This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Venezia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.00
1.31
1.12
1.07
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
1.00
0.60
1.20
1.25
0.75
vs Weaker (21)
1.33
1.00
1.64
1.09
1.00
0.90
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.3%
Under 1.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.0%
@ 2.21-7.6%
Under 2.5
65.0%
@ 1.64+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.1%
Under 3.5
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.8%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
Chievo goals ↓
Venezia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
11%
6.2%
2.1%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.7%
2.3%
0.6%
2
7.4%
7.4%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
3
2.7%
2.7%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chievo goals (down), columns = Venezia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Empoli
1.92
Salernitana
1.82
Monza
1.68
Lecce
1.63
Venezia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Chievo
1.47
Spal
1.47
Brescia
1.47
Frosinone
1.32
Reggina
1.32
Cremonese
1.26
Pisa
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Pordenone
1.18
Ascoli
1.16
Cosenza
0.92
Reggiana
0.89
Pescara
0.84
Virtus Entella
0.61
Chievo is 0.08 points worse than Venezia in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.55).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lecce
1.79
Empoli
1.79
Brescia
1.61
Pisa
1.42
Venezia
1.39
Monza
1.34
Chievo
1.32
Cittadella
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Cremonese
1.21
Salernitana
1.21
Spal
1.16
Reggina
1.11
Pordenone
1.05
Frosinone
1.00
Ascoli
0.97
Reggiana
0.82
Virtus Entella
0.79
Pescara
0.76
Cosenza
0.76
Chievo is 0.08 goals worse than Venezia in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Monza
0.87
Salernitana
0.89
Empoli
0.92
Cittadella
0.92
Chievo
0.97
Pordenone
1.03
Venezia
1.03
Frosinone
1.11
Spal
1.11
Cremonese
1.16
Reggina
1.18
Lecce
1.24
Cosenza
1.24
Ascoli
1.26
Brescia
1.39
Vicenza Virtus
1.39
Reggiana
1.50
Pisa
1.55
Pescara
1.58
Virtus Entella
1.68
Chievo is 0.05 goals better than Venezia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
C
Chievo
For 7.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 14.5 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Venezia
For 6.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 17.6 · Total 30.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Chievo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.4
8.9
5.4
5.3
5.5
31.3
30.7
32.0
vs Stronger (19)
9.5
8.6
10.3
5.1
4.7
5.5
31.6
29.8
33.3
vs Similar (31)
8.2
8.4
8.0
5.6
5.7
5.5
31.1
31.2
31.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
40%
48%
76%
76%
76%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
56%
60%
52%
24%
24%
24%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Venezia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.4
10.0
5.5
6.0
5.0
32.1
32.8
31.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
9.7
9.2
10.1
4.8
5.2
4.4
30.6
32.0
29.2
vs Weaker (34)
9.7
9.4
9.9
5.9
6.4
5.3
32.8
33.1
32.5
% over line
56%
48%
64%
80%
84%
76%
94%
100%
88%
% under line
44%
52%
36%
20%
16%
24%
6%
0%
12%
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lecce
12.0
Cosenza
10.8
Pordenone
10.6
Monza
10.5
Vicenza Virtus
10.4
Spal
10.3
Empoli
10.3
Cittadella
10.2
Frosinone
10.1
Cremonese
10.0
Brescia
10.0
Reggina
9.8
Venezia
9.7
Virtus Entella
9.3
Pisa
9.3
Salernitana
9.0
Reggiana
9.0
Ascoli
8.9
Pescara
8.8
Chievo
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reggina
7.2
Pisa
6.2
Salernitana
6.2
Ascoli
6.0
Cosenza
5.8
Vicenza Virtus
5.7
Reggiana
5.6
Virtus Entella
5.6
Venezia
5.5
Pordenone
5.5
Brescia
5.5
Cittadella
5.5
Chievo
5.4
Pescara
5.4
Spal
5.2
Monza
5.1
Lecce
4.9
Frosinone
4.8
Cremonese
4.7
Empoli
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
36.4
Salernitana
34.3
Cittadella
33.0
Frosinone
32.9
Pisa
32.7
Reggiana
32.5
Venezia
32.1
Vicenza Virtus
32.0
Chievo
31.3
Ascoli
31.0
Cosenza
31.0
Pordenone
30.9
Virtus Entella
30.5
Pescara
30.2
Monza
29.9
Empoli
29.4
Brescia
29.2
Spal
29.1
Cremonese
27.8
Lecce
25.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.9%
Under 9.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.9%
Under 3.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.0%
Under 21.5
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
C
Chievo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.30
0.73
0.27
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.45
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.21
0.90
0.20
0.44
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Venezia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.50
0.44
0.57
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.22
0.40
0.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (21)
0.48
0.52
0.55
0.64
0.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chievo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
C
Chievo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.73
0.53
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.18
0.60
1.00
0.83
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.26
0.80
0.30
0.33
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Venezia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.81
0.69
0.50
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.78
0.20
1.20
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (21)
0.86
0.48
1.09
0.45
0.60
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chievo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Venezia · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
John Yeboah33%
R. Sagrado33%
Akor Adams25%
S. Sohm0%
Thierry Correia0%
Armel Bella-Kotchap0%
Ridgeciano Haps0%
Gianluca Busio0%
Kike Pérez0%
Filip Stanković0%
Antoine Hainaut0%
A. Rrahmani0%
R. Halhal0%
J. Schingtienne0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kike Pérez33%
J. Schingtienne33%
R. Sagrado33%
Ridgeciano Haps25%
S. Sohm0%
Thierry Correia0%
Armel Bella-Kotchap0%
John Yeboah0%
Gianluca Busio0%
Akor Adams0%
Filip Stanković0%
Antoine Hainaut0%
A. Rrahmani0%
R. Halhal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Akor Adams25%
S. Sohm0%
Thierry Correia0%
Armel Bella-Kotchap0%
John Yeboah0%
Ridgeciano Haps0%
Gianluca Busio0%
Kike Pérez0%
Filip Stanković0%
Antoine Hainaut0%
A. Rrahmani0%
R. Halhal0%
J. Schingtienne0%
R. Sagrado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Akor Adams50%
John Yeboah33%
Gianluca Busio33%
Kike Pérez33%
S. Sohm0%
Thierry Correia0%
Armel Bella-Kotchap0%
Ridgeciano Haps0%
Filip Stanković0%
Antoine Hainaut0%
A. Rrahmani0%
R. Halhal0%
J. Schingtienne0%
R. Sagrado0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →