Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno Result & Analysis

Colwyn Bay are the clear favourites, with a 44% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of an Llandudno win. The model expects three goals in total, but the most likely total is two, with a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.3% chance, and that is the only scoreline to mention. At home, Colwyn Bay average 2.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded against weaker opposition, while Llandudno, playing away against stronger opponents, average 1.5 scored and 0.67 conceded. The model’s selection is Over 1.5 goals, an 80.5% probability. The match is likely to be a hard-fought encounter, with both sides showing recent form that could keep the scoreline tight.

The 1-1 draw surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite was Colwyn Bay, who had a 44% chance of victory. The model’s call was wrong, and the result was a dead-heat. Colwyn Bay entered the match on a winning streak, having just beaten Llandudno 2-0, while Llandudno had come off a defeat to Colwyn Bay 0-2. The only suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit its target with a probability of 80.5%. The final score of 1-1 matched the model’s most likely total of two goals, but the expected 3-goal total was missed. The outcome undercut the model’s confidence in the home side.