This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Frosinone
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.23
2.07
0.60
1.07
1.87
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
1.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.50
1.00
1.75
1.00
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.61
1.39
2.33
0.33
0.89
2.44
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Cittadella) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.9%
@ 2.14+1.8%
Under 2.5
54.1%
@ 1.69-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0 ✓
9.9%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.2%
Cittadella goals ↓
Frosinone goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
7.9%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
1
9.9%
14%
7.2%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.7%
8.7%
5.0%
1.9%
0.5%
3
3.5%
4.0%
2.3%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cittadella goals (down), columns = Frosinone goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Cittadella is 0.97 points worse than Frosinone in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 2.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Cittadella is 0.76 goals worse than Frosinone in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.66).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Cittadella is 0.50 goals worse than Frosinone in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 0.68).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cittadella
For 4.6 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.0 · Against 14.4 · Total 32.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Frosinone
For 5.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.3 · Against 13.6 · Total 30.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cittadella
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.0
9.9
5.8
5.7
6.0
33.5
34.5
32.4
vs Stronger (20)
9.6
8.2
10.8
6.5
5.8
7.1
34.1
34.4
33.8
vs Similar (30)
9.3
9.3
9.3
5.4
5.7
5.2
33.1
34.6
31.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
57%
48%
80%
76%
84%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
48%
43%
52%
20%
24%
16%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Frosinone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.6
10.1
5.3
5.4
5.2
31.0
30.4
31.6
vs Stronger (3)
12.5
11.0
14.0
2.0
1.0
4.0
30.0
33.0
27.0
vs Similar (12)
8.4
9.2
7.4
5.4
5.8
5.0
32.8
32.3
33.4
vs Weaker (35)
10.9
11.1
10.6
5.6
5.8
5.4
30.5
29.6
31.4
% over line
50%
48%
52%
74%
68%
80%
93%
91%
96%
% under line
50%
52%
48%
26%
32%
20%
7%
9%
4%
This opponent (Cittadella) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.4%
Under 9.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
84.1%
Under 3.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
97.3%
Under 21.5
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cittadella
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.57
0.50
0.62
0.31
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
0.45
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.40
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.37
0.25
0.50
0.45
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Frosinone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.93
0.40
0.27
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.60
1.00
1.00
0.17
0.33
vs Weaker (18)
0.61
0.78
0.89
0.00
0.33
1.56
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Cittadella) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cittadella over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cittadella
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.64
0.64
0.25
0.50
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.00
0.83
1.17
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.32
0.50
0.25
0.27
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Frosinone) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Frosinone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.50
1.13
0.20
0.80
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.40
0.75
0.00
1.17
0.67
vs Weaker (18)
1.00
0.61
1.44
0.33
0.56
0.89
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Cittadella) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cittadella over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cittadella over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Frosinone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 4.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cittadella
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mirko Antonucci27%
Giovanni Crociata25%
Enrico Baldini17%
Giacomo Beretta17%
Tommaso Maistrello16%
Raúl Asencio12%
Giuseppe Ambrosino7%
Giuseppe Carriero6%
Valerio Mastrantonio4%
Andrea Magrassi4%
Alessio Vita3%
Carlos Embalo0%
Domenico Frare0%
Simone Branca0%
Andrea Danzi0%
Alessandro Mattioli0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Gian Filippo Felicioli0%
Davide Mazzocco0%
Elhan Kastrati0%
Alessandro Salvi0%
Dario Del Fabro0%
Romano Perticone0%
Nicola Pavan0%
Daniele Donnarumma0%
Ignacio Lores Varela0%
Mamadou Tounkara0%
Santiago Visentin0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Romano Perticone43%
Alessandro Salvi40%
Santiago Visentin38%
Giovanni Crociata38%
Simone Branca31%
Dario Del Fabro30%
Tommaso Cassandro28%
Mamadou Tounkara27%
Federico Giraudo25%
Daniele Donnarumma25%
Giuseppe Carriero24%
Valerio Mastrantonio24%
Andrea Danzi23%
Nicola Pavan23%
Domenico Frare18%
Ignacio Lores Varela18%
Giacomo Beretta17%
Gian Filippo Felicioli17%
Andrea Magrassi15%
Elhan Kastrati14%
Mirko Antonucci14%
Giuseppe Ambrosino13%
Raúl Asencio12%
Alessio Vita11%
Alessandro Mattioli7%
Carlos Embalo6%
Enrico Baldini0%
Davide Mazzocco0%
Tommaso Maistrello0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Giacomo Beretta17%
Giuseppe Ambrosino13%
Alessio Vita9%
Andrea Danzi8%
Alessandro Salvi7%
Mamadou Tounkara7%
Simone Branca6%
Giovanni Crociata6%
Federico Giraudo6%
Raúl Asencio6%
Valerio Mastrantonio4%
Andrea Magrassi4%
Ignacio Lores Varela4%
Mirko Antonucci3%
Carlos Embalo0%
Domenico Frare0%
Giuseppe Carriero0%
Alessandro Mattioli0%
Enrico Baldini0%
Gian Filippo Felicioli0%
Davide Mazzocco0%
Elhan Kastrati0%
Tommaso Maistrello0%
Dario Del Fabro0%
Romano Perticone0%
Nicola Pavan0%
Daniele Donnarumma0%
Santiago Visentin0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enrico Baldini33%
Giovanni Crociata19%
Raúl Asencio18%
Giacomo Beretta17%
Mirko Antonucci14%
Ignacio Lores Varela11%
Tommaso Maistrello11%
Mamadou Tounkara7%
Giuseppe Ambrosino7%
Giuseppe Carriero6%
Alessio Vita6%
Carlos Embalo6%
Valerio Mastrantonio4%
Nicola Pavan3%
Domenico Frare0%
Simone Branca0%
Andrea Danzi0%
Alessandro Mattioli0%
Federico Giraudo0%
Gian Filippo Felicioli0%
Davide Mazzocco0%
Elhan Kastrati0%
Alessandro Salvi0%
Dario Del Fabro0%
Romano Perticone0%
Daniele Donnarumma0%
Andrea Magrassi0%
Santiago Visentin0%
Tommaso Cassandro0%
Frosinone
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuele Mulattieri38%
Gennaro Borrelli26%
Roberto Insigne26%
Giuseppe Caso26%
Luca Moro18%
Fabio Lucioni13%
Luca Mazzitelli12%
Ben Lhassine Kone11%
Marcus Rohdén9%
Ilario Monterisi9%
Luca Garritano9%
Przemysław Szymiński7%
Daniel Boloca6%
Jaime Báez6%
Sergio Kalaj0%
Karlo Lulić0%
Stefano Turati0%
Miloš Bočić0%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Luca Ravanelli0%
Gianluca Frabotta0%
Francesco Gelli0%
Matteo Cotali0%
Anthony Oyono0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Boloca39%
Sergio Kalaj33%
Luca Mazzitelli32%
Gennaro Borrelli26%
Matteo Cotali26%
Marcus Rohdén24%
Gianluca Frabotta23%
Fabio Lucioni23%
Ben Lhassine Kone21%
Luca Ravanelli17%
Giuseppe Caso14%
Andrea Oliveri12%
Luca Garritano12%
Samuele Mulattieri10%
Karlo Lulić10%
Roberto Insigne10%
Ilario Monterisi9%
Miloš Bočić8%
Anthony Oyono8%
Riccardo Ciervo8%
Mario Sampirisi7%
Przemysław Szymiński7%
Luca Moro6%
Stefano Turati5%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Jaime Báez0%
Francesco Gelli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luca Mazzitelli20%
Marcus Rohdén18%
Anthony Oyono15%
Karlo Lulić15%
Samuele Mulattieri14%
Luca Garritano12%
Jaime Báez12%
Sergio Kalaj11%
Francesco Gelli10%
Gianluca Frabotta9%
Giuseppe Caso9%
Miloš Bočić8%
Riccardo Ciervo8%
Matteo Cotali7%
Roberto Insigne6%
Gennaro Borrelli4%
Fabio Lucioni3%
Ben Lhassine Kone0%
Stefano Turati0%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Luca Ravanelli0%
Luca Moro0%
Przemysław Szymiński0%
Ilario Monterisi0%
Daniel Boloca0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roberto Insigne26%
Giuseppe Caso23%
Marcus Rohdén12%
Luca Moro12%
Luca Mazzitelli12%
Samuele Mulattieri10%
Gennaro Borrelli9%
Ben Lhassine Kone5%
Karlo Lulić5%
Daniel Boloca3%
Luca Garritano3%
Sergio Kalaj0%
Stefano Turati0%
Miloš Bočić0%
Soufiane Bidaoui0%
Mario Sampirisi0%
Jaime Báez0%
Luca Ravanelli0%
Gianluca Frabotta0%
Przemysław Szymiński0%
Fabio Lucioni0%
Francesco Gelli0%
Matteo Cotali0%
Ilario Monterisi0%
Anthony Oyono0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Genoa
Cagliari
Bari
Sudtirol
Parma
Reggina
Venezia
Palermo
Modena
Pisa
Como
Ascoli
Cosenza
Ternana
Brescia
Perugia
Spal
Benevento