Cobh Ramblers are clear favourites, the model rating them at 63% for a win, with a draw at 22% and an away win at 15%. The prediction favours a 2-0 victory for the home side, the most likely scoreline with a 10.5% chance. The expected total is 3.1 goals, yet the most probable total goal count is two, at 23%. Cobh’s home form shows they average 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded against weaker opposition, while Athlone Town’s away record is 1.14 scored and 2.14 conceded against stronger teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.4%, Under 6.5 at 96.4%, Home +2 handicap at 94.8%, Away under 2.5 goals at 93.0%, Under 5.5 at 91.1%, Home over 0.5 goals at 87.9%, and Home or Draw at 85.1%. The recent form notes that Cobh are on a two-game winning run after a 3-1 win over Finn Harps, while Athlone also enjoy a two-game winning streak, having edged Wexford 2-0.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cobh Ramblers win
63.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town win
15.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cobh Ramblers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.17
2.13
0.87
1.47
1.47
vs Stronger (11)
1.82
1.36
2.17
1.17
1.40
1.60
vs Similar (12)
2.00
0.92
2.29
0.71
1.60
1.20
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
1.29
1.50
0.50
1.40
1.60
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Athlone Town
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.93
1.07
1.53
1.20
2.33
vs Stronger (17)
1.18
1.88
1.11
1.56
1.25
2.25
vs Similar (13)
1.08
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.14
2.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.1%
Under 2.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
Cobh Ramblers goals ↓
Athlone Town goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
3.4%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
1
8.6%
10%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
7.2%
7.1%
3.4%
1.1%
0.3%
4
3.9%
3.8%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cobh Ramblers goals (down), columns = Athlone Town goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kerry
2.00
Cork City
1.86
Longford Town
1.86
Athlone Town
1.86
UCD
1.57
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Bray Wanderers
1.29
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.00
Cobh Ramblers is 0.43 points worse than Athlone Town in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Cork City
2.57
Longford Town
2.57
Bray Wanderers
2.43
UCD
2.29
Kerry
2.29
Athlone Town
1.57
Cobh Ramblers
1.29
Treaty United
1.14
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.86
Cobh Ramblers is 0.29 goals worse than Athlone Town in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Athlone Town
1.00
Kerry
1.14
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Longford Town
1.57
Wexford
1.86
Bray Wanderers
1.86
Cork City
2.00
UCD
2.29
Finn Harps
3.43
Cobh Ramblers is 0.43 goals worse than Athlone Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cobh Ramblers or Draw
84.7%
Avg Implied -
63%
22%
15%
covers Cobh Ramblers + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers or Athlone Town
78.3%
Avg Implied -
63%
22%
15%
covers Cobh Ramblers + Athlone Town
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Athlone Town
37.0%
Avg Implied -
63%
22%
15%
covers Draw + Athlone Town
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5
Over
88.2%
Under
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5
Over
62.9%
Under
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5
Over
36.0%
Under
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 3.5
Over
16.8%
Under
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5
Over
62.3%
Under
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5
Over
25.5%
Under
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5
Over
7.6%
Under
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cobh Ramblers, so a minus line means Cobh Ramblers give that many goals of a start and Athlone Town receive them. At -1, Cobh Ramblers must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cobh Ramblers win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cobh Ramblers)
Cobh Ramblers -2
21.1%
Draw -2
19.3%
Athlone Town +2
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Cobh Ramblers)
Cobh Ramblers -1
40.4%
Draw -1
22.6%
Athlone Town +1
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Cobh Ramblers)
Cobh Ramblers +1
84.7%
Draw +1
9.8%
Athlone Town -1
5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Cobh Ramblers)
Cobh Ramblers +2
94.5%
Draw +2
4.0%
Athlone Town -2
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cobh Ramblers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.53
1.13
0.53
1.13
0.53
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
0.73
1.00
0.83
1.00
0.60
vs Similar (12)
1.33
0.33
1.29
0.43
1.40
0.20
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Athlone Town
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.93
0.60
0.73
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (17)
0.76
0.94
0.67
0.89
0.88
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.92
0.50
0.50
0.29
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cobh Ramblers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
1.00
0.33
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
0.64
1.17
0.33
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.58
1.00
0.29
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Athlone Town
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.00
0.47
0.80
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
0.94
0.44
0.67
0.38
1.25
vs Similar (13)
0.69
1.08
0.50
1.00
0.86
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Cobh Ramblers and Athlone Town have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Cobh Ramblers and Athlone Town have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Cobh Ramblers and Athlone Town have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Ireland: First Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Kerry
Longford Town
Cork City
UCD
Treaty United
Bray Wanderers
Wexford
Finn Harps