Cobh Ramblers are tipped to lift the trophy at home, the model’s pick for a home win. With a 54 % chance of victory, a 25 % draw, and a 21 % chance for Longford Town, the match is expected to be a moderately high-scoring affair with an average of 2.9 goals. The most likely total is two goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 11.8 % chance. Cobh, playing against a stronger side, averages two goals scored and 1.17 conceded at home, while Longford, facing a weaker opponent, averages 1.27 scored and 1.64 conceded on the road. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.0 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4 % with a 2 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6 %), Under 6.5 (97.0 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9 % with a 1 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.4 % with a 2 % edge), and Under 5.5 (92.4 %). Both sides have shown recent form, with Cobh on a two-game winning run after a 3-1 win over Finn Harps, and Longford fresh from a 4-2 victory over Bray Wanderers.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for Cobh Ramblers, failed to materialise as the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The prediction had a 54% probability for a home victory, yet the game delivered a balanced result. Every model selection was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.5%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.0%, and Under 5.5 hit at 92.7%. Both sides entered the game coming off a 2-2 draw, and the final score mirrored that earlier encounter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cobh Ramblers win✗ Miss
53.8%
Avg Implied 38.6% · @ 2.34
Edge
+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Dafabet
2.45
10Bet
2.44
William Hil
2.40
Draw✓ Hit
25.1%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.18
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.31
Bet365
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Dafabet
3.25
Longford Town win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied 32.9% · @ 2.75
Edge
-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.88
Betano
2.85
Dafabet
2.80
Unibet
2.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cobh Ramblers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.17
2.07
0.87
1.47
1.47
vs Stronger (11)
1.73
1.36
2.00
1.17
1.40
1.60
vs Similar (12)
2.00
0.92
2.29
0.71
1.60
1.20
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
1.29
1.50
0.50
1.40
1.60
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Longford Town
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.47
2.07
1.27
1.20
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.60
1.90
1.60
1.80
1.60
2.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.65
1.25
2.30
1.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
@ 1.29+8.7%
Under 1.5
20.5%
@ 3.12-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Under
10Bet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.33
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Unibet
3.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.94+7.7%
Under 2.5
44.8%
@ 1.75-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
10Bet
1.93
SBO
1.85
Unibet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Betfair
1.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.8%
@ 3.29+5.1%
Under 3.5
67.2%
@ 1.26-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
Pinnacle
3.52
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Under
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.2%
@ 1.72+3.4%
No
43.8%
@ 1.92-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.78
William Hil
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
No
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Betfair
1.95
1xBet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%@ 5.76+4.5%
2-1
9.8%@ 8.40+4.8%
2-0
9.2%@ 10.38+5.1%
1-0
9.0%@ 7.13+3.0%
0-0
6.6%@ 8.63+1.7%
3-1
6.0%@ 17.37+3.5%
1-2
5.8%@ 9.24+1.2%
3-0
5.6%@ 21.87+3.6%
Cobh Ramblers goals ↓
Longford Town goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
4.9%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
1
9.0%
12%
5.8%
2.1%
0.6%
2
9.2%
9.8%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
5.6%
6.0%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.5%
2.7%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cobh Ramblers goals (down), columns = Longford Town goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kerry
2.00
Cork City
1.86
Longford Town
1.86
Athlone Town
1.86
UCD
1.57
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Bray Wanderers
1.29
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.00
Cobh Ramblers is 0.43 points worse than Longford Town in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Cork City
2.57
Longford Town
2.57
Bray Wanderers
2.43
UCD
2.29
Kerry
2.29
Athlone Town
1.57
Cobh Ramblers
1.29
Treaty United
1.14
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.86
Cobh Ramblers is 1.29 goals worse than Longford Town in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 2.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Athlone Town
1.00
Kerry
1.14
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Longford Town
1.57
Wexford
1.86
Bray Wanderers
1.86
Cork City
2.00
UCD
2.29
Finn Harps
3.43
Cobh Ramblers is 0.14 goals better than Longford Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.57).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cobh Ramblers or Draw✓ Hit
78.9%
Avg Implied 66.9% · @ 1.36
Edge
+12.0%
54%
25%
21%
covers Cobh Ramblers + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Superbet
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
Cobh Ramblers or Longford Town✗ Miss
74.9%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.25
Edge
+2.4%
54%
25%
21%
covers Cobh Ramblers + Longford Town
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Draw or Longford Town✓ Hit
46.2%
Avg Implied 60.6% · @ 1.50
Edge
-14.4%
54%
25%
21%
covers Draw + Longford Town
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
William Hil
1.53
BetVictor
1.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.8%
@ 1.26+11.5%
Under
16.2%
@ 3.29-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Under
10Bet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.53
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.34
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
54.3%
@ 2.31+14.5%
Under
45.7%
@ 1.52-14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.35
Under
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.4%
@ 5.11+9.7%
Under
72.6%
@ 1.10-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.65
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Cobh Ramblers over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 10.00+1.8%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.03-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Under
Bet365
1.03
Longford Town over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.8%
@ 1.32-3.3%
Under
34.2%
@ 2.95+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Under
10Bet
3.30
Pinnacle
3.18
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Betfair
3.00
Longford Town over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.1%
@ 2.60-6.1%
Under
70.9%
@ 1.41+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.76
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.64
Marathonbet
2.64
Under
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Longford Town over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 5.91-6.0%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.07+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
1xBet
6.75
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.60
Under
10Bet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Longford Town over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 12.00-5.4%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
12.00
Under
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cobh Ramblers, so a minus line means Cobh Ramblers give that many goals of a start and Longford Town receive them. At -1, Cobh Ramblers must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cobh Ramblers win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cobh Ramblers)Actual: Longford Town
Cobh Ramblers -2
14.3%
@ 9.92+5.4%
Draw -2
16.8%
@ 6.05+2.3%
Longford Town +2
68.9%
@ 1.15-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Cobh Ramblers)Actual: Longford Town
Cobh Ramblers -1
31.1%
@ 4.49+11.6%
Draw -1
22.6%
@ 3.85-0.2%
Longford Town +1
46.2%
@ 1.52-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
3.70
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.25
Away
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
Unibet
1.48
Handicap +1 (Cobh Ramblers)Actual: Cobh Ramblers
Cobh Ramblers +1
78.9%
@ 1.38+15.5%
Draw +1
12.9%
@ 4.20-7.9%
Longford Town -1
8.2%
@ 5.52-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.70
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
10Bet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Handicap +2 (Cobh Ramblers)Actual: Cobh Ramblers
Cobh Ramblers +2
91.8%
@ 1.11+8.8%
Draw +2
5.8%
@ 8.50-5.0%
Longford Town -2
2.4%
@ 15.00-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Betfair
7.50
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cobh Ramblers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.53
1.13
0.53
1.13
0.53
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
0.73
1.00
0.83
1.00
0.60
vs Similar (12)
1.33
0.33
1.29
0.43
1.40
0.20
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Longford Town
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.87
0.47
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.70
0.60
0.40
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.70
0.55
1.00
0.50
0.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.7%
@ 1.38+3.6%
Under 0.5
30.3%
@ 2.70-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
Under
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.81
William Hil
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.5%
@ 2.76+2.4%
Under 1.5
64.5%
@ 1.36-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.15
Marathonbet
2.91
1xBet
2.91
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Under
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 6.83-0.8%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.05+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
8.00
1xBet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.70
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Under
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.04
BetVictor
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.0%
@ 2.06+6.2%
Under
49.0%
@ 1.68-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
10Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.6%
@ 6.73+3.9%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.07-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.00
10Bet
6.00
Under
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 21.00-1.2%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.01+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Longford Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.0%
@ 2.20-2.0%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.59+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Betano
2.27
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Longford Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
9.0%
@ 7.57-3.2%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.05+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.00
10Bet
6.50
Under
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Longford Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 26.00-2.5%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cobh Ramblers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.93
0.33
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
0.64
1.00
0.33
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.58
1.00
0.29
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Longford Town
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.87
1.20
0.80
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.90
1.20
1.00
1.40
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.95
0.70
1.30
0.50
0.60
0.90
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.4%
@ 1.22+5.8%
Under 0.5
19.6%
@ 3.58-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Under
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
William Hil
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.1%
@ 2.15+4.2%
Under 1.5
52.9%
@ 1.62-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.22
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Betano
2.10
Under
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.4%
@ 4.74+1.1%
Under 2.5
79.6%
@ 1.14-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.55
Bet365
4.33
Under
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.5%
@ 1.75+6.9%
Under
40.5%
@ 1.95-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
10Bet
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Superbet
1.88
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
21.9%
@ 4.79+2.7%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.14-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
4.33
Under
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 12.00-1.9%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.02+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Under
10Bet
1.02
Longford Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.2%
@ 1.83-2.1%
Under
51.8%
@ 1.85+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.75
Under
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Longford Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 5.40-4.8%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.11+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.70
10Bet
4.75
Under
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Longford Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 13.00-4.8%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Under
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.6%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.0%
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.7%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
-
-
-
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.0%
1.05
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
90.6%
1.07
10Bet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.07
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
88.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.8%
1.11
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.04
BetVictor
1.03
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.8%
1.26
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
+11.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.3%
1.07
10Bet
1.12
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.4%
1.07
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.14
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.5%
1.29
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
78.9%
1.36
10Bet
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Superbet
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
+12.0%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.9%
1.38
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.30
+15.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.1%
1.14
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-2.7%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.9%
1.25
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
72.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-9.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.9%
1.41
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.42
+6.1%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Ireland: First Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →