Chrobry Głogów is expected to secure a win against Odra Opole, with a 46% probability of a home victory, 29% chance of a draw, and 25% probability of an away win. This match is likely to be low-scoring, with 2.5 goals expected on average and a most likely total of 2 goals. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 11.7%.
In terms of form, Chrobry Głogów has been performing well at home, scoring an average of 1.82 goals per game and conceding 1.09. Odra Opole, on the other hand, has been struggling away from home, scoring 0.92 goals per game and conceding 1.31.
The model suggests selecting Under 3.5 goals, with a 76.5% probability of success, and Over 1.5 goals, with a 71.8% probability. The model's selection, Home win, has a 46% probability. The probabilities for the other outcomes are: Home win 46%, Draw 29%, Away win 25%. The model's selection, Under 3.5, has a 76.5% probability, while Over 1.5 has a 71.8% probability, with an edge of 4%.
In a stunning upset, Odra Opole pulled off a 0-1 win over Chrobry Głogów, ending the home team's winning streak. The win extends their run of coming off a win, but this time they could not capitalize on it. The model's selection, Chrobry Głogów to win, was incorrect, with a pre-match probability of 46%. The model's call was wrong. Meanwhile, the model's suggested picks performed as follows: Under 3.5 goals hit, with a probability of 76.5%, while Over 1.5 goals missed, with a probability of 71.8%.
Chrobry Głogów| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.57 | 1.13 | 1.69 | 1.08 | 1.47 | 1.18 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.67 | 1.67 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.79 | 1.00 | 1.91 | 1.00 | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
Odra Opole| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.03 | 1.13 | 1.07 | 1.13 | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.83 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.04 | 1.17 | 1.08 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.09 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (+1pp vs league) | |||||
| Odra Opole goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 11% | 14% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Chrobry Głogów| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.69 | 0.62 | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.50 | 1.33 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.67 | 0.46 | 0.73 | 0.45 | 0.62 | 0.46 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+28pp vs league) | |||||
Odra Opole| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.43 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.50 | 0.33 | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+38pp vs league) | |||||
Chrobry Głogów| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.46 | 0.88 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.12 | 0.54 | 1.18 | 0.55 | 1.08 | 0.54 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Odra Opole| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.73 | 0.60 | 0.73 | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.65 | 0.78 | 0.58 | 0.92 | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+21pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 76.5% | 1.22 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.23 | 1.22 | +0.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 71.8% | 1.35 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | +3.6% | ✗ Miss |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 | A | 0-2 | |
| 20/07/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 25/05/25 | A | 0-2 | |
| 23/11/24 | H | 1-1 | |
| 20/04/24 | A | 3-0 | |
| 06/10/23 | H | 0-0 | |
| 01/05/23 | A | 1-0 | |
| 03/10/22 | H | 2-2 |
Chrobry Głogów| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-5 | |
| 31/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 28/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 24/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 1-0 |
Odra Opole| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 24/05/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 11/05/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 10/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 1-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Miedz Legnica | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 2.2 | 83% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | - |
| 2 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 6 | 12 | 50% | 2.0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 2.5 | 67% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | ŁKS Łódź | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 2.5 | 83% | 67% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | Chrobry Głogów | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | - |
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 2.3 | 83% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | - |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 3.0 | 67% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | - |
| 7 | Warta Poznań | 6 | 9 | 50% | 1.5 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 3.5 | 83% | 83% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | - |
| 8 | Pogoń Siedlce | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.2 | 67% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | Odra Opole | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.0 | 50% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Stal Mielec | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 4.0 | 100% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 2.2 | - |
| 11 | Nieciecza | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 3.2 | 100% | 83% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.7 | - |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 67% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 22 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 13 | Ruch Chorzów | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1.7 | 67% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | - |
| 14 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 6 | 6 | 33% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.0 | 50% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 6 | 6 | 17% | 1.0 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 4.5 | 100% | 83% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 2.5 | - |
| 16 | Unia Skierniewice | 6 | 6 | 33% | 1.0 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2.3 | 67% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 17 | Podbeskidzie | 6 | 5 | 0% | 0.8 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3.0 | 100% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | - |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2.7 | 67% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | - |