This opponent (Salernitana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Salernitana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.17
1.44
0.88
0.86
1.50
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.83
0.60
0.60
0.57
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.56
1.39
1.82
1.00
1.14
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.0%
Under 1.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.0%
Under 2.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.7%
Under 3.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-0 ✓
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
Cosenza goals ↓
Salernitana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
7.5%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.5%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.0%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
3
4.2%
4.3%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.5%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cosenza goals (down), columns = Salernitana goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Brescia
1.86
Lecce
1.83
Palermo
1.75
Benevento
1.67
Pescara
1.53
Hellas Verona
1.44
Spezia
1.42
Cittadella
1.42
Perugia
1.39
Cremonese
1.36
Cosenza
1.28
Ascoli
1.19
Foggia
1.19
Crotone
1.19
Livorno
1.08
Salernitana
1.06
Venezia
1.06
Padova
0.86
Carpi
0.81
Cosenza is 0.22 points better than Salernitana in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.06).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brescia
1.92
Lecce
1.83
Benevento
1.69
Palermo
1.58
Spezia
1.47
Pescara
1.39
Perugia
1.36
Hellas Verona
1.36
Cittadella
1.36
Foggia
1.22
Salernitana
1.14
Ascoli
1.11
Crotone
1.11
Carpi
1.08
Livorno
1.06
Cremonese
1.03
Padova
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Cosenza
0.94
Cosenza is 0.19 goals worse than Salernitana in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.92
Palermo
1.06
Cittadella
1.06
Brescia
1.17
Cosenza
1.17
Crotone
1.17
Lecce
1.25
Benevento
1.25
Pescara
1.28
Spezia
1.28
Hellas Verona
1.28
Venezia
1.28
Foggia
1.36
Perugia
1.36
Padova
1.36
Livorno
1.42
Ascoli
1.56
Salernitana
1.58
Carpi
1.86
Cosenza is 0.42 goals better than Salernitana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.58).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cosenza
For 5.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 14.8 · Total 30.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Salernitana
For 5.1 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.9 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
9.5
9.7
9.3
4.7
3.9
5.4
31.0
28.9
32.7
vs Stronger (6)
9.2
14.0
8.0
3.8
2.5
4.5
27.6
17.0
30.2
vs Similar (11)
9.6
9.0
10.4
5.2
4.3
6.2
32.5
30.8
34.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
29%
44%
71%
75%
67%
94%
86%
100%
% under line
62%
71%
56%
29%
25%
33%
6%
14%
0%
This opponent (Salernitana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Salernitana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.0
9.5
4.6
4.5
4.7
31.0
31.5
30.4
vs Stronger (21)
9.3
10.1
8.5
4.9
4.4
5.4
33.3
34.2
32.4
vs Similar (29)
10.1
10.0
10.3
4.4
4.5
4.2
29.3
29.6
28.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
54%
50%
70%
73%
67%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
48%
46%
50%
30%
27%
33%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Livorno
10.9
Cremonese
10.7
Foggia
10.4
Venezia
10.3
Spezia
10.3
Crotone
10.2
Hellas Verona
10.2
Cittadella
10.1
Brescia
10.0
Pescara
9.9
Padova
9.9
Palermo
9.9
Salernitana
9.8
Lecce
9.6
Cosenza
9.5
Benevento
9.5
Carpi
9.2
Ascoli
9.0
Perugia
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Padova
5.2
Livorno
5.1
Cittadella
5.1
Ascoli
5.1
Cosenza
5.0
Lecce
4.8
Benevento
4.7
Hellas Verona
4.7
Pescara
4.7
Brescia
4.7
Venezia
4.7
Cremonese
4.6
Salernitana
4.6
Perugia
4.5
Palermo
4.3
Foggia
4.2
Crotone
4.2
Spezia
4.1
Carpi
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Brescia
32.2
Cittadella
32.1
Ascoli
32.0
Carpi
31.0
Venezia
31.0
Cosenza
31.0
Salernitana
31.0
Perugia
30.8
Cremonese
30.7
Padova
30.4
Livorno
30.3
Lecce
29.6
Pescara
29.4
Palermo
29.3
Foggia
29.3
Spezia
29.2
Benevento
28.4
Hellas Verona
27.0
Crotone
26.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.2%
Under 9.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.4%
Under 3.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.4%
Under 21.5
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.31
0.31
0.57
0.43
0.11
0.22
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.09
0.67
0.17
0.20
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Salernitana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Salernitana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.53
0.38
0.50
0.21
0.57
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
0.50
0.20
0.40
0.14
0.57
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.56
0.45
0.55
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.94
0.71
0.57
0.44
1.22
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.40
2.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.73
0.50
0.50
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
31% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Salernitana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Salernitana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
1.06
0.38
0.64
0.93
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.33
0.40
0.20
0.43
0.43
vs Similar (18)
1.17
0.83
1.36
0.45
0.86
1.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cosenza · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Manuel Ricciardi12%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Massimo Zilli12%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Michael Venturi4%
Charlys4%
Riccardo Ciervo3%
José Mauri0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Christian Kouan0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aldo Florenzi40%
Tommaso D'Orazio35%
Pietro Martino29%
Charlys29%
Christian Kouan26%
Luca Strizzolo25%
Mario Gargiulo24%
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giacomo Ricci23%
Christian Dalle Mura22%
Luca Garritano20%
Filippo Sgarbi20%
Christos Kourfalidis20%
Manuel Ricciardi19%
Michael Venturi18%
Alessandro Caporale18%
Juan Manuel Cruz17%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Simone Mazzocchi15%
José Mauri13%
Michele Camporese12%
Mohamed Sankoh11%
Alessandro Micai11%
Andrea Hristov10%
Massimo Zilli8%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Baldovino Cimino14%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Gabriele Artistico6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Christian Dalle Mura4%
Tommaso Fumagalli4%
Massimo Zilli4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Michael Venturi4%
Alessandro Caporale4%
Charlys4%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna3%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Simone Mazzocchi0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Aldo Florenzi10%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Charlys4%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Salernitana · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Flavius Daniliuc25%
Simy23%
Diego Valencia20%
Roberto Soriano12%
Jayden Braaf11%
Alberto Cerri11%
Franco Tongya10%
Gian Marco Ferrari9%
Daniele Verde8%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde8%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
Antonio Raimondo8%
Yayah Kallon8%
Lorenzo Amatucci8%
Paolo Ghiglione7%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Andrés Tello5%
Ajdin Hrustić4%
Petar Stojanović0%
Dylan Bronn0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Paweł Jaroszyński0%
Nicola Dalmonte0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Davide Gentile0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Lilian Njoh0%
Fabio Ruggeri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrés Tello42%
Petar Stojanović34%
Tijs Velthuis30%
Ajdin Hrustić26%
Ernesto Torregrossa25%
Stefano Girelli25%
Fabrizio Caligara25%
Flavius Daniliuc25%
Fabio Ruggeri22%
Dylan Bronn20%
Nicola Dalmonte20%
Jayden Braaf17%
Alberto Cerri16%
Luka Lochoshvili16%
Paweł Jaroszyński15%
Szymon Włodarczyk15%
Yayah Kallon15%
Paolo Ghiglione15%
Giulio Maggiore14%
Lorenzo Amatucci13%
Roberto Soriano12%
Gian Marco Ferrari11%
Franco Tongya10%
Federico Zuccon9%
Antonio Raimondo8%
Lilian Njoh7%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Oliver Christensen6%
Simy4%
Daniele Verde3%
Diego Valencia0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Davide Gentile0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Flavius Daniliuc25%
Tommaso Corazza21%
Daniele Verde8%
Simy8%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
Paolo Ghiglione7%
Ajdin Hrustić4%
Fabio Ruggeri4%
Dylan Bronn4%
Lilian Njoh4%
Gian Marco Ferrari3%
Lorenzo Amatucci3%
Petar Stojanović0%
Diego Valencia0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Roberto Soriano0%
Alberto Cerri0%
Andrés Tello0%
Paweł Jaroszyński0%
Nicola Dalmonte0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Jayden Braaf0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Franco Tongya0%
Davide Gentile0%
Antonio Raimondo0%
Yayah Kallon0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alberto Cerri37%
Jayden Braaf17%
Daniele Verde14%
Dylan Bronn12%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Paolo Ghiglione4%
Petar Stojanović0%
Diego Valencia0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Roberto Soriano0%
Gian Marco Ferrari0%
Andrés Tello0%
Paweł Jaroszyński0%
Nicola Dalmonte0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Simy0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Ajdin Hrustić0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Flavius Daniliuc0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Franco Tongya0%
Davide Gentile0%
Antonio Raimondo0%
Yayah Kallon0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Lilian Njoh0%
Fabio Ruggeri0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →