Defensive solidity will shape this low-scoring encounter, as Concordia’s home form shows only 0.91 goals conceded per match and Viitorul Șelimbăr’s away record averages 1.08 conceded. The model favours an away win, with probabilities of 30% for a home victory, 34% for a draw and 36% for an away triumph. The expected total goals sits at 2.0, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-0, carrying a 15.5% chance. The match is projected to be tight, with both sides scoring rarely against opponents of similar strength. Concordia’s recent five matches (WWLWW) include a 2-game winning streak, while Viitorul Șelimbăr, after a win, has a record of WDLLD. The model’s selection is Under 3.5 goals, with an 86.6% probability. All figures are expressed as percentages, and every selection is named with its exact label.
Results analysis
The match saw Concordia’s two-game winning run at home falter as Viitorul Șelimbăr, fresh from a win, secured a 0-1 victory, confirming the model’s prediction. The favourite, Away win, was chosen with a 36% probability and proved correct. The model’s single selection, Under 3.5, hit with an 86.6% chance. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result, and the predicted most likely total of 2 goals, while not materialising, was the closest outcome. Concordia’s recent form had been strong, yet the away side’s steadier performance and the model’s accurate forecast underline the reliability of the Pythia predictions.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Concordia win✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Viitorul Şelimbăr win✓ Hit
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Concordia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.39
0.86
0.93
0.93
1.86
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.46
0.83
1.00
0.91
1.85
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
36% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Viitorul Şelimbăr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viitorul Şelimbăr
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.14
1.04
1.14
1.00
1.14
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.40
1.00
1.50
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.13
0.96
1.20
0.80
1.08
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Concordia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.4%
Under 1.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.0%
Under 2.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.4%
Under 3.5
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.0%
No
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.5%
1-1
14.8%
0-1 ✓
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
Concordia goals ↓
Viitorul Şelimbăr goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
13%
7.6%
2.6%
0.7%
1
12%
15%
7.0%
2.4%
0.6%
2
5.9%
6.2%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
3
1.8%
1.9%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Concordia goals (down), columns = Viitorul Şelimbăr goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Unirea Slobozia
2.07
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.79
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.76
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.76
SCM Gloria Buzău
1.76
CSM Reşiţa
1.60
Concordia
1.52
Chindia Targoviste
1.52
CS Mioveni
1.48
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.44
Csikszereda
1.38
Arges Pitesti
1.36
Metaloglobus
1.36
Slatina
1.28
ACS Sirineasa
1.20
Unirea Dej
1.08
Dumbrăviţa
1.08
Tunari
0.80
Alexandria
0.52
Progresul Spartac
0.16
Concordia is 0.24 points worse than Viitorul Şelimbăr in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.96
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.60
CSM Reşiţa
1.56
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.52
SCM Gloria Buzău
1.48
Chindia Targoviste
1.40
Concordia
1.28
Unirea Slobozia
1.07
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.07
Metaloglobus
1.04
CS Mioveni
1.03
Slatina
1.00
Arges Pitesti
1.00
Csikszereda
0.97
Tunari
0.96
Dumbrăviţa
0.88
ACS Sirineasa
0.88
Unirea Dej
0.80
Alexandria
0.60
Progresul Spartac
0.56
Concordia is 0.21 goals better than Viitorul Şelimbăr in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Unirea Slobozia
0.48
CS Mioveni
0.69
Chindia Targoviste
0.72
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.72
Arges Pitesti
0.80
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.93
Concordia
0.96
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.97
Csikszereda
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.04
Slatina
1.08
Metaloglobus
1.08
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.12
Dumbrăviţa
1.24
CSM Reşiţa
1.28
ACS Sirineasa
1.44
Unirea Dej
1.48
Alexandria
1.64
Tunari
1.76
Progresul Spartac
2.60
Concordia is 0.24 goals worse than Viitorul Şelimbăr in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 0.72).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Concordia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.61
0.29
0.50
0.29
0.71
0.29
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.29
0.64
0.27
0.77
0.31
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
75% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Viitorul Şelimbăr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viitorul Şelimbăr
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.36
0.57
0.29
0.64
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.80
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.52
0.30
0.50
0.46
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
54% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Concordia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Concordia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concordia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concordia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viitorul Şelimbăr over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viitorul Şelimbăr over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viitorul Şelimbăr over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Concordia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.79
0.57
0.43
0.64
1.14
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.54
0.36
0.64
1.08
0.46
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Viitorul Şelimbăr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viitorul Şelimbăr
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.79
0.46
0.86
0.36
0.71
0.57
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.60
0.75
0.50
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.43
0.90
0.30
0.62
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
68% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Concordia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Concordia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concordia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Concordia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viitorul Şelimbăr over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viitorul Şelimbăr over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viitorul Şelimbăr over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AP (26)
€13m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
VŞ (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
Concordia's squad is €3m more valuable than Viitorul Şelimbăr's (€5m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AP (11)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
CSI (12)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
Concordia's attack is €1m more valuable than Viitorul Şelimbăr's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AP (6)
€3m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
Concordia's midfield is €1m more valuable than Viitorul Şelimbăr's (€1m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AP (9)
€6m
CH (10)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
Concordia and Viitorul Şelimbăr have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Romania: Liga II 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga II stats & trends →