This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.63
1.60
1.47
1.00
1.80
vs Stronger (11)
0.91
1.82
1.67
0.67
0.62
2.25
vs Similar (19)
1.53
1.53
1.58
1.67
1.43
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.0%
Under 1.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.99+4.1%
Under 2.5
48.4%
@ 1.80-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.4%
Under 3.5
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-0 ✓
7.9%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
Chievo goals ↓
Ascoli goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
6.4%
4.5%
1.8%
0.5%
1
8.9%
13%
7.0%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.9%
9.3%
5.5%
2.2%
0.6%
3
4.1%
4.8%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.6%
1.9%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chievo goals (down), columns = Ascoli goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benevento
2.26
Crotone
1.79
Spezia
1.61
Pordenone
1.53
Cittadella
1.53
Chievo
1.47
Frosinone
1.42
Pisa
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Salernitana
1.37
Venezia
1.32
Cremonese
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.26
Ascoli
1.21
Trapani
1.21
Cosenza
1.21
Pescara
1.18
Perugia
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.08
Livorno
0.55
Chievo is 0.26 points better than Ascoli in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.76
Crotone
1.66
Spezia
1.42
Salernitana
1.39
Ascoli
1.32
Cosenza
1.32
Pisa
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Pescara
1.26
Chievo
1.26
Trapani
1.26
Pordenone
1.26
Empoli
1.24
Juve Stabia
1.24
Virtus Entella
1.21
Cremonese
1.11
Frosinone
1.08
Perugia
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Livorno
0.79
Chievo is 0.05 goals worse than Ascoli in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Benevento
0.71
Frosinone
1.00
Chievo
1.00
Spezia
1.05
Crotone
1.05
Venezia
1.05
Cremonese
1.13
Pisa
1.18
Pordenone
1.21
Empoli
1.26
Perugia
1.29
Cosenza
1.29
Cittadella
1.29
Salernitana
1.32
Virtus Entella
1.32
Pescara
1.45
Ascoli
1.53
Trapani
1.58
Juve Stabia
1.66
Livorno
1.76
Chievo is 0.53 goals better than Ascoli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
C
Chievo
For 3.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 14.3 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ascoli
For 3.8 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 17.3 · Total 33.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Chievo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.1
11.2
5.0
4.6
5.4
27.8
27.0
28.6
vs Stronger (42)
10.3
9.0
11.5
4.7
4.5
4.9
27.6
27.0
28.1
vs Similar (8)
9.2
9.2
9.2
6.6
5.0
8.2
28.8
26.8
30.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
60%
68%
66%
60%
72%
82%
76%
88%
% under line
36%
40%
32%
34%
40%
28%
18%
24%
12%
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.8
8.8
5.6
6.2
5.0
32.5
33.7
31.3
vs Stronger (17)
8.3
9.0
7.7
5.4
5.1
5.6
31.1
31.2
30.9
vs Similar (33)
9.1
8.8
9.5
5.8
6.6
4.7
33.3
34.7
31.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
35%
38%
84%
88%
79%
94%
100%
88%
% under line
64%
65%
62%
16%
12%
21%
6%
0%
12%
This opponent (Chievo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Crotone
10.8
Livorno
10.5
Virtus Entella
10.5
Spezia
10.4
Cittadella
10.3
Chievo
10.1
Trapani
10.0
Pescara
10.0
Cremonese
9.9
Perugia
9.8
Frosinone
9.8
Salernitana
9.7
Empoli
9.7
Venezia
9.6
Pisa
9.6
Pordenone
9.2
Benevento
9.1
Cosenza
9.0
Juve Stabia
8.9
Ascoli
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Juve Stabia
6.0
Ascoli
5.6
Benevento
5.6
Livorno
5.5
Cittadella
5.4
Pisa
5.3
Salernitana
5.3
Pordenone
5.2
Frosinone
5.1
Chievo
5.0
Venezia
4.9
Cosenza
4.9
Trapani
4.9
Virtus Entella
4.8
Spezia
4.8
Cremonese
4.7
Crotone
4.6
Perugia
4.6
Pescara
4.5
Empoli
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Pordenone
36.0
Virtus Entella
33.7
Juve Stabia
32.9
Trapani
32.8
Ascoli
32.5
Cittadella
32.5
Livorno
32.1
Benevento
32.1
Venezia
30.9
Salernitana
30.8
Cosenza
30.8
Frosinone
29.6
Spezia
29.3
Perugia
29.3
Cremonese
28.9
Pescara
28.5
Crotone
28.4
Pisa
28.4
Chievo
27.8
Empoli
24.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.1%
Under 9.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.4%
Under 3.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.2%
Under 21.5
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
C
Chievo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.87
0.21
1.07
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (24)
0.29
0.79
0.25
1.08
0.33
0.50
vs Similar (6)
0.50
1.17
0.00
1.00
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.87
0.60
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.73
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.63
0.83
0.75
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chievo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
C
Chievo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.90
0.64
0.71
0.38
1.06
vs Stronger (24)
0.46
0.96
0.67
0.58
0.25
1.33
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.67
0.50
1.50
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.97
0.73
0.87
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
1.09
0.67
0.67
0.12
1.25
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.89
0.75
0.92
0.86
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chievo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ascoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Silipo67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoul Guiebre67%
Giovanni Corradini67%
Simone D'Uffizi67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Marcos Curado33%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuele Damiani33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Amine Chakir33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amine Chakir67%
Andrea Silipo33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Simone D'Uffizi0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →