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Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Result & Analysis

Date: 07/03/2026
Time: 18:30
Final 3-0
Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
Vs
39%
30%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chrobry Głogów win✓ Hit
38.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L20W12L20W02L11D31W10W12LA·TYC26/10H·WIS02/11A·ZNI07/11H·WIE22/11A·ODR29/11A·POL07/12H·STA09/02A·ŁKS14/02A·MIE21/02A·SLA28/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.071.501.071.381.06
vs Stronger (4)0.751.750.671.671.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.520.961.700.901.401.00
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W21W21W22D01L11D11D11D00D21WA·WIE27/10H·ODR03/11A·TYC09/11H·SLA21/11A·STA01/12H·PUS06/12A·MIE07/02H·WIS15/02A·ZNI21/02H·POL28/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.621.272.001.141.171.42
vs Stronger (5)1.401.600.671.002.502.50
vs Similar (21)1.671.192.361.180.901.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %12% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrobry Głogów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
9.6%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
Chrobry Głogów goals ↓
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals →
01234
09.6%8.5%5.7%2.2%0.7%
19.6%14%7.5%2.9%0.9%
27.2%8.4%4.9%1.9%0.6%
33.1%3.7%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.0%1.2%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chrobry Głogów goals (down), columns = Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Wisla Krakow
2.15
Slask Wroclaw
1.79
Wieczysta Kraków
1.75
ŁKS Łódź
1.57
Ruch Chorzów
1.56
Chrobry Głogów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Polonia Warszawa
1.51
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.44
Polonia Bytom
1.38
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.32
Odra Opole
1.29
Stal Rzeszów
1.26
Pogoń Siedlce
1.06
Stal Mielec
1.06
Znicz Pruszków
0.82
Górnik Łęczna
0.79
Tychy 71
0.68
Chrobry Głogów is 0.23 points better than Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.32).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Wisla Krakow
2.18
Wieczysta Kraków
2.08
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Polonia Bytom
1.65
ŁKS Łódź
1.63
Ruch Chorzów
1.59
Polonia Warszawa
1.54
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Stal Mielec
1.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.50
Stal Rzeszów
1.44
Chrobry Głogów
1.39
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.32
Znicz Pruszków
1.18
Tychy 71
1.18
Górnik Łęczna
1.15
Odra Opole
1.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.97
Chrobry Głogów is 0.11 goals worse than Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Wisla Krakow
0.88
Chrobry Głogów
1.08
Odra Opole
1.18
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.18
Pogoń Siedlce
1.26
Ruch Chorzów
1.35
Wieczysta Kraków
1.39
ŁKS Łódź
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.42
Polonia Bytom
1.47
Polonia Warszawa
1.49
Miedz Legnica
1.56
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.59
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Stal Mielec
1.82
Górnik Łęczna
1.82
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Tychy 71
2.18
Chrobry Głogów is 0.50 goals better than Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D12L00D02L11D20W10W02LA·TYC26/10H·WIS02/11A·ZNI07/11H·WIE22/11A·ODR29/11A·POL07/12H·STA09/02A·ŁKS14/02A·MIE21/02A·SLA28/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.430.640.440.56
vs Stronger (4)0.251.750.331.670.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.440.440.400.400.470.47
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D21W12L01L00D11D00D00D01LA·WIE27/10H·ODR03/11A·TYC09/11H·SLA21/11A·STA01/12H·PUS06/12A·MIE07/02H·WIS15/02A·ZNI21/02H·POL28/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.880.850.930.570.831.17
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.000.001.002.50
vs Similar (21)1.000.811.180.730.800.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrobry Głogów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W00D20W00D00D11D00D10WA·TYC26/10H·WIS02/11A·ZNI07/11H·WIE22/11A·ODR29/11A·POL07/12H·STA09/02A·ŁKS14/02A·MIE21/02A·SLA28/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.471.070.430.940.50
vs Stronger (4)0.500.000.330.001.000.00
vs Similar (25)1.080.521.300.500.930.53
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D10W00D11D00D11D00D20WA·WIE27/10H·ODR03/11A·TYC09/11H·SLA21/11A·STA01/12H·PUS06/12A·MIE07/02H·WIS15/02A·ZNI21/02H·POL28/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.421.070.570.330.25
vs Stronger (5)1.000.600.671.001.500.00
vs Similar (21)0.670.381.180.450.100.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrobry Głogów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
WK (22)
€12m
SW (22)
€7m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
Chrobry Głogów and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
PW (13)
€3m
OO (8)
€2m
SW (5)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
Chrobry Głogów and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (9)
€3m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
WK (3)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Chrobry Głogów and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (12)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
SW (8)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
Chrobry Głogów and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
CG wins
1
Draws
0
PGM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chrobry Głogów vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki · H/A from CG
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25APogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Vs CG1-1

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26ASlask Wroclaw Vs CG2-1
21/02/26AMiedz Legnica Vs CG0-1
14/02/26AŁKS Łódź Vs CG1-3
09/02/26HCG Vs Stal Rzeszów1-1
07/12/25APolonia Bytom Vs CG2-0
29/11/25AOdra Opole Vs CG0-2
22/11/25HCG Vs Wieczysta Kraków1-2
07/11/25AZnicz Pruszków Vs CG0-2
02/11/25HCG Vs Wisla Krakow0-1
26/10/25ATychy 71 Vs CG0-1

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26HPGM Vs Polonia Bytom2-1
21/02/26AZnicz Pruszków Vs PGM0-0
15/02/26HPGM Vs Wisla Krakow1-1
07/02/26AMiedz Legnica Vs PGM1-1
06/12/25HPGM Vs Puszcza Niepołomice1-1
01/12/25AStal Rzeszów Vs PGM1-0
21/11/25HPGM Vs Slask Wroclaw2-2
09/11/25ATychy 71 Vs PGM1-2
03/11/25HPGM Vs Odra Opole2-1
27/10/25AWieczysta Kraków Vs PGM2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.28
HomeWWLLD1.52
AwayWLWWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.642.642.64
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.281.441.12
Conceded1.361.201.52
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDW1.54
HomeWDDDW1.79
AwayWWLDD1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%43%33%
AVG goals2.883.142.58
Over 1.5 %85%93%75%
Over 2.5 %62%64%58%
Over 3.5 %27%36%17%
Scored1.622.001.17
Conceded1.271.141.42
BTTS73%79%67%
Clean Sheet12%14%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3371
61%
2.2
7229+43
3.1
88%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6252.20.9
-
2Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków3663
50%
1.8
7550+25
3.5
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5152.11.4
-
3Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw3359
48%
1.8
6647+19
3.4
94%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2322.01.4
-
4Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3656
44%
1.6
5039+11
2.5
81%
50%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.1
-
5ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź3555
43%
1.6
5749+8
3.0
86%
66%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.4
-
6Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów3453
41%
1.6
5446+8
2.9
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.61.4
-
7Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa3553
43%
1.5
5452+2
3.0
83%
60%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.51.5
-
8Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica3452
44%
1.5
5253-1
3.1
88%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.51.6
-
9Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice3449
35%
1.4
4540+5
2.5
82%
53%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.31.2
-
10Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom3447
38%
1.4
5650+6
3.1
85%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.5
-
11Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki3445
32%
1.3
5154-3
3.1
88%
71%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.6
-
12Odra OpoleOdra Opole3444
32%
1.3
3440-6
2.2
76%
35%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.2
-
13Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3443
35%
1.3
4960-11
3.2
85%
71%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.8
-
14Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce3436
26%
1.1
3343-10
2.2
74%
38%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
15Stal MielecStal Mielec3436
29%
1.1
5162-11
3.3
91%
71%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.8
-
16Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków3428
21%
0.8
4068-28
3.2
76%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
17Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3427
15%
0.8
3962-23
3.0
91%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18Tychy 71Tychy 713423
15%
0.7
4074-34
3.4
79%
68%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
Poland: I Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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