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Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge Result & Analysis

Date: 15/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Vs
56%
29%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win✓ Hit
56.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge win✗ Miss
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W30W20W11D01L20W00D31W11D03LA·SPA07/03H·CSK15/03A·VIH21/03H·DUN29/03A·BEL04/04H·PIR09/04H·LUD16/04A·HEB27/04H·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.971.330.731.331.20
vs Stronger (1)2.003.002.003.00--
vs Similar (29)1.310.901.290.571.331.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L04L10W01L00D01L14L32W03L20WA·YAN07/03H·FK 14/03A·SEV25/03H·LOK29/03A·SPA04/04H·CSK10/04A·VIH16/04H·DUN26/04A·BEL02/05H·PIR11/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.630.931.400.871.87
vs Stronger (13)0.852.381.001.570.673.33
vs Similar (17)0.941.060.881.251.000.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
61.7%
Under 1.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.5%
Under 2.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.1%
Under 3.5
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
35.8%
No
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
17.5%
0-0
14.1%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals ↓
Sportist Svoge goals →
01234
014%6.8%2.4%0.5%0.1%
117%12%3.4%0.7%0.1%
213%8.1%2.5%0.5%0.1%
36.4%3.9%1.2%0.2%0.0%
42.3%1.4%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals (down), columns = Sportist Svoge goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunav Ruse
2.16
Yantra 2019
2.00
Fratria
1.97
Vihren
1.81
CSKA Sofia II
1.72
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.44
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Marek
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.25
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.09
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
Sevlievo
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
0.94
Belasitsa
0.59
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 0.38 points better than Sportist Svoge in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fratria
1.91
Vihren
1.84
CSKA Sofia II
1.78
Dunav Ruse
1.66
Yantra 2019
1.41
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.28
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.22
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.19
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.16
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
FK Minyor Pernik
1.00
Sevlievo
0.91
Sportist Svoge
0.88
Marek
0.84
Belasitsa
0.81
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 0.31 goals better than Sportist Svoge in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunav Ruse
0.50
Yantra 2019
0.75
Fratria
0.91
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Vihren
1.06
Marek
1.09
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.34
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
FK Minyor Pernik
1.41
Spartak Pleven
1.41
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.59
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.62
Sevlievo
1.62
Belasitsa
1.94
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas is 0.50 goals better than Sportist Svoge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W00D11D00D10W00D21W10W01LA·SPA07/03H·CSK15/03A·VIH21/03H·DUN29/03A·BEL04/04H·PIR09/04H·LUD16/04A·HEB27/04H·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.430.930.330.730.53
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.830.410.930.290.730.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W00D00D01L11D12L00D00DA·YAN07/03H·FK 14/03A·SEV25/03H·LOK29/03A·SPA04/04H·CSK10/04A·VIH16/04H·DUN26/04A·BEL02/05H·PIR11/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.800.400.870.470.73
vs Stronger (13)0.381.310.291.140.501.50
vs Similar (17)0.470.410.500.620.440.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W20W00D01L10W00D10W01L02LA·SPA07/03H·CSK15/03A·VIH21/03H·DUN29/03A·BEL04/04H·PIR09/04H·LUD16/04A·HEB27/04H·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.400.400.600.67
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (29)0.480.480.360.290.600.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L00D01L00D00D03L20W03L20WA·YAN07/03H·FK 14/03A·SEV25/03H·LOK29/03A·SPA04/04H·CSK10/04A·VIH16/04H·DUN26/04A·BEL02/05H·PIR11/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.830.530.530.401.13
vs Stronger (13)0.461.080.710.430.171.83
vs Similar (17)0.470.650.380.620.560.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas's squad is €2m more valuable than Sportist Svoge's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Sportist Svoge have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Sportist Svoge have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and Sportist Svoge have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
C1B wins
0
Draws
2
SS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Sportist Svoge · H/A from C1B
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/25ASportist Svoge Vs C1B0-1
18/05/24ASportist Svoge Vs C1B1-0
03/11/23HC1B Vs Sportist Svoge1-2

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/26AMarek Vs C1B3-0
03/05/26HC1B Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-1
27/04/26AHebar 1918 Vs C1B1-3
16/04/26HC1B Vs Ludogorets II0-0
09/04/26HC1B Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad2-0
04/04/26ABelasitsa Vs C1B1-0
29/03/26HC1B Vs Dunav Ruse1-1
21/03/26AVihren Vs C1B0-2
15/03/26HC1B Vs CSKA Sofia II3-0
07/03/26ASpartak Pleven Vs C1B1-2

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/26HSS Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad2-0
02/05/26ABelasitsa Vs SS3-0
26/04/26HSS Vs Dunav Ruse3-2
16/04/26AVihren Vs SS4-1
10/04/26HSS Vs CSKA Sofia II0-1
04/04/26ASpartak Pleven Vs SS0-0
29/03/26HSS Vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0-1
25/03/26ASevlievo Vs SS0-1
14/03/26HSS Vs FK Minyor Pernik0-4
07/03/26AYantra 2019 Vs SS2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDL1.46
HomeWDWDD1.70
AwayWWLWL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%41%30%
AVG goals2.422.372.48
Over 1.5 %76%81%70%
Over 2.5 %36%30%43%
Over 3.5 %18%15%22%
Scored1.421.591.22
Conceded1.000.781.26
BTTS46%52%39%
Clean Sheet36%44%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.14
HomeLLLWW1.24
AwayLWDLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.082.082.08
Over 1.5 %64%68%60%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %16%12%20%
Scored0.800.920.68
Conceded1.281.161.40
BTTS26%32%20%
Clean Sheet38%28%48%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3269
62%
2.2
5316+37
2.2
69%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.5
-
2Yantra 2019Yantra 20193264
56%
2.0
4524+21
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.40.8
-
3FratriaFratria3263
56%
2.0
6129+32
2.8
84%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.90.9
-
4VihrenVihren3258
53%
1.8
5934+25
2.9
72%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.1
-
5CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3255
50%
1.7
5732+25
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3246
34%
1.4
3832+6
2.2
69%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3244
34%
1.4
3943-4
2.6
66%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Ludogorets IILudogorets II3241
34%
1.3
4143-2
2.6
69%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
9MarekMarek3241
31%
1.3
2735-8
1.9
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.1
-
10Hebar 1918Hebar 19183240
34%
1.2
4151-10
2.9
84%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.31.6
-
11Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3238
28%
1.2
3841-3
2.5
66%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3235
28%
1.1
3745-8
2.6
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
13Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3234
28%
1.1
2848-20
2.4
62%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.5
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3233
25%
1.0
3352-19
2.7
69%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
15SevlievoSevlievo3232
28%
1.0
2952-23
2.5
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
16FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3230
22%
0.9
3245-13
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
17BelasitsaBelasitsa3219
12%
0.6
2662-36
2.8
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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