This opponent (Crotone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Crotone
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
2.10
1.12
1.62
1.29
2.64
vs Stronger (18)
1.50
2.39
1.27
1.64
1.86
3.57
vs Similar (12)
0.75
1.67
0.80
1.60
0.71
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.9%
@ 1.95-3.7%
Under 2.5
55.1%
@ 1.85+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.7%
Under 3.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
Cremonese goals ↓
Crotone goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
6.2%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
1
12%
13%
5.2%
1.5%
0.3%
2
11%
9.4%
4.1%
1.2%
0.3%
3
5.7%
5.0%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.3%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cremonese goals (down), columns = Crotone goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Cremonese is 1.13 points better than Crotone in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 0.68).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Cremonese is 0.42 goals better than Crotone in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Cremonese is 0.58 goals better than Crotone in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cremonese
For 4.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 15.7 · Total 30.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Crotone
For 6.3 · Against 6.5 · Total 12.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 12.9 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cremonese
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.7
10.0
4.9
5.1
4.6
30.1
29.7
30.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
9.1
8.2
10.2
5.1
5.2
4.8
30.4
31.2
29.3
vs Weaker (36)
10.1
10.4
9.9
4.8
5.0
4.6
30.0
29.0
30.8
% over line
50%
48%
52%
70%
80%
60%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
52%
48%
30%
20%
40%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Crotone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Crotone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.0
9.6
5.0
5.3
4.5
27.8
28.7
26.8
vs Stronger (37)
10.0
10.8
9.1
5.0
5.5
4.4
27.8
29.3
25.9
vs Similar (13)
11.2
11.8
10.7
4.9
5.0
4.9
27.9
26.8
28.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
62%
54%
74%
77%
71%
82%
85%
79%
% under line
42%
38%
46%
26%
23%
29%
18%
15%
21%
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.0
Benevento
10.8
Alessandria
10.7
Frosinone
10.6
Pisa
10.5
Spal
10.5
Monza
10.4
Reggina
10.4
Crotone
10.3
Ascoli
10.1
Ternana
10.0
Lecce
9.9
Pordenone
9.8
Cremonese
9.8
Cittadella
9.8
Como
9.8
Cosenza
9.7
Parma
9.6
Perugia
9.5
Vicenza Virtus
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ascoli
6.1
Reggina
5.9
Pordenone
5.7
Vicenza Virtus
5.6
Perugia
5.5
Pisa
5.5
Como
5.4
Cittadella
5.4
Frosinone
5.4
Spal
5.3
Monza
5.0
Benevento
5.0
Alessandria
5.0
Brescia
5.0
Crotone
5.0
Parma
4.9
Cremonese
4.9
Lecce
4.8
Cosenza
4.8
Ternana
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
34.1
Cittadella
33.4
Pisa
32.7
Ascoli
32.6
Perugia
32.5
Pordenone
32.5
Monza
32.0
Spal
31.7
Vicenza Virtus
31.6
Alessandria
31.1
Frosinone
31.0
Como
30.4
Cremonese
30.1
Ternana
29.7
Benevento
29.3
Brescia
28.0
Crotone
27.8
Lecce
27.7
Parma
27.5
Cosenza
27.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.7%
Under 9.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
73.8%
Under 3.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.8%
Under 21.5
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cremonese
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.67
0.53
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.50
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (22)
0.55
0.50
0.70
0.60
0.42
0.42
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Crotone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.50
0.62
0.64
1.00
vs Stronger (18)
0.78
0.78
0.55
0.55
1.14
1.14
vs Similar (12)
0.25
0.83
0.40
0.80
0.14
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cremonese
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.37
1.07
0.27
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.50
1.60
0.40
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (22)
0.68
0.32
0.80
0.20
0.58
0.42
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Crotone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.30
0.62
1.00
0.64
1.64
vs Stronger (18)
0.72
1.61
0.73
1.09
0.71
2.43
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.83
0.40
0.80
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cremonese · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tommaso Berti33%
Simone Lottici Tessadri33%
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
M. Nasti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
F. Gerli67%
J. Vandeputte50%
Giuseppe Pezzella33%
S. Pontisso33%
M. Bianchetti25%
S. Luperto0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
M. De Luca0%
Tommaso Berti0%
M. Nasti0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tommaso Berti33%
M. Nasti33%
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
Tommaso Berti0%
M. Nasti0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Cremonese
Lecce
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
Ascoli
Benevento
Frosinone
Perugia
Ternana
Cittadella
Parma
Reggina
Como
Spal
Cosenza
Vicenza Virtus