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Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia Result & Analysis

Date: 06/04/2024
Time: 08:00
Final 0-1
Chindia Targoviste
Chindia Targoviste
Vs
42%
29%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Concordia
Concordia
Romania: Liga II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chindia Targoviste win✗ Miss
41.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Concordia win✓ Hit
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W00D02L20W11D00D31W30W12L32WH·CSM28/10A·ACS04/11H·CS 09/11A·TUN25/11H·CON03/12H·MET24/02A·UNI02/03H·ALE09/03A·VII16/03A·TUN30/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.971.601.000.930.93
vs Stronger (4)0.751.25--0.751.25
vs Similar (26)1.350.921.601.001.000.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Concordia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ConcordiaConcordia

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W11D00D11D12L02L02L20W10WA·CS 28/10H·ARG04/11A·TUN11/11H·UNI28/11A·CHI03/12H·CEA22/02A·MET02/03H·DUM07/03A·UNI16/03H·PRO30/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.900.800.601.731.20
vs Stronger (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.230.850.770.541.691.15
vs Weaker (3)1.331.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chindia Targoviste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
0-1 ✓
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.1%
Chindia Targoviste goals ↓
Concordia goals →
01234
09.5%7.9%5.1%1.9%0.5%
110%14%7.1%2.6%0.7%
27.9%8.8%4.9%1.8%0.5%
33.6%4.1%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.3%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chindia Targoviste goals (down), columns = Concordia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Unirea Slobozia
2.07
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.79
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.76
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.76
SCM Gloria Buzău
1.76
CSM Reşiţa
1.60
Concordia
1.52
Chindia Targoviste
1.52
CS Mioveni
1.48
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.44
Csikszereda
1.38
Arges Pitesti
1.36
Metaloglobus
1.36
Slatina
1.28
ACS Sirineasa
1.20
Unirea Dej
1.08
Dumbrăviţa
1.08
Tunari
0.80
Alexandria
0.52
Progresul Spartac
0.16
Chindia Targoviste and Concordia are level in average points per game (both 1.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.96
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.60
CSM Reşiţa
1.56
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.52
SCM Gloria Buzău
1.48
Chindia Targoviste
1.40
Concordia
1.28
Unirea Slobozia
1.07
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.07
Metaloglobus
1.04
CS Mioveni
1.03
Slatina
1.00
Arges Pitesti
1.00
Csikszereda
0.97
Tunari
0.96
Dumbrăviţa
0.88
ACS Sirineasa
0.88
Unirea Dej
0.80
Alexandria
0.60
Progresul Spartac
0.56
Chindia Targoviste is 0.12 goals better than Concordia in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Unirea Slobozia
0.48
CS Mioveni
0.69
Chindia Targoviste
0.72
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.72
Arges Pitesti
0.80
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.93
Concordia
0.96
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.97
Csikszereda
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.04
Slatina
1.08
Metaloglobus
1.08
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.12
Dumbrăviţa
1.24
CSM Reşiţa
1.28
ACS Sirineasa
1.44
Unirea Dej
1.48
Alexandria
1.64
Tunari
1.76
Progresul Spartac
2.60
Chindia Targoviste is 0.24 goals better than Concordia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.72 vs 0.96).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L00D00D00D20W20W11D21WH·CSM28/10A·ACS04/11H·CS 09/11A·TUN25/11H·CON03/12H·MET24/02A·UNI02/03H·ALE09/03A·VII16/03A·TUN30/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.400.730.330.470.47
vs Stronger (4)0.500.50--0.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.620.380.730.330.450.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Concordia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ConcordiaConcordia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W00D00D01L02L00D20W00DA·CS 28/10H·ARG04/11A·TUN11/11H·UNI28/11A·CHI03/12H·CEA22/02A·MET02/03H·DUM07/03A·UNI16/03H·PRO30/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.330.330.130.870.53
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.650.310.380.080.920.54
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.000.500.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Chindia Targoviste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concordia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concordia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concordia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D00D20W11D00D11D10W01L11DH·CSM28/10A·ACS04/11H·CS 09/11A·TUN25/11H·CON03/12H·MET24/02A·UNI02/03H·ALE09/03A·VII16/03A·TUN30/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.870.670.470.47
vs Stronger (4)0.250.75--0.250.75
vs Similar (26)0.730.540.870.670.550.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Concordia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ConcordiaConcordia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L00D11D11D00D02L00D10WA·CS 28/10H·ARG04/11A·TUN11/11H·UNI28/11A·CHI03/12H·CEA22/02A·MET02/03H·DUM07/03A·UNI16/03H·PRO30/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.470.470.870.67
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.580.540.380.460.770.62
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.000.502.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chindia Targoviste) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chindia Targoviste over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concordia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concordia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concordia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AP (26)
€13m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
VŞ (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
Chindia Targoviste's squad is €1m less valuable than Concordia's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AP (11)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
CSI (12)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
Chindia Targoviste and Concordia have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AP (6)
€3m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
Chindia Targoviste's midfield is €1m less valuable than Concordia's (€0m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AP (9)
€6m
CH (10)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
Chindia Targoviste and Concordia have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
CT wins
1
Draws
0
CON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chindia Targoviste vs Concordia · H/A from CT
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/23HCT Vs Concordia1-1

Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/24ATunari Vs CT2-3
16/03/24AViitorul Şelimbăr Vs CT2-1
09/03/24HCT Vs Alexandria3-0
02/03/24AUnirea Dej Vs CT1-3
24/02/24HCT Vs Metaloglobus0-0
03/12/23HCT Vs Concordia1-1
25/11/23ATunari Vs CT0-2
09/11/23HCT Vs CS Mioveni0-2
04/11/23AACS Sirineasa Vs CT0-0
28/10/23HCT Vs CSM Reşiţa4-1

ConcordiaConcordia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/24HCON Vs Progresul Spartac1-0
16/03/24AUnirea Dej Vs CON0-2
07/03/24HCON Vs Dumbrăviţa0-2
02/03/24AMetaloglobus Vs CON2-0
22/02/24HCON Vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ1-2
03/12/23AChindia Targoviste Vs CON1-1
28/11/23HCON Vs Unirea Slobozia0-0
11/11/23ATunari Vs CON1-1
04/11/23HCON Vs Arges Pitesti1-0
28/10/23ACS Mioveni Vs CON1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chindia Targoviste
Chindia Targoviste
Romania: Liga II
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.34
HomeWLDDW1.44
AwayDWWLW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals2.242.482.00
Over 1.5 %72%84%60%
Over 2.5 %40%48%32%
Over 3.5 %16%20%12%
Scored1.181.440.92
Conceded1.061.041.08
BTTS46%64%28%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners8.007.428.58
Cards4.624.924.33
Concordia
Concordia
Romania: Liga II
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.49
HomeWDLLW1.43
AwayDDDLW1.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%43%41%
AVG goals2.131.572.73
Over 1.5 %56%35%77%
Over 2.5 %36%22%50%
Over 3.5 %18%9%27%
Scored1.220.781.68
Conceded0.910.781.05
BTTS36%17%55%
Clean Sheet38%43%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Unirea SloboziaUnirea Slobozia2960
62%
2.1
3114+17
1.6
41%
17%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.10.5
-
2Corvinul HunedoaraCorvinul Hunedoara2952
52%
1.8
4427+17
2.4
79%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.50.9
-
3SCM Gloria BuzăuSCM Gloria Buzău2951
48%
1.8
4328+15
2.4
66%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
4Viitorul ŞelimbărViitorul Şelimbăr2951
45%
1.8
3121+10
1.8
48%
41%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.7
-
5CSA Steaua BucureştiCSA Steaua Bucureşti2544
48%
1.8
4926+23
3.0
76%
44%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.01.0
-
6CS MioveniCS Mioveni2943
38%
1.5
3020+10
1.7
52%
21%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
7CSM ReşiţaCSM Reşiţa2540
44%
1.6
3932+7
2.8
76%
52%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.3
-
8CsikszeredaCsikszereda2940
38%
1.4
2829-1
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.01.0
-
9Chindia TargovisteChindia Targoviste2538
40%
1.5
3518+17
2.1
68%
36%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.40.7
-
10ConcordiaConcordia2538
40%
1.5
3224+8
2.2
64%
32%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.31.0
-
11Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ2536
40%
1.4
4028+12
2.7
84%
52%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
12Arges PitestiArges Pitesti2534
36%
1.4
2520+5
1.8
60%
16%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4361.00.8
-
13MetaloglobusMetaloglobus2534
32%
1.4
2627-1
2.1
72%
32%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.01.1
-
14SlatinaSlatina2532
32%
1.3
2527-2
2.1
64%
40%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.01.1
-
15ACS SirineasaACS Sirineasa2530
28%
1.2
2236-14
2.3
76%
44%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
16DumbrăviţaDumbrăviţa2527
28%
1.1
2231-9
2.1
68%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.2
-
17Unirea DejUnirea Dej2527
32%
1.1
2037-17
2.3
56%
32%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
18TunariTunari2520
16%
0.8
2444-20
2.7
76%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
19AlexandriaAlexandria2513
12%
0.5
1541-26
2.2
56%
36%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
20Progresul SpartacProgresul Spartac254
4%
0.2
1465-51
3.2
76%
68%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
Romania: Liga II 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →

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