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Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Spartak Pleven Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Vs
47%
32%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win✓ Hit
46.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven win✗ Miss
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-722D30W30W71W20W11D12L11D11D00DH·YAN24/05H·SOZ21/08A·NEF28/08H·YAM11/09H·ETA13/10H·LOK28/10A·FRA26/07H·YAN02/08A·FK 09/08A·LOK23/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.171.791.070.751.25
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.291.141.851.000.801.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L00D20W02L10W21W01L02L11D25LH·BOT05/05A·ETA08/05H·MAR11/05A·LOK17/05H·CSK24/05H·CSK27/07A·VIH02/08H·DUN12/08A·BEL17/08H·PIR23/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.231.201.070.531.40
vs Stronger (12)0.831.081.170.830.501.33
vs Similar (18)0.891.331.221.220.561.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%43%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.6%
Under 1.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.3%
Under 2.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.6%
Under 3.5
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.0%
No
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.0%
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.9%
2-0 ✓
10.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals ↓
Spartak Pleven goals →
01234
015%9.0%3.8%0.9%0.2%
116%14%4.6%1.1%0.2%
211%7.8%2.8%0.7%0.1%
34.4%3.2%1.2%0.3%0.1%
41.3%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals (down), columns = Spartak Pleven goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunav Ruse
2.16
Yantra 2019
2.00
Fratria
1.97
Vihren
1.81
CSKA Sofia II
1.72
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.44
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Marek
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.25
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.09
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
Sevlievo
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
0.94
Belasitsa
0.59
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 0.34 points better than Spartak Pleven in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fratria
1.91
Vihren
1.84
CSKA Sofia II
1.78
Dunav Ruse
1.66
Yantra 2019
1.41
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.28
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.22
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.19
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.16
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
FK Minyor Pernik
1.00
Sevlievo
0.91
Sportist Svoge
0.88
Marek
0.84
Belasitsa
0.81
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 0.03 goals better than Spartak Pleven in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunav Ruse
0.50
Yantra 2019
0.75
Fratria
0.91
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Vihren
1.06
Marek
1.09
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.34
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
FK Minyor Pernik
1.41
Spartak Pleven
1.41
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.59
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.62
Sevlievo
1.62
Belasitsa
1.94
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 0.41 goals better than Spartak Pleven in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L12L20W00D02L10W10W00DA·SPA02/05H·CSK11/05A·SPO18/05H·YAN24/05H·ETA13/10H·LOK28/10A·FRA26/07H·YAN02/08A·FK 09/08A·LOK23/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.600.710.570.060.62
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.390.610.770.540.070.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W00D00D10W01L01L10W12LH·BOT05/05A·ETA08/05H·MAR11/05A·LOK17/05H·CSK24/05H·CSK27/07A·VIH02/08H·DUN12/08A·BEL17/08H·PIR23/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.600.600.330.53
vs Stronger (12)0.330.330.500.330.170.33
vs Similar (18)0.560.720.670.780.440.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D00D10W00D11D10W01L01L00DA·SPA02/05H·CSK11/05A·SPO18/05H·YAN24/05H·ETA13/10H·LOK28/10A·FRA26/07H·YAN02/08A·FK 09/08A·LOK23/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.710.500.500.62
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.610.540.690.460.530.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W02L10W11D00D01L01L13LH·BOT05/05A·ETA08/05H·MAR11/05A·LOK17/05H·CSK24/05H·CSK27/07A·VIH02/08H·DUN12/08A·BEL17/08H·PIR23/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.600.470.200.87
vs Stronger (12)0.500.750.670.500.331.00
vs Similar (18)0.330.610.560.440.110.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Spartak Pleven have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Spartak Pleven have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Spartak Pleven have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Spartak Pleven have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
C1B wins
0
Draws
0
SP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Spartak Pleven · H/A from C1B
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/24ASpartak Pleven Vs C1B1-2
21/10/23HC1B Vs Spartak Pleven3-0

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25ALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Vs C1B0-0
09/08/25AFK Minyor Pernik Vs C1B1-1
02/08/25HC1B Vs Yantra 20191-1
26/07/25AFratria Vs C1B2-1
28/10/24HC1B Vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-1
13/10/24HC1B Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo2-0
11/09/24HC1B Vs Yambol 19157-1
28/08/24ANeftochimic Burgas Vs C1B0-3
21/08/24HC1B Vs Sozopol3-0
24/05/24HC1B Vs Yantra 20192-2

Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25HSP Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad2-5
17/08/25ABelasitsa Vs SP1-1
12/08/25HSP Vs Dunav Ruse0-2
02/08/25AVihren Vs SP1-0
27/07/25HSP Vs CSKA Sofia II2-1
24/05/25HSP Vs CSKA 1948 Sofia II1-0
17/05/25ALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Vs SP2-0
11/05/25HSP Vs Marek2-0
08/05/25AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs SP0-0
05/05/25HSP Vs Botev Plovdiv II0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDD1.26
HomeWWWDD1.59
AwayLWLDD0.90
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%41%19%
AVG goals2.302.502.10
Over 1.5 %72%82%62%
Over 2.5 %37%41%33%
Over 3.5 %14%14%14%
Scored1.211.550.86
Conceded1.090.951.24
BTTS51%59%43%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.18
HomeWWWLL1.44
AwayLDLLD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.082.321.84
Over 1.5 %58%60%56%
Over 2.5 %36%40%32%
Over 3.5 %14%20%8%
Scored0.861.120.60
Conceded1.221.201.24
BTTS34%40%28%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3269
62%
2.2
5316+37
2.2
69%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.5
-
2Yantra 2019Yantra 20193264
56%
2.0
4524+21
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.40.8
-
3FratriaFratria3263
56%
2.0
6129+32
2.8
84%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.90.9
-
4VihrenVihren3258
53%
1.8
5934+25
2.9
72%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.1
-
5CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3255
50%
1.7
5732+25
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3246
34%
1.4
3832+6
2.2
69%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3244
34%
1.4
3943-4
2.6
66%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Ludogorets IILudogorets II3241
34%
1.3
4143-2
2.6
69%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
9MarekMarek3241
31%
1.3
2735-8
1.9
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.1
-
10Hebar 1918Hebar 19183240
34%
1.2
4151-10
2.9
84%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.31.6
-
11Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3238
28%
1.2
3841-3
2.5
66%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3235
28%
1.1
3745-8
2.6
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
13Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3234
28%
1.1
2848-20
2.4
62%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.5
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3233
25%
1.0
3352-19
2.7
69%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
15SevlievoSevlievo3232
28%
1.0
2952-23
2.5
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
16FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3230
22%
0.9
3245-13
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
17BelasitsaBelasitsa3219
12%
0.6
2662-36
2.8
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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