This opponent (Padova) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Padova
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.05
1.57
0.80
0.80
1.27
2.27
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
1.25
1.20
0.80
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.92
1.77
0.40
0.80
1.25
2.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
24% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
0-0 ✓
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
Cremonese goals ↓
Padova goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
3.9%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
1
10%
11%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.9%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
7.6%
6.7%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
4
3.8%
3.4%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cremonese goals (down), columns = Padova goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Brescia
1.86
Lecce
1.83
Palermo
1.75
Benevento
1.67
Pescara
1.53
Hellas Verona
1.44
Spezia
1.42
Cittadella
1.42
Perugia
1.39
Cremonese
1.36
Cosenza
1.28
Ascoli
1.19
Foggia
1.19
Crotone
1.19
Livorno
1.08
Salernitana
1.06
Venezia
1.06
Padova
0.86
Carpi
0.81
Cremonese is 0.50 points better than Padova in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 0.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brescia
1.92
Lecce
1.83
Benevento
1.69
Palermo
1.58
Spezia
1.47
Pescara
1.39
Perugia
1.36
Hellas Verona
1.36
Cittadella
1.36
Foggia
1.22
Salernitana
1.14
Ascoli
1.11
Crotone
1.11
Carpi
1.08
Livorno
1.06
Cremonese
1.03
Padova
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Cosenza
0.94
Cremonese is 0.03 goals better than Padova in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.92
Palermo
1.06
Cittadella
1.06
Brescia
1.17
Cosenza
1.17
Crotone
1.17
Lecce
1.25
Benevento
1.25
Pescara
1.28
Spezia
1.28
Hellas Verona
1.28
Venezia
1.28
Foggia
1.36
Perugia
1.36
Padova
1.36
Livorno
1.42
Ascoli
1.56
Salernitana
1.58
Carpi
1.86
Cremonese is 0.44 goals better than Padova in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cremonese
For 6.3 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 16.5 · Total 32.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Padova
For 3.8 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 16.3 · Total 32.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cremonese
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.3
10.4
4.5
4.3
4.7
30.6
31.1
30.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
10.2
10.4
10.1
3.8
3.5
4.1
28.7
30.6
26.6
vs Weaker (29)
10.5
10.3
10.6
5.1
5.0
5.1
31.9
31.5
32.4
% over line
54%
58%
50%
60%
62%
58%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
46%
42%
50%
40%
38%
42%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Padova) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Padova
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
10.0
11.1
9.1
5.6
5.9
5.3
31.0
33.0
29.1
vs Stronger (8)
10.8
12.8
7.3
5.0
4.8
5.3
30.2
29.4
31.7
vs Similar (13)
9.6
9.4
9.8
5.9
7.0
5.2
31.4
36.6
28.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
60%
27%
86%
90%
82%
90%
90%
91%
% under line
57%
40%
73%
14%
10%
18%
10%
10%
9%
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Livorno
11.3
Cremonese
10.4
Venezia
10.4
Spezia
10.3
Hellas Verona
10.3
Crotone
10.3
Foggia
10.2
Padova
10.0
Pescara
9.9
Cittadella
9.9
Palermo
9.9
Brescia
9.7
Salernitana
9.7
Benevento
9.5
Lecce
9.3
Cosenza
9.3
Ascoli
9.2
Carpi
9.2
Perugia
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Padova
5.6
Ascoli
5.2
Livorno
5.0
Cittadella
5.0
Benevento
4.9
Cosenza
4.8
Lecce
4.8
Hellas Verona
4.7
Venezia
4.7
Brescia
4.7
Salernitana
4.7
Pescara
4.6
Perugia
4.5
Cremonese
4.5
Crotone
4.5
Foggia
4.5
Carpi
4.3
Spezia
4.2
Palermo
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Brescia
32.7
Cittadella
32.1
Ascoli
32.0
Carpi
31.1
Cosenza
31.1
Padova
31.0
Perugia
30.9
Venezia
30.8
Livorno
30.8
Salernitana
30.7
Cremonese
30.6
Foggia
29.8
Pescara
29.3
Palermo
29.2
Lecce
29.2
Spezia
29.0
Benevento
28.8
Hellas Verona
27.4
Crotone
27.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.7%
Under 9.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.7%
Under 3.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.3%
Under 21.5
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cremonese
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.75
0.44
0.14
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.33
1.00
0.25
0.12
0.38
vs Weaker (18)
0.50
0.78
0.67
0.50
0.17
1.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Padova
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
0.52
0.40
0.30
0.64
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.62
0.80
0.20
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.46
0.00
0.40
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
52% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cremonese
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.62
0.38
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.75
1.25
0.25
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
0.50
0.33
0.42
0.42
0.67
0.17
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Padova
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
1.05
0.40
0.50
0.64
1.55
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.62
0.40
0.60
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (13)
0.46
1.31
0.40
0.40
0.50
1.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cremonese · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tommaso Berti33%
Simone Lottici Tessadri33%
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
M. Nasti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
F. Gerli67%
J. Vandeputte50%
Giuseppe Pezzella33%
S. Pontisso33%
M. Bianchetti25%
S. Luperto0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
M. De Luca0%
Tommaso Berti0%
M. Nasti0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tommaso Berti33%
M. Nasti33%
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
Tommaso Berti0%
M. Nasti0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Padova · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pietro Fusi33%
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Christian Pastina0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christian Pastina33%
Pietro Fusi33%
Alessandro Dellavalle33%
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Christian Pastina0%
Pietro Fusi0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Christian Pastina0%
Pietro Fusi0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
HV (34)
€57m
PAL (27)
€54m
CRE (30)
€49m
PAD (31)
€25m
BEN (30)
€12m
SPE (34)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
Cremonese's squad is €24m more valuable than Padova's (€49m vs €25m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
PAL (7)
€23m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
PAD (9)
€6m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
Cremonese's attack is €6m more valuable than Padova's (€12m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
PAL (7)
€12m
PAD (9)
€7m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
Cremonese's midfield is €7m more valuable than Padova's (€15m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
PAD (13)
€12m
BEN (13)
€5m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
Cremonese's defence is €11m more valuable than Padova's (€22m vs €12m).
Italy: Serie B 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Brescia
Lecce
Palermo
Benevento
Pescara
Hellas Verona
Cittadella
Spezia
Perugia
Cosenza
Ascoli
Venezia
Salernitana