Cobh Ramblers are expected to emerge victorious against Wexford, with a slight edge in their favour. This storyline is reinforced by Cobh Ramblers' recent form, having come off a win against Treaty United. The model predicts a home win with a probability of 44%. A draw is possible with a 27% chance, while Wexford's away win is the least likely outcome at 30%.
The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair with an average of 2.9 goals expected. The most likely total number of goals is 2, with the single most likely score being 1-1, occurring with a 12.4% probability.
At home, Cobh Ramblers have a strong record, scoring an average of 2.08 goals and conceding 1.17. In contrast, Wexford's away form is less impressive, with an average of 1.12 goals scored and 1.75 conceded against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the home win, with an 80.3% chance of over 1.5 goals being scored. Other model selections include the over 1.5 goals result with an 80.3% probability and Wexford's away win with a 30% probability. Cobh Ramblers have a 44% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 30% chance of losing.
Results analysis
Today's form storyline for Cobh Ramblers is one of momentum, as they extend their run with a narrow 1-0 win over Wexford. The final score was a low-scoring affair, with the actual result mirroring the model's prediction. The model's selection, Home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 44%.
However, the model's call was not replicated in other areas. The selection of Over 1.5 goals, with a pre-match probability of 80.3%, missed, while the most likely total goals was 2, which occurred at 24% probability. The most likely scores were 1-1, 2-1, and 1-0, with respective probabilities of 12.4%, 9.2%, and 7.5%.
ðŊ 1. Model Analysis
Cobh Ramblers winâ Hit
43.7%
Avg Implied 37.2% · @ 2.43
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.59
Dafabet
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Drawâ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.26
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Pinnacle
3.37
Dafabet
3.35
Bet365
3.30
Wexford winâ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied 35.1% · @ 2.58
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.73
Dafabet
2.70
Superbet
2.65
10Bet
2.62
William Hil
2.62
â― 2. Goal Analysis
Cobh Ramblers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.13
2.20
1.07
1.53
1.20
vs Stronger (11)
1.82
1.36
2.20
1.40
1.50
1.33
vs Similar (9)
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
2.10
1.00
2.50
0.75
1.83
1.17
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wexford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.43
1.13
1.53
1.27
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.71
0.67
1.33
1.75
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.17
1.35
1.25
1.58
1.09
1.09
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.3%
@ 1.22+5.7%
Under 1.5
19.7%
@ 3.58-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.71
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.3%
@ 1.76+3.9%
Under 2.5
43.7%
@ 1.94-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Bet365
1.85
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.78
Under
Unibet
2.04
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.9%
@ 2.86+2.0%
Under 3.5
66.1%
@ 1.34-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.11
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Under
Unibet
1.41
10Bet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.8%
@ 1.60+2.9%
No
40.2%
@ 2.11-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
No
Unibet
2.28
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 5.90+5.2%
2-1
9.2%@ 8.59+4.2%
1-0 â
7.5%@ 8.46+2.4%
1-2
7.4%@ 8.66+2.5%
2-0
7.0%@ 11.69+3.3%
0-0
6.4%@ 10.01+2.2%
2-2
6.0%@ 11.04+2.2%
0-1
5.8%@ 8.81+1.0%
Cobh Ramblers goals ↓
Wexford goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
5.8%
4.6%
2.0%
0.7%
1
7.5%
12%
7.4%
3.2%
1.1%
2
7.0%
9.2%
6.0%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.8%
5.0%
3.3%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.5%
2.0%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cobh Ramblers goals (down), columns = Wexford goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Kerry
1.83
Longford Town
1.80
Bray Wanderers
1.80
Cork City
1.67
Treaty United
1.67
Athlone Town
1.67
Cobh Ramblers
1.50
UCD
1.33
Wexford
1.17
Finn Harps
0.00
Cobh Ramblers is 0.33 points better than Wexford in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.17).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bray Wanderers
2.80
Cork City
2.67
Longford Town
2.40
Kerry
2.17
UCD
1.83
Athlone Town
1.50
Treaty United
1.17
Wexford
1.17
Cobh Ramblers
1.17
Finn Harps
0.33
Cobh Ramblers and Wexford are level in goals scored per game (both 1.17).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Athlone Town
1.00
Treaty United
1.17
Kerry
1.17
Cobh Ramblers
1.33
Longford Town
1.40
Bray Wanderers
1.40
Wexford
1.83
UCD
2.00
Cork City
2.33
Finn Harps
3.17
Cobh Ramblers is 0.50 goals better than Wexford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.83).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cobh Ramblers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.47
1.27
0.60
1.20
0.33
vs Stronger (11)
1.09
0.73
1.00
1.00
1.17
0.50
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.33
1.17
0.50
0.67
0.00
vs Weaker (10)
1.60
0.30
1.75
0.25
1.50
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wexford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.53
0.80
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.86
0.67
0.67
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
0.39
0.70
0.50
0.83
0.27
0.55
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 10. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
80.3%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
+5.7%
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Ireland: First Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Kerry
Athlone Town
Cork City
Treaty United
Bray Wanderers
Longford Town
UCD
Finn Harps