This opponent (Spal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.30
1.38
1.44
0.86
1.14
vs Stronger (11)
0.91
1.18
1.00
1.00
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (19)
1.26
1.37
1.67
1.78
0.90
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
56.8%
Under 1.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.6%
@ 2.03-18.1%
Under 2.5
71.4%
@ 1.78+18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.9%
Under 3.5
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.6%
No
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.9%
1-0
14.8%
1-1
14.6%
0-1 ✓
11.5%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
5.3%
Cosenza goals ↓
Spal goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
12%
5.3%
1.5%
0.3%
1
15%
15%
5.5%
1.5%
0.3%
2
8.3%
6.9%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
3
2.9%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cosenza goals (down), columns = Spal goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Cosenza is 0.18 points worse than Spal in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Cosenza is 0.26 goals worse than Spal in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Cosenza is 0.13 goals worse than Spal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.42).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cosenza
For 3.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 3.1 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 14.7 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spal
For 5.9 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 17.3 · Total 33.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.3
9.7
5.1
5.1
5.1
27.8
29.3
26.5
vs Stronger (18)
10.6
12.3
8.9
4.4
4.8
4.0
27.7
29.7
25.8
vs Similar (32)
9.6
9.1
10.1
5.5
5.3
5.6
27.9
29.1
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
54%
50%
72%
71%
73%
90%
92%
88%
% under line
48%
46%
50%
28%
29%
27%
10%
8%
12%
This opponent (Spal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.8
10.4
5.4
5.3
5.5
31.9
30.5
33.5
vs Stronger (18)
10.8
10.9
10.6
5.2
5.2
5.1
29.9
29.7
30.1
vs Similar (32)
10.6
10.8
10.3
5.5
5.4
5.7
33.1
31.0
35.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
66%
73%
58%
76%
77%
75%
94%
92%
96%
% under line
34%
27%
42%
24%
23%
25%
6%
8%
4%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Alessandria
10.8
Brescia
10.7
Frosinone
10.7
Spal
10.6
Benevento
10.6
Pisa
10.6
Monza
10.2
Cittadella
10.2
Crotone
10.2
Reggina
10.2
Cremonese
10.1
Lecce
10.0
Cosenza
10.0
Como
9.9
Pordenone
9.9
Ternana
9.9
Ascoli
9.8
Perugia
9.8
Parma
9.7
Vicenza Virtus
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reggina
6.1
Ascoli
6.0
Pordenone
5.7
Vicenza Virtus
5.6
Perugia
5.5
Como
5.5
Spal
5.4
Cittadella
5.4
Pisa
5.3
Frosinone
5.2
Cosenza
5.1
Monza
5.1
Crotone
5.0
Benevento
4.9
Cremonese
4.9
Alessandria
4.8
Brescia
4.8
Parma
4.8
Lecce
4.8
Ternana
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
34.2
Cittadella
33.7
Pordenone
33.2
Perugia
32.6
Pisa
32.5
Ascoli
32.5
Spal
31.9
Vicenza Virtus
31.9
Frosinone
31.6
Monza
31.6
Alessandria
30.5
Cremonese
30.0
Ternana
29.6
Como
29.5
Benevento
29.2
Crotone
28.0
Cosenza
27.8
Brescia
27.8
Parma
27.3
Lecce
27.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.0%
Under 9.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.1%
Under 3.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.1%
Under 21.5
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.93
0.43
0.12
0.75
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.82
0.60
0.40
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.47
1.11
0.44
0.10
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Spal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.69
0.81
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.73
0.29
0.57
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.63
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.00
0.43
0.57
0.31
1.38
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
1.36
0.20
1.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.79
0.56
0.33
0.30
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Spal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.69
0.62
0.36
0.64
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.45
0.71
0.43
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.74
0.67
0.78
0.40
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
71.4%
1.78
-
-
-
-
-
+18.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cosenza · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Manuel Ricciardi12%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Massimo Zilli12%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Michael Venturi4%
Charlys4%
Riccardo Ciervo3%
José Mauri0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Christian Kouan0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aldo Florenzi40%
Tommaso D'Orazio35%
Pietro Martino29%
Charlys29%
Christian Kouan26%
Luca Strizzolo25%
Mario Gargiulo24%
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giacomo Ricci23%
Christian Dalle Mura22%
Luca Garritano20%
Filippo Sgarbi20%
Christos Kourfalidis20%
Manuel Ricciardi19%
Michael Venturi18%
Alessandro Caporale18%
Juan Manuel Cruz17%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Simone Mazzocchi15%
José Mauri13%
Michele Camporese12%
Mohamed Sankoh11%
Alessandro Micai11%
Andrea Hristov10%
Massimo Zilli8%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Baldovino Cimino14%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Gabriele Artistico6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Christian Dalle Mura4%
Tommaso Fumagalli4%
Massimo Zilli4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Michael Venturi4%
Alessandro Caporale4%
Charlys4%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna3%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Simone Mazzocchi0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Aldo Florenzi10%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Charlys4%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Spal · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Moncini25%
Andrea La Mantia15%
Raffaele Celia14%
Fabio Maistro12%
Salvatore Esposito12%
Radja Nainggolan10%
Matteo Prati10%
Simone Rabbi9%
Lorenzo Dickmann8%
Giannis Fetfatzidis8%
Mattia Finotto7%
Marco Varnier7%
Biagio Meccariello6%
Patryk Peda5%
Franco Zuculini0%
Federico Proia0%
Alessandro Murgia0%
Alberto Almici0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Niccolò Zanellato0%
Luca Valzania0%
Enrico Alfonso0%
Alberto Pomini0%
Matteo Arena0%
Alessandro Fiordaliso0%
Giuseppe Rossi0%
Nicola Rauti0%
Georgi Tunjov0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Nicolo Contiliano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alberto Pomini67%
Alessandro Murgia50%
Radja Nainggolan30%
Salvatore Esposito29%
Biagio Meccariello29%
Matteo Arena28%
Alessandro Tripaldelli27%
Christian Dalle Mura26%
Franco Zuculini25%
Nicolo Contiliano25%
Andrea La Mantia24%
Alberto Almici20%
Matteo Prati20%
Lorenzo Dickmann19%
Luca Valzania19%
Niccolò Zanellato18%
Giannis Fetfatzidis15%
Raffaele Celia14%
Patryk Peda14%
Marco Varnier13%
Simone Rabbi13%
Nicola Rauti12%
Enrico Alfonso11%
Georgi Tunjov9%
Federico Proia8%
Mattia Finotto7%
Alessandro Fiordaliso7%
Gabriele Moncini6%
Fabio Maistro6%
Giuseppe Rossi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Radja Nainggolan20%
Gabriele Moncini16%
Nicolo Contiliano12%
Salvatore Esposito12%
Luca Valzania10%
Alessandro Tripaldelli9%
Giannis Fetfatzidis8%
Fabio Maistro6%
Andrea La Mantia6%
Lorenzo Dickmann6%
Matteo Prati5%
Georgi Tunjov4%
Christian Dalle Mura4%
Niccolò Zanellato4%
Franco Zuculini0%
Marco Varnier0%
Federico Proia0%
Mattia Finotto0%
Alessandro Murgia0%
Alberto Almici0%
Enrico Alfonso0%
Alberto Pomini0%
Matteo Arena0%
Biagio Meccariello0%
Raffaele Celia0%
Alessandro Fiordaliso0%
Giuseppe Rossi0%
Nicola Rauti0%
Simone Rabbi0%
Patryk Peda0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Moncini31%
Andrea La Mantia24%
Radja Nainggolan20%
Federico Proia17%
Giannis Fetfatzidis15%
Fabio Maistro9%
Marco Varnier7%
Salvatore Esposito6%
Nicola Rauti6%
Lorenzo Dickmann6%
Matteo Prati5%
Georgi Tunjov4%
Christian Dalle Mura4%
Raffaele Celia4%
Franco Zuculini0%
Mattia Finotto0%
Alessandro Murgia0%
Alberto Almici0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Niccolò Zanellato0%
Luca Valzania0%
Enrico Alfonso0%
Alberto Pomini0%
Matteo Arena0%
Biagio Meccariello0%
Alessandro Fiordaliso0%
Giuseppe Rossi0%
Simone Rabbi0%
Patryk Peda0%
Nicolo Contiliano0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Lecce
Cremonese
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
Ascoli
Benevento
Frosinone
Perugia
Ternana
Cittadella
Parma
Reggina
Como
Vicenza Virtus