PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Chernomorets Balchik vs Belasitsa Result & Analysis

Date: 08/10/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 1-3
Chernomorets Balchik
Chernomorets Balchik
Vs
58%
31%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Belasitsa
Belasitsa
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets Balchik win✗ Miss
57.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa win✓ Hit
10.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Chernomorets BalchikChernomorets Balchik

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L30W01L01L12L20W31W00D00DA·MON29/07A·MAR05/08H·LIT13/08A·LUD21/08H·SPA27/08A·CSK02/09H·SPO17/09A·YAN23/09H·CHE27/09A·BDI01/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.921.000.200.571.43
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (11)0.730.821.000.200.501.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Belasitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BelasitsaBelasitsa

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D20W02L01L02L11D01L10WH·CHE29/07A·BDI04/08H·MAR15/08H·SPA20/08A·MAR29/08H·DUN03/09A·SEP18/09H·DOB23/09A·STR27/09H·MON03/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.431.271.270.401.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.831.431.271.270.401.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets Balchik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%29%19%029%127%215%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
51.3%
Under 1.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
24.0%
Under 2.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
9.1%
Under 3.5
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
25.1%
No
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
22.8%
0-0
19.5%
2-0
15.2%
1-1
10.6%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
Chernomorets Balchik goals ↓
Belasitsa goals →
01234
019%6.5%1.5%0.2%0.0%
123%11%2.0%0.3%0.0%
215%6.2%1.3%0.2%0.0%
36.5%2.6%0.5%0.1%0.0%
42.1%0.8%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chernomorets Balchik goals (down), columns = Belasitsa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Spartak Varna
2.12
Septemvri Sofia
1.91
Marek
1.79
Montana
1.68
Strumska Slava
1.50
Dobrudzha
1.47
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.47
Yantra 2019
1.38
Dunav Ruse
1.35
Spartak Pleven
1.32
Litex
1.32
Ludogorets II
1.29
Belasitsa
1.26
Sportist Svoge
1.18
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.12
Chernomorets Balchik
1.06
Maritsa Plovdiv
0.88
Bdin
0.65
Chernomorets Balchik is 0.21 points worse than Belasitsa in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Spartak Varna
1.76
Septemvri Sofia
1.35
Montana
1.35
Dobrudzha
1.26
Yantra 2019
1.15
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.15
Ludogorets II
1.15
Belasitsa
1.09
Marek
1.06
Chernomorets Balchik
1.06
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Strumska Slava
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.97
Maritsa Plovdiv
0.91
Dunav Ruse
0.88
Litex
0.88
Spartak Pleven
0.85
Bdin
0.56
Chernomorets Balchik is 0.03 goals worse than Belasitsa in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Marek
0.76
Septemvri Sofia
0.76
Spartak Varna
0.82
Strumska Slava
0.82
Montana
0.91
Spartak Pleven
0.94
Belasitsa
0.97
Dobrudzha
1.00
Dunav Ruse
1.06
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.06
Litex
1.06
Yantra 2019
1.09
Ludogorets II
1.15
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.21
Sportist Svoge
1.32
Chernomorets Balchik
1.44
Bdin
1.47
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.65
Chernomorets Balchik is 0.47 goals worse than Belasitsa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Chernomorets BalchikChernomorets Balchik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D30W00D01L12L10W01L00D00DA·MON29/07A·MAR05/08H·LIT13/08A·LUD21/08H·SPA27/08A·CSK02/09H·SPO17/09A·YAN23/09H·CHE27/09A·BDI01/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.500.800.200.140.71
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (11)0.360.360.800.200.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Belasitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BelasitsaBelasitsa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D10W01L01L00D01L00D00DH·CHE29/07A·BDI04/08H·MAR15/08H·SPA20/08A·MAR29/08H·DUN03/09A·SEP18/09H·DOB23/09A·STR27/09H·MON03/10
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.570.600.530.130.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.370.570.600.530.130.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets Balchik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chernomorets Balchik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets Balchik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets Balchik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Chernomorets BalchikChernomorets Balchik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D01L00D00D10W30W00D00DA·MON29/07A·MAR05/08H·LIT13/08A·LUD21/08H·SPA27/08A·CSK02/09H·SPO17/09A·YAN23/09H·CHE27/09A·BDI01/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.420.200.000.430.71
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (11)0.360.450.200.000.500.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Belasitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BelasitsaBelasitsa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D10W01L00D02L10W01L10WH·CHE29/07A·BDI04/08H·MAR15/08H·SPA20/08A·MAR29/08H·DUN03/09A·SEP18/09H·DOB23/09A·STR27/09H·MON03/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.870.670.730.271.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.470.870.670.730.271.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets Balchik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chernomorets Balchik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets Balchik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets Balchik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.590.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 2.576.0%-------✗ Miss
BTTS No74.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SV (22)
€6m
DR (22)
€4m
SS (20)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
C1B (19)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SV (7)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
SS (8)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
DOB (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SV (11)
€3m
DR (11)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
MAR (9)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
CB wins
0
Draws
0
BEL wins

Head-to-head

Chernomorets Balchik vs Belasitsa · H/A from CB
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Chernomorets BalchikChernomorets Balchik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/23ABdin Vs CB0-0
27/09/23HCB Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas0-0
23/09/23AYantra 2019 Vs CB1-3
17/09/23HCB Vs Sportist Svoge2-0
02/09/23ACSKA 1948 Sofia II Vs CB2-1
27/08/23HCB Vs Spartak Pleven0-1
21/08/23ALudogorets II Vs CB1-0
13/08/23HCB Vs Litex3-0
05/08/23AMarek Vs CB1-0
29/07/23AMontana Vs CB1-0

BelasitsaBelasitsa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/23HBEL Vs Montana1-0
27/09/23AStrumska Slava Vs BEL1-0
23/09/23HBEL Vs Dobrudzha1-1
18/09/23ASeptemvri Sofia Vs BEL2-0
03/09/23HBEL Vs Dunav Ruse0-1
29/08/23AMaritsa Plovdiv Vs BEL2-0
20/08/23HBEL Vs Spartak Varna2-0
15/08/23HBEL Vs Marek0-0
04/08/23ABdin Vs BEL1-0
29/07/23HBEL Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets Balchik
Chernomorets Balchik
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD1.00
HomeDWLWD1.60
AwayLLLWD0.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%40%14%
AVG goals1.671.202.00
Over 1.5 %42%40%43%
Over 2.5 %33%20%43%
Over 3.5 %17%0%29%
Scored0.751.000.57
Conceded0.920.201.43
BTTS17%0%29%
Clean Sheet42%80%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Belasitsa
Belasitsa
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.15
HomeDWLDW1.58
AwayLLLLL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%46%18%
AVG goals2.072.122.00
Over 1.5 %63%62%64%
Over 2.5 %33%38%27%
Over 3.5 %13%17%9%
Scored0.911.210.59
Conceded1.150.921.41
BTTS37%42%32%
Clean Sheet33%42%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna3472
68%
2.1
6028+32
2.6
79%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.80.8
-
2Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia3465
56%
1.9
4626+20
2.1
74%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.40.8
-
3MarekMarek3461
47%
1.8
3626+10
1.8
50%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.10.8
-
4MontanaMontana3457
47%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
68%
35%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
5Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava3451
41%
1.5
3428+6
1.8
53%
21%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
6DobrudzhaDobrudzha3450
41%
1.5
4334+9
2.3
68%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.0
-
7CSKA 1948 Sofia IICSKA 1948 Sofia II3450
38%
1.5
3936+3
2.2
65%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Yantra 2019Yantra 20193447
35%
1.4
3937+2
2.2
71%
47%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.11.1
-
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3446
35%
1.4
3036-6
1.9
71%
24%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.1
-
10Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3445
38%
1.3
2932-3
1.8
53%
26%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.90.9
-
11LitexLitex3445
35%
1.3
3036-6
1.9
56%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
12Ludogorets IILudogorets II3444
32%
1.3
3939+0
2.3
68%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.1
-
13BelasitsaBelasitsa3443
35%
1.3
3733+4
2.1
65%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
14Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3440
29%
1.2
3645-9
2.4
71%
35%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
15Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3438
26%
1.1
3341-8
2.2
68%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.2
-
16Chernomorets BalchikChernomorets Balchik3436
29%
1.1
3649-13
2.5
76%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
17Maritsa PlovdivMaritsa Plovdiv3430
26%
0.9
3156-25
2.6
65%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
18BdinBdin3422
15%
0.6
1950-31
2.0
47%
26%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.5
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

← all matches