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Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Warszawa Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2024
Time: 18:30
Final 1-2
Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
Vs
29%
32%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Polonia Warszawa
Polonia Warszawa
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chrobry Głogów win✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa win✓ Hit
39.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W20W21W04L12L00D11D13L03LH·RES11/05A·POD20/05H·ZAG26/05A·POG20/07H·NIE27/07A·WIS03/08H·TYC09/08A·STA16/08H·STA20/08A·ŁKS25/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.331.001.361.001.31
vs Stronger (9)0.891.891.002.250.801.60
vs Similar (19)0.951.210.781.111.101.30
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D21W01L00D03L13L01L01L20WH·GÓR12/05H·ODR19/05A·STA26/05H·ZNI19/07A·WIS28/07H·ARK03/08A·GÓR10/08H·MIE17/08A·KOT20/08H·WAR23/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.370.931.530.801.20
vs Stronger (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (26)0.811.460.861.640.751.25
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrobry Głogów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.0%
Under 1.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.8%
Under 2.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.4%
Under 3.5
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.7%
No
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
0-2
8.0%
1-2 ✓
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
Chrobry Głogów goals ↓
Polonia Warszawa goals →
01234
013%12%8.0%3.2%0.9%
19.9%15%7.9%3.1%0.9%
25.5%6.5%3.9%1.5%0.5%
31.8%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.1%
40.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chrobry Głogów goals (down), columns = Polonia Warszawa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arka Gdynia
2.12
Nieciecza
2.09
Wisla Plock
1.94
Wisla Krakow
1.77
Miedz Legnica
1.64
Polonia Warszawa
1.60
Tychy 71
1.56
Znicz Pruszków
1.53
Górnik Łęczna
1.47
Ruch Chorzów
1.41
ŁKS Łódź
1.38
Stal Rzeszów
1.03
Chrobry Głogów
0.97
Odra Opole
0.88
Pogoń Siedlce
0.88
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
0.85
Warta Poznań
0.71
Stal Stalowa Wola
0.68
Chrobry Głogów is 0.63 points worse than Polonia Warszawa in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nieciecza
2.06
Arka Gdynia
1.85
Wisla Krakow
1.80
Wisla Plock
1.72
Miedz Legnica
1.58
Znicz Pruszków
1.53
Górnik Łęczna
1.47
Ruch Chorzów
1.47
ŁKS Łódź
1.47
Tychy 71
1.38
Polonia Warszawa
1.34
Stal Rzeszów
1.24
Pogoń Siedlce
1.12
Chrobry Głogów
1.09
Odra Opole
0.91
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
0.85
Stal Stalowa Wola
0.79
Warta Poznań
0.65
Chrobry Głogów is 0.25 goals worse than Polonia Warszawa in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arka Gdynia
0.71
Wisla Krakow
0.94
Tychy 71
1.06
Wisla Plock
1.08
Polonia Warszawa
1.11
Nieciecza
1.15
ŁKS Łódź
1.21
Górnik Łęczna
1.24
Znicz Pruszków
1.26
Miedz Legnica
1.31
Ruch Chorzów
1.35
Pogoń Siedlce
1.56
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
1.62
Warta Poznań
1.65
Stal Rzeszów
1.74
Chrobry Głogów
1.74
Odra Opole
1.79
Stal Stalowa Wola
1.91
Chrobry Głogów is 0.62 goals worse than Polonia Warszawa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W20W00D01L00D11D01L02LH·RES11/05A·POD20/05H·ZAG26/05A·POG20/07H·NIE27/07A·WIS03/08H·TYC09/08A·STA16/08H·STA20/08A·ŁKS25/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.530.290.500.440.56
vs Stronger (9)0.111.000.251.250.000.80
vs Similar (19)0.470.370.220.220.700.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D00D00D01L01L00D01L20WH·GÓR12/05H·ODR19/05A·STA26/05H·ZNI19/07A·WIS28/07H·ARK03/08A·GÓR10/08H·MIE17/08A·KOT20/08H·WAR23/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.530.800.330.53
vs Stronger (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Similar (26)0.380.730.430.860.330.58
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrobry Głogów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W10W01L04L11D00D00D12L01LH·RES11/05A·POD20/05H·ZAG26/05A·POG20/07H·NIE27/07A·WIS03/08H·TYC09/08A·STA16/08H·STA20/08A·ŁKS25/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.710.860.560.75
vs Stronger (9)0.780.890.751.000.800.80
vs Similar (19)0.470.840.560.890.400.80
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W01L00D02L12L01L00D00DH·GÓR12/05H·ODR19/05A·STA26/05H·ZNI19/07A·WIS28/07H·ARK03/08A·GÓR10/08H·MIE17/08A·KOT20/08H·WAR23/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.400.730.470.67
vs Stronger (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.420.730.430.790.420.67
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Chrobry Głogów) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chrobry Głogów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PS (18)
€2m
WP (6)
€1m
Chrobry Głogów's squad is €2m less valuable than Polonia Warszawa's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
WP (7)
€4m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
WP (0)
€0m
Chrobry Głogów's attack is €1m less valuable than Polonia Warszawa's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WP (9)
€3m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
WP (3)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
Chrobry Głogów and Polonia Warszawa have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WP (9)
€6m
WK (12)
€5m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
WP (3)
€0m
Chrobry Głogów and Polonia Warszawa have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
CG wins
1
Draws
1
PW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Chrobry Głogów vs Polonia Warszawa · H/A from CG
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/24APolonia Warszawa Vs CG1-1
19/08/23HCG Vs Polonia Warszawa0-3

Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/24AŁKS Łódź Vs CG3-0
20/08/24HCG Vs Stal Rzeszów1-3
16/08/24AStal Stalowa Wola Vs CG1-1
09/08/24HCG Vs Tychy 710-0
03/08/24AWisla Plock Vs CG2-1
27/07/24HCG Vs Nieciecza0-4
20/07/24APogoń Siedlce Vs CG1-2
26/05/24HCG Vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec2-0
20/05/24APodbeskidzie Vs CG0-1
11/05/24HCG Vs Resovia Rzeszów1-1

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/24HPW Vs Warta Poznań2-0
20/08/24AKotwica Kołobrzeg Vs PW1-0
17/08/24HPW Vs Miedz Legnica0-1
10/08/24AGórnik Łęczna Vs PW3-1
03/08/24HPW Vs Arka Gdynia0-3
28/07/24AWisla Krakow Vs PW0-0
19/07/24HPW Vs Znicz Pruszków0-1
26/05/24AStal Rzeszów Vs PW1-2
19/05/24HPW Vs Odra Opole1-1
12/05/24HPW Vs Górnik Łęczna0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL1.16
HomeDWLDL1.24
AwayWWLDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.342.282.40
Over 1.5 %70%60%80%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %18%24%12%
Scored0.920.841.00
Conceded1.421.441.40
BTTS52%32%72%
Clean Sheet26%40%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Polonia Warszawa
Polonia Warszawa
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW0.95
HomeDLLLW0.71
AwayDWDLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%14%30%
AVG goals2.512.762.25
Over 1.5 %71%71%70%
Over 2.5 %46%43%50%
Over 3.5 %22%29%15%
Scored1.071.101.05
Conceded1.441.671.20
BTTS46%48%45%
Clean Sheet22%14%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia3472
62%
2.1
6324+39
2.6
74%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.90.7
-
2NiecieczaNieciecza3471
62%
2.1
7039+31
3.2
91%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2212.11.1
-
3Wisla PlockWisla Plock3670
56%
1.9
6239+23
2.8
78%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4361.71.1
-
4Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3562
51%
1.8
6333+30
2.7
74%
57%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6251.80.9
-
5Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica3659
47%
1.6
5747+10
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.3
-
6Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa3556
46%
1.6
4739+8
2.5
66%
51%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.31.1
-
7Tychy 71Tychy 713453
38%
1.6
4736+11
2.4
68%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
8Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków3452
41%
1.5
5243+9
2.8
74%
59%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3450
38%
1.5
5042+8
2.7
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
10Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów3448
38%
1.4
5046+4
2.8
76%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.51.4
-
11ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź3447
38%
1.4
5041+9
2.7
71%
56%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.51.2
-
12Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3435
26%
1.0
4259-17
3.0
76%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.7
-
13Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3433
24%
1.0
3759-22
2.8
79%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
14Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce3430
21%
0.9
3853-15
2.7
79%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
15Odra OpoleOdra Opole3430
21%
0.9
3161-30
2.7
71%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.8
-
16Kotwica KołobrzegKotwica Kołobrzeg3429
18%
0.9
2955-26
2.5
68%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
17Warta PoznańWarta Poznań3424
18%
0.7
2256-34
2.3
62%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.61.6
-
18Stal Stalowa WolaStal Stalowa Wola3423
12%
0.7
2765-38
2.7
71%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Poland: I Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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