Chrobry Głogów is the clear favourite to win at home, with the model predicting a 70% chance of success. This is largely due to the fact that Podbeskidzie has struggled on the road, particularly against stronger opponents, conceding an average of 2.31 goals per match.
The model predicts a 3.5 total goal average, with the most likely outcome being a 3-goal match. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 to Chrobry Głogów, with a 9.6% probability.
Chrobry Głogów has a strong home record, scoring an average of 2.31 goals and conceding 0.81 goals per match against stronger opponents. Podbeskidzie, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, scoring an average of 0.81 goals and conceding 2.31 goals per match.
The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a 87% probability, and a 14% edge. Chrobry Głogów is also the model's selection to win, with a 70% probability. The model also suggests a draw, with an 18% probability, and Podbeskidzie to win, with a 12% probability. The home win percentage is 70%, the draw percentage is 18%, and the away win percentage is 12%.
Chrobry Głogów's 1-1 draw with Podbeskidzie extends their run of consecutive draws to two. The model's selection, Home win, was the pre-match favourite with a 70% probability of success, but unfortunately, the model's call was incorrect. The actual result was a draw. The model's selection of Home win did not come through.
The model's selection of Home win was the only selection that was incorrect, as the suggested pick of Over 1.5 hit with a probability of 87%. The most likely scores were 2-0, 2-1, and 1-1, with the most likely total goals being 3.
Chrobry Głogów| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.53 | 1.10 | 1.54 | 1.08 | 1.53 | 1.12 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.67 | 1.67 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.75 | 0.96 | 1.73 | 1.00 | 1.77 | 0.92 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
Podbeskidzie| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 1.67 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 0.86 | 2.29 |
| vs Stronger (29) | 0.97 | 1.72 | 1.07 | 1.20 | 0.86 | 2.29 |
| vs Similar (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
| Podbeskidzie goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Chrobry Głogów| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.67 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.50 | 1.33 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.67 | 0.50 | 0.73 | 0.55 | 0.62 | 0.46 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Podbeskidzie| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.33 | 0.97 | 0.44 | 0.50 | 0.21 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (29) | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.53 | 0.21 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
Chrobry Głogów| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 0.43 | 0.85 | 0.38 | 0.94 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (24) | 1.08 | 0.46 | 1.00 | 0.45 | 1.15 | 0.46 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+31pp vs league) | |||||
Podbeskidzie| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.70 | 0.69 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| vs Stronger (29) | 0.66 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| vs Similar (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+21pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.23 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.22 | +11.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/24 | A | 0-1 | |
| 24/11/23 | H | 3-0 | |
| 10/03/23 | A | 6-0 | |
| 14/08/22 | H | 0-1 |
Chrobry Głogów| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 03/08/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-5 | |
| 31/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 28/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 24/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-0 |
Podbeskidzie| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 05/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 02/08/26 | A | 3-3 | |
| 27/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 24/09/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 05/08/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 26/09/24 | H | 0-0 | |
| 06/08/24 | H | 2-0 | |
| 26/05/24 | A | 2-1 | |
| 20/05/24 | H | 0-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Miedz Legnica | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 2.2 | 83% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | - |
| 2 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 6 | 12 | 50% | 2.0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 2.5 | 67% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | ŁKS Łódź | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 2.5 | 83% | 67% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | Chrobry Głogów | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | - |
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 2.3 | 83% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | - |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 3.0 | 67% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | - |
| 7 | Warta Poznań | 6 | 9 | 50% | 1.5 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 3.5 | 83% | 83% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | - |
| 8 | Pogoń Siedlce | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.2 | 67% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | Odra Opole | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.0 | 50% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | Stal Mielec | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 4.0 | 100% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 2.2 | - |
| 11 | Nieciecza | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 3.2 | 100% | 83% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.7 | - |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 67% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 22 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 13 | Ruch Chorzów | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1.7 | 67% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | - |
| 14 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 6 | 6 | 33% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2.0 | 50% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 6 | 6 | 17% | 1.0 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 4.5 | 100% | 83% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 2.5 | - |
| 16 | Unia Skierniewice | 6 | 6 | 33% | 1.0 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2.3 | 67% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 17 | Podbeskidzie | 6 | 5 | 0% | 0.8 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3.0 | 100% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | - |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszów | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2.7 | 67% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | - |