This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.03
1.13
1.00
1.07
1.07
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
1.23
1.17
1.33
0.71
1.14
vs Similar (16)
1.19
0.94
1.11
0.78
1.29
1.14
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.6%
Under 1.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.7%
@ 2.43+1.0%
Under 2.5
60.3%
@ 1.53-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.4%
No
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
1-2 ✓
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
Cosenza goals ↓
Brescia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.3%
2.3%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.3%
2.7%
0.7%
2
7.0%
7.8%
4.3%
1.6%
0.4%
3
2.7%
3.0%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cosenza goals (down), columns = Brescia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Cosenza is 0.10 points worse than Brescia in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Cosenza is 0.06 goals better than Brescia in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Cosenza is 0.03 goals worse than Brescia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Cosenza is 1.3 percentage points better than Brescia in terms of average possession (49% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cosenza
For 5.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 13.4 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brescia
For 3.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 15.2 · Total 30.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.7
10.1
4.1
4.0
4.2
28.0
26.7
29.3
vs Stronger (31)
9.7
9.8
9.5
4.4
4.3
4.4
28.4
27.3
29.3
vs Similar (19)
10.4
9.7
11.5
3.6
3.5
3.8
27.2
25.7
29.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
40%
60%
56%
60%
52%
83%
87%
80%
% under line
50%
60%
40%
44%
40%
48%
17%
13%
20%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.5
8.7
3.2
3.4
3.1
29.8
29.5
30.1
vs Stronger (21)
9.2
10.7
8.0
3.2
3.2
3.3
26.8
25.2
28.3
vs Similar (28)
8.6
8.7
8.4
3.2
3.5
2.9
31.7
32.3
30.9
vs Weaker (1)
16.0
-
16.0
5.0
-
5.0
37.0
-
37.0
% over line
40%
53%
27%
50%
56%
44%
87%
93%
80%
% under line
60%
47%
73%
50%
44%
56%
13%
7%
20%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Parma
10.5
Bari
10.3
Venezia
10.3
Ternana
10.1
Palermo
10.1
Cremonese
10.0
Modena
10.0
Spezia
9.9
Brescia
9.9
Lecco
9.8
Pisa
9.7
Cosenza
9.5
Reggiana
9.5
Ascoli
9.3
Como
9.3
Cittadella
9.1
FeralpiSalo
9.1
Catanzaro
8.8
Sampdoria
8.6
Sudtirol
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.5
Pisa
6.3
Cittadella
5.9
Modena
5.9
Spezia
5.8
Ascoli
5.8
Sudtirol
5.7
Sampdoria
5.6
Lecco
5.6
Catanzaro
5.5
Reggiana
5.5
Bari
5.4
Parma
5.4
Cremonese
5.3
FeralpiSalo
5.2
Como
5.2
Palermo
5.1
Venezia
5.1
Brescia
5.1
Ternana
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
32.2
Ascoli
32.1
Reggiana
30.4
Sudtirol
29.9
Palermo
29.6
Sampdoria
29.6
Bari
29.6
Como
29.5
Catanzaro
29.4
Spezia
29.3
Pisa
29.1
Modena
28.8
Cosenza
28.3
Brescia
28.1
Lecco
27.9
Cremonese
27.7
Ternana
27.5
Parma
27.3
FeralpiSalo
27.2
Venezia
25.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.5%
Under 9.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.8%
Under 3.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.9%
Under 21.5
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.73
0.40
0.40
0.33
vs Stronger (20)
0.50
0.45
0.67
0.67
0.36
0.27
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.20
0.83
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.53
0.60
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.00
0.67
1.17
0.29
0.86
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.38
0.44
0.22
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.67
0.87
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (20)
0.40
0.75
0.56
1.00
0.27
0.55
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.70
0.83
0.67
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.23
0.50
0.17
0.43
0.29
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.56
0.67
0.56
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gennaro Tutino46%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Gianluca Frabotta20%
Massimo Zilli17%
Simone Mazzocchi11%
Francesco Forte10%
Idriz Voca9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Michael Venturi7%
Manuel Marras6%
Michele Camporese5%
Valerio Crespi5%
Luigi Canotto4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Aldo Florenzi0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Venturi50%
Tommaso D'Orazio44%
Mateusz Praszelik42%
Alessandro Fontanarosa33%
Aldo Florenzi29%
Mattia Viviani27%
Gianluca Frabotta27%
Michele Camporese26%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Federico Zuccon24%
Gennaro Tutino23%
Manuel Marras21%
Alessandro Micai19%
Giacomo Calò19%
Bright Gyamfi18%
Luigi Canotto17%
Idriz Voca15%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Filippo Sgarbi12%
Baldovino Cimino12%
Pietro Martino10%
Andrea Meroni9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Valerio Crespi5%
Christian D'Urso0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian D'Urso33%
Giacomo Calò22%
Manuel Marras18%
Federico Zuccon10%
Bright Gyamfi9%
Simone Mazzocchi9%
Gennaro Tutino9%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Andrea Rispoli8%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Baldovino Cimino6%
Idriz Voca6%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Francesco Forte3%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Valerio Crespi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gennaro Tutino31%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Valerio Crespi5%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Manuel Marras3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Idriz Voca0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Brescia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gennaro Borrelli29%
Gabriele Moncini26%
Birkir Bjarnason13%
Flavio Bianchi10%
Dimitri Bisoli9%
Nicolas Galazzi9%
Alexander Jallow8%
Davide Adorni4%
Fabrizio Paghera4%
Massimo Bertagnoli4%
Andrea Papetti3%
Lorenzo Dickmann3%
Mohamed Fares0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Michele Avella0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Matteo Ferro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrea Cistana39%
Fabrizio Paghera36%
Mohamed Fares31%
Lorenzo Dickmann22%
Giacomo Olzer21%
Dimitri Bisoli21%
Tom Van De Looi19%
Massimo Bertagnoli18%
Nicolas Galazzi18%
Davide Adorni16%
Alexander Jallow16%
Matthieu Huard16%
Gennaro Borrelli14%
Michele Besaggio14%
Lorenzo Andrenacci11%
Matteo Ferro10%
Andrea Papetti9%
Gabriele Moncini9%
Birkir Bjarnason8%
Riccardo Fogliata8%
Luca Lezzerini4%
Massimiliano Mangraviti4%
Flavio Bianchi3%
Michele Avella0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Galazzi15%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Lorenzo Dickmann8%
Riccardo Fogliata8%
Gennaro Borrelli7%
Andrea Papetti6%
Gabriele Moncini6%
Andrea Cistana4%
Fabrizio Paghera4%
Alexander Jallow4%
Massimiliano Mangraviti4%
Flavio Bianchi3%
Birkir Bjarnason0%
Davide Adorni0%
Mohamed Fares0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Michele Avella0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Matteo Ferro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Moncini23%
Flavio Bianchi13%
Gennaro Borrelli11%
Giacomo Olzer7%
Lorenzo Dickmann5%
Birkir Bjarnason5%
Dimitri Bisoli3%
Davide Adorni0%
Mohamed Fares0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Michele Avella0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Nicolas Galazzi0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Matteo Ferro0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Venezia
Parma
Como
Cremonese
Catanzaro
Palermo
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
Modena
Reggiana
Pisa
Cittadella
Bari
Ternana
Spezia
Ascoli
FeralpiSalo
Lecco