1xBet
2.36
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 3.28-8.1%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.26+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Under
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
38.6%
@ 2.41+0.9%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.46-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.41
Under
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.7%
@ 8.60-0.9%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.02+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.60
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.5100.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.599.5%1.01
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
---+6.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.4%1.07
1xBet
1.07
----+12.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.597.9%1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
--+11.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals97.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.1%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap94.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals91.4%1.06
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.05
--+3.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals90.3%1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
---+0.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals88.1%1.17
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
---+9.8%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.2%1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
---+6.9%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals85.3%1.13
1xBet
1.13
----+4.4%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals80.4%1.26
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
---+8.1%✓ Hit
Home or Draw79.2%1.11
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
-2.9%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap79.2%1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
----+8.6%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals73.6%1.25
1xBet
1.25
-----0.6%✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals71.6%1.35
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
+4.0%✓ Hit
BTTS No71.3%1.74
Unibet
1.78
Betfair
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Superbet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
+18.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's squad is €1m more valuable than Ludogorets II's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Ludogorets II have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Ludogorets II have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Ludogorets II have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
C1B wins
2
Draws
1
LI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Ludogorets II · H/A from C1B
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/26HC1B Vs Ludogorets II0-0
19/10/25ALudogorets II Vs C1B4-2
27/04/24HC1B Vs Ludogorets II1-1
23/11/23ALudogorets II Vs C1B0-1

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26APirin Blagoevgrad Vs C1B0-3
23/08/26AHebar 1918 Vs C1B1-0
17/08/26HC1B Vs CSKA Sofia II0-1
09/08/26AVihren Vs C1B1-1
01/08/26HC1B Vs Beroe1-0
25/07/26ALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Vs C1B1-1
23/05/26ASevlievo Vs C1B3-2
15/05/26HC1B Vs Sportist Svoge1-0
11/05/26AMarek Vs C1B3-0
03/05/26HC1B Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-1

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HLI Vs Hebar 19181-1
25/08/26ACSKA Sofia II Vs LI1-1
18/08/26HLI Vs Vihren0-2
10/08/26ABeroe Vs LI2-0
03/08/26HLI Vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa2-1
28/07/26ARilski Sportist Vs LI0-1
23/05/26HLI Vs Spartak Pleven3-1
15/05/26AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs LI1-0
11/05/26HLI Vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3-1
04/05/26AHebar 1918 Vs LI1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW1.30
HomeDDWWL1.62
AwayLDDLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%23%
AVG goals2.161.922.38
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %30%21%38%
Over 3.5 %14%8%19%
Scored1.121.211.04
Conceded1.040.711.35
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet32%46%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD1.32
HomeWWWLD1.72
AwayWLWLD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%48%20%
AVG goals2.403.081.72
Over 1.5 %72%88%56%
Over 2.5 %38%56%20%
Over 3.5 %26%44%8%
Scored1.241.920.56
Conceded1.161.161.16
BTTS46%64%28%
Clean Sheet26%20%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VihrenVihren715
57%
2.1
157+8
3.1
100%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.11.0
-
2CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II714
57%
2.0
157+8
3.1
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.11.0
-
3FratriaFratria714
57%
2.0
94+5
1.9
57%
14%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.30.6
-
4Yantra 2019Yantra 2019713
57%
1.9
97+2
2.3
71%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.0
-
5MontanaMontana711
43%
1.6
128+4
2.9
71%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
6BeroeBeroe711
43%
1.6
96+3
2.1
71%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.30.9
-
7Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas711
43%
1.6
74+3
1.6
43%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.00.6
-
8Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo711
43%
1.6
1311+2
3.4
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.6
-
9NesebarNesebar710
43%
1.4
1310+3
3.3
71%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
10MarekMarek710
43%
1.4
76+1
1.9
29%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.00.9
-
11Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa710
43%
1.4
79-2
2.3
86%
43%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.3
-
12Rilski SportistRilski Sportist79
29%
1.3
77+0
2.0
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
13Hebar 1918Hebar 191878
29%
1.1
1213-1
3.6
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.71.9
-
14Ludogorets IILudogorets II78
29%
1.1
58-3
1.9
71%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.71.1
-
15Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven77
29%
1.0
714-7
3.0
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.02.0
-
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge76
14%
0.9
46-2
1.4
29%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.60.9
-
17DobrudzhaDobrudzha75
14%
0.7
710-3
2.4
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
18Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad70
0%
0.0
324-21
3.9
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.43.4
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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