Cobh Ramblers are expected to emerge victorious in this match, with a predicted score of 1-1 being the most likely outcome, carrying a 13.8% probability. The expected total goals is 2.5, suggesting a relatively low-scoring encounter. In terms of recent form, Cobh Ramblers are coming off a win against Treaty United, while Treaty United are looking to bounce back from a defeat to Cobh Ramblers.
Cobh Ramblers have a strong home record, scoring 2.18 goals on average and conceding 0.91, while they have a similar strength tier opponent. Treaty United, on the other hand, have struggled away from home, scoring 1.09 goals and conceding 1.55 against similar strength tier opponents. The model's selection is the home win, with a 44% probability of occurring. The draw is also a possibility, with a 29% chance. Treaty United's away win is the least likely outcome, with a 27% probability.
The model suggests two selections: Under 3.5 (75.7% probability) and Over 1.5 (72.6% probability), both of which have been successful in previous matches. The home win percentage is 44%, the draw percentage is 29%, and the away win percentage is 27%.
Results analysis
The win extends Cobh Ramblers' recent run, coming off a victory over Treaty United. The final score was 2-0, confirming the actual result of Home win. The model's selection of Home win proved correct, as it was the pre-match favourite with a probability of 44%. The model's call was correct. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a probability of 75.7%, and Over 1.5 goals also hit, with a probability of 72.6%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cobh Ramblers win✓ Hit
43.8%
Avg Implied 39.8% · @ 2.27
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.18
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.43
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Treaty United win✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 31.8% · @ 2.84
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.05
Dafabet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.95
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cobh Ramblers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.17
2.07
0.93
1.40
1.40
vs Stronger (12)
1.75
1.25
2.00
1.17
1.50
1.33
vs Similar (11)
1.91
1.00
2.29
0.86
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
1.29
1.50
0.50
1.40
1.60
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Treaty United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.30
1.60
1.27
0.87
1.33
vs Stronger (12)
1.42
1.33
1.57
1.57
1.20
1.00
vs Similar (15)
1.20
1.33
1.71
1.00
0.75
1.62
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.6%
@ 1.30+2.0%
Under 1.5
27.4%
@ 3.11-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
888Sport
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.38
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
888Sport
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.7%
@ 1.94-1.9%
Under 2.5
54.3%
@ 1.76+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.96
Under
SBO
1.97
Pinnacle
1.81
Unibet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
888Sport
1.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.3%
@ 3.37-2.8%
Under 3.5
75.7%
@ 1.25+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Pinnacle
3.58
888Sport
3.50
Under
Unibet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.3%
@ 1.72-1.7%
No
48.7%
@ 1.94+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Betfair
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
No
Unibet
2.02
888Sport
2.00
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%@ 5.75+6.4%
1-0
10.4%@ 7.13+4.4%
0-0
9.4%@ 8.82+4.6%
2-1
9.0%@ 8.22+3.7%
2-0 ✓
8.3%@ 10.21+4.1%
0-1
7.5%@ 8.21+2.3%
1-2
6.8%@ 9.48+2.2%
2-2
4.8%@ 12.63+1.4%
Cobh Ramblers goals ↓
Treaty United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
7.5%
4.7%
1.7%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
6.8%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.3%
9.0%
4.8%
1.7%
0.5%
3
4.0%
4.3%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.4%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cobh Ramblers goals (down), columns = Treaty United goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kerry
2.00
Cork City
1.86
Longford Town
1.86
Athlone Town
1.86
UCD
1.57
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Bray Wanderers
1.29
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.00
Cobh Ramblers and Treaty United are level in average points per game (both 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Cork City
2.57
Longford Town
2.57
Bray Wanderers
2.43
UCD
2.29
Kerry
2.29
Athlone Town
1.57
Cobh Ramblers
1.29
Treaty United
1.14
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.86
Cobh Ramblers is 0.14 goals better than Treaty United in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Athlone Town
1.00
Kerry
1.14
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Longford Town
1.57
Wexford
1.86
Bray Wanderers
1.86
Cork City
2.00
UCD
2.29
Finn Harps
3.43
Cobh Ramblers and Treaty United are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cobh Ramblers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.57
1.20
0.60
1.07
0.53
vs Stronger (12)
1.08
0.67
1.00
0.83
1.17
0.50
vs Similar (11)
1.27
0.45
1.43
0.57
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Treaty United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.50
0.33
0.47
0.13
0.53
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
0.58
0.29
0.86
0.00
0.20
vs Similar (15)
0.33
0.47
0.43
0.14
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cobh Ramblers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.87
0.33
0.33
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
0.58
1.00
0.33
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.55
0.86
0.29
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Treaty United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.80
1.27
0.80
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (12)
1.25
0.75
1.29
0.71
1.20
0.80
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.87
1.29
0.86
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
75.7%
1.25
Unibet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.6%
1.30
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
888Sport
1.30
+2.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Cobh Ramblers and Treaty United have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Cobh Ramblers and Treaty United have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Cobh Ramblers and Treaty United have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Ireland: First Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Kerry
Longford Town
Cork City
Athlone Town
UCD
Bray Wanderers
Wexford
Finn Harps