This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.97
1.80
0.93
1.33
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.43
1.71
2.00
1.25
0.67
2.33
vs Weaker (22)
1.59
0.77
1.70
0.90
1.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.7%
@ 1.94-6.8%
Under 2.5
58.3%
@ 1.83+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.1%
Under 3.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
4.9%
Crotone goals ↓
Cremonese goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
8.5%
3.8%
1.3%
1
8.4%
14%
8.6%
3.8%
1.3%
2
4.9%
6.6%
4.4%
1.9%
0.7%
3
1.7%
2.2%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Crotone goals (down), columns = Cremonese goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Crotone is 1.13 points worse than Cremonese in terms of average points per game (0.68 vs 1.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Crotone is 0.42 goals worse than Cremonese in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Crotone is 0.58 goals worse than Cremonese in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
C
Crotone
For 4.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.5 · Against 13.3 · Total 31.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cremonese
For 5.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 16.8 · Total 31.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Crotone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.3
9.7
5.1
5.4
4.7
28.8
29.3
28.2
vs Stronger (26)
10.4
12.2
8.6
4.8
5.5
4.2
28.4
28.5
28.3
vs Similar (24)
10.6
10.3
10.8
5.3
5.4
5.2
29.1
30.1
28.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
64%
52%
66%
72%
60%
80%
80%
80%
% under line
42%
36%
48%
34%
28%
40%
20%
20%
20%
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.8
9.5
5.3
5.6
5.0
30.0
29.8
30.2
vs Stronger (1)
12.0
12.0
-
7.0
7.0
-
26.0
26.0
-
vs Similar (13)
9.3
8.9
9.8
6.0
5.7
6.3
30.8
31.7
29.7
vs Weaker (36)
9.8
10.1
9.4
5.0
5.5
4.6
29.9
29.3
30.4
% over line
50%
52%
48%
72%
84%
60%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
48%
52%
28%
16%
40%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Crotone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.4
Pisa
11.0
Alessandria
10.5
Benevento
10.5
Crotone
10.5
Frosinone
10.4
Como
10.3
Monza
10.2
Spal
10.2
Reggina
10.2
Vicenza Virtus
10.2
Parma
10.0
Ternana
10.0
Ascoli
10.0
Cremonese
9.7
Pordenone
9.7
Cittadella
9.6
Perugia
9.5
Lecce
9.4
Cosenza
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Pordenone
5.8
Perugia
5.8
Frosinone
5.8
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.7
Pisa
5.6
Vicenza Virtus
5.6
Como
5.5
Alessandria
5.5
Cremonese
5.3
Parma
5.3
Lecce
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Monza
5.1
Crotone
5.1
Ternana
4.9
Benevento
4.6
Brescia
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
34.0
Reggina
34.0
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Alessandria
32.3
Pordenone
32.2
Ascoli
31.7
Monza
31.6
Frosinone
31.5
Spal
31.4
Vicenza Virtus
30.4
Como
30.1
Cremonese
30.0
Ternana
29.6
Lecce
29.6
Parma
29.4
Benevento
28.9
Crotone
28.8
Cosenza
27.4
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.2%
Under 9.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
81.5%
Under 3.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
96.0%
Under 21.5
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
C
Crotone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.57
0.79
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.10
1.00
0.67
0.43
1.29
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.80
0.45
0.82
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
0.73
0.40
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.71
0.50
0.25
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (22)
0.77
0.41
0.80
0.50
0.75
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Crotone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
C
Crotone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.64
0.43
0.31
0.69
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.50
0.67
0.00
0.57
0.71
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.60
0.64
0.55
0.11
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Cremonese) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cremonese
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.50
1.07
0.53
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.82
0.36
0.90
0.40
0.75
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Crotone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cremonese over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cremonese · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tommaso Berti33%
Simone Lottici Tessadri33%
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
M. Nasti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
F. Gerli67%
J. Vandeputte50%
Giuseppe Pezzella33%
S. Pontisso33%
M. Bianchetti25%
S. Luperto0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
M. De Luca0%
Tommaso Berti0%
M. Nasti0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tommaso Berti33%
M. Nasti33%
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Luperto0%
Giuseppe Pezzella0%
M. Bianchetti0%
J. Vandeputte0%
Federico Bonazzoli0%
A. Vogliacco0%
S. Pontisso0%
M. De Luca0%
F. Gerli0%
Tommaso Berti0%
M. Nasti0%
Simone Lottici Tessadri0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Cremonese
Lecce
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
Ascoli
Benevento
Frosinone
Perugia
Ternana
Cittadella
Parma
Reggina
Como
Spal
Cosenza
Vicenza Virtus