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Cork City vs Treaty United Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 1-1
Cork City
Cork City
Vs
54%
28%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Treaty United
Treaty United
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cork City win✗ Miss
54.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Treaty United win✗ Miss
17.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Cork CityCork City

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W11D00D10W32W10W41W22D33DH·FIN12/07H·KER26/07A·TRE02/08H·ATH09/08A·COB23/08H·LON30/08A·UCD06/09A·KER13/09H·FIN20/09A·BRA27/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.571.640.501.810.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.700.601.500.751.830.50
vs Weaker (20)1.750.551.700.401.800.70
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D10W11D41W13L05L11D12L30W31WA·UCD12/07H·FIN26/07H·COR02/08A·LON10/08H·WEX23/08A·BRA30/08H·KER06/09H·ATH20/09A·COB23/09H·LON27/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.270.941.061.141.50
vs Stronger (13)1.381.311.141.291.671.33
vs Similar (14)0.791.290.861.000.711.57
vs Weaker (3)0.671.000.500.501.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cork City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.5%
Under 2.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.2%
No
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.2%
1-1 ✓
12.9%
2-0
11.8%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.6%
Cork City goals ↓
Treaty United goals →
01234
011%6.5%2.9%0.7%0.1%
114%13%4.5%1.2%0.2%
212%9.0%3.5%0.9%0.2%
36.0%4.6%1.8%0.5%0.1%
42.3%1.8%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cork City goals (down), columns = Treaty United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.17
UCD
1.55
Athlone Town
1.54
Wexford
1.50
Bray Wanderers
1.41
Finn Harps
1.28
Cobh Ramblers
1.22
Treaty United
1.22
Longford Town
0.81
Kerry
0.75
Cork City is 0.94 points better than Treaty United in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.22).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cork City
1.78
Wexford
1.61
Bray Wanderers
1.49
Athlone Town
1.38
UCD
1.26
Longford Town
1.14
Cobh Ramblers
1.14
Treaty United
1.14
Finn Harps
1.08
Kerry
0.94
Cork City is 0.64 goals better than Treaty United in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.64
UCD
1.03
Treaty United
1.19
Finn Harps
1.19
Bray Wanderers
1.28
Athlone Town
1.31
Wexford
1.50
Kerry
1.53
Cobh Ramblers
1.56
Longford Town
1.78
Cork City is 0.56 goals better than Treaty United in terms of goals conceded per game (0.64 vs 1.19).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Cork CityCork City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D00D12L00D20W02L22DH·FIN12/07H·KER26/07A·TRE02/08H·ATH09/08A·COB23/08H·LON30/08A·UCD06/09A·KER13/09H·FIN20/09A·BRA27/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.370.860.430.810.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.800.501.000.750.670.33
vs Weaker (20)0.850.300.800.300.900.30
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D00D31W00D05L00D10W10W11DA·UCD12/07H·FIN26/07H·COR02/08A·LON10/08H·WEX23/08A·BRA30/08H·KER06/09H·ATH20/09A·COB23/09H·LON27/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.530.380.190.570.93
vs Stronger (13)0.690.380.290.431.170.33
vs Similar (14)0.360.710.570.000.141.43
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Cork City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cork City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Cork CityCork City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W11D00D10W20W10W21W20W11DH·FIN12/07H·KER26/07A·TRE02/08H·ATH09/08A·COB23/08H·LON30/08A·UCD06/09A·KER13/09H·FIN20/09A·BRA27/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.200.790.071.000.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.100.500.001.170.17
vs Weaker (20)0.900.250.900.100.900.40
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W11D10W13L00D11D02L20W20WA·UCD12/07H·FIN26/07H·COR02/08A·LON10/08H·WEX23/08A·BRA30/08H·KER06/09H·ATH20/09A·COB23/09H·LON27/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.730.560.880.570.57
vs Stronger (13)0.690.920.860.860.501.00
vs Similar (14)0.430.570.291.000.570.14
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Cork City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cork City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.9%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Cork City · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ruairi Keating43%
Djenairo Daniels33%
Sean Maguire22%
Matthew Murray17%
Kitt Nelson17%
Alex Nolan12%
Malik Dijksteel11%
Evan McLaughlin11%
Greg Bolger5%
Joshua Fitzpatrick4%
Charlie Lyons4%
Freddie Anderson4%
Darragh Crowley3%
Fiacre Kelleher0%
Sean Murray0%
Rory Feely0%
David Odumosu0%
Tein Troost0%
Charlie Lutz0%
Benny Couto0%
Conor Brann0%
Milan Mbeng0%
Harry Nevin0%
Rio Shipston0%
Kaedyn Kamara0%
Cathal O'Sullivan0%
Matthew Kiernan0%
Harvey Skieters0%
Brody Lee0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ruairi Keating43%
Kaedyn Kamara40%
Matthew Kiernan38%
Milan Mbeng38%
Greg Bolger32%
Rio Shipston29%
Charlie Lyons24%
Fiacre Kelleher22%
Sean Maguire22%
Cathal O'Sullivan21%
Darragh Crowley19%
Rory Feely17%
Joshua Fitzpatrick17%
Kitt Nelson17%
Brody Lee17%
Tein Troost16%
Alex Nolan15%
Evan McLaughlin15%
Harry Nevin11%
Sean Murray11%
Djenairo Daniels8%
Freddie Anderson7%
Benny Couto6%
David Odumosu0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Charlie Lutz0%
Conor Brann0%
Matthew Murray0%
Harvey Skieters0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Djenairo Daniels17%
Cathal O'Sullivan16%
Benny Couto12%
Rio Shipston12%
Conor Brann9%
Evan McLaughlin7%
Milan Mbeng6%
Greg Bolger5%
Matthew Kiernan5%
Sean Maguire4%
Joshua Fitzpatrick4%
Freddie Anderson4%
Kitt Nelson3%
Darragh Crowley3%
Fiacre Kelleher0%
Sean Murray0%
Rory Feely0%
Charlie Lyons0%
Ruairi Keating0%
David Odumosu0%
Tein Troost0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Alex Nolan0%
Charlie Lutz0%
Harry Nevin0%
Kaedyn Kamara0%
Matthew Murray0%
Harvey Skieters0%
Brody Lee0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ruairi Keating43%
Sean Maguire17%
Fiacre Kelleher11%
Malik Dijksteel11%
Djenairo Daniels8%
Alex Nolan8%
Evan McLaughlin7%
Sean Murray7%
Milan Mbeng6%
Benny Couto6%
Joshua Fitzpatrick4%
Greg Bolger0%
Rory Feely0%
Darragh Crowley0%
Charlie Lyons0%
David Odumosu0%
Tein Troost0%
Charlie Lutz0%
Conor Brann0%
Harry Nevin0%
Rio Shipston0%
Kaedyn Kamara0%
Matthew Murray0%
Freddie Anderson0%
Cathal O'Sullivan0%
Kitt Nelson0%
Matthew Kiernan0%
Harvey Skieters0%
Brody Lee0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Cork City and Treaty United have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Cork City and Treaty United have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
CC wins
3
Draws
1
TU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cork City vs Treaty United · H/A from CC
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/24ATreaty United Vs CC1-1
24/05/24HCC Vs Treaty United1-1
22/03/24ATreaty United Vs CC0-0
12/08/22HCC Vs Treaty United0-2
27/06/22ATreaty United Vs CC0-5
02/05/22HCC Vs Treaty United3-0
18/03/22ATreaty United Vs CC0-4

Cork CityCork City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/24ABray Wanderers Vs CC3-3
20/09/24HCC Vs Finn Harps2-2
13/09/24AKerry Vs CC1-4
06/09/24AUCD Vs CC0-1
30/08/24HCC Vs Longford Town3-2
23/08/24ACobh Ramblers Vs CC0-1
09/08/24HCC Vs Athlone Town0-0
02/08/24ATreaty United Vs CC1-1
26/07/24HCC Vs Kerry2-0
12/07/24HCC Vs Finn Harps1-0

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/24HTU Vs Longford Town3-1
23/09/24ACobh Ramblers Vs TU0-3
20/09/24HTU Vs Athlone Town1-2
06/09/24HTU Vs Kerry1-1
30/08/24ABray Wanderers Vs TU5-0
23/08/24HTU Vs Wexford1-3
10/08/24ALongford Town Vs TU1-4
02/08/24HTU Vs Cork City1-1
26/07/24HTU Vs Finn Harps1-0
12/07/24AUCD Vs TU1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cork City
Cork City
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.70
HomeWWDWD1.91
AwayDWWWD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%41%
AVG goals2.301.912.63
Over 1.5 %70%61%78%
Over 2.5 %34%22%44%
Over 3.5 %22%13%30%
Scored1.361.351.37
Conceded0.940.571.26
BTTS40%30%48%
Clean Sheet44%57%33%
Corners9.189.149.20
Cards4.714.295.00
Treaty United
Treaty United
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.26
HomeDLDLW1.28
AwayLDWLW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals2.582.642.52
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %32%40%24%
Scored1.261.361.16
Conceded1.321.281.36
BTTS52%60%44%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cork CityCork City3678
61%
2.2
6423+41
2.4
67%
33%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
2Athlone TownAthlone Town3960
41%
1.5
5451+3
2.7
69%
54%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
3UCDUCD3859
39%
1.6
4839+9
2.3
71%
42%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
4WexfordWexford3857
39%
1.5
6157+4
3.1
87%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
5Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3955
38%
1.4
5850+8
2.8
74%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
6Finn HarpsFinn Harps3646
33%
1.3
3943-4
2.3
69%
28%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
7Treaty UnitedTreaty United3644
31%
1.2
4143-2
2.3
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3644
33%
1.2
4156-15
2.7
83%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
9Longford TownLongford Town3629
17%
0.8
4164-23
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10KerryKerry3627
14%
0.8
3455-21
2.5
81%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
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Ireland: First Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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